Economy
Shareholders’ Group Explains Effects of 5% VAT on Stock Market, Economy
By Dipo Olowookere
On Thursday, July 25, 2019, the payment of five percent Value Added Tax (VAT) on commissions earned by dealing members on traded values of shares, resumed after being suspended five years ago by federal government.
Weeks before the resumption, stockbrokers had been sending notices to their clients on the development and there had been calls for an extension of the ‘tax holiday’.
One of the registered shareholders groups in the Nigerian capital market, the Ibadan Zone Shareholders’ Association (IZSA), has urged government to suspend the VAT payment for now, especially when the market is battling with bearish runs.
The organisation warned that if government refuses to do something about this issue urgently, there could be consequences for the stock market and the economy at large.
In a statement jointly signed by its Chairman and General Secretary, Mr Akinduro Eric Akin and Mr Ayoola Gilbert Olufemi respectively, the group said the present low business activity in the market was a good reason for government to reconsider it stand on VAT and put it on hold so as to continue to encourage local investors bowing to hit of selling their shares.
It noted that the continued market decline was a clear indication that something was critically wrong with the Nigerian economy, especially looking at the mixed macroeconomic indices revealing very weak economic fundamentals, in the form of low market liquidity and absence of a policy direction.
According to the organisation, the market was already saturated with various taxes and commission on transactions and the inclusion of VAT would further send negative signals to the investment community, resulting in the loss of shareholders value, which will further discourage many investors from investing in the market.
“Recent statistics shows that return on our investment has been discouraging vis-à-vis capital appreciation.
“In view of this and on behalf of the entire members of the Ibadan Zone Shareholders Association, we do hereby request that the Federal Government of Nigeria should extend the VAT exemption pending the time we have robust economy,” the group said in the statement obtained by Business Post.
Commenting on the negative effect the VAT could have on the market if government refuses to listen, IZSA said “the shareholders community is of the opinion that the news on the resumption of value added tax by the government portrays a bad policy for the growth of the Nigerian capital market in recent times considering persistent decline that has overrun activities at capital market.”
“Also, [it] signals the insensitive of government to the plight of investors and development of small and medium scale enterprises in Nigeria.”
The group noted in the statement that since the year began, foreign investments inflow into the Nigerian stock market stood at N41.2 billion for the month of June 2019 compared with N37.9 billion in the month of May.
“This is the highest foreign investment inflow into the stock market this year. Unfortunately, this is not what matters.
“Foreign Investors shipped out N52.4 billion in investments out of the country compared to the inflow of N41.2 billion.
“In fact, foreign investment outflow has outpaced foreign investment inflow every month since January 2019. The Nigerian stock market has come to rely on foreign investment to drive up market values,” it said.
“In total, foreign investor outflow for the period between January and June 2019 stood at N257.8 billion compared to N214.9 billion in inflows over the same period.
“Domestic retail investor investment was N329.6 billion compared to N285 billion June 2019 year to date,” it added.
Economy
IPMAN Considers Dangote Petrol for Competitive Pump Price
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
More petroleum marketers are looking to take advantage being offered by the Dangote Refinery in Lagos through its bulk-purchase incentives, allowing petrol stations to sell premium motor spirit (PMS), otherwise known as petrol, cheaper to motorists.
Recall that recently, Dangote Refinery entered into a deal with MRS Oil Nigeria, Ardova Plc, Heyden for the purchase of petrol at least two million litres at N909 per litre.
With this agreement, MRS Oil has been able to dispense to customers at a pump price of N935 per litre across its stations in Nigeria.
For those not under this arrangement, they have been battling with price instability, especially after depot owners recently increased their price to N950 per litre from N909 per litre because of the rise in crude oil prices in the international market.
Worried by this and attracted by the bulk-purchase agreement incentives of Dangote Petroleum Refinery, the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association (IPMAN) is already having talks to buy directly from the Lagos-based oil facility.
The national president of the group, Mr Abubakar Maigandi Garima, said members are eager to sign on with Dangote Refinery for the bulk-purchase agreement.
