Economy
The Currency Risk for Nigerian Businesses is Very Real – What Are the Best Ways to Handle It?
There is always some risk even in the most surefire business ideas – after all, nothing ventured, nothing gained right?
But businesses that operate by using different currencies for buying and selling, face uniquely pertinent risks from changes in the volatile currency markets – especially when dealing with a marginal currency like the Nigerian Naira.
In this post, we will take a close look at just what these risks are and how Nigerian businesses can best guard against them.
Despite experiencing some hardships since the oil crash of 2014, Nigeria is Africa’s largest economy by some distance and in many ways, it could be viewed as an African success story. The Lagos business districts are growing fast as young, entrepreneurial Nigerians form startups at a truly impressive rate, and ever more international businesses are now taking note.
As Nigeria begins to look outwardly across the continent and the globe, more and more domestic businesses find themselves transacting internationally either in buying or selling goods, or ordering or providing services.
Whilst doing business with the world offers huge opportunities, the challenges that come with transacting across borders in different currencies can be very intimidating for any business that relies on a currency as peripheral, and volatile as the Naira.
The Certainty of Change
Indeed, businesses that deal with clients or suppliers in other countries generally need the currency exchange rates to be very stable – fluctuations affect a transaction’s cost-effectiveness and can make all the difference between profit and loss.
For example, a Nigerian fashion house might buy its fabric from Senegal and then sell its finished goods domestically. If the Naira drops against the CEFA though, then the cost of importing fabrics will go up.
Whilst the firm can try to pass the difference and increase in costs onto the customers by charging more for the end product, many customers are more likely to find the goods to be overpriced. This can be disastrous for companies who are locked into contracts or simply rely heavily on a particular supplier as they can be pushed into running their once profitable business at a loss.
Businesses in the western world also face this dilemma too but currencies like the USD, EUR and GBP are generally pretty stable. As such whilst fluctuations can certainly hurt business, they are more often than not, possible to absorb.
However the Nigerian Naira has endured something of a torrid ride over the last 5 years; in 2017, $1 USD = N315 whereas the rate is currently $1 = N414! Trying to establish a medium to long term strategy for an international basis is very difficult when that business is built on a shaky foundation such as the Nigerian Naira.
The situation gets even more complex. Once again western business enjoys an advantage in the business foreign exchange field – there is a whole range of ways in which western businesses can guard against fluctuations in the currency markets that are unavailable to Nigerian business.
In particular, UK businesses enjoy a wide selection of Foreign Exchange possibilities on account of its gold-standard credit rating, libertarian financial services climate and highly trusted regulatory framework.
On the other hand, a lot of these ways are simply not available in Nigeria as a lot of the requisite service providers are either unwilling or unable to offer business in the country.
This is mostly owing to perceived currency and political stability issues mixed with an unfortunate reputation of Nigeria as an incubator of financial crime. Whilst Nigeria is not currently suffering from any US-imposed financial sanctions, it is feared that a change of regime could lead to this happening.
How to Hedge FX as an SME
There are 3 very common methods of currency hedging – ways in which businesses can indemnify themselves against changes in the currency market.
- Forward Contracts
Forward contracts are when a business agrees to buy a set amount of a given currency, over a specified time, at an agreed, settled rate. For example, a Nigerian business may anticipate that it will need to buy $10,000 over the coming year to pay suppliers. Rather than buy it incrementally as and when it is needed, a forward contract would allow them to “lock-in” the current exchange rate allowing them to budget the N4,111,600.00 they will need.
Forward contracts serve to protect a business from a drop in the value of their currency, but on the other hand, if the Naira was to increase against the dollar then the business would be losing out and paying more for the dollars. Forward contracts can be a bit of a gamble but they do provide certainty.
Problematically though, most of the companies dealing in forward contracts are not offering their services to clients in Nigeria. However, in September 2021, Nigeria did agree to a record $18 billion in OTC forward contracts so the outlook is at least improving.
- Currency Brokers & International Payment Providers
If a business is buying large amounts of a given currency, then a currency broker may be able to help them get a better exchange rate than the one generally available on the market. The issue Nigerian businesses face here though is simply that many currency brokers have a low appetite for buying Naira if they will deal with Nigerian business at all.
