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Global Food Prices Increase in July 2023—FAO

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prices of food at market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) said the price of food rose in July 2023, led by a solid rise in the vegetable oils price index, partially offset by a significant decline in the sugar price index, together with small decreases in the price indices for cereals, dairy and meat.

The FAO Food Price Index (FFPI), released on Friday, showed that food prices averaged 123.9 points in July 2023, up 1.5 points (1.3 per cent) from June but remaining 16.6 points (11.8 per cent) below its value in the corresponding month last year.

The FAO Cereal Price Index averaged 125.9 points in July, down 0.7 points (0.5 per cent) from June and 21.3 points (14.5 per cent) below its value a year ago.

The month’s slight decline stems from a fall in international coarse grain prices, which declined by 4.8 per cent from June.

International maize prices continued their downward trend due to increased seasonal supplies from ongoing harvests in Argentina and Brazil and potentially higher-than-initially-anticipated production in the United States of America, where conditions slightly improved and the planted area was revised upwards.

Among other coarse grains, world prices of sorghum declined in tandem with those of maize, while world barley prices were nearly stable, influenced by spillover effects from wheat markets.

By contrast, international wheat prices rose by 1.6 per cent, marking their first month-on-month increase in nine months, mainly driven by the uncertainty over Ukraine’s exports following the decision taken by the Russian Federation to terminate the implementation of the Black Sea Grain Initiative and the subsequent damage to Ukraine’s port infrastructure on both the Black Sea and the Danube River. Continued dry conditions in Canada and the United States of America also added pressure on prices.

The FAO All Rice Price Index increased by 2.8 per cent in July to reach its highest level since September 2011, driven mostly by price increases in the Indica market segment. In that market, India’s 20 July prohibition of non-parboiled Indica exports fostered expectations of greater sales in other origins, amplifying upward pressure already exerted on prices by seasonally tighter supplies and Asian purchases.

The FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index averaged 129.8 points in July, up 14.0 points (12.1 per cent) from June, marking the first increase after seven months of consecutive declines. This pronounced increase in July was driven by higher world quotations across sunflower, palm, soy, and rapeseed oils.

International sunflower oil prices rebounded by more than 15 per cent month-on-month, primarily underpinned by renewed uncertainties surrounding the exportable supplies out of the Black Sea region after the decision taken by the Russian Federation to terminate the implementation of the Black Sea Grain Initiative.

In the meantime, world palm oil prices also rose markedly, reflecting prospects of subdued production growth in leading producing countries.

As for soy and rapeseed oils, international prices increased on continuing concerns over the production outlooks of soybeans in the United States of America and rapeseed in Canada, respectively. Rising world crude oil quotations also lent support to vegetable oil prices.

The FAO Dairy Price Index averaged 116.3 points in July, down 0.5 points (0.4 per cent) from June, marking the seventh consecutive monthly decline, and standing 30.2 points (20.6 per cent) below its value in the same month last year.

The decline in July was led by lower quotations for skim milk powder and butter, underpinned by subsided market activities in Europe during the summer holidays and muted interest in import demand in the months ahead due to market uncertainty over the future directions of prices.

By contrast, whole milk powder prices recovered slightly, mostly influenced by exchange rate movements, notwithstanding steady production progress in New Zealand in line with seasonal trends.

Following five months of steep declines, world cheese prices recovered slightly, reflecting somewhat strengthened food services sales and the impact of hot weather on seasonally declining milk supplies in Europe.

The FAO Meat Price Index averaged 117.8 points in July, down 0.4 points (0.3 per cent) from June and remaining 6.3 points (5.1 per cent) below its corresponding month a year ago.

International bovine meat prices fell, reflecting higher export availabilities in Oceania, coinciding with subdued import demand in Asian markets amid higher inventories and sluggish internal sales.

Poultry meat prices also fell slightly due to increased supplies from leading exporters, despite the persistent impacts of the avian influenza outbreaks in major producing regions.

Meanwhile, decreases in ovine meat prices continued for the third consecutive month, reflecting high supply availabilities in Oceania and lower demand from leading importers, including China and Western Europe.

By contrast, continued tight supplies from Western Europe and the United States of America, in tandem with high seasonal demand, led pig meat prices to increase for the sixth consecutive month.

The FAO Sugar Price Index averaged 146.3 points in July, down 5.9 points (3.9 per cent) from June, marking the second consecutive monthly decline, but remaining 33.4 points (29.6 per cent) above its level in the same month last year. The good progress of the 2023/24 sugarcane harvest in Brazil, and improved rains benefiting soil moisture conditions across most growing areas in India, weighed on world sugar prices in July.

