Economy
Worries for Nigerians as Brent Nears $84 Per Barrel
By Adedapo Adesanya
The price of Brent crude rose by 82 cents or 0.99 per cent on Wednesday to $83.74 per barrel after the market calmed on data which showed that crude inventories in the United States fell less than expected and the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point.
Also, the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude increased by 85 cents or 1.1 per cent during the midweek session to quote at $79.66 per barrel.
The rise in the price of Brent, which Nigeria prices its headline crude against, raises worry for Nigerians as it will likely indicate another increase in the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), otherwise known as petrol, after President Bola Tinubu removed the subsidy in May.
Since then, prices have been left to the mercy of market forces, as the federal government planned to save the trillions paid on making fuel cheaper for consumers to boost the struggling economy.
The market had initially fallen when the US central bank raised interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday.
The US Federal Reserve Chairman, Mr Jerome Powell, said the economy still needed to slow, indicating that will be further hikes to meet its 2 per cent inflation target.
The hike, the Fed’s 11th in its last 12 meetings, set the benchmark overnight interest rate in the 5.25 per cent -5.50 per cent range, a level which has not been consistently exceeded since 2001.
Higher interest rates increase borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.
The Energy Information Administration reported an estimated draw of 600,000 barrels in U.S. oil inventories for the week to July 21.
This compared with a modest inventory decline of 700,000 barrels for the previous week that kept inventories slightly above the five-year seasonal average.
Earlier this week, the American Petroleum Institute (API) reported an estimated build in crude oil inventories.
Oil prices, however, remained relatively strong, stimulated by tighter supply and measures taken by Beijing to strengthen economic growth in China.
After months of traders watching economic indicators and bracing up for a global recession, now the concern is trickling in about the security of sufficient oil supply, analysts note.
This is buoyed by signs of tighter supplies, largely linked to output cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, as well as Chinese authorities’ pledges to shore up the world’s second-biggest economy.
However, Reuters reported that although Saudi Arabia will roll over its August output cuts to September, Russia is expected to significantly increase oil loadings in September, bringing to an end to recent export cuts.
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited tumbled by 0.73 per cent on Tuesday on the back of profit-taking by investors.
The consumer goods counter shed 0.96 per cent, and the banking space crashed by 0.46 per cent due to selling pressure. But the insurance index gained 0.24 per cent, and the energy segment improved by 0.03 per cent, while the industrial goods sector closed flat.
When the bourse closed for the session, the All-Share Index (ASI) gave up 1,806.18 points to 246,723.57 points from 248,529.75 points, and the market capitalisation depreciated by N1.166 trillion to N159.256 trillion from N160.422 trillion.
Thomas Wyatt lost 9.97 per cent to quote at N2.89, AVA Capital declined by 9.60 per cent to N8.95, International Energy Insurance dipped by 6.32 per cent to N4.00, International Breweries dropped 5.98 per cent to close at N11.00, and Guinea Insurance shed 5.13 per cent to 74 Kobo.
On the flip side, UPDC REIT gained 10.00 per cent to end at N14.85, FTN Cocoa appreciated by 9.88 per cent to N8.90, C&I Leasing surged by 8.26 per cent to N5.90, Sovereign Trust Insurance went up by 6.74 per cent to N1.90, and Regency Alliance climbed 6.33 per cent to 84 Kobo.
Yesterday, Fortis Global Insurance was the busiest equity, leading the activity chart with a turnover of 3.3 billion units worth N9.6 billion. Trans-Nationwide Express transacted 84.6 million units for N181.9 million, Access Holdings sold 66.1 million units valued at N1.9 billion, Consolidated Hallmark exchanged 54.3 million units worth N379.4 million, and Fidelity Bank traded 46.9 million units for N1.0 billion.
Investors bought and sold 3.9 billion units worth N32.4 billion in 45,608 deals compared with the 1.1 billion units valued at N27.0 billion traded in 59,185 deals a day earlier. This indicated that the number of deals retreated by 22.94 per cent, the trading volume increased by 254.55 per cent, and the trading value soared by 20.00 per cent.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira weakened against the United States Dollar by N4.75 or 0.35 per cent to N1,364.89/$1 from N1,360.14/$1 in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Tuesday, August 11.
