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KGI: 2026 Global Market Outlook
Beyond Balance: The Next Regime
HONG KONG SAR – Media OutReach Newswire – 13 January 2026 – Today, KGI has released its 2026 Global Market Outlook, covering markets in the US, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore.
After a turbulent year of trade disruptions and policy uncertainty under President Trump, investors face new questions. China has unveiled its 15th Five-Year Plan, as policymakers aim to support domestic growth amid global challenges. The market outlook for 2026 is shaped by interest rate decisions, economic resilience, and shifting international dynamics.
Under this backdrop, we propose the “LEAD” strategy for 2026:
- Liquidity Shift
- Earnings Focused
- Adding Credit
- Diversified Assets
Cusson Leung, Chief Investment Officer at KGI, says: “Looking ahead to 2026, investors can adopt a LEAD strategy: L stands for Liquidity Shift, benefiting from a weakening US dollar and interest rate cuts, with funds expected to flow to non-US dollar and Asian currencies; E stands for Earnings Focused, focusing on earnings growth to support valuations and allocating to US, European, and Japanese stocks; A stands for Adding Credit, locking in the credit of leading companies and increasing holdings of A-rated investment grade bonds; and D stands for Diversified Assets, responding to the upward trend in both stocks and bonds by including alternative assets to optimize asset allocation.”
Macro & US Markets
The US economy will experience a more pronounced downturn in 4Q25, which will extend into 1H26, and this will have a negative impact on consumption, slowing investment activity. Nevertheless, AI-driven productivity gains should provide some support, with US GDP growth in 2026 forecast at 2.2%. The eurozone will see moderate growth, with Germany benefiting significantly from fiscal expansion and economic improvement. Japan’s economy will strengthen on domestic demand, aided by additional fiscal stimulus. China has demonstrated resilience under trade protectionism in 2025. With inflation risks easing and labor market risks rising, the US Fed cut the interest rates in September 2025, with a total reduction of 75 bps in 2025, followed by an additional 50-75 bps in 2026.
Regarding US stocks, AI-driven productivity gains and cost reductions should sustain solid profitability, with S&P 500 earnings projected to grow by 13.55% year-on-year (YoY) in 2026. However, higher risk premiums may cap valuation upside, leading us to project a year-end target of 7,650 points. Market performance will reflect risk-driven declines in 1Q26, stabilize and recover in 2Q26, and rally significantly around the midterm elections in 4Q26. By sector, among AI-related themes we favor technology, semiconductors, utilities (on higher power demand), machinery for advanced manufacturing, and industrial REITs. Non-AI beneficiaries include aerospace and defense (on higher military spending), pharmaceuticals (on tariff benefits), and capital market segments (supported by active investment banking). As for fixed income, US economic weakness and Fed rate cuts will drive Treasury yields lower, with 10-year yields expected to fall to 3.5-3.7% by 2Q26. We recommend allocating to US Treasuries or high-rated investment-grade corporate bonds in 1H26, then rotating into high-yield bonds in 2H26 as policy rates and economic conditions reach a bottom.
James Chu, Chairman at KGI Securities Investment Advisory, says: “AI is triggering a new productivity revolution, supporting economic growth and strengthening corporate earnings. While the US economy is expected to slow, a recession remains unlikely, and the short-term impact of tariff policies should gradually fade by the first quarter of 2026. Although the Fed may shift from cutting rates at every meeting to cutting at alternating meetings, the overall environment remains a rate-cutting cycle. In a non-recession backdrop, lower interest rates should continue to support equity market performance.”
