Connect with us

Economy

Useful Tips for Trading the Markets During Times of War

Published

on

tips for trading during time of war

The war in Ukraine has great implications on the global economy and the broad financial markets. Because the countries involved in the conflict are large exporters of energy, agricultural goods, and commodities, supply chains could take a big hit. It is during these moments traders are faced with challenges, but they need to adapt fast.

If you are not already using a position size calculator and taking steps to reduce your exposure, it might be the right time to act. This is just one of the golden tips for trading during times of crisis. Let’s take a look at some more important ones.

Tip #1 Trim position sizing

Although the elevated volatility and large price action swings might look like “once-in-a-lifetime trade opportunities”, in reality, the risks involved are greater. Counterintuitively, it would be better to reduce trade size and adjust risk management parameters.

By trading smaller amounts you gain more flexibility, including the ability to place wider stop losses, without risking a larger percentage of your account balance. Also, if things go wrong, the loss will not be greater.

Tip #2 Be aware of headline trading

Markets get emotional and react impulsively to any news headline released by major outlets. Just recently, stocks jumped in pre-market following positive remarks made by Russian President Vladimir Putin, even though the war is far from over.

Similar situations occurred when negative news was published, driving the risk sentiment lower. It wouldn’t be appropriate right now to jump the gun and place trades impulsively, especially if prices have already moved up or down. Wait and see what develops before making a decision.

Tip #3 The price can overshoot

When volatility surges anything can happen and a trend could extend beyond your expectations. Support and resistance levels are less significant because liquidity is thin and the price breaks above/below them, only to resume in the countertrend direction afterwards.

Gold price, for example, rose close to its 2020 highs and when everyone believed a breakout would be imminent, the precious metal started to weaken, leaving all who bought at the top underwater. Once the initial euphoria settles, the market starts to price in the substance and more often than not, what looks like very positive news might actually be nothing.

Tip #4 Adjust trades frequency

As tempting as it can be, increasing trade frequency will very likely mean a higher probability to make mistakes. Prices are choppy so more trades might put you in an uncomfortable position often. Instead of that, do the opposite and reduce the number of trades per day/week.

Be selective and choose only the setups that you believe could end up positive. Big financial institutions have access to advanced algorithms, the best execution, and information, which enables them to place trades before retail traders even find out what happened.

Wartime is when you need to have a conservative approach and not think about exaggerated returns. There will be a time when markets price in the war, starting to focus on other predictable variables. Until then, stay safe.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Economy

Dangote Refinery Imports $3.74bn Crude in 2025 to Bridge Supply Gap

Published

on

Dangote refinery import petrol

By Adedapo Adesanya

Dangote Petroleum Refinery imported a total of $3.74 billion) worth of crude oil in 2025, to make up for shortfalls that threatened the plant’s 650,000-barrel-a-day operational capacity.

The data disclosed in the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Balance of Payments report noted that “Crude oil imports of $3.74 billion by Dangote Refinery” contributed to movements in the country’s current account position, as Nigeria imported crude oil worth N5.734 trillion between January and December 2025.

Last year, as the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC), which is the refinery’s main trade partner and minority stakeholder, faced its challenges, the company had to forge alternative supply links. This led to the importation of crude from Brazil, Equatorial Guinea, Angola, Algeria, and the US, among others.

For instance, in March 2025, the company said it now counts Brazil and Equatorial Guinea among its global oil suppliers, receiving up to 1 million barrels of the medium-sweet grade Tupi crude at the refinery on March 26 from Brazil’s Petrobras.

Meanwhile, crude oil exports dropped from $36.85 billion in 2024 to $31.54 billion in 2025, representing a 14.41 per cent decline, further shaping the external balance.

The report added that the refinery’s operations also reduced Nigeria’s reliance on imported fuel, noting that “availability of refined petroleum products from Dangote Refinery also led to a substantial decline in fuel imports.”

