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Viral Setback to Global Thinking

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FBNQuest Merchant Bank

By Gregory Kronsten

The first duty of our rulers is to protect our security. So, they declare war, mobilize armies and negotiate peace on our behalf.

Now, however, they face an enemy they cannot see and do not understand. Being human, they make mistakes. In most cases we have elected them to look after us, and are angry when they fall short.

The recriminations and name-calling have barely started.

Government A was at best reluctant to share its experience of the virus with other countries. Government B did not support the struggling states by the sea to its south. Government C was slow to introduce lockdown. Government D initially made light of the virus that had already devastated many other countries. Government E has kept its collective head down and left second-tier officials to tackle the threat (and take the brickbats).

Three of the five are G7 members and the other two prominent among the BRICS (remember them). For all countries, the question is whether Covid-19 will bring us closer together or teach us to look after ourselves first.

The international financial system is disbursing monies to support the post-Covid recovery at national level: to fund healthcare, ease the burden of external debt service and shore up the balance of payments.

While we hear the mantra that the global crisis requires a global solution, our hunch is that governments will initially veer towards looking inwards. Having seen selective export bans applied to personal protective equipment and testing equipment, they will produce or at least stockpile their own.

Having seen splits within their trade and political groupings, they will be wary of depending on their partner members.

The faultlines of the EU have again been exposed and would it not be surprising now if African governments tempered their expectations of the African Continental Free Trade Area? They may want to move on from reciting the size of the new market and it’s combined GDP as if the numbers guarantee the success of the project.

The closing of national borders might have helped to contain the virus although in some instances the horse had already bolted. Advocates of visa restrictions and immigration controls have been emboldened.

Behavioural scientists may have a different take but the virus will have dented the confidence of many people. It would be a shock if, having been subject to lockdown, they quickly rediscover the joy of travelling to exotic destinations. When the flight is short-haul, the issue of social distancing still arises.

Quite apart from the general level of domestic demand, some industries will be particularly wary of their prospects post-virus. Travel agencies, holiday operators, airlines serving leisure destinations, retail parks targeted at tourists and educational establishments dependent upon foreign students all spring to mind.

It may be that, once we have a vaccine for Covid-19, we will forget the deaths it has caused, the fear it has created and the economic dislocation it has brought. This is unlikely. However, government, household and personal finances have all been hammered by the virus. So, even if we have outgrown the virus, we may well not have the funds for the flight and the holiday.

Gregory Kronsten is the Head, Macroeconomic & Fixed Income Research at FBNQuest

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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NISO Attributes Electricity Woes to Inadequate Gas Supply

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Electricity Tariff Hike

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigerian Independent System Operator (NISO) has attributed the poor power supply facing a considerable number of Nigerians to inadequate gas supply to thermal power plants.

Business Post reports that epileptic power supply has plagued consumers in Lagos, Oyo, Abuja, and Osun, among others, this month, leading to worries. Also, some businesses have recorded losses due to the epileptic power supply in their areas.

In a statement posted on its X handle, NISO disclosed that average available generation on the national grid currently stands at about 4,300 megawatts (MW), with the low output primarily attributed to gas supply constraints.

The system operator noted that thermal power plants, which account for the dominant share of Nigeria’s electricity generation mix, require an estimated 1,629.75 million standard cubic feet (MMSCF) of gas per day to operate at optimal capacity. However, as of February 23, 2026, actual gas supply to the plants was approximately 692.00 MMSCF per day.

The available supply represents less than 43 per cent of the daily gas requirement, resulting in constrained generation output and reduced electricity allocation to Distribution Companies (DisCos).

NISO, which independently manages the nation’s electricity grid, explained that any disruption or limitation in gas supply directly affects available generation capacity and overall grid output, given the heavy reliance on thermal plants.

It added that when total system generation drops significantly, the operator is compelled to implement load shedding across the network while dispatching available energy in line with allocation percentages approved under the Multi-Year Tariff Order (MYTO) framework of the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), to maintain grid stability and prevent system disturbances.

