Economy
Oil Prices Drop 4% on Weakening Global Manufacturing Data
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices dropped about 4 per cent on Monday as weak manufacturing data in several countries weighed on the demand outlook.
Brent crude futures fell $3.94 or 3.8 per cent to settle at $100.03 a barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell $4.73 or 4.8 per cent to settle at $93.89 a barrel.
The market sentiment at the start of this month was one of concern about the pace of global oil demand across the United States, Europe and Asia struggled for momentum in July over flagging global demand.
In China, the world’s largest oil importer, factory activity unexpectedly contracted and its manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) improved only marginally in July and was well below expectations.
In China, COVID flare-ups in July led to an unexpected contraction in factory activity, according to data from the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics.
Per the Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI, the rate of improvement in China’s business conditions eased in July from a 13-month high in June and was only marginal.
Weak economic data from China rekindled fears about an economic slowdown in major economies and importers of crude, which could weigh on oil demand going forward.
In the US, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said on Monday that its index of factory activity dipped to 52.8 last month, the lowest reading since June 2020, when the sector was pulling out of a COVID-19-induced slump. The ISM PMI index was at 53.0 in June. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in manufacturing, which accounts for 11.9 per cent of the US economy.
PMI readings were also weaker in July than in June in the major Eurozone countries and in South Korea.
In the Eurozone, S&P Global’s final manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 49.8 in July from June’s 52.1, its first time below the 50 mark separating growth from contraction since June 2020.
On Wednesday, traders and market analysts will be watching the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+ monthly meeting on August 3, the first after the group decided to have all the 2020 cuts rolled back by the end of this month.
While OPEC+ aimed to have fully unwound its record output cuts by this month, data showed the group as of June was still almost 3 million barrels per day short of its output target as some producing countries like Nigeria struggle to bring wells back on line.
Also weighing on prices was a rise in Libyan oil production, which hit 1.2 million barrels per day, up from 800,000 barrels per day on July 22, after the lifting of a blockade on several oil facilities.
Economy
Wale Edun’s Claims of 1.8mbpd Crude Output Contrast Official Data
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Minister of Finance, Mr Wale Edun, says Nigeria’s crude oil production has risen to 1.8 million barrels a day, contrasting with available production data.
Speaking in an interview with Reuters on Wednesday on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank Group spring meetings in Washington D.C., the Minister said the current oil output would generate fiscal breathing space that will allow the government to support vulnerable households as it ploughs ahead with reforms.
Nigeria, which is a member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), is Africa’s largest oil producer.
Mr Edun said rising crude production was positive for Nigeria’s revenue, foreign exchange and the country’s fiscal situation.
“It gives us that extra fiscal space within which to look at … helping the vulnerable households at this time,” he told the publication, noting that support would be targeted, adding “there is no thought of any return or retardation to broad untargeted subsidies.”
Mr Edun also said the Bola Tinubu-led administration was also committed to continuing its reform programme.
“Nigeria is in a position where the resilience that has been built in the economy is actually very obvious for all to see,” he said.
Despite the 1.8 million barrels per day figure claim, Business Post reports that production data for March 2026 from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) shows that Nigeria attained 1.546 million barrels per day, made up of 1.382 million barrels per day of crude, 42,809 barrels per day of blended condensate and 120,442 barrels per day of unblended condensate.
The average crude production represents 92 per cent of the OPEC quota, which is fixed at 1.5 million barrels per day.

Economy
SEC Opens Capital Market to Free Trade Zone Companies
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Securities and Exchange Commission Nigeria (SEC) has unveiled a new regulatory framework that would allow companies operating within free trade zones to raise capital from the Nigerian public, subject to strict eligibility and disclosure requirements.
The proposal, titled New Rules for Public Offering of Securities by a Free Trade Zone Entity, is anchored on provisions of the Investments and Securities Act (ISA) 2025 and is designed to integrate free trade zone enterprises into the domestic capital market while strengthening investor protection.
Under the proposed rules, only entities duly licensed by recognised free zone authorities, such as the Nigeria Export Processing Zones Authority and the Oil and Gas Free Zones Authority, will be eligible to issue shares to the public.
The commission clarified that the rules will apply strictly to free trade zone entities (FTZEs), excluding companies operating outside designated zones, even if licensed by zone authorities. It also emphasised that no FTZE will be permitted to offer securities to the public without prior approval from the Commission.
To qualify, an FTZE must demonstrate a minimum of three years’ operating track record immediately preceding its application, with at least two years of independent business activity within a free trade zone. Additionally, such entities are required to have competent senior management and a minimum paid-up share capital of not less than N7.5 billion.
The SEC said FTZEs seeking to access the capital market must subject themselves to Nigeria’s tax laws and comply fully with ongoing disclosure and reporting obligations applicable to publicly listed companies.
The proposed framework also outlines extensive registration requirements. Issuers will be required to submit evidence of licensing by a free zone authority, constitutional documents, and verified details of shareholding structure and board composition.
A “No Objection” letter from the relevant free zone authority will also be mandatory, alongside a commitment to list the offered shares on a registered securities exchange.
The SEC noted that the rules are intended to provide clarity on eligibility criteria and operational conditions for FTZEs seeking to conduct public offerings, thereby deepening the capital market and aligning free zone operations with national financial system standards.
Economy
Guinness Nigeria Shareholders to Pocket N4.38bn Interim Dividend for Q1’26
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Shareholders of Guinness Nigeria Plc will share about N4.38 billion as an interim dividend for the first quarter of 2026, the board has disclosed.
This cash reward amounts to N2.00 per share, as the company has shares outstanding of 2,190,382,819 on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.
The brewer stated that the interim dividend would be paid to investors whose names appear on the register of members as of the close of business on April 20, 2026.
The dividend payout is being proposed following the sustained profitability reflected in the unaudited financial results of the company in the first three months of this year and its “strong performance in FY 2025.”
It would be “paid from distributable profits in accordance with Sections 426–428 of the Companies and Allied Matters Act (CAMA) 2020.”
Analysis of the performance of the brewery giant between January and March 2026 showed that revenue grew by 4 per cent on a year-on-year basis to N122.77 billion from N118.34 billion in the same period of last year, while the gross profit contracted to N43.48 billion from N44.52 billion due to prevailing cost pressures within the operating environment.
The company’s operating profit also shrank to N17.18 billion from N18.00 billion in the first quarter of 2025 due to elevated marketing & distribution costs and administrative expenses.
However, the reduction in net finance costs to N1.43 billion from N7.72 billion in Q1 of 2025 helped the organisation to grow its post-tax profit to N10.39 billion in the period under review versus the N7.03 billion recorded in the corresponding period of last year.
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