Economy
Supply Concerns, Fuel Switching Boost Crude Oil Prices
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil prices edged up by about one per cent on Wednesday on expectations that the winter season in the Northern hemisphere will see an increase in gas-to-oil switching due to high prices.
Brent crude futures settled higher by 93 cents or 1 per cent at $94.10 a barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude ended $1.17 or 1.3 per cent higher at $88.48 per barrel.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) said it expects widespread switching from gas to oil for heating purposes.
The agency said the deepening economic slowdown and a faltering Chinese economy will cause global oil demand to grind to a halt in the fourth quarter of the year.
Global oil demand is set to grow by 2 million barrels per day this year, the IEA said on Wednesday, revising its growth down by an estimate of 110,000 barrels per day from last month as it expects China’s oil demand to fall for the first time in more than three decades.
The slowdown in China will be partly offset by “large-scale switching from gas to oil,” which is estimated to average 700,000 barrels per day in the fourth quarter of 2022 and the first quarter of 2023, double the level from a year ago, according to the IEA.
Oil demand in China is expected to fall by 2.7 per cent, or by 420,000 barrels per day, this year compared to last year, per IEA estimates. If the estimates are correct, this could be the first yearly decline in Chinese oil demand since 1990 and only the second such drop in IEA records since 1984.
The IEA’s new estimate is now in line with several analyst forecasts that anticipate sudden COVID-19 lockdowns will weigh on China’s oil demand this year as people avoid mass travel around holidays, dragging fuel consumption in the world’s top crude importer down for 2022 for the first time in two decades.
Elsewhere in the IEA report, figures show still very resilient Russian oil exports. Russian total oil exports actually rose by 220,000 barrels per day in August to 7.6 million barrels per day, which is down by just 390,000 barrels per day from pre-war levels. Estimated export revenues for Russia fell by $1.2 billion from July to $17.7 billion in August.
However, the EU embargo on Russian crude oil and product imports that comes into effect in December 2022 and February 2023, respectively, is expected to result in deeper declines as an additional 1 million barrels per day of products and 1.4 million barrels per day of crude will have to find new homes, the IEA said.
In the US, however, crude inventories rose last week for a second week in a row, once again boosted by the ongoing releases from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), the latest government data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed.
Crude stockpiles rose by 2.4 million barrels as 8.4 million barrels were released from the SPR, part of a programme scheduled to end next month.
On its part, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said global oil demand in 2022 and 2023 will come in stronger than expected, citing signs that major economies are faring better than expected despite challenges such as surging inflation.
Economy
Champion Breweries N42bn Public Offer Begins After SEC Approval
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
One of the brewery companies in Nigeria, Champion Breweries, has received regulatory approval for its N42 billion public offer.
The brewer intends to use net proceeds from the public offer, together with an earlier N15.9 billion rights issue, to fund the acquisition of the Bullet brand portfolio through an asset carve out that transfers ownership of Bullet’s brands, trademarks, recipes and commercial rights across its African markets to Champion Breweries.
In addition, funds from the exercise would be used to support working capital requirements and growth initiatives in areas such as route to market, marketing, innovation and capacity expansion.
Bullet is Nigeria’s leading ready to drink alcoholic beverage and one of the top energy drink brands in its markets of presence. The brand is currently sold in 14 African countries and earns a significant portion of its revenues in foreign currency, providing Champion Breweries with a natural foreign exchange (FX) hedge and a platform for continued regional expansion.
In a statement to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, Champion Breweries said it now has the approval of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to raise the fresh funds.
The company is selling a total of 2,625,000,000 ordinary shares of 50 kobo each at a unit price of N16.00, payable in full on application.
Application for the public offer opened on Thursday, January 8, 2026, and will close on Wednesday, January 21, 2026.
The lead issuing house for the public offer is Rand Merchant Bank Nigeria Limited, while the joint issuing houses are FBNQuest Merchant Bank Limited, FCMB Capital Markets Limited, CardinalStone Partners Limited, Greenwich Merchant Bank Limited, Chapel Hill Denham Advisory Limited, Comercio Partners Capital Limited, and Fortress Capital Limited, with Africa Prudential as the registrar.
The exercise, according to the Champion Breweries, gives institutional and retail investors an opportunity to participate in its “next phase of growth.”
“The opening of our public offer is an invitation for investors to share in the next phase of Champion Breweries’ growth. With the Bullet acquisition, we are combining nearly 50 years of brewing heritage with a proven pan African RTD and energy drink platform,” the Managing Director of Champion Breweries, Mr Inalegwu Adoga, said.
“Champion Breweries’ story is one of disciplined execution and smart capital deployment. The asset carve out structure for Bullet will mean we can unlock FX earnings and scale quickly, without heavy upfront investment in new plants. This public offer allows a wider pool of investors to participate in that strategy,” the Managing Director of enJOYcorp, Mr David Butler, added.
Economy
NUPRC Holds 2025 Licensing Round Pre-Bid Conference January 14
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) has announced January 14, 2026, for the pre-bid conference of the 2025 oil and gas licensing round.
