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Economy

Stocks Up 1.1% Last Week Amid Recession Fanfare

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Nigerian Stock Exchange NSE

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

A turnover of 1.115bn shares, worth N13.817bn in 16,083 deals, were traded, last week, by investors on the floor of the exchange in contrast to a total of 1.124bn shares, valued at N13.839bn, that exchanged hands, last week, in 15,625 deals.

The NSE All-Share Index and market capitalisation appreciated by 1.11 per cent and 1.13 per cent to close the week at 27,756.67 and N9.535trn respectively.

Similarly, all other indices finished higher during the week, with the exception of the NSE industrial goods index that declined by 0.24 per cent while the NSE ASeM Index closed flat.

A total of 28 equities appreciated in price during the week, higher than 27 equities of the previous week.

A sum of 31 equities depreciated in price, higher than 25 equities of the previous week, while 121 equities remained unchanged, lower than 128 equities recorded in the preceding week.

The financial services industry (measured by volume) led the activity chart with 993.823m shares, valued at N7.279bn traded in 10,135 deals, thus, contributing 89.11 and 52.68 to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively.

The consumer goods industry followed with 48.047m shares worth N4.365bn in 2,682 deals.

The third place was occupied by the conglomerates industry with a turnover of 31.648m shares, worth N109.579m in 487 deals.

Trading in the top three equities, namely, Guaranty Trust Bank Plc, United Bank for Africa Plc and Diamond Bank Plc (measured by volume) accounted for 394.511m shares, worth N4.397b in 3,142 deals, contributing 35.37 per cent and 31.82 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively.

Meanwhile, Nigeria’s overnight naira interbank lending rate eased to around 16 per cent on Friday, down from about 20 per cent, last week, on improved naira cash liquidity after the disbursal of July budgetary allocations to government agencies.

About N250bn belonging to states and local governments from the July federation account allocation hit the banking system, this week, providing liquidity.

Total banks surplus cash with the CBN stood at N118b on Friday, compared with N62bn last week.

The naira closed flat at 305 to the dollar on the interbank market on Friday, but fell to 425 a dollar on the black market from 420 a dollar previously.

 “We expect rate to ease below the 16 percent next week, unless central bank sells more treasury bills to reduce cash in the system,” a dealer said.

http://www.dailytrust.com.ng/news/business/stocks-up-1-1-last-week-amid-recession-fanfare/161339.html#PZEcUMZlwCRu16eu.99

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Dangote Eyes New Investments, Acquisitions as Goldman Sachs Tours Refinery

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Dangote monopoly Political Economy of Failure

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigerian businessman and chief executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Mr Aliko Dangote, has unveiled plans for a new phase of investments and acquisitions as the conglomerate pushes towards its target of generating $100 billion in annual revenue by 2030.

Mr Dangote disclosed this while receiving a delegation of senior executives from global investment banking and financial services firm Goldman Sachs, led by co-chief executive of Goldman Sachs International and Global Co-Head of Investment Banking, Mr Anthony Gutman, during a tour of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals and Dangote Fertiliser Limited complex in Lagos.

Speaking after the visit, Mr Dangote said the refinery and associated industrial facilities underscore the transformative impact of long-term investment in Africa, stressing that the group’s ambitions extend beyond its current strategic plan.

“No matter how we try to explain what we have built, you cannot fully appreciate it until you see it. But this is only the beginning. We need to look beyond 2030.

“The next phase of our journey will include new investments and acquisitions as we continue to scale the business,” he said.

He added that detailed internal modelling had reinforced management’s confidence that the Group’s target of generating $100 billion in annual revenue by 2030 was achievable.

According to him, the projections were based on conservative assumptions and had strengthened the company’s conviction to pursue an even more ambitious long-term growth strategy.

Mr Dangote also revealed that the strong participation of employees in the refinery’s recent private placement reflected growing internal confidence in the company’s long-term strategy and future prospects.

The Goldman Sachs delegation, after an extensive tour of the 700,000 barrels-per-day refinery, described the project as an extraordinary achievement.

“It is extraordinary what Mr Dangote and the whole organisation have achieved. The ambition, the scale of the project, the quality of the project and the culture of the people is very impressive,” the executives said.

According to a statement issued by Dangote Group on Friday, the delegation was led by Mr Anthony Gutman and included Mr Adib N. Zouein, Co-Head of EMEA Emerging Markets Regional Sales and Head of the Middle East and North Africa region for Global Banking & Markets Public; Mr Ryad Yousuf, Global Head of FICC Sales Strats and Structuring; and Mr Jimi Adesanya, Head of Sub-Saharan Africa Sales (excluding South Africa).

