Economy
What is Behind South Africa’s and Namibia’s Capital Market Developments?
When diamonds and gold were found in South Africa in the late 1800s, the economy was transformed. Following that, a large amount of global money was invested.
The nation has grown a well-developed industrial base in the years after World War II, and it has undergone extremely volatile growth rates, including several years when it was among the highest in the world.
South Africa, on the other hand, has had persistent economic difficulties since the late 1970s, owing to its apartheid policies, which caused many countries to suspend foreign investment and enforce more harsh trade restrictions against it.
Namibia has been classified as a lower-middle-income country with a per capita gross domestic product (GDP) that is slightly higher than the average for Sub-Saharan African countries.
However, the summary is deceptive. Only one-quarter of all Namibians and one-sixth of black Namibians have decent incomes; up to two-thirds of the population lives in abject poverty with inadequate access to public services. Because of a declining productive industry, a shortage of capital stock and serious world market problems for base metals and uranium oxide, economic development remains a challenge.
Furthermore, unless foreign assistance investments quickly turn into significant real inflows and private external investment in mining, manufacturing, and fisheries occurs, the one segment of the GDP that expanded steadily in the 1980s would decrease.
South Africa
The South African Reserve Bank, which is the sole issuing authority for the rand, the national currency, has a well-developed financial structure. It is in charge of monetary policy formulation and implementation, as well as managing foreign exchange trades.
There are several licensed banking institutions, many of which focus on commercial banking, as well as merchant, deposit, and investment banking, to name a few.
The Development Bank of Southern Africa, for example, is a quasi-governmental organization that promotes development programs. The banking market is dominated by private pension and provident funds, as well as more than two dozen insurance providers. The Johannesburg Stock Exchange is the centre of an active capital market.
South Africa, Africa’s second-largest economy after Nigeria, has a GDP that is far greater than that of its sub-Saharan neighbours. The Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE), which is 132 years old and has a market capitalization of more than USD1 trillion, is the biggest stock exchange in Africa.
The JSE is a comprehensive and cutting-edge exchange that offers complete electronic trading, clearing, and settlement of stocks, shares, and interest-rate securities, as well as financial, asset, and currency trading in South Africa.
On the JSE, there are approximately 350 companies listed, with industrials being the largest grouping, led by energy companies such as mines and oil companies.
The JSE, on the other hand, is facing strong headwinds. After decades with little competition, the JSE is now being tested by smaller competitors such as ZAR X, a low-cost model launched in 2016 to offer stock access to lower-income individuals.
Since then, new entrants have entered the ring, including A2X, 4AX, and the Equity Express Securities Exchange, which focuses on black economic empowerment. The market is currently focused on the newly implemented ‘twin peaks’ regulatory model, which response to weak financial sector policies and insufficient regulatory supervision.
It is intended to promote consumer trust and stimulate capital formation, much as it was in Australia, where the concept first debuted.
Namibia Profile
The majority of banking activity is handled by two commercial banks, First National Bank of Southern Africa and Standard Bank Namibia (both branches of South African parent companies). Following independence, land, infrastructure, and development banks were reorganized. In the mid-1990s, the Central Bank of Namibia introduced the Namibian dollar as an independent currency to replace the South African rand.
The Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) currently has 50 listed companies. Namibia has the second-lowest population density of any sovereign nation, with just 2.6 million people.
The NSX was established in 1904 to help finance the country’s diamond rush. The rush was over by 1910, and the exchange was suddenly closed. The NSX did not reopen until 1992, 82 years later, with start-up funding from 36 Namibian companies.
Despite the fact that agriculture and tourism are important parts of the economy, other industries dominate the stock exchange. In reality, three industries account for half of the NSX’s listings: banking (four companies), mining (seven companies), and finance (three companies).
It is only recently that debt has been issued and listed. Namibia had virtually no public debt until 2011. In reality, the nation had one of the lowest debt-to-GDP ratios in the world, at just 16 per cent of GDP. International rating agencies downgraded the country to a sub-investment rating in 2017 due to the dramatic increase in public debt.