Additional downward pressure on prices was exerted by sluggish import demand from Indonesia and China, the world’s largest sugar importers. However, persistent concerns over the potential impact of the El Niño phenomenon on the 2023/24 sugarcane crops, particularly in Thailand, along with higher international crude oil prices, reined in the declines in world sugar prices.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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How Russia’s Multifaceted Relations Changing Egypt

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Russia partners Egypt

By Kestér Kenn Klomegâh

The Arab Republic of Egypt, a country spanning the northeast corner of Africa and the southwest corner of Asia, has a highly strategic location and attracts multifaceted interests of foreign players. For decades, Russia has established diplomatic relations with Egypt and has consistently sustained diverse ties with this country. It is no secret that Russia’s lust for the region is primarily due to the strategic importance of the Mediterranean Sea for investment and economic cooperation with the Maghreb region.

Determined to strengthen, particularly, economic cooperation, Russian President Vladimir Putin has maintained regular contacts with his colleague, President of Egypt, Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, mostly discussing both bilateral cooperation and broader regional developments. The current world’s geopolitical development, for instance, the United States-Israeli war on Iran in the Middle East, constitutes one theme both leaders frequently review, attempting to find long-term solutions.

On April 2, Putin met with the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Emigration, and Egyptian Expatriates of the Arab Republic of Egypt, Badr Abdelatty, in the Kremlin – the seat of Russia’s presidency. In attendance during the official talks on the Russian side were Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Presidential Aide Yury Ushakov, while Egypt was represented by Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary to the Russian Federation Hamdy Shaaban. Ultimately, there is no need to overstate the importance of this meeting.

Russia’s footprints are expanding in Egypt, highlighting the growing industrial investment and the strengthening of bilateral manufacturing ties by undertaking projects to ensure energy security. At the same time, maintaining regular dialogue remains very important for both leaders.

Putin, speaking with the three-member delegation in the Kremlin, underlined the fact that there are many promising initiatives underway, many of which are already being implemented. He has previously spoken in detail about the construction of a nuclear power plant and the construction of an industrial zone, and over ten major Russian companies have expressed interest in participating in this project.

Nuclear Plants in El-Dabaa, Egypt

The construction of nuclear plants in the city of El-Dabaa, about 320 kilometres northwest of Cairo, the capital of Egypt. It is the first nuclear power plant in Egypt, and will have four VVER-1200 reactors, making Egypt the only country in the region to have a Generation III+ reactor. On November 19, 2015, Egypt and Russia signed an initial agreement, under which Russia agreed to build and finance Egypt’s first nuclear power plant. These are now being carried out, not as a charity project, but with a loan of $28 billion. According to reports, Russia will finance 85% as a state loan of $25 billion, and Egypt will provide the remaining 15% in the form of instalments. The Russian loan has a repayment period of 22 years, with an annual interest rate of 3%.

At the meeting, Putin also raised the construction of an industrial zone in Egypt. There are many appealing and related opportunities in this, regarding having an industrial zone to be located on the banks of the Suez Canal. The industrial zone is also entering a new phase, as Russian auto-manufacturing enterprises are advancing distinctive plans to expand local vehicle production, reinforcing the country’s role as a regional manufacturing hub. The move reflects broader economic linkages between Russia and Africa, particularly in industrial development and supply chain integration.

Conveying Greetings and Reviewing the Middle East Situation

Naturally, the situation in the region remains a shared concern, according to Putin, and further hope that the ongoing conflict will be promptly resolved. “As you know, President Trump also addressed this issue yesterday. Let me reiterate that we are prepared to make every effort to help stabilise the situation and, as they say in such cases, return it to normal,” he stressed during the meeting. In this context, it is particularly important to know Egypt’s assessment as a key country in the Middle East.

Putin reminded the delegation of another Russia-Africa summit, which is planned for October 2026. With high hopes that Egypt will be represented by a strong, high-level delegation. Should the Egyptian President’s schedule allow, he would, of course, ahead of the summit, be very pleased to welcome him to Moscow. Jointly chaired by Vladimir Putin and Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, the first Russia-Africa summit, an important acute phase of the developments with Africa, under the motto of ‘For Peace, Security and Development’, was held for the first time in October 2019, in Sochi, a city located on the Black Sea coast. The idea to hold a Russia-Africa forum was initiated by President Putin at the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) summit in Johannesburg in July 2018.

