Economy
What is Behind South Africa’s and Namibia’s Capital Market Developments?
When diamonds and gold were found in South Africa in the late 1800s, the economy was transformed. Following that, a large amount of global money was invested.
The nation has grown a well-developed industrial base in the years after World War II, and it has undergone extremely volatile growth rates, including several years when it was among the highest in the world.
South Africa, on the other hand, has had persistent economic difficulties since the late 1970s, owing to its apartheid policies, which caused many countries to suspend foreign investment and enforce more harsh trade restrictions against it.
Namibia has been classified as a lower-middle-income country with a per capita gross domestic product (GDP) that is slightly higher than the average for Sub-Saharan African countries.
However, the summary is deceptive. Only one-quarter of all Namibians and one-sixth of black Namibians have decent incomes; up to two-thirds of the population lives in abject poverty with inadequate access to public services. Because of a declining productive industry, a shortage of capital stock and serious world market problems for base metals and uranium oxide, economic development remains a challenge.
Furthermore, unless foreign assistance investments quickly turn into significant real inflows and private external investment in mining, manufacturing, and fisheries occurs, the one segment of the GDP that expanded steadily in the 1980s would decrease.
South Africa
The South African Reserve Bank, which is the sole issuing authority for the rand, the national currency, has a well-developed financial structure. It is in charge of monetary policy formulation and implementation, as well as managing foreign exchange trades.
There are several licensed banking institutions, many of which focus on commercial banking, as well as merchant, deposit, and investment banking, to name a few.
The Development Bank of Southern Africa, for example, is a quasi-governmental organization that promotes development programs. The banking market is dominated by private pension and provident funds, as well as more than two dozen insurance providers. The Johannesburg Stock Exchange is the centre of an active capital market.
South Africa, Africa’s second-largest economy after Nigeria, has a GDP that is far greater than that of its sub-Saharan neighbours. The Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE), which is 132 years old and has a market capitalization of more than USD1 trillion, is the biggest stock exchange in Africa.
The JSE is a comprehensive and cutting-edge exchange that offers complete electronic trading, clearing, and settlement of stocks, shares, and interest-rate securities, as well as financial, asset, and currency trading in South Africa.
On the JSE, there are approximately 350 companies listed, with industrials being the largest grouping, led by energy companies such as mines and oil companies.
The JSE, on the other hand, is facing strong headwinds. After decades with little competition, the JSE is now being tested by smaller competitors such as ZAR X, a low-cost model launched in 2016 to offer stock access to lower-income individuals.
Since then, new entrants have entered the ring, including A2X, 4AX, and the Equity Express Securities Exchange, which focuses on black economic empowerment. The market is currently focused on the newly implemented ‘twin peaks’ regulatory model, which response to weak financial sector policies and insufficient regulatory supervision.
It is intended to promote consumer trust and stimulate capital formation, much as it was in Australia, where the concept first debuted.
Namibia Profile
The majority of banking activity is handled by two commercial banks, First National Bank of Southern Africa and Standard Bank Namibia (both branches of South African parent companies). Following independence, land, infrastructure, and development banks were reorganized. In the mid-1990s, the Central Bank of Namibia introduced the Namibian dollar as an independent currency to replace the South African rand.
The Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) currently has 50 listed companies. Namibia has the second-lowest population density of any sovereign nation, with just 2.6 million people.
The NSX was established in 1904 to help finance the country’s diamond rush. The rush was over by 1910, and the exchange was suddenly closed. The NSX did not reopen until 1992, 82 years later, with start-up funding from 36 Namibian companies.
Despite the fact that agriculture and tourism are important parts of the economy, other industries dominate the stock exchange. In reality, three industries account for half of the NSX’s listings: banking (four companies), mining (seven companies), and finance (three companies).
It is only recently that debt has been issued and listed. Namibia had virtually no public debt until 2011. In reality, the nation had one of the lowest debt-to-GDP ratios in the world, at just 16 per cent of GDP. International rating agencies downgraded the country to a sub-investment rating in 2017 due to the dramatic increase in public debt.