In the same vein, the domestic currency slumped against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the session by N4.11 to trade at N1,842.61 compared with the previous day’s N1,838.50/£1, and against the Euro, it lost N4.41 to sell at N1,575.50/€1 versus Monday’s N1,571.09/€1.
But it was a different scenario at the GTBank FX desk, where the Naira gained N4 against the US Dollar yesterday to close at N1,367/$1, in contrast to the previous day’s N1,371/$1, and appreciated by N5 in the parallel market to quote at N1,395/$1 compared with the preceding session’s N1,400/$1.
Interbank FX turnover, according to data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), fell sharply by 86 per cent to $29.1 million, down more than 86 per cent from $213.9 million a day earlier, with the number of settled interbank deals down to 47 from 182.
The decline in Dollar trading was attributed to weaker bank bids from customers seeking foreign exchange payments, while tight market liquidity continued to weigh on the Naira.
Nigeria’s gross external reserves rose by $83.81 million to $52.14 billion.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market rebounded, with Dogecoin (DOGE) going up by 2.8 per cent to $0.0721 and taking its weekly gain to over 3 per cent, while Bitcoin (BTC) slipped by 0.3 per cent to $63,769.69.
Investors are focused on Thursday’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report and Middle East tensions, as lower inflation and a potential Fed pivot could fuel a relief rally in risk assets even as rising oil prices threaten to push inflation higher.
Binance Coin (BNB) grew by 2.2 per cent to $612.49, TRON (TRX) rose by 1.1 per cent to $0.3350, Ripple (XRP) increased by 0.9 per cent to $1.02, Ethereum (ETH) advanced by 0.8 per cent to $1,889.60, and Solana (SOL) jumped by 0.5 per cent to $76.24, while Cardano (ADA) lost 0.6 per cent to end at $0.1867, with the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) flat at $1.00 apiece.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil was up by 1 per cent on Tuesday as doubts about a potential United States-Iran peace deal fueled concerns that Middle East supply disruptions would persist.
As a result, Brent futures rose by $1.19 or 1.4 per cent to $88.91 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures expanded by $1.07 or 1.3 per cent to $83.20 per barrel.
Both contracts had jumped about 5 per cent on Monday as hopes for a peace deal between the US and Iran started to fade.
It looked worse on Tuesday when Iran said the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed unless the US ends the war and meets Iran’s conditions, raising the bar for a deal that would restore more oil traffic through the key waterway. About 20 per cent of global oil supply passed through the strait before the start of the Iran war on February 28.
Mr Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, said it has also delivered additional conditions to the US through mediators.
US officials had suggested last week that negotiations involving Iran and Oman were making progress toward allowing more vessels through Hormuz.
Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz fell sharply on Monday as tensions continued to disrupt maritime activity across the Middle East.
Shipping data showed that only six vessels passed through the strategic waterway on Monday, below the 10-day average of about 11 vessels. Before the conflict, daily traffic through the strait averaged between 125 and 140 vessels.
The disruption comes amid heightened security concerns across key regional shipping routes.
In the Bab el-Mandeb, Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis attacked a Saudi vessel carrying military equipment, according to the Houthi-run Saba news agency.
Separately, Reuters reported a missile attack on a container ship off Pakistan in what was suspected to be a US strike, further underscoring the security risks facing commercial shipping in the region.
The disruption to regional maritime traffic has also raised concerns about the recovery of oil production in the Middle East.
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that some oil producers in the region could struggle to restore output to pre-conflict levels by the end of 2027, even if shipping and trade patterns return to normal by early next year.
The outlook highlights the potential for prolonged disruptions to global oil supplies despite a possible normalisation of trade flows in the coming months.
In Libya, a member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), renewed violence in the strategic city of Zawiya has disrupted the oil industry, with state oil firm the National Oil Corporation saying it could declare force majeure if drone attacks on energy assets in the city continued.
In Europe, the Ukrainian military said on Tuesday it attacked an oil refinery in the Russian city of Orsk, the second-largest city in the Orenburg region and an important industrial hub.
The combination of Ukraine’s attacks on Russian energy infrastructure and the Iran war has limited global supplies and boosted global energy prices.