When making sizable international business payments (such as for an invoice) then an international transfer service provider can help a business save fees on international bank payments and may also be able to help them ensure a better rate. Unfortunately, though, international business payment service providers don’t accept any Nigerian business.
- Multi-Currency Accounts
Another very useful way for FX hedging is to open a multi-currency account. Multi-currency accounts allow a business to hold account balances in different currencies via sub-accounts or ‘pots’ in addition to their main balance. A Nigerian business could hold its main balance in Naira but then have a USD pot and a CEFA pot. The advantage is that they have foreign currency ready to use and are once again protected by the ebb and flows of the Naira.
Multi-currency accounts are very useful for companies that regularly deal in a small number of particular currencies.
Once again though, a lot of the international or borderless banks that offer multi-currency accounts don’t allow balances to be held in Naira and relatively few Nigerian banks allow multi-currency balances at all.
So, as we can see, all across the world, small businesses have dedicated service providers who are able to assist with FX management and payment. However, in Nigeria few, if any of these options are available.
How To DIY Hedge Against Currency Fluctuations
In the absence of a supportive financial service sector, Nigerian business owners have to utilise their talent for resourcefulness and look for ‘DIY’ hacks for currency hedging.
- Buy Cash Currency
Without access to either brokers or multi-currency accounts, Nigerian businesses are largely unable to hold balances in foreign currencies. They can, however, still hold cash in whatever currency they can get their hands on. Currencies like the USD, Euro and GBP are available worldwide and the CEFA can be obtained in many Nigerian money exchanges or by hopping over the border.
Therefore, when the exchange rate moves to a favourable position (i.e. the Naira becomes strong against the USD), a Nigerian business person can simply take advantage, buy USD cash and lock it securely away until it is needed. They can use it to make international payments via services such as Western Union or Ria or can simply sell it back when the rate changes in the other direction.
- Borderless Bank Accounts
There are an increasing number of fintech startups offering “borderless bank accounts” to residents of an increasing number of countries. These offer Nigerians an opportunity to get an international bank account in a foreign currency via the backdoor. However, few of them permit Nigerian citizens to hold accounts. Even Wise has stopped servicing Nigerian customers at least for now.
- Paypal
Whilst its fees and exchange rates are not the best, Paypal does allow Nigerians to hold accounts and will also permit them to hold USD balances if they receive funds in USD.
- Cryptocurrency
The cryptocurrency market is something of a wild frontier and as such, many platforms will accept customers from all over the world including Nigeria. Therefore a business could buy a given cryptocurrency and then hold it in their crypto-exchange until it was needed.
Whilst critics may point out that most cryptocurrencies are far more volatile than even the Naira, there are stable coins like the USDT which tracks the USD rate 1 for 1. Therefore, in buying USDT, a Nigerian business can almost hold a USD balance which can be converted back to fiat when they need to use it.
In Summary
From Lagos to London, international trade is both exciting and complex. However, Nigeria and the developing world, in general, do face some extra difficulties.
Still, whilst these difficulties can be restrictive they can be overcome or at least countenanced with some determination and ingenuity – and both of these are traits that Nigeria holds in abundance.
Economy
Nigeria’s Headline Inflation Eases to 15.06%
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria’s headline inflation rate moderated marginally by 0.04 per cent to 15.06 per cent in February 2026 from 15.10 per cent in January 2026.
This information was contained in the latest data of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Monday.
It was revealed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures changes in the average price level of goods and services, rose to 130.0 in February from 127.4 in the preceding month, representing a 2.6-point increase.
On a month-on-month basis, however, inflationary pressures accelerated.
The headline inflation rate stood at 2.01 per cent in February 2026, marking a sharp increase of 4.89 percentage points compared to the -2.88 per cent recorded in January 2026.
At 15.06 per cent, the print is higher than analysts’ expectations. Coronation Research projected over the weekend that the inflation rate for the month under review would moderate by 0.98 per cent to 14.12 per cent.
“Our projection is supported by favourable base effects, easing food price pressures, and slight appreciation of the Naira,” a part of the report said.
The organisation revealed that ongoing government interventions in the agricultural sector to improve food supply conditions were beginning to ease pressures within the food component of the consumer basket.
It further stated that “appreciation of the Naira to N1,363.40/1$ from N1,386.55/1$ in January is expected to reduce the cost of imported food items.”