While expressing regret over the inconvenience to electricity consumers and market participants, NISO said it is working closely with relevant stakeholders to restore full energy allocation once gas supply improves and generation capacity returns to normal levels.

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EFCC Re-Arraigns ex-AGF Malami, Wife, Son Over Alleged Money Laundering

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) has re-arraigned former Attorney-General of the Federation (AGF), Mr Abubakar Malami (SAN), his wife, Mrs Asabe Bashir, and son, Mr Abdulaziz Malami, on money laundering charges.

They were brought before Justice Joyce Abdulmalik of the Federal High Court in Abuja, following the re-assignment of the case to the new trial judge.

Upon resumed hearing, EFCC’s lawyer, Mr Jibrin Okutepa (SAN), informed the court that the matter was scheduled for defendants’ re-arraignment.

“The matter is coming before your lordship this morning for the very first time. I will be applying for the plea of the defendants to be taken,” he said.

Mr Okutepa equally applied that the sums listed in Counts 11 and 12 be corrected to read N325 million instead of N325 billion for Count 11, and N120 million instead of N120 billion for Count 12.

When it was not opposed by the defence lawyer, Mr Joseph Daudu (SAN), Justice Abdulmalik granted the oral application by Mr Okutepa.

The defendants, however, pleaded not guilty to the 16 counts preferred against them by the anti-graft agency bordering on money laundering.

Justice Obiora Egwuatu had, on February 12, withdrawn from the case shortly after the civil case filed by the EFCC was brought to him.

The case was formerly before Justice Emeka Nwite, who sat as a vacation judge during the Christmas/New Year break.

After the vacation period, the CJ reassigned the cases to Justice Egwuatu, who had now recused himself, before it was reassigned to Justice Abdulmalik.

The former AGF, his wife, and son were earlier arraigned before Justice Nwite on December 30, 2025.

While Malami and his son were remanded at Kuje Correctional Centre, Asabe was remanded at Suleja Correctional Centre before they were admitted to N500 million bail each, on January 7, with two sureties each in the like sum.

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INEC Shifts 2027 Presidential, N’Assembly Elections to January 16

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INEC

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria will hold next year’s presidential and National Assembly elections a month earlier than planned, after the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) revised the polling schedule.

The elections will be held on January 16, instead of the previously announced date of February 20, INEC said in an X post, signed by Mr Mohammed Kudu Haruna, National Commissioner and Chairman, Information and Voter Education Committee.

There were also changes to the Governorship and State Houses of Assembly elections initially fixed for Saturday, March 6 2027, in line with the Electoral Act, 2022, have now been moved to Saturday, February 6, 2027.

The electoral commission said the changes were caused by the enactment of the Electoral Act, 2026 and the repeal of the Electoral Act, 2022, which introduced adjustments to statutory timelines governing pre-election and electoral activities.

“The Commission reviewed and realigned the schedule to ensure compliance with the new legal framework,” it said.

INEC said party primaries (including resolution of disputes) will commence on April 23, 2026 and end on May 30, 2026, after which Presidential and National Assembly campaigns will begin on August 19, 2026, while Governorship and State Houses of Assembly campaigns will begin on September 9, 2026.

It noted that campaigns will end 24 hours before Election Day, and political parties have been advised to strictly adhere to the timelines.

INEC also stated it will enforce compliance with the law.

The electoral body also rescheduled the Osun Governorship election which was earlier scheduled for Saturday, August 8 2026, by a week to Saturday, August 15, 2026.

INEC noted that some activities regarding the Ekiti and Osun governorship elections have already been conducted, and the remaining activities will be implemented in accordance with the Electoral Act, 2026.

Speaking at a news briefing in Abuja two weeks ago, the chairman of INEC, Mr Joash Amupitan, expressed the readiness of the commission to conduct the polls next year.

The timetable issued by the organisation for the polls at the time came when the federal parliament had yet to transmit the amended electoral bill to President Bola Tinubu for assent.

Later that week, the Senate passed the electoral bill, reducing the notice of elections from 360 days to 180 days, while the transmission of results was mandated with a proviso.

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