Specifically, refined petroleum product imports fell sharply to $10.00 billion in 2025 from $14.06 billion in 2024, representing a 28.9 per cent decline, while total oil-related imports also eased.

However, this was offset by a rise in non-oil imports, which increased from $25.74 billion to $29.24 billion, up 13.6 per cent year-on-year, reflecting sustained demand for foreign goods.

At the same time, the goods account remained in surplus at $14.51 billion in 2025, rising from $13.17 billion in 2024, supported largely by activities linked to the Dangote refinery and improved export performance in other segments.

The CBN stated that the stronger goods balance was driven by “significant export of refined petroleum products worth $5.85bn by Dangote Refinery,” alongside increased gas exports to other economies.

Nigeria posted a current account surplus of $14.04 billion in 2025, lower than the $19.03 billion recorded in 2024 but significantly higher than $6.42 billion in 2023. The decline from 2024 was driven partly by structural changes in oil trade flows, including crude imports for domestic refining, according to the report.

Pressure on the current account came from higher external payments. Net outflows for services rose from $13.36 billion in 2024 to $14.58 billion in 2025, driven by increased spending on transport, travel, insurance, and other services.

Similarly, net outflows in the primary income account surged by 60.88 per cent to $9.09 billion, largely due to higher dividend and interest payments to foreign investors.

In contrast, secondary income inflows declined slightly from $24.88 billion in 2024 to $23.20 billion in 2025, as official development assistance and personal transfers weakened, although remittances remained a key source of inflow, as domestic refineries grappled with persistent feedstock shortages, exposing a deepening supply paradox in the country’s oil sector.

This comes despite the Federal Government’s much-publicised naira-for-crude policy designed to prioritise local supply.

Continue Reading

Economy

Sovereign Trust Insurance Submits Application for N5.0bn Rights Issue

Published

on

Sovereign Trust Insurance

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

An application has been submitted by Sovereign Trust Insurance Plc for its proposed N5.0 billion rights issue.

The application was sent to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, and it is for approval to list shares from the exercise when issued to qualifying shareholders.

A notice signed by the Head of Issuer Regulation Department of the exchange, Mr Godstime Iwenekhai, disclosed that the request was filed on behalf of the underwriting firm by its stockbrokers, Cordros Securities Limited, Dynamic Portfolio Limited and Cedar of Lebanon Securities.

The company intends to raise about N5.022 billion from the rights issue to boost its capital base, as demanded by the National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) for insurers in the country.

Sovereign Trust Insurance plans to issue 2,510,848,144 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each at N2.00 per share on the basis of three new ordinary shares for every 17 existing ordinary shares held as of the close of business on Tuesday, March 17, 2026.

“Trading license holders are hereby notified that Sovereign Trust Insurance has through its stockbrokers, Cordros Securities Limited, Dynamic Portfolio Limited and Cedar of Lebanon Securities, submitted an application to Nigerian Exchange Limited for the approval and listing of a rights issue of 2,510,848,144 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each at N2.00 per share on the basis of three new ordinary shares for every 17 existing ordinary shares held as of the close of business on Tuesday, March 17, 2026,” the notification read.

Continue Reading

Economy

Food Concepts Plans 10 Kobo Interim Dividend Payout

Published

on

food concepts

By Adedapo Adesanya

Food Concepts Plc, the parent company of fast food brands like Chicken Republic and PieXpress, has disclosed plans to pay 10 Kobo in interim dividend to new and existing shareholders for the 2026 financial year.

This was disclosed by the company in a notice to the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange, where it trades its securities.

The notice indicated that the proposed interim dividend, which comes with no bonus, will be paid to those who hold the stocks of the company as of the qualification date for the dividend, which was Tuesday, March 24.

This means only those who hold the company’s shares as of the closing session will be eligible to receive the stipulated dividend payment.

The shareholders of the company will be credited with the 10 Kobo dividend on Tuesday, March 31.

The notice noted that the closure of the company’s register will be on Wednesday, March 25, through Friday, March 27, 2026, both days inclusive.

Continue Reading

Trending