The conference comes as the federal government intensifies efforts to attract fresh upstream investments.
In an announcement notice dated January 8, 2026, and signed by the commission’s chief executive, Mrs Oritsemeyiwa Eyesan, the event will take place in Lagos.
The notice, published on the official X handle of the agency, said, “The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission is proud to announce the 2025 licensing round pre-bid conference scheduled for 9 am on Wednesday, January 14, 2026, at the Grand Ballroom, Eko Hotels and Suites, Lagos.”
The pre-bid conference is a key milestone in the licensing round process and is expected to provide prospective investors with detailed guidance on the conduct of the bid exercise.
According to the organisation, discussions at the conference will focus on the implementation timetable for the licensing round, bid package preparation, eligibility requirements, as well as the assessment criteria and procedures for determining winning bidders.
The upstream regulator explained that the announcement followed an earlier notice published in both local and international newspapers, in compliance with the provisions of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA).
“The focus areas of the upcoming pre-bid conference include the implementation timetable, bid package preparation, eligibility terms, and the assessment and winners’ determination procedure. Interested members of the public are urged to register for the pre-bid conference through the portal br2025.nuprc.gov.ng,” the notice stated.
It added that comprehensive information on the licensing round, including guidelines, block descriptions and participation instructions, is available on the commission’s website.
“Detailed information on the licensing round guidelines, block descriptions and participation instructions is also available on the website, nuprc.gov.ng. We look forward to your participation,” it concluded.
Recall that last year, the erstwhile Commission Chief Executive, Mr Gbenga Komolafe, announced that the 2025 oil block licensing bid round would commence on December 1.
The 2025 licensing round, expected to offer 50 blocks across multiple terrains, is part of a broader agenda to rebuild confidence in Africa’s largest oil producer, deepen indigenous participation, and reposition Nigeria as a competitive investment destination.
The licensing round comes at a time when Nigeria is seeking to reverse years of declining upstream investment caused by regulatory uncertainty, oil theft and project delays.
Since the enactment of the Petroleum Industry Act in 2021, the NUPRC has overseen multiple bid rounds aimed at improving transparency, competitiveness and investor confidence in the upstream sector.
Pre-bid conferences have become increasingly important under the PIA regime, as they provide clarity on fiscal terms, compliance obligations and the evaluation framework, helping to reduce disputes and post-award uncertainty.
The last licensing round conducted by the commission attracted a mix of indigenous and international players, with the regulator pledging to ensure a transparent and commercially competitive process.
The NUPRC said it looks forward to broad participation at the Lagos conference, signalling what could be another major test of investor appetite for Nigeria’s upstream assets.
Economy
Cardoso Assures Foreign Investors Deeper Reforms
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr Yemi Cardoso, has wooed American investors, declaring that the country will focus on disciplined reforms and transparent markets to restore investor confidence in the country.
Mr Cardoso disclosed this after leading Nigeria’s engagement with senior business leaders and global investors at the US-Nigeria Executive Business Roundtable in Washington, convened by the US Chamber of Commerce’s US–Africa Business Center.
According to him, Nigeria used the platform to send a clear message to international capital: the country is focused on macroeconomic stability, regulatory clarity, and private sector-led growth.
“With global capital cautious and highly selective, we presented Nigeria’s message clearly and practically: disciplined reform, transparent markets, and credible institutions,” the CBN Governor said.
He noted that discussions at the roundtable centred on stabilising the macroeconomic environment and strengthening the financial system to support sustainable business expansion.
“Our discussions focused on macroeconomic stabilisation, regulatory clarity, and fostering private sector-led growth, laying the groundwork for a deeper phase of US–Nigeria commercial engagement,” Mr Cardoso stated.
Looking ahead to 2026, the CBN chief outlined an ambitious reform agenda aimed at reinforcing Nigeria’s financial architecture and improving the operating environment for businesses and investors.
“We will continue to strengthen the banking system through rigorous supervision and sound governance,” he said, adding that the apex bank would also “refine our inflation-targeting framework to deliver durable price stability.”
Mr Cardoso disclosed plans to modernise Nigeria’s payments infrastructure to boost efficiency and financial inclusion, while also promoting responsible fintech innovation anchored on consumer protection and financial integrity.
He further revealed that the CBN would deploy data and artificial intelligence-enabled tools to enhance regulatory responsiveness and execution.
“We will continue to build institutional capacity within the Bank, leveraging data and AI-enabled tools to support faster, more responsive, and higher-quality execution,” he said.
The central banker stressed that sustained reform, rather than short-term measures, remains critical to unlocking long-term growth and investment.
“Reform is a process that rewards consistency and discipline. Our focus remains steady: to protect trust, sustain stability, and entrench the foundations for disciplined, lasting economic growth in Nigeria,” he added.
He noted that the engagements signalled growing international confidence in Nigeria’s reform trajectory, positioning the country for deeper commercial ties with the United States and renewed inflows of global capital in the year ahead.
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