Mainland China and Hong Kong Markets
In terms of the macroeconomy, with the conclusion of trade agreements among many countries, risks have subsided. However, due to external drag, China’s GDP growth is expected to slow slightly to 4.6% in 2026. In 2026, investors should focus on four key areas for Hong Kong and mainland China markets: (1) In the consumption sector, domestic demand continued to be the core growth driver, contributing more than half of GDP. As the “trade-in” effect diminishes, the central government is expected to implement the “15th Five-Year Plan” and economic conference plans, launching a new round of subsidies covering culture, entertainment, and sports to continuously boost consumer spending. (2) In the financial market, risk appetite has increased. Given the narrowing spread between bond yields and fixed deposit rates, large amounts of savings are flowing into the capital market seeking returns. The fundamentals of the banking and insurance industries have bottomed out, and the credit structure is accelerating its shift from real estate to supporting the real economy. (3) Regarding the issue of “anti-involution,” the PPI remains weak, and capacity reduction has become a focus. Compared to 2015, this round involves more downstream private enterprises and needs to consider employment, presenting greater challenges. While industry consolidation is expected to be lengthy, the impact is controllable and beneficial for long-term healthy development. (4) Regarding new quality productive forces, this will replace real estate and infrastructure as the main investment focus. Digital infrastructure supports AI and embodied intelligence, and humanoid robots are expected to see commercialization in 2026, “iPhone moment.” Leading companies with core technological autonomy in innovative drugs will enjoy higher valuation premiums.
Overall, we are optimistic on Hang Seng Index. We expect the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts to drive fund inflows to the Hong Kong and mainland stock markets. Based on an upward revision of the forward PE ratio to 13.5x and 8% earnings growth, we set a target of 30,000 points for the Hang Seng Index by the end of 2026, representing a potential upside of approximately 14%. As confidence recovers, the investment style is expected to shift from defensive to growth stocks. Recommended 12 stocks: XPeng Motors (9868), UBTECH (9880), Tencent Holdings (700), Alibaba (9988), China Hongqiao (1378), AIA Group (1299), Ping An Insurance (2318), China Merchants Bank (3968), Akeso Biopharma (9926), Pop Mart (9992), Tencent Music (1698), and Sino Land (83).
Cusson Leung, Chief Investment Officer at KGI, says: “2026 marks a crucial turning point for the Chinese economy. While the market anticipates GDP growth to slow to 4.6%, “new quality productive forces,” resembling humanoid robots, is taking over as a new growth engine. The most critical signal in the market is the “awakening” of idle cash—massive savings are flowing from low-interest fixed deposits to the capital market seeking returns. With risk appetite returning and policy support intensifying, now is the time to shift investment strategies from “defensive” to “growth.” Driven by both valuation repair and earnings growth, we are optimistic that the Hang Seng Index will reach 30,000 points, and the allocation value of Hong Kong and mainland China stocks has reappeared.”
Taiwan Market
Compared to the dot-com era bull run, which lasted almost five years, the current AI frenzy has been around for about three years, suggesting that the uptrend is still in its middle phase and could extend through 2026.
AI plays are trading at high PEs, such valuations are backed by strong fundamentals. In fact, the PEG ratio of Taiwan’s AI supply chain has yet to surpass 1x. We estimate that aggregate earnings of AI plays will grow by 21% YoY in 2026, following impressive upticks of 35% in 2024 and 43% in 2025. AI stocks now account for more than 60% of TAIEX earnings, and with the ongoing AI arms race, overall TAIEX earnings growth is projected to accelerate from 14% in 2025F to 20% in 2026.
Although the AI frenzy should keep the bull market intact, volatility will rise in tandem due to: (1) substantial cumulative gains, and the fact that valuations are approaching historic highs; (2) policy and political uncertainty surrounding the US midterm elections; and (3) potential changes in the US Fed’s rate-cut pace. We expect the TAIEX to repeat a “smile-curve” pattern, featuring continued strength in 1Q26, followed by healthy corrections in 2Q-3Q26 before closing the year with a renewed upswing.
We think investors need to pay attention to two major themes. The first is a broad-based product spec upgrade trend across the AI supply chain, which will drive the industry into a new growth phase, with beneficiaries including foundries, GPU and ASIC designers, advanced packaging (such as CoWoS), and ODMs, as well as testing interfaces, memory, thermal solutions, CCL, ABF substrates, PCBs, switches, and power component suppliers amid strong AI computing demand and ongoing GPU platform upgrades. The second is diversification and defensive asset allocation. Innovations in consumer electronics, such as foldable iPhones and smart wearables, will provide growth opportunities, while companies with resilient domestic demand and stable high dividend yields offer a balanced strategy combining growth and income. Overall, investors should strike a balance between growth and resilience against volatility in their portfolios, in the face of market fluctuations.