The head of the Egyptian Foreign Ministry, as traditionally expected, conveyed greetings from President El-Sisi to the Russian president and handed over a written message. President el-Sisi places great value on all aspects of the bilateral cooperation, and is extremely grateful for constructive collaboration on the El Dabaa Nuclear Power Plant, which represents a key milestone in the partnership. Despite the challenges, it is evident that the project is moving forward and will be completed by 2028.

In summary, as Egypt and Russia are reliable and time-tested partners, Putin plans to promote strategic projects, particularly in trade, economics, energy, and food security. With over 107 million inhabitants, Egypt is the most populous country in the Arab world, the third-most populous country in Africa, and the 15th-most populous in the world.

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US-Israeli War on Iran: Africa’s Reactions Through the Prism of the Global South

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Senator Mushahid Hussain

By Kestér Kenn Klomegâh

In an interview, Senator Mushahid Hussain, President of Pakistan-Africa Institute for Development and Research (PAIDR), explicitly offers a few important insights into the US-Israeli war on Iran and its implications for BRICS+ and Africa. Here are the interview excerpts:

What’s your interpretation of the US-Israel war on Iran, in the context of developments in the Middle East region?

The US-Israel illegal and unwarranted war on Iran was spearheaded by [Benjamin] Netanyahu (Prime Minister of Israel) and actively supported by [Donald] Trump (President of USA) as a Joint Operation with three fundamental goals: a) decimate the Islamic Revolutionary Regime; b) reshape the Middle East as part of Zionism’s ‘Greater Israel’ Project; c) preclude any possibility of establishing a Palestinian State with Jerusalem as its capital.

What is your assessment of Iran’s joining BRICS+ in 2025, China’s and Russia’s roles as members of this association, in this US-Israel war with Iran?

China and Russia have played, by and large, a low-key diplomatic role in supporting Iran but without any active political initiatives. BRICS is divided from within, as India is keen to curry favour with the USA and avoids close association with BRICS since the time that Trump attacked BRICS last year. But China & Russia are clear political beneficiaries of the war as American prestige is at an all-time low, having got entangled in an unwinnable war, resulting in weakening of the US ‘sole superpower’ image.

As an Asian expert, how would you characterise Africa’s reactions? And do you think that reactions were objectively authentic, basing perspectives broadly on Arab and Middle East contributions to Africa’s development?

Africa’s reactions to the war are primarily through the prism of the Global South, viewing Iran as resisting American-Israeli hegemonic designs, as, for example, manifested in two examples: South Africa’s rejection of American pressures to wean South Africa away from its support for Iran. Plus, Somalia joined Pakistan and China in supporting the Russian resolution in the UN Security Council seeking an immediate ceasefire and negotiations to halt the War, despite strident Western/US opposition to the Russian resolution.

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Middle East War: World Trade Facing Worst Disruptions Since World War II

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Director-General (DG) of the World Trade Organisation (WTO), Mrs Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, has said the global trading system is experiencing the worst disruptions in the past 80 years.

The trade body chief warned about the consequences as the WTO ministerial conference opened Thursday in Cameroon.

“The world order and the multilateral system we know has irrevocably changed,” she said, adding: “We cannot deny the scale of the problems confronting the world today.”

The organisation’s 166 members appear deeply divided as trade ministers gather in the Cameroonian capital for the WTO’s top conference, amid global economic turmoil linked to the Middle East war.

Over four days in Yaounde, WTO members will try to revitalise an institution weakened by geopolitical tensions, stalled negotiations, and rising protectionism — against the backdrop of the war in the Middle East, which poses a serious threat to international trade.

“The scale of the problems confronting the world today, even before the conflict in the Gulf, destabilised trade in energy, fertiliser and food,” Mrs Okonjo-Iweala said.

“National governments and international institutions alike have been struggling to navigate rising geopolitical tensions, intensifying climate pressures, and rapid technological change.

“Accompanying these shifts has been an increasingly loud questioning of multilateralism,” she added.

Mrs Okonjo-Iweala said these disruptions were just one symptom of broader upheavals shaking the international order created after World War II to prevent a repeat of the disasters of the first half of the 20th century.

“It feels appropriate that at the moment when the world is in turmoil with conflict in the Middle East, Sudan, Ukraine, and elsewhere, at this time of great disruption and uncertainty, we have gathered in Africa to discuss the road ahead for the global trading system,” she said.

“Africa is the continent of the future.”

WTO ministerial conferences are typically held every two years. The current edition in Yaounde is the second to be held in Africa, after Nairobi (Kenya) in 2015.

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