Economy
West Africa Property Investment Summit To Showcase Ghana Growth
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
From tomorrow, Tuesday, November 16 to Wednesday, November 17, 2016, experts in the property investment industry in Africa and the world will converge in Accra, Ghana, for the annual West Africa Property Investment Summit.
They will meet to discuss the challenges, opportunities and the future of real estate in the West African region.
The event is expected to take place at the Kempinski Hotel in Accra, Ghana’s capital city.
Despite very often receiving less coverage than its powerhouse cousin Nigeria, the summit’s host nation has emerged as a powerful real estate investment destination, and a favourable endorsement from the World Bank as West Africa’s “best place to do business.”
Ghana seems to be on the upswing despite some significant struggles in 2014 and 2015. This followed IMF approval of a $116.2 million disbursement to the country, which has resulted into significant improvements in power supply, exchange rates and the local currency, the Cedi, which is stabilizing.
These changes, coupled with the emergence of significant improvements in the housing, retail and commercial sectors, and some pioneering mixed-use developments on the horizon present the possibility for a brighter Ghanaian future. These improvements make it far easier to believe the growing sentiment that Ghana is rising and Ghana is doing well. Ghana recently received a solid credit rating from Moody’s, which was followed by equally positive ratings by Fitch as well as Standards and Poors.
The West African retail market has been revolutionized over the past ten years. There has been considerable growth in the sector which has meant a significant change in the view of retail investment in the region. But recent economic challenges have made it difficult for the sector to continue to flourish in the same way as previous years. Even the best retail spaces are struggling to incentivize the right number of tenants, but the Ghanaian market has weathered this challenge by adjusting its tactics. Broll Ghana CEO, Kofi Ampong explains.
“To ease the increasing pressure on landlords, given the prevailing market realities of higher vacancy rates, some Landlords in order to drive occupancy in their malls have adopted a strategy of subdividing larger boxes originally meant for one tenant for use by multiple tenants in order to reduce vacancy rates,” he says.
In particular, the residential market in Ghana is at its most active in recent history, registering over 85,000 transactions a year over the past decade. However, with an abundance of new residential developments both in the pipeline and coming to fruition on the back of weakened consumer purchasing power, it is difficult to know whether the market will boom as a result, or suffer from oversupply in middle to high income housing. Despite some challenges, the summit will tackle the potential for the Ghanaian housing market, and the missing links still required. General Manager at Devtraco Limited, Elvin Larkai, remains positive about the sector’s outlook.
“There are massive opportunities for Ghana’s housing sector. Demand continues to grow and this serves as an added incentive for real estate investors. Unfortunately, a lack of reliable data is impeding progress. We need such data to improve our products and services to house hunters. This would also lead to a more thriving industry, contributing immensely to the country’s economy,” he says.
While the predominant focus on real estate rests in the commercial and housing sectors, some companies are turning their attention to blends between the two. Rendeavour’s Appolonia City development is one such example – as a 2250 acre mixed-use and mixed-income in the Greater Accra Metropolitan Area. The project is being developed for residential properties, retail and other commercial centres, as well as schools, healthcare and other social infrastructure. All local and national regulatory approvals have been met and a full land title certificate has been granted. The City has been planned to include key amenities and allow for the integration and flourishing of its two key elements.
“The combination of functions is the only way to create the quality people rightfully expect of urban developments in the 21st century. Mixed-use developments have been proven to stand the test of time and as future-proof real estate investments,” explains Holger Adam, Country Head for Rendeavour Ghana
While the 2016 election will play a major factor in Ghana’s trajectory, the landscape for investment is certainly more amenable than even just a year ago. With an internal structure being clearly established, and successful strategies and projects being implemented in the West African nation, current wisdom suggests the country will continue its upward real estate journey for some time.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
On Tuesday, December 17, 2024, President Bola Tinubu will present the 2025 budget to a joint session of the National Assembly.
The size of the 2025 Appropriation Bill is about N47.9 trillion and would be presented to the parliament for approval.
Speaking at the plenary on Thursday, December 12, 2024, the President of the Senate, Mr Godswill Akpabio, said the presentation by Mr Tinubu would be at the chamber of the House of Representatives.
However, it is not certain if the lawmakers will pass the budget before December 31 to allow for a recent budget cycle of January to December.