James Chu, Chairman at KGI Securities Investment Advisory, says: “The solid earnings growth driven by AI and still reasonable valuations form a strong foundation for the ongoing bull market in Taiwanese equities. With AI adoption accelerating across enterprises and consumers, demand for computing power is rising rapidly. Yet supply remains constrained by chip and power bottlenecks, meaning hardware suppliers are likely to face continued shortages through 2026. Taiwan’s AI supply chain is set to remain a key beneficiary, particularly those tied to next-generation specification upgrades.”
Singapore Market
In 9M25, the overall performance of Singapore’s economy was better than expected as the global trade tensions eased after the US pivoted on its reciprocal tariffs and reached deals with its major trading partners. The manufacturing, wholesale trade and finance & insurance sectors remained the growth pillars of the Singapore economy, and each sector delivered decent growth. In particular, manufacturing’s growth has been robust, driven by the electronics, transport engineering and biomedical manufacturing clusters. The full year outlook is upbeat, as the growth momentum shall continue till the end of the year.
Looking ahead, the global economic outlook for 2026 suggests slower GDP growth for most of Singapore’s key trading partners, including China and the Eurozone, largely due to the impact of US tariffs, which will temper demand for Southeast Asian exports, though US growth is expected to remain resilient from AI investment. Consequently, Singapore’s outward-oriented sectors, particularly manufacturing and trade-related services, are projected to expand at a slower pace than in 2025, although the electronics and related sectors will benefit from AI demand, while some precision engineering and biomedical output may moderate domestically, the construction sector is set to grow, but consumer-facing sectors are likely to remain subdued. However, the relatively low interest rates and continuous government support shall buffer the impact of the slowdown, and the capital market will still benefit from the upward re-rating catalysts.
Chen Guangzhi, Head of Research at KGI Singapore, says: “Thanks to trade de-escalation and the AI wave, Singapore experienced significant economic expansion in 2025. Proactive government initiatives turbo-charged the equity bull run, and this strong momentum is expected to deliver an optimistic economic outlook for 2026.”
Hashtag: #KGI #MarketOutlook
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The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.
KGI
KGI* has been a leading financial institution in Asia since 1997. Our scope of business encompasses wealth management, brokerage, fixed income, and asset management. We are committed to offering a comprehensive range of financial products and services to corporate, institutional, and individual clients throughout Asia. Backed by KGI Financial Group, we have a robust footprint in Asia, covering Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Indonesia, and Thailand^.
*KGI refers to KGI Asia Limited and its affiliates.
^an investee enterprise of KGI Securities, not a subsidiary.
Media OutReach
Taiwan International Plant-Based Festival Launches in Singapore: High-End Culinary Partnerships and Diplomatic Exhibitions Shape Premium Agri-Product Branding
The culinary campaign features a high-profile partnership between “Yang Ming Spring”—a prominent Taiwanese pure vegan culinary group honored with the Michelin Green Star—and Si Chuan Dou Hua Restaurant at PARKROYAL on Beach Road under the Pan Pacific Hotels Group. From July 1 to September 30, this exclusive plant-based menu highlights premium fresh ingredients sourced directly from Taiwan, including water snowflake, green bamboo shoots, cabbage, tea leaves, and the rising export star, the “Mango Pineapple,” elevating Taiwanese produce onto international five-star tables.
The launch was attended by MOA Deputy Minister Hu Jong-I, Ministry counselor Wu Wen-ling, Pan Pacific Hotels Group Executive Director Ms. Wee Wei Ling, and Yang Ming Spring Founder Mr. Chen Chien-Hung. Deputy Minister Hu noted that this festival marks a critical milestone for Taiwanese agriculture as it integrates with green gastronomy globally. The MOA aims to connect Singaporean consumers with Taiwan’s top-tier produce, establishing a premium brand image rooted in food safety and trust to unlock future export channels.
The launch elegantly incorporated Taiwan’s Phalaenopsis orchid floral aesthetics to create a “five-sensory feast” that harmonized taste, vision, and cultural narrative, solidifying Taiwan’s premium brand image. The event successfully drew over 80 distinguished guests, including mainstream Singaporean media, food critics, business chamber representatives, and executive chefs.
