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Stanbic IBTC Absolute Fund Ends Another Year with Positive Returns

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By Quantitative Financial Analytics

Stanbic IBTC Absolute Fund made an 11.5 percent return for the year ended December 31, 2016 and its asset increased by almost a corresponding percentage to N5.33 billion.

This information comes from analysis by Quantitative Financial Analytics Ltd, Nigeria’s foremost mutual and pension funds analytics platform.

The return however underperforms its 2015 performance of 13.19 percent but it brings its cumulative or inception to date (ITD) return to 60.73 percent.

This implies that investors who bought into the fund at its IPO price of N1,500 would have gained N910.9 per unit of the fund as at December 31, 2016.

According to Quantitative Financial Analytics, IBTC Absolute Fund has been one of, if not the most consistent mutual fund in Nigeria in terms of performance.

Since January 2013 when Quantitative Analytics started tracking the fund, Stanbic IBTC Absolute Fund has made positive returns month after month except in June 2013 when it recorded a forgivable 0.58 percent negative gain. The fund made a return of 10.71 percent in 2013, 12.62 percent in 2014 and 13.19 percent in 2015.

The fund which suffered a net outflow of about N13.9 million in 2016 generated an estimated gain of N687.5 million in 2016 to take its total NAV from its 2015 ending balance of N4.78 billion to N5.33 billion. It is now the 7th largest mutual fund by assets in Nigeria.

The risk return profile of the fund is also very appetizing in that it has a return of 9.35 and risk of 0.53 making it a low risk medium return fund.

IBTC Absolute Fund has a negative correlation of 0.14 to the Nigerian stock market and a Beta of -.01, a Sharpe ratio of -2.27 and R-Squared of .02. All these statistics point to the fact that the fund is relatively “immune” from the vagaries of the stock market.

The fund is a member of the Stanbic IBTC Umbrella funds which includes the Stanbic IBTC Conservative and Stanbic IBTC Aggressive funds. The investment objective of the Stanbic IBTC Absolute fund is to ensure preservation of capital with minimal risk. Looking at the risk return profile, it does look like the fund’s objective is being realized. The target asset allocation of the Fund is limited to fixed income securities.

The Fund therefore invests 100 percent of its AUM in Fixed Income securities and is aimed at holding a portfolio of securities with little or no volatility in returns. The fund was debuted at an IPO price of N1,500 and currently trades at N2,487.92

Disclosures:  The author or anyone in Quantitative Financial Analytics has no investment in Stanbic IBTC Absolute Fund or any fund managed by Stanbic IBTC Asset Management and we were not paid for this piece. It is also instructive to note that past performances do not guarantee future performances.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via dipo.olowookere@businesspost.ng

Economy

NMDPRA Calculations Show 67% Decline in Nigeria’s Petrol Imports

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Petroleum marketers

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) has confirmed that the daily importation of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), known as petrol, dropped by 67.04 per cent from 44.6 million litres in August 2024 to 14.7 million litres as of April 13, 2025.

This disclosure was part of revelations made by the chief executive of NMDPRA, Mr Farouk Ahmed, during the Meet-the-Press briefing series organised by the Presidential Communications Team (PTC) at the State House in Abuja on Tuesday.

He explained that the 30-million-litre drop in imports was due to increased contributions from local refineries, revealing that domestic production of petrol surged by 670 per cent during the same period.

He credited the rise to the gradual restart of the Port Harcourt Refining Company in November 2024, along with added output from modular refineries across the country.

“After contributing virtually nothing in August 2024, local plants delivered 26.2 million litres per day in early April, a jump from the 3.4 million litres recorded in September 2024, which was the first month with measurable output,” he said.

He, however, said that in spite the growth in domestic supply, total national supply exceeded the government’s 50 million litres per day consumption benchmark.

“Only twice within the eight-month period—56 million litres in November 2024 and 52.3 million litres in February, 2025.

He added that the month of March 2025 saw a slight dip to 51.5 million litres per day, while the first half of April recorded an even lower average of 40.9 million litres per day.

Mr Ahmed emphasised that the NMDPRA issues import licenses strictly in line with national supply requirements, underscoring the authority’s commitment to balancing imports with growing local production capacity.

He called for a collective national effort in protecting and maintaining Nigeria’s oil and gas infrastructure.

According to him, all stakeholders – including security agencies, political leaders, traditional rulers, youths, and oil companies must work together to secure national energy assets.

“It takes all of us—government, traditional institutions, companies, and the youth—to collaborate and resist criminal activities that threaten our infrastructure,” he said.

The CEO also stressed that local government authorities and international oil companies (IOCs) such as the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, as well as indigenous companies, must take responsibility in ensuring that oil assets are protected and maintained.

“Until we all commit to safeguarding these national assets, we should stop pointing fingers,” he added.

Mr Ahmed reaffirmed NMDPRA’s commitment to transparency and accountability in the midstream and downstream sectors.

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Economy

Trump’s Tariffs Will Significantly Affect Nigerian Manufacturers—Ajayi-Kadir

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Beer manufacturers in Nigeria

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has said the US imposition of 14 per cent tariff on imported products may have a significant impact on Nigeria’s trade and industrial landscape.

The Director-General of MAN, Mr Segun Ajayi-Kadir, in a statement noted that the US remained one of Nigeria’s most significant trade partners, accounting for approximately 7 per cent of its non-oil exports.

