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Useful Tips for Trading the Markets During Times of War

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tips for trading during time of war

The war in Ukraine has great implications on the global economy and the broad financial markets. Because the countries involved in the conflict are large exporters of energy, agricultural goods, and commodities, supply chains could take a big hit. It is during these moments traders are faced with challenges, but they need to adapt fast.

If you are not already using a position size calculator and taking steps to reduce your exposure, it might be the right time to act. This is just one of the golden tips for trading during times of crisis. Let’s take a look at some more important ones.

Tip #1 Trim position sizing

Although the elevated volatility and large price action swings might look like “once-in-a-lifetime trade opportunities”, in reality, the risks involved are greater. Counterintuitively, it would be better to reduce trade size and adjust risk management parameters.

By trading smaller amounts you gain more flexibility, including the ability to place wider stop losses, without risking a larger percentage of your account balance. Also, if things go wrong, the loss will not be greater.

Tip #2 Be aware of headline trading

Markets get emotional and react impulsively to any news headline released by major outlets. Just recently, stocks jumped in pre-market following positive remarks made by Russian President Vladimir Putin, even though the war is far from over.

Similar situations occurred when negative news was published, driving the risk sentiment lower. It wouldn’t be appropriate right now to jump the gun and place trades impulsively, especially if prices have already moved up or down. Wait and see what develops before making a decision.

Tip #3 The price can overshoot

When volatility surges anything can happen and a trend could extend beyond your expectations. Support and resistance levels are less significant because liquidity is thin and the price breaks above/below them, only to resume in the countertrend direction afterwards.

Gold price, for example, rose close to its 2020 highs and when everyone believed a breakout would be imminent, the precious metal started to weaken, leaving all who bought at the top underwater. Once the initial euphoria settles, the market starts to price in the substance and more often than not, what looks like very positive news might actually be nothing.

Tip #4 Adjust trades frequency

As tempting as it can be, increasing trade frequency will very likely mean a higher probability to make mistakes. Prices are choppy so more trades might put you in an uncomfortable position often. Instead of that, do the opposite and reduce the number of trades per day/week.

Be selective and choose only the setups that you believe could end up positive. Big financial institutions have access to advanced algorithms, the best execution, and information, which enables them to place trades before retail traders even find out what happened.

Wartime is when you need to have a conservative approach and not think about exaggerated returns. There will be a time when markets price in the war, starting to focus on other predictable variables. Until then, stay safe.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Eterna Urges Shareholders to Buy N21.5bn Rights Issue Via NGX Invest Platform

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eterna

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The N21.5 billion rights issue of Eterna Plc has commenced, with shareholders encouraged to participate in the exercise through the NGX Invest platform.

The rights issue began today, Monday, January 12, 2026, and is expected to close on Wednesday, February 18, 2026, a notice signed by the company secretary, Mr David Edet, disclosed.

Proceeds from the exercise will be deployed to support several strategic initiatives, including the expansion of Eterna’s retail network, upgrading of its lubricant blending plant, enhancement of LPG retail assets, acquisition of commercial delivery assets, expansion of aviation fuelling operations, and investments in ESG-related projects aligned with the company’s sustainability objectives.

Business Post reports that a total of 978,108,485 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each are available for grabs at the price of N22.00 each.

The stocks are being offered to existing shareholders on the basis of three new ordinary shares for every four ordinary shares held as of November 27, 2025.

Apart from buying equities of the rights issue via the NGX Invest platform, shareholders can also purchase by completing the paper participation form.

However, completed participation forms, together with payment or evidence of payment for the full amount payable, must be submitted no later than Wednesday, February 18, 2026, to any of the issuing houses or receiving agents listed in the rights circular.

The rights issue provides existing shareholders with the opportunity to increase their equity holdings in the organisation, thereby reinforcing their participation in and support for Eterna’s long-term growth strategy.

The firm disclosed in the disclosure filed to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited that the rights issue received the approval of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

It advised shareholders “to contact their stockbrokers and/or financial advisors for further information regarding the offer.”