He argued that members could not continue to depend on depot owners for products when they can buy directly from the refinery bearing in mind that the minimum quantity to buy from Dangote Refinery is two million litres at N909 per litre.
The desire to be part of the bulk-purchase agreement, it was also gathered, was also apparently being fuelled by the testimonies from motorists who have been praising the impressive burn rate of fuel sourced from Dangote Refinery and sold in MRS filing stations which they said lasts longer compared to other products imported into the country and sold by others.
The management of the Dangote Refinery, citing economic relief provided by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s crude-for-naira swap initiative, had announced a bulk-purchase offer incentives to the three leading downstream sector operators, so that Nigerians could heave a sigh of relief on the reduced pump price.
Economy
World Bank Forecasts 3.6% GDP Growth for Nigeria in 2025
By Adedapo Adesanya
The World Bank has projected a 3.6 per cent economic growth for Nigerian in 2025 and 2026 on the back of ongoing reforms by the federal government.
The Bretton Wood institution in its report titled Global Economic Prospects, January 2025 published on Thursday, said recent reforms, including subsidy removal, Naira liberalisation and the introduction of tax reform bills would help to boost business confidence.
“In Nigeria, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth increased to an estimated 3.3 per cent in 2024, mainly driven by services sector activity, particularly in financial and telecommunication services.
“Macroeconomic and fiscal reforms helped improve business confidence. In response to rising inflation and a weak naira, the central bank tightened monetary policy.
“Meanwhile, the fiscal deficit narrowed due to a surge in revenues driven by the elimination of the implicit foreign exchange subsidy, following the unification of the exchange rate and improved revenue administration,” a part of the report stated.
The World Bank noted that the wider Sub-Saharan Africa, to which Nigeria belongs would see a 4.1 per cent growth in the current year, before seeing a 4.3 per cent rise in 2026.
“Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, SSA is expected to firm to 4.1 per cent in 2025 and 4.3 per cent in 2026, as financial conditions ease alongside further declines in inflation. Following weaker-than-expected regional growth last year, growth projections for 2025 have been revised upward by 0.2 percentage points, and for 2026 by 0.3 percentage points, with improvements seen across various subgroups. At the country level, projected growth has been upgraded for nearly half of SSA economies in both 2025 and 2026.
“Growth in Nigeria is forecast to strengthen to an average of 3.6 per cent a year in 2025-26. Following monetary policy tightening in 2024, inflation is projected to gradually decline, boosting consumption and supporting growth in the services sector, which continues to be the main driver of growth,” it added.
The global lender disclosed that oil production is expected to increase over the forecast period but remain below the 1.5 million barrels per day quota of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).
Economy
Nigeria’s Unlisted Securities Close Higher by 0.35%
By Adedapo Adesanya
Four price gainers helped the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange close higher by 0.35 per cent on Thursday, January 16.
The value of the trading platform jumped by N3.69 billion during the session to N1.072 trillion from the N1.068 trillion it closed in the preceding session, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) made an addition of 10.67 points to wrap the session at 3,103.83 points compared with 3,093.16 points recorded at the previous session.
Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc added 3 Kobo to its price yesterday to trade at 33 Kobo per unit compared with Wednesday’s closing price of 30 Kobo per unit, Newrest Asl Plc appreciated by N2.85 to N31.18 per share from N28.53 per share, 11 Plc gained N2.90 to close at N256.00 per unit versus the N253.10 per unit it finished a day earlier, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc grew by 21 Kobo to N39.16 per share, in contrast to midweek’s N38.95 per share.
On Thursday. there was an 85.3 per cent increase in the volume of securities traded by investors to 1.2 million units from the 666,494 units recorded in the preceding session, the value of shares traded surged by 8.9 per cent to N18.0 million from N16.5 million, and the number of deals leapt by 65 per cent to 33 deals from 20 deals.
FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 3.4 million units worth N134.9 million, trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 8.9 million units sold for N43.0 million, and Afriland Properties Plc valued at 690,825 sold for N11.1 million.
IGI Plc closed the day as the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 23.5 million units sold for N5.3 million, followed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 8.9 million units valued at N43.0 million, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc followed with 3.4 million units worth N134.9 million.
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