The visitors were received by Dangote; Group Vice President, Oil & Gas, Mr Devakumar Edwin; Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals, Mr David Bird; Group Executive Director, Oil & Gas, Ms Fatima Aliko Dangote; Chief of Staff to the President/CEO, Ibrahim Dikko; Group Chief Branding and Communication Officer, Mr Anthony Chiejina; Group Chief Economist, Mr Hassan Mahmud; Group Chief Strategy Officer, Mr Aliyu Suleiman; and Head of Administration, Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals, Mr Musa Bala, among other senior executives.

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Economy

Senate Probes N1.2trn Fuel Subsidy Deductions as NEITI Claims N1.16tn Spent in 2021

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NEITI

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Senate Public Accounts Committee has heard that Nigeria spent N1.16 trillion on fuel subsidy in 2021, while N1.20 trillion was deducted from federation crude oil sales proceeds during the same period.

The disclosure came from the Chairman of the Revenue Mobilisation Allocation and Fiscal Commission (RMAFC), Mr Mohammed Bello Shehu, during the committee’s ongoing investigation into the 2021 to 2023 Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (NEITI) audit reports on the oil and gas sector.

According to the commission, crude and petroleum product losses cost N16.2 billion, pipeline repairs accounted for N22.05 billion, while strategic stock holding attracted N6.75 billion.

The revelations come against the backdrop of Nigeria’s long-running fuel subsidy regime, which successive governments maintained to keep the pump price of petrol artificially low despite mounting fiscal pressures.

Over the years, subsidy payments consumed trillions of Naira, significantly reducing revenues available to the three tiers of government and contributing to widening budget deficits.

The issue reached a turning point in May 2023 when President Bola Tinubu announced the removal of fuel subsidy during his inauguration speech, declaring that “fuel subsidy is gone.” The decision followed years of concerns over the rising cost of the programme, allegations of fraud, and repeated recommendations by fiscal authorities and international financial institutions that the subsidy had become unsustainable.

The removal triggered a sharp increase in the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit (petrol), leading to higher transportation and living costs across the country. In response, the federal government introduced a series of palliative measures, including cash transfers, support for mass transit, and wage-related interventions, while arguing that savings from the subsidy would be redirected to infrastructure, education, healthcare, and other critical sectors of the economy.

The commission also argued that the current method of calculating the 13 per cent derivation fund undermines the constitutional intention of the policy.

Meanwhile, the committee stood down the Niger Delta Development Commission’s presentation until next Wednesday to allow lawmakers review its submission.

The committee also expressed displeasure over the absence of the Auditor-General of the Federation, warning that he must appear before lawmakers next Tuesday or face compulsory appearance through the constitutional powers of the National Assembly.

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Economy

Nigerian Businesses Expect Naira to Appreciate on Dollar Till January 2027

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Naira 4 Dollar

By Adedapo Adesanya

Businesses in the country expect the Naira to gradually appreciate against the US Dollar between now and January 2027, according to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) July 2026 Business Expectations Survey Report released on Thursday.

The report showed that the Business Confidence Index (BCI) remained positive throughout the review period despite perceived macroeconomic challenges. It noted that all sectors expressed optimism about the economy, with the electricity, gas and water sector posting the highest Business Confidence Index of 59.4 points and the strongest expansion prospects for August 2026.

According to the report, “In July 2026, the Business Confidence Index was 5.7 points, reflecting continued optimistic sentiment among formal businesses.”

It attributed the positive sentiment mainly to increased demand (22.3 per cent), economic diversification (21.4 per cent), and improved access to finance (15.0 per cent). However, respondents identified inflation (27.7 per cent), energy-related challenges (23.4 per cent), insecurity (22.4 per cent), and heightened geopolitical uncertainties (16.5 per cent) as the major factors weighing on business confidence.

On the outlook by broad sector, the central bank said confidence remained positive across all sectors in July. The Industry sector recorded a modest improvement, with its index rising to 11.5 points from 10.5 points, while the Services sector increased to 3.6 points from 2.9 points.

By contrast, the Agriculture sector recorded a significant moderation, with its index falling to 3.4 points from 12.2 points.

Despite this, the apex bank said the six-month outlook remained upbeat, with confidence indices across all sectors indicating positive expectations over the review period.

On the macroeconomic outlook by region, the report noted a divergence in sentiment, with businesses in Northern Nigeria expressing stronger confidence than their Southern counterparts in July. Nevertheless, respondents across all regions maintained positive expectations for August.

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