Concurrently, the official residence of the Taipei Representative Office in Singapore hosted the festival’s thematic opening reception, serving as a premier venue for cultural diplomacy and showcasing the narrative of Taiwan’s agricultural excellence. The exhibition focused on three themes: Taiwanese orchid aesthetics, Mango Pineapple innovation, and sustainable agriculture tourism. This space demonstrated Taiwan’s agricultural evolution from precision R&D to green sustainability, highlighting its export potential to foreign diplomats and Singaporean trade buyers.
The MOA emphasized that the initiative’s core strategy is to “drive tangible procurement through engaging and immersive experiences in our target markets.” By bridging high-end dining with diplomatic prestige, the three-month campaign will maximize the visibility of Taiwanese agri-products across Southeast Asian markets. Aligning with global net-zero sustainability trends, the festival establishes a safe, premium brand image, paving the way for Taiwanese agriculture to integrate into global high-end supply chains and broader Asia-Pacific channels.
Hashtag: #YMSpring
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.
Media OutReach
SIM Academy Enhances Flexible Upskilling Pathways for Adult Learners and Working Parents
As workforce transformation accelerates, many adult learners face a common challenge: balancing professional responsibilities, caregiving commitments, and personal development. Recognising that time constraints remain a key barrier to learning, SIM Academy has developed a range of flexible programme formats that enable learners to upskill without disrupting their daily routines.
Short and focused pathways for working parents
Learning programmes with long course duration can be intimidating for busy adults. Working parents often prefer shorter and more manageable course modules. This is especially useful for parents who may only have short windows of time in the evenings, during lunch breaks, or over the weekend.
Instead of commuting to class every session, parents can learn from home and control their pace more easily. SIM Academy’s online courses are designed to support career mobility and future-proof skills. This is a practical option for learners who need both flexibility and relevance. When pathways are flexible, learners can choose the direction that best aligns with their current stage of life and career.
Supporting career progression across growth areas
SIM Academy’s learning pathways are structured to support progressive skill development across key industry domains. Learners can begin with foundational courses and advance to specialised areas aligned with their career goals.
For instance, individuals seeking to transition into digital roles can build core capabilities before moving into more advanced technical or applied programmes. Similarly, professionals aiming to strengthen leadership competencies can develop skills in communication, collaboration, and people management.
In response to the growing importance of sustainability, SIM Academy also offers programmes tailored for senior professionals, including C-suite leaders, senior management, and SME decision-makers. These courses focus on equipping leaders with the knowledge and tools to address climate-related risks, strengthen governance frameworks, and integrate sustainability into business strategy in line with evolving regulatory requirements.
Enabling Lifelong learning through flexible delivery
As organisations continue to evolve, SIM Academy remains committed to enabling lifelong learning through accessible, practical and flexible education pathways that support both professional growth and personal responsibilities.
References
- Catalyse Your Career Growth with SIM Academy: https://www.sim.edu.sg/professional-development/overview
- Why Learn at SIM?https://www.sim.edu.sg/professional-development/why-sim-for-professional-development
- Online short professional courses: https://www.sim.edu.sg/professional-development/courses/online-courses
- Sustainability courses for C-suite Leaders: https://www.sim.edu.sg/professional-development/courses/sustainability-courses
Hashtag: #SIMAcademy #SIMA
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.
About SIM Academy
SIM Academy provides leading-edge professional development and enterprise solutions. SIM Academy offers over 300 executive and business programmes that help almost 10,000 professionals annually on average hone their competencies to drive business value and achieve peak personal and enterprise performance.
Our programmes encompass a comprehensive range of lifelong learning opportunities designed to empower professionals with the knowledge, skills, and competencies necessary to become effective change-makers and leaders in today’s volatile and uncertain business landscape.