Namibian state-owned corporations and private businesses have floated bonds worth more than NAD33 billion (approximately £1.73 billion) on the NSX. As traditional financing sources dry up, more Namibian firms are expected to issue bonds in the immediate future. Because of the economic crisis, banks’ balance sheets and loan-to-deposit ratios have been strained, and they are less likely to lend to corporations.
The withdrawal of traditional finance provides an incentive for small businesses to raise money from their balance sheets, collateralized or government-guaranteed debt securities, or stock offerings on the local exchange.
The Report
From a small lunch party in New York City in 1937 to a vast array of 170,000 members and 157 societies in 2019, the Investment Club has grown to become the world’s largest investment organization, dedicated to leading the investment profession internationally for the ultimate good of society.
Early colonial times saw the establishment of several African exchanges. After the diamond and gold rush, South Africa led the way, followed by Zimbabwe, Egypt, and Namibia (at the time, a German colony) – all before 1905. Some businesses did not survive the commodity boom, but most are flourishing despite being significantly diversified and modernized.
Nigeria in the 1960s; Botswana, Mauritius, and Ghana in 1989; Namibia after its independence from South Africa in the 1990s.
Others, especially the East African exchanges, are relatively recent and are rapidly growing in popularity. All of these examples show how regulation, trading technologies, and fintech are allowing more market players to participate in finance and investing in a fairer, quicker, and lower-cost manner.
The African Securities Exchanges Association collaborated on the CFA Institute Research Foundation brief (ASEA).
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria and the United Kingdom are moving to tackle a long-standing £1.2 billion discrepancy in their trade records, with both countries agreeing to develop a structured data-sharing system aimed at improving transparency and accountability across bilateral commerce.
The agreement was reached during a high-level meeting in London on March 18, 2026, held on the sidelines of President Bola Tinubu’s State Visit, under the Nigeria–United Kingdom Enhanced Trade and Investment Partnership (ETIP).
According to a statement by Nigeria Customs Service (NCS) spokesperson, Mr Abdullahi Maiwada, the talks signal a shift toward deeper operational cooperation between both countries’ customs authorities.
At the centre of the discussions was a persistent mismatch in trade figures. While Nigeria recorded about £504 million worth of imports from the UK in 2024, British records show exports to Nigeria at approximately £1.7 billion for the same period, leaving a gap of roughly £1.2 billion.
To address this, the two countries agreed to explore a pre-arrival data exchange framework that will connect their digital customs systems, with the aim of improving risk management, reconciling trade data, and strengthening compliance monitoring along the corridor.
The meeting was led by Comptroller-General of Customs, Mr Adewale Adeniyi and Ms Megan Shaw, Head of International Customs and Border Engagement at His Majesty’s Revenue and Customs (HMRC), and also focused on customs modernisation and data transparency.
Mr Adeniyi underscored the broader economic implications of the initiative, noting that customs collaboration plays a central role in trade facilitation.
“Effective customs cooperation remains a critical enabler of economic growth and sustainable trade development,” he said.
He added that “customs administrations serve as the frontline institutions responsible for ensuring that trade flows between both countries are transparent, secure, and mutually beneficial.”
The Nigeria–UK trade relationship spans multiple sectors, including industrial goods, agriculture, energy, and consumer products — all of which depend heavily on efficient port and border operations.
Beyond addressing data gaps, the meeting also highlighted ongoing modernisation efforts on both sides. The UK showcased advancements in artificial intelligence-driven trade tools, digital verification systems, and real-time analytics designed to enhance cargo processing, risk assessment, and border security.
The engagement further produced plans for a Customs Mutual Administrative Assistance Framework, alongside technical groundwork for capacity building, knowledge exchange, and a joint engagement mechanism under the ETIP platform.
Mr Maiwada said the outcomes are expected to strengthen Nigeria’s trade ecosystem and support broader economic reforms.
“The NCS has reaffirmed its commitment to deepening international partnerships as part of a broader modernisation agenda designed to promote transparency, efficiency, and competitiveness in Nigeria’s trading environment,” the statement said.
It added that “insights from this engagement will strengthen its operational capacity, enhance trade facilitation, and support Nigeria’s economic reform objectives under the Renewed Hope programme.”