Recall that on December 3, the senate approved the Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper (MTEF/FSP) for 2025 to 2027.
This was after the President presented this the National Assembly on November 19 ahead of the consideration of the 2025 budget proposal.
In the MTEF/FSP, the government said it planned to borrow about N9.22 trillion from local and foreign sources to finance the budget deficit.
It pegged the crude oil benchmark at $75 per barrel and a daily oil production of 2.06 million barrels at an exchange rate of N1,400 to $1, and a targeted gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate of 6.4 percent.
At the plenary today, Mr Akpabio informed his colleagues that, “The President has made his intention known to the National Assembly to present the 2025 budget to the joint session of the National Assembly on December 17, 2024.”
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria added 150,000 barrels per day to its crude production in November 2024 as it continues to pursue an ambitious 2 million barrels per day target.
According to the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Nigeria’s oil production rose to 1.48 million barrels per day in November, up from 1.33 million barrels per day the previous month.
In its Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), OPEC revealed that at 1.48 million barrels per day, it is the continent’s leading oil producer, surpassing Algeria’s 908,000 barrels per day and Congo’s 268,000 barrels per day.
Business Post reports that OPEC doesn’t account for condensates, which Nigeria’s accounts for in its broader 2 million barrels per day target.
Despite the surge in production levels, Nigeria is still under producing its 1.5 million barrels per day output quota under a deal involving OPEC and 10 other producers known as OPEC+.
OPEC said it relied on primary data gotten through direct communication, noting that secondary sources reported 1.417 million barrels per day as Nigeria’s crude production in November — up from 1.4 million barrels per day in October.
The data also shows that OPEC’s total oil production among its 12 members rose by 104,000 barrels per day in the month under review.
According to secondary sources, the total of the 12 OPEC countries’ crude oil production averaged 26.66 million barrels per day in November 2024.
“Crude oil output increased mainly in Libya, Iran, and Nigeria, while production in Iraq, Venezuela, and Kuwait decreased”, OPEC said.
“At the same time, total non-OPEC DoC crude oil production averaged 14.01 mb/d in November 2024, which is 219 tb/d higher, m-o-m. Crude oil output increased mainly in Kazakhstan and Malaysia,” the organisation added.
In a related development, OPEC trimmed its 2024 and 2025 oil demand growth forecasts for the fifth time this year.
Now, the cartel expects the world’s oil demand growth at 1.61 million barrels per day from the previously 1.82 million barrels per day.
For 2025, OPEC says the world oil demand growth forecast is now at 1.45 million barrels per day, a 900,000 barrels per day cut from the previously expected 1.54 million barrels per day.
On the changes, OPEC says that the downgrade for this year owes to more bearish data received in the third quarter of 2024 while the projections for next year relate to the potential impact that will arise from US tariffs.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The duo of Afriland Properties Plc and Geo-Fluids Plc crashed the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by a marginal 0.06 per cent on Wednesday, December 11 due to profit-taking activities.
The OTC securities exchange experienced a downfall at midweek despite UBN Property Plc posting a price appreciation of 17 Kobo to close at N1.96 per share, in contrast to Tuesday’s closing price of N1.79.
Business Post reports that Afriland Properties Plc slid by N1.14 to finish at N15.80 per unit versus the preceding day’s N16.94 per unit, and Geo-Fluids Plc declined by 1 Kobo to trade at N3.92 per share compared with the N3.93 it ended a day earlier.
At the close of transactions, the market capitalisation of the bourse, which measures the total value of securities on the platform, shrank by N650 million to finish at N1.055 trillion compared with the previous day’s N1.056 trillion and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) went down by 1.86 points to wrap the session at 3,012.50 points compared with 3,014.36 points recorded in the previous session.
The alternative stock market was busy yesterday as the volume of securities traded by investors soared by 146.9 per cent to 5.9 million units from 2.4 million units, as the value of shares transacted by the market participants jumped by 360.9 per cent to N22.5 million from N4.9 million, and the number of deals increased by 50 per cent to 21 deals from 14 deals.
When the bourse closed for the day, Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units valued at N3.9 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units worth N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc 297.5 million units sold for N5.3 million.
Also, Aradel Holdings Plc, which is now listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited after its exit from NASD, remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units sold for N89.2 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units worth N5.3 billion.
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