For more information on SIM Academy, visit sim.edu.sg
Media OutReach
Yeebo Announces Annual Results for FY25/26 Consolidated Revenue Increased by 13.7% to Approximately HK$1,181 Million Profit Attributable to Owners Amounted to Approximately HK$1,951 Million
AI Business on the Rise, Revenue Soared by Nearly 2.8 Times Fuelling Future Growth
HONG KONG SAR – Media OutReach Newswire – 1 July 2026 – Yeebo (International Holdings) Limited (“Yeebo” or the “Company”, stock code: 00259.HK, which together with its subsidiaries is referred to as the “Group”) announces its annual results for the year ended 31 March 2026 (the “Year”).
The Group recorded a consolidated revenue of approximately HK$1,181.0 million for the Year, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.7%. The Group’s product portfolio comprises Liquid Crystal Displays (“LCDs”), Liquid Crystal Display modules (“LCMs”), Thin Film Transistor modules (“TFTs”), Capacitive Touch Panel modules (“CTPs”) (collectively “Display Business”), as well as artificial intelligence (“AI”)-related products and AI computing services (collectively “AI Business”). During the year under review, revenue for Display Business increased by 2.6% to HK$1,021.7 million. Among which, the contribution of CTPs to the Group’s total revenue has become increasingly significant, reflecting the Group’s progress in expanding into higher value-added product segments. Meanwhile, the AI Business recorded strong growth, with revenue rising significantly by nearly 2.8 times to HK$159.3 million, emerging as a new growth driver. This rapid expansion highlighted the Group’s early success in developing this segment, which is expected to play an increasingly important role in supporting the Group’s long-term revenue and profitability.
For the year ended 31 March 2026, the Group achieved a gross profit of HK$125.9 million. The gross profit margin decreased slightly to 10.7%. This decline was mainly due to the high fixed costs associated with the AI Business. Profit attributable to owners of the Company surged to approximately HK$1,950.6 million, representing a decrease of HK$838.1 million as compared with that for the preceding year. This was primarily due to a non-recurring gain recorded in the preceding year from the disposal of the Group’s entire interests in Nantong Jianghai Capacitor Company Ltd. (“Nantong Jianghai”) (including the deemed disposal of the remaining 13.81% equity interests), which was a former associate of the Group. Basic earnings per share were HK212.7 cents. The board of directors (“Board”) has proposed to recommend the payment of a final dividend of HK5.0 cents per share for the Year.
Commenting on the annual results of the Group, Mr. Fang Yan Tak, Douglas, Chairman of Yeebo, said, “During the year under review, the global business environment remained challenging. Amid geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainties, Yeebo remained committed to prudent execution, strengthening operational resilience, and focusing on long-term value creation. On one hand, we continued to broaden the application base of our core display business and deepen customer relationships. On the other hand, we made encouraging progress in scaling up our AI business, advancing ecosystem development, and driving commercial deployment. During the Year, the Group continued to increase its investment in AI compute and related businesses, achieving notable results in building a more comprehensive domestic AI compute service platform in Mainland China. Benefiting from the rapid development of the domestic AI compute industry, our AI business delivered strong growth and has increasingly become a key engine driving the Group’s overall development.”
For the Display Business, Yeebo is encouraged by the meaningful progress made in broadening our product offering, reflecting stronger product development capability and deeper engagement with customers. During the Year, the Group successfully secured consistent or first mass production orders across four application segments, namely (i) commercial coffee machines, (ii) automotive, (iii) household appliances and (iv) agricultural and construction machinery, demonstrating the Group’s continued market expansion and laying a solid foundation for robust growth in Display Business going forward.
Regarding to the AI Compute and related business, Yeebo has operated its AI compute and related businesses through its wholly owned subsidiary, Suanova Technology Limited (“Suanova”) over the past few years, and has successfully established itself as a key participant in China’s AI industry value chain. Yeebo continued to step up its investment in AI compute and related businesses during the Year. Its investments into early-stage AI companies, including MetaX Integrated Circuits (Shanghai) Co Ltd (688802.SH), Shanghai Biren Technology Co Ltd (06082.HK) and Shanghai Xizhi Technology Co Ltd (01879.HK), have generated strong and favorable returns.