By Adedapo Adesanya
Dangote Petroleum Refinery imported a total of $3.74 billion) worth of crude oil in 2025, to make up for shortfalls that threatened the plant’s 650,000-barrel-a-day operational capacity.
The data disclosed in the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Balance of Payments report noted that “Crude oil imports of $3.74 billion by Dangote Refinery” contributed to movements in the country’s current account position, as Nigeria imported crude oil worth N5.734 trillion between January and December 2025.
Last year, as the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC), which is the refinery’s main trade partner and minority stakeholder, faced its challenges, the company had to forge alternative supply links. This led to the importation of crude from Brazil, Equatorial Guinea, Angola, Algeria, and the US, among others.
For instance, in March 2025, the company said it now counts Brazil and Equatorial Guinea among its global oil suppliers, receiving up to 1 million barrels of the medium-sweet grade Tupi crude at the refinery on March 26 from Brazil’s Petrobras.
Meanwhile, crude oil exports dropped from $36.85 billion in 2024 to $31.54 billion in 2025, representing a 14.41 per cent decline, further shaping the external balance.
The report added that the refinery’s operations also reduced Nigeria’s reliance on imported fuel, noting that “availability of refined petroleum products from Dangote Refinery also led to a substantial decline in fuel imports.”
Specifically, refined petroleum product imports fell sharply to $10.00 billion in 2025 from $14.06 billion in 2024, representing a 28.9 per cent decline, while total oil-related imports also eased.
However, this was offset by a rise in non-oil imports, which increased from $25.74 billion to $29.24 billion, up 13.6 per cent year-on-year, reflecting sustained demand for foreign goods.
At the same time, the goods account remained in surplus at $14.51 billion in 2025, rising from $13.17 billion in 2024, supported largely by activities linked to the Dangote refinery and improved export performance in other segments.
The CBN stated that the stronger goods balance was driven by “significant export of refined petroleum products worth $5.85bn by Dangote Refinery,” alongside increased gas exports to other economies.
Nigeria posted a current account surplus of $14.04 billion in 2025, lower than the $19.03 billion recorded in 2024 but significantly higher than $6.42 billion in 2023. The decline from 2024 was driven partly by structural changes in oil trade flows, including crude imports for domestic refining, according to the report.
Pressure on the current account came from higher external payments. Net outflows for services rose from $13.36 billion in 2024 to $14.58 billion in 2025, driven by increased spending on transport, travel, insurance, and other services.
Similarly, net outflows in the primary income account surged by 60.88 per cent to $9.09 billion, largely due to higher dividend and interest payments to foreign investors.
In contrast, secondary income inflows declined slightly from $24.88 billion in 2024 to $23.20 billion in 2025, as official development assistance and personal transfers weakened, although remittances remained a key source of inflow, as domestic refineries grappled with persistent feedstock shortages, exposing a deepening supply paradox in the country’s oil sector.
This comes despite the Federal Government’s much-publicised naira-for-crude policy designed to prioritise local supply.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
An application has been submitted by Sovereign Trust Insurance Plc for its proposed N5.0 billion rights issue.
The application was sent to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, and it is for approval to list shares from the exercise when issued to qualifying shareholders.
A notice signed by the Head of Issuer Regulation Department of the exchange, Mr Godstime Iwenekhai, disclosed that the request was filed on behalf of the underwriting firm by its stockbrokers, Cordros Securities Limited, Dynamic Portfolio Limited and Cedar of Lebanon Securities.
The company intends to raise about N5.022 billion from the rights issue to boost its capital base, as demanded by the National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) for insurers in the country.
Sovereign Trust Insurance plans to issue 2,510,848,144 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each at N2.00 per share on the basis of three new ordinary shares for every 17 existing ordinary shares held as of the close of business on Tuesday, March 17, 2026.
“Trading license holders are hereby notified that Sovereign Trust Insurance has through its stockbrokers, Cordros Securities Limited, Dynamic Portfolio Limited and Cedar of Lebanon Securities, submitted an application to Nigerian Exchange Limited for the approval and listing of a rights issue of 2,510,848,144 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each at N2.00 per share on the basis of three new ordinary shares for every 17 existing ordinary shares held as of the close of business on Tuesday, March 17, 2026,” the notification read.
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