Economy
Tanker Attacks, Stalled US-Iran Peace Pact Buoy Oil Prices
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil price climbed over $1 a barrel on Friday on tanker attacks and a lack of progress on a peace agreement between the President Donald Trump administration and Iran’s leadership.
Brent futures settled at $88.52 a barrel after gaining $1.45 or 1.67 per cent, and the United States’ West Texas Intermediate crude futures finished at $82.40, up $1.15 or 1.42 per cent.
Market analysts noted that new attacks on tankers and lack of progress on a cease-fire agreement, which, in turn, is making traffic in the Strait of Hormuz constrained, adding pressure to the waterway through which 20 per cent of global supply can pass.
Two vessels from the state-owned Abu Dhabi National Oil Company were attacked while transiting the strait on Thursday. Iran’s Revolutionary Guards have previously threatened action against vessels transiting the strait if they are linked to its adversaries or fail to comply with Iranian directives.
As the US and Iran made claims over control of the strait, shipping traffic through the channel fell below the month’s average. Before US-Israeli attacks on Iran began in late February, the strait handled about one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas supplies.
The US said it could maintain a naval blockade of Iran indefinitely and increase economic pressure on Tehran in response to stalled ceasefire talks.
The country’s Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said there will be more announcements coming next week because “we are going to apply measures like have never been seen in the history of economic isolation of a country.”
Crude oil exports from Russia’s Sheskharis terminal at the Black Sea port of Novorossiysk were suspended on Friday following a drone attack, adding to disruptions at one of the country’s key export outlets.
The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) had slashed its outlook for 2026 global oil demand growth to 580,000 barrels per day, a stark contrast to the International Energy Agency’s 1.6 million barrels per day decline, marking the fourth straight month when the Vienna-based organisation was forced to curb its forecast amidst the Hormuz crisis.
In its monthly report, the IEA predicted that global supply will fall by 4.3 million barrels per day in 2026, pushing the Q3 deficit to 1.8 million barrels per day even as record fuel prices lead to an unprecedented 1.6 million barrels per day demand destruction.