President Donald Trump had earlier slammed a reciprocal tariff on all trading partners with the US with Nigeria getting a 14 per cent share. Although, it recently made a pause to the tariffs for a 90-day period, the possible impact remains.

Mr Ajayi-Kadir said the new tariff regime directly threatened this trade dynamic, particularly as Nigeria projected an ambitious N55 trillion budget and was experiencing a downward trend in global crude oil prices.

According to him, the hike has come at a vulnerable moment when the country is just recovering from the impact of the government’s policy mix that has had negative effects on the manufacturing sector.

“Nigeria’s manufacturing sector, which contributed 8.64 per cent to the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2024, is one of the most predisposed sectors of the economy when it comes to trade policy shifts.

“The imposition of a 14 percent tariff on Nigerian exports significantly undermines the competitiveness of locally manufactured goods in the US market.

“Manufacturers who are exporters in agro-processing, chemicals and pharmaceutical, basic metal, iron and steel, non-metallic mineral products and other light industrial manufacturing rely heavily on the U.S. for market access.

“With increased costs for American buyers due to the tariffs, demand for Nigerian products is expected to decline,” he noted.

Mr Ajayi-Kadir stated that in addition to revenue losses, the new tariffs posed a significant disincentive to firms investing in value-added manufacturing.

He noted that over the past decade, manufacturers had made concerted and strategic efforts to support the country’s transition from exporting raw commodities to semi-processed and finished goods.

“However, higher market-entry costs because of higher tariff on Nigerian products will reduce the profitability of such investments, making it more attractive for firms to revert to exporting raw materials.

“This is counterproductive to Nigeria’s industrialisation agenda and compromises the long-term goal of achieving export diversification under platforms such as the African Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA),” he said.

The MAN DG added that the implications of the tariff imposition on employment in the manufacturing sector were dire.

He noted that as export revenues fall, many companies may reduce their production scale or downsize their workforce to cut costs.

He added that beyond the manufacturing sector, the Nigerian economy was not insulated from the effects of the U.S. tariff decision with its direct impact on Nigeria’s trade balance.

Mr Ajayi-Kadir said with the country already grappling with a fragile external sector, any significant reduction in exports to the U.S. would erode the current trade surplus, potentially pushing the balance into deficit.

He expressed worry about potential pressure on Nigeria to reciprocate by reducing its own tariffs on U.S. goods.

He noted that while the U.S. may frame this as a step toward “fair trade,” the reality was that lowering tariffs on U.S. imports could flood the Nigerian market with subsidised goods, thereby undermining local producers.

“Nigeria has, in recent years, made commendable strides toward achieving self-sufficiency in several manufacturing segments and diversifying away from oil.

“However, succumbing to external pressures to liberalise trade prematurely would reverse these gains.

“Furthermore, the absence of institutional capacity to engage in sophisticated trade negotiations places Nigeria in a vulnerable position.

“While countries with advanced legal and economic institutions may be able to negotiate favourable terms, Nigeria is at a disadvantage due to capacity constraints,” he said.

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Economy

Nigeria Issues 77 Licenses to Refiners for Robust Oil Market

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Port Harcourt Refinery

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria issued 47 Licenses to Establish (LTE) and 30 Licenses to Construct (LTC) refineries in the last year as it seeks to boost oil production in the country.

The move, according to the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), marks a significant step towards enhancing Nigeria’s refining capacity and boosting petroleum products availability.

The chief executive of NMDPRA, Mr Farouk Ahmed, during the sixth Meet-the-Press briefing in Abuja on Tuesday, said the 47 issued licenses have a combined refining capacity of nearly three million barrels per day.

Detailing the breakdown of the licenses, Mr Ahmed stated: “We have issued 47 LTE translating to 1.75 million barrels per day and 30 LTC translating to 1.23 million barrels per day. Currently, only four plants hold LTC with a steady output of 27,000 barrels per day.”

Giving a further breakdown, he said the LTC projects included five which were at the commissioning or construction stage, including the Dangote Petroleum Refinery with a capacity of 650,000 barrels per day while other smaller projects include; AIPCC Energy’s 30,000 barrels per day plant and Waltersmith’s second train with a capacity of 5,000 barrels per day.

Mr Ahmed also highlighted the current state of refining operations in Nigeria, saying six licensed private refineries and four public ones are producing a total of 1.12 million barrels per day.

Other private plants contribute 679,500 barrels per day, led by Dangote’s single-train plant with a refining capacity of 650,000 barrels per day.

Other modular refineries include; Aradel (11,000 barrels per day), OPAC (10,000 barrels per day), Waltersmith (5,000 barrels per day), Duport Midstream Limited (2,500 barrels per day), and Edo Refining and Petrochemicals Company Limited (1,000 barrels per day).

He explained further that publicly owned facilities operated by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited add another 445,000 barrels per day from the refurbished plants in Port Harcourt (150,000 barrels per day), Warri (125,000 barrels per day), Kaduna (110,000 barrels per day), and the old Port Harcourt plant (60,000 barrels per day).

“These developments underline our commitment to reducing dependency on imported refined products.”

He added that ongoing licensing efforts aimed at expanding domestic refining capacity were ongoing to further support economic growth through job creation and energy security.

The NMDPRA’s recent licensing activities also include approvals for modular refineries in Edo, Delta, and Abia states, expected to add an additional 140,000 barrels per day upon completion.

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