For the AI Business development, the Group expanded the number of domestic graphics processing unit (“GPU”) clusters operated or managed under the public cloud service model to five, with utilization generally maintained at above 90%. These compute resources supported a broad range of AI for Science (“AI4S”) applications as well as foundation model training and inferencing scenarios. It demonstrated the Group’s increasingly mature capabilities in multi-network architecture compatibility, multi-platform scheduling, layered compute optimization and diversified application deployment. At the same time, the Group began to engage in the integration and delivery of private cloud GPU clusters of different scales and commenced the development of full-stack end-to-end AI solutions, taking initial steps toward becoming a domestic compute service provider with broader and more comprehensive service capabilities.
Over the past year, users of domestic GPU clusters were primarily concentrated in the AI4S field. Through long-term collaboration with leading universities and research institutions (Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Fudan University, Tsinghua University, the Shanghai AI Laboratory, the Shanghai Institute for Advanced Algorithms, Zhejiang University, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Westlake University etc.), the Group established a strong base of core users for the domestic GPU clusters. The Group progressively expanded the usage of domestic GPU clusters to foundation models and vertical industry-specific models across both training and inferencing. Through investing in selected early-stage AI companies with differentiated core capabilities, the Group further promoted the adoption of domestic GPU clusters. In addition, the Group has also completed the first single domestic GPU cluster training task at the thousand-card scale, further strengthening its leading position in the industry.
The Group believes the long-term strategic importance of domestic compute capabilities remains compelling. Through equity investments, joint research and development and business collaboration, the Group has actively begun to build an integrated ecosystem. Leveraging the AI computing ecosystem, the Group has collaborated closely with various key domestic hardware and software partners to enhance mutual compatibility and achieve synergistic optimization. This further strengthens the Group’s capabilities in computing adaptation and scheduling optimization. Looking ahead, the Group will further accelerate the development of end-to-end domestic AI compute solutions for selected industries, including healthcare, financial services and AI4S, as well as model tools and extensions (such as low bit low resource training and memory OS). By combining relevant AI solutions with integrated domestic AI compute hardware and software, and offering flexible deployment through public cloud or private cloud models, we believe this business is increasingly well positioned to capture the opportunities arising from the continued development of AI.
The Group’s capacitor-related investment interests continued to contribute to the overall strength of the Group’s asset base during the Year. As at 31 March 2026, the Group held 100,600,932 shares in Nantong Jianghai, with a fair value of approximately HK$3.3 billion.
Mr. Fang Yan Tak, Douglas, Chairman of Yeebo, concluded, “Looking ahead, we will continue to refine our product portfolio, elevate production excellence, and optimize our customer structure to sustain our market position in the display market, while exploring new applications for our products across various sectors. We will continue to strengthen its strategic deployment in AI computing, and actively support Suanova in unlocking its technological innovation capabilities and platform potential. We believe that as AI applications continue to expand and deepen, computing power is gradually evolving into a core driving force behind a new wave of industrial upgrading. In the face of the historic opportunities brought by the AI wave, the Group will further intensify its investment in AI business, focusing on high-growth technology companies, and create synergies through collaboration to fully capture the development opportunities arising from the continued expansion of the AI computing market. We firmly believe that by upholding our commitment to technological innovation and continuously deepening ecosystem collaboration, we will sustain a leading position in the intelligent era and deliver long-term, sustainable value to the Group and its shareholders.”
Hashtag: #Yeebo
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.
About Yeebo (International Holdings) Limited
Founded in 1988, Yeebo (International Holdings) Limited is a diversified electronic component company with a well-established presence in the global market. The Company’s core business spans flat panel displays, computing power and capacitors, serving a broad spectrum of industrial and consumer applications. Headquartered in Hong Kong, Yeebo operates its manufacturing operations primarily in the Guangdong and Jiangsu provinces, supporting a global sales network that ensures localized service and support for its international clientele.
In alignment with its long-term strategic vision, Yeebo is leveraging its robust operational foundation to expand into the Artificial Intelligence (“AI”) compute and related sectors. This initiative reflects the Company’s commitment to innovation and technological advancement, with the objective of positioning Yeebo as a leading and influential participant in the rapidly evolving AI industry across Chinese Mainland and Hong Kong.
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