Namibian state-owned corporations and private businesses have floated bonds worth more than NAD33 billion (approximately £1.73 billion) on the NSX. As traditional financing sources dry up, more Namibian firms are expected to issue bonds in the immediate future. Because of the economic crisis, banks’ balance sheets and loan-to-deposit ratios have been strained, and they are less likely to lend to corporations.
The withdrawal of traditional finance provides an incentive for small businesses to raise money from their balance sheets, collateralized or government-guaranteed debt securities, or stock offerings on the local exchange.
The Report
From a small lunch party in New York City in 1937 to a vast array of 170,000 members and 157 societies in 2019, the Investment Club has grown to become the world’s largest investment organization, dedicated to leading the investment profession internationally for the ultimate good of society.
Early colonial times saw the establishment of several African exchanges. After the diamond and gold rush, South Africa led the way, followed by Zimbabwe, Egypt, and Namibia (at the time, a German colony) – all before 1905. Some businesses did not survive the commodity boom, but most are flourishing despite being significantly diversified and modernized.
Nigeria in the 1960s; Botswana, Mauritius, and Ghana in 1989; Namibia after its independence from South Africa in the 1990s.
Others, especially the East African exchanges, are relatively recent and are rapidly growing in popularity. All of these examples show how regulation, trading technologies, and fintech are allowing more market players to participate in finance and investing in a fairer, quicker, and lower-cost manner.
The African Securities Exchanges Association collaborated on the CFA Institute Research Foundation brief (ASEA).
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) has noted that the N15.52 trillion allocation to debt servicing in the 2026 budget remains a significant fiscal burden.
LCCI Director-General, Mrs Chinyere Almona, said this on Tuesday in Lagos via a statement in reaction to the nation’s 2026 budget of N58.18 trillion, hinging the success of the 2026 budget on execution discipline, capital efficiency, and sustained support for productive sectors.
She noted that the budget was a timely shift from macroeconomic stabilisation to growth acceleration, reflecting growing confidence in the economy.
She lauded its emphasis on production-oriented spending, with capital expenditure of N26.08 trillion, representing 45 per cent of total outlays, and significantly outweighing non-debt recurrent expenditure of N15.25 trillion.
According to Mrs Almona, this composition supports infrastructure development, industrial expansion, and productivity growth.
However, she explained that the N15.52 trillion allocation to debt servicing underscored the need for stricter borrowing discipline, enhanced revenue efficiency, and expanded public-private partnerships to safeguard investments that promote growth.
She added that a further review of the 2026 budget revealed relatively optimistic macroeconomic assumptions that may pose fiscal risks.
“The oil price benchmark of $64.85 per barrel, although lower than the $75.00 benchmark in the 2025 budget, appears optimistic when compared with the 2025 average price of about $69.60 per barrel and current prices around $60 per barrel.
“This raises downside risks to oil revenue, especially since 35.6 per cent of the total projected revenue is expected to come from oil receipts.
“Similarly, the oil production benchmark of 1.84 million barrels per day is significantly higher than the current level of approximately 1.49 million barrels per day.
“Achieving this may be challenging without substantial improvements in security, infrastructure integrity, and sector investment,” she said.
Mrs Almona said the exchange rate assumption of N1,512 to the Dollar, compared with N1,500 in the 2025 budget and about N1,446 per Dollar at the end of November, suggests expectations of a mild depreciation.
She said while this may support Naira-denominated revenue, it also increases the cost of imports, debt servicing, and inflation management, with broader macroeconomic implications.
The LCCI DG added that the inflation projection of 16.5 per cent in 2026, up from 15.8 per cent in the 2025 budget and a current rate of about 14.45 per cent, appeared optimistic, particularly in a pre-election year.
She also expressed concern about Nigeria’s historically weak budget implementation capacity, likely to be further strained by the combined operation of multiple budget cycles within a single year.
Looking ahead, Mrs Almona identified agriculture and agro-processing, manufacturing, infrastructure, energy, and human capital development as key drivers of growth in 2026.
She said that unlocking these sectors would require decisive execution—scaling irrigation and agro-value chains, reducing power and logistics costs for manufacturers, and aligning education and skills development with private-sector needs.