However, it stressed that the ongoing US/Israel-Iran war was capable of reversing the deflationary trends because of the rising global energy prices.
The marginal moderation further lends credence to the 50-basis-point cut in interest rate at the 304th Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to 26.50 per cent from 27 per cent.
Economy
Afreximbank’s Gamble on Dangote Refinery Paid Off—Elombi
By Adedapo Adesanya
The President of the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank), Mr George Elombi, said the lender’s gamble on the soon-to-be expanded 650,000-barrel-per-day Dangote Refinery has paid off amid rising energy needs following the United States and Israel’s war on Iran.
Speaking recently on the sidelines of last Monday’s formal signing event to host the bank’s Intra-African Trade Fair 2027 in Lagos, a continental commerce event designed to boost trade across Africa, Mr Elombi said the fears that its involvement in the $20 billion infrastructure “could break Afreximbank” have proven to be a win for the company and the continent.
The $20 billion Dangote Refinery, which was largely financed by Afreximbank, has been described as a transformative project for Nigeria’s energy landscape. It has disrupted local markets as well as foreign markets.
In October 2025, Mr Elombi revealed in Cairo that Mr Aliko Dangote was seeking an additional $5 billion to expand his refinery in Lagos. This came after Afreximbank announced a $1.35 billion facility for Dangote Industries Limited as part of a $4 billion syndicated financing deal to refinance the construction of the complex, the largest single-train refinery in the world, in August. The bank contributed the largest share.
Mr Elombi, who took over the presidency of the lender in October, stated at the time that Mr Aliko Dangote had personally disclosed the plan earlier and assured the bank would explore all possible financing options.
In his latest comment regarding the relationship, he said, “We looked around, and we said, if we didn’t do it, then who else was going to come and take the risk later. Still, the risk is a gamble, but on this occasion we were lucky because it turned out to be a very positive gamble.”
“You gamble on someone like Mr Aliko Dangote, every type of gamble will be on the winning side. So we went along with the gamble, and you can see what the impact is; it is that he can now refine domestically and sell at the domestic rate. We can now use Dangote as an instrument for dealing with our refined product challenges across the Gulf of Guinea and further in some countries,” he added.
He described the refinery as “a development instrument” for African countries in light of the disruptions, saying “he (Dangote) has to use it for that purpose and we will be using it all the way down the Atlantic Coast, Namibia, Botswana, where we intend to put storage facilities so that when crises happens like this, long as is further away from the African coast.”
Economy
Nigeria’s Crude Output Falls 145,000bpd in February
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria’s crude production dropped 145,000 barrels per day in February 2026, reversing the small gains made in January 2026.
The country averaged 1.314 million barrels of crude per day, a 9.94 per cent slide from the 1.459 million barrels of crude per day averaged in January 2026, according to data published in the March 2026 issue of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR).
The main contributor to the decrease was the ongoing turnaround maintenance of the Bonga field, the country’s largest single producing accumulation. The TAM runs from February 1 to March 18, 2026.
February 2026 data from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) had not been released as of March 13, 2026, so it’s unclear what the volume of condensate produced in the month was since OPEC doesn’t publish condensate volumes produced by its members.
However, the crude oil figures published in the MOMR for every country are cleared with the regulatory agencies of those countries, so the 1.314 million barrels of crude per day figure is expected to be confirmed when NUPRC data for February 2026 is published on its website.
Despite the plunge, Nigeria remained Africa’s largest crude oil producer in the month, with second-place Libya also dropping from 1. 378 million barrels of crude per day in January to 1 287 million barrels of crude per day in February 2026.
The drop in production may affect Nigeria’s gains from the expected oil windfall, as skyrocketing oil prices are heightened by Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
The closure of the Strait, which connects the Gulf to the world market, has triggered the biggest oil supply disruption in history. The narrow waterway is a critical energy choke point that typically carries roughly 20 per cent of the world’s oil.
The international benchmark Brent crude futures traded 1.9 per cent higher at $105.00 per barrel.
The Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA) spearheaded more than 30 countries to release 400 million barrels of stockpiled oil to address the supply disruption. Asian nations will start releasing emergency oil supplies immediately, while countries in the Americas and Europe will start releasing their stockpiles by the end of March.
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