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Economy

NBS to Publish Two December Inflation Readings

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inflation rate

By Adedapo Adesanya

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said it would release two inflation readings for December after a methodological change led the headline rate to more than double.

This was disclosed during a virtual stakeholders engagement convened by the NBS and the Nigerian Economic Summit Group (NESG) on Monday.

The stats office explained that the expected spike in inflation is driven by technical base effects linked to the recent rebasing of the inflation series rather than changes in economic fundamentals.

According to the Statistician-General and chief executive of the NBS, Mr Adeyemi Adeniran, the inflation data due on Thursday, January 15 are projected to show an artificially spiked rate of 31.2 per cent last month, from 14.5 per cent in November. However, to provide transparency, the agency will take the unusual step of publishing both the headline rate that reflects economic fundamentals and the inflated figure.

Mr Adeniran explained that the projected December spike stems from the rebasing of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) which adopted 2024 as the new base year after a 15-year gap from the previous 2009 base.

He emphasised that base effects are a common feature of statistical practice, particularly in index-based measurements.

“Following the rebasing exercise and the methodology adopted for December 2025, a significant artificial spike in the inflation rate is expected, as some analysts have already projected. This spike arises from the base effect, with December 2024 equated to 100 following the rebasing.

“Base effects are common in statistical practice, particularly when comparing data across periods with unusually high or low prices. They are neither unexpected nor unusual.

“However, when such effects occur, especially when they are artificial and arithmetic rather than reflective of structural changes in the economy, it is essential to clearly communicate and explain them to users,” he stated.

“Transparency requires that we provide a clear picture of actual price changes rather than simply reporting an artificial spike that does not reflect economic realities. This is why we convened this meeting to inform our critical stakeholders and users of our data,” he added.

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Economy

Terrahaptix Raises $11.75m for Cross-Border Security, Counter-Terrorism

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Terrahaptix

By Adedapo Adesanya

Terrahaptix, a Nigerian autonomous systems startup, has raised $11.75 million in a round that will see it boost drone manufacturing to tackle violent extremism spreading across Africa.

The funding round was led by 8VC founded by the co-founder of Palantir Technologies Inc., Mr Joe Lonsdale. Other investors include Valor Equity Partners, Lux Capital, SV Angel, Leblon Capital GmbH, Silent Ventures LLC, Nova Global and angel investors including Mr Meyer Malka — the managing partner of Ribbit Capital.

Terrahaptix, founded by Mr Nathan Nwachukwu and Mr Maxwell Maduka, will use the new funding to expand Terra’s manufacturing capacity as it expands into cross-border security and counter-terrorism.

The company based in Abuja produces long- and mid-range drones, autonomous sentry towers and unmanned ground vehicles to help secure infrastructure assets valued at about $11 billion across Africa, including hydropower plants in Nigeria, as well as gold- and lithium-mining operations in Ghana.

In June last year, the firm beat an Israeli company to secure a $1.2 million security contract to deploy AI-powered drones and sentry towers at two hydroelectric power plants in Nigeria, awarded by a private security firm, Nethawk Solutions.

According to Mr Nwachukwu, the CEO of Terrahaptix, the rising spate of insecurity must be tackle as the continent continues to industrialize its economy.

“Africa is industrializing faster than any other region, with new mines, refineries and power plants emerging every month,” he said, “But none of that progress will matter if we don’t solve the continent’s greatest Achilles’ heel, which is insecurity and terrorism.”

“Our mission is to give Africa the technological edge to protect its industrial future and defeat terrorism.” Mr Nwanchuku added.

On his part, Mr Maduka, the company’s co-founder and CTO, also reinforced the company’s commitment to the continent by saying, “This is African technology, built by African engineers, for African infrastructure. We are creating skilled jobs, building advanced manufacturing capacity, and ensuring the intellectual property behind Africa’s security stays on the continent.”

The need for security has risen in recent years as groups such as Islamic State and al-Qaeda are gaining ground in Africa, converging along a swathe of territory that stretches from Mali to Nigeria.

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