The LCCI head stressed the need to resolve issues surrounding the Naira for crude, increase the supply of oil to local refineries to boost local refining capacity and conserve the substantial foreign exchange used for fuel imports.
“Overall, the 2026 Budget presents a credible opportunity for Nigeria to transition from recovery to expansion.
“Its success will depend less on the size of allocations and more on execution discipline, capital efficiency, and sustained support for productive sectors.
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited witnessed Santa Claus rally on Wednesday after it closed higher by 0.12 per cent.
Strong demand for Nigerian stocks lifted the All-Share Index (ASI) by 185.70 points during the pre-Christmas trading session to 153,539.83 points from 153,354.13 points.
In the same vein, the market capitalisation expanded at midweek by N118 billion to N97.890 trillion from the preceding day’s N97.772 trillion.
Investor sentiment on Customs Street remained bullish after closing with 36 appreciating equities and 22 depreciating equities, indicating a positive market breadth index.
Guinness Nigeria chalked up 9.98 per cent to trade at N318.60, Austin Laz improved by 9.97 per cent to N3.20, International Breweries expanded by 9.85 per cent to N14.50, Transcorp Hotels rose by 9.83 per cent to N170.90, and Aluminium Extrusion grew by 9.73 per cent to N16.35.
On the flip side, Legend Internet lost 9.26 per cent to close at N4.90, AXA Mansard shrank by 7.14 per cent to N13.00, Jaiz Bank declined by 5.45 per cent to N4.51, MTN Nigeria weakened by 5.21 per cent to N504.00, and NEM Insurance crashed by 4.74 per cent to N24.10.
Yesterday, a total of 1.8 billion shares valued at N30.1 billion exchanged hands in 19,372 deals versus the 677.4 billion shares worth N20.8 billion traded in 27,589 deals in the previous session, implying a slump in the number of deals by 29.78 per cent, and a surge in the trading volume and value by 165.72 per cent and 44.71 per cent apiece.
Abbey Mortgage Bank was the most active equity for the day after it sold 1.1 billion units worth N7.1 billion, Sterling Holdings traded 127.1 million units valued at N895.9 million, Custodian Investment exchanged 115.0 million units for N4.5 billion, First Holdco transacted 40.9 million units valued at N2.2 billion, and Access Holdings traded 38.2 million units worth N783.3 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigerian food and beverage company, Rite Foods Limited, has extended warm Yuletide greetings to Nigerians as families and communities worldwide come together to celebrate the Christmas season and usher in a new year filled with hope and renewed possibilities.
In a statement, Rite Foods encouraged consumers to savour these special occasions with its wide range of quality brands, including the 13 variants of Bigi Carbonated Soft Drinks, premium Bigi Table Water, Sosa Fruit Drink in its refreshing flavours, the Fearless Energy Drink, and its tasty sausage rolls — all produced in a world-class facility with modern technology and global best practices.
Speaking on the season, the Managing Director of Rite Foods Limited, Mr Seleem Adegunwa, said the company remains deeply committed to enriching the lives of consumers beyond refreshment. According to him, the Yuletide period underscores the values of generosity, unity, and gratitude, which resonate strongly with the company’s philosophy.
“Christmas is a season that reminds us of the importance of giving, togetherness, and gratitude. At Rite Foods, we are thankful for the continued trust of Nigerians in our brands. This season strengthens our resolve to consistently deliver quality products that bring joy to everyday moments while contributing positively to society,” Mr Adegunwa stated.
He noted that the company’s steady progress in brand acceptance, operational excellence, and responsible business practices reflects a culture of continuous improvement, innovation, and responsiveness to consumer needs. These efforts, he said, have further strengthened Rite Foods’ position as a proudly Nigerian brand with growing relevance and impact across the country.
Mr Adegunwa reaffirmed that Rite Foods will continue to invest in research and development, efficient production processes, and initiatives that support communities, while maintaining quality standards across its product portfolio.
“As the year comes to a close, Rite Foods Limited wishes Nigerians a joyful Christmas celebration and a prosperous New Year filled with peace, progress, and shared success.”
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