Economy

Brent Soars as IEA Cuts Demand Forecast on Recession Fears

Published

4 years ago

14/10/2022

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Brent crude grade rose by about 2.29 per cent or $2.12 to $94.57 per barrel on Thursday as the International Energy Agency (IEA) cut its oil demand forecast and warned that tight supply would affect the global economy.

Also, the United West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude grade appreciated by 2.1 per cent or $1.84 yesterday to sell for $89.11 per barrel after the IEA cut its oil-demand growth forecasts by 470,000 barrels a day for 2023 to 1.7 million barrels a day. It also lowered its 2022 oil-demand growth forecast by 60,000 barrels a day to 1.9 million barrels per day.

Oil demand growth has steadily fallen throughout the year and is predicted to shrink in the fourth quarter by 340,000 barrels a day, the IEA said.

“With unrelenting inflationary pressures and interest rate hikes taking their toll, higher oil prices may prove the tipping point for a global economy already on the brink of recession,” the IEA said in its monthly market report.

The group buttressed that an oil supply cut from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+) threatens to deepen a global energy crisis by sending oil prices higher at a time of already elevated inflation and weak economic growth.

Last week’s two million barrel-a-day reduction in the group’s output targets will tighten the oil market further at a moment of extreme vulnerability with few additional sources of supply available to compensate, the Paris-based agency said Thursday.

The cut’s impact will exacerbate a mix of high oil prices and weakening global growth, which would undermine longer-term demand for oil, the IEA said, as it slashed its oil-demand forecasts.

OPEC has said higher oil prices are necessary to spur fresh investments in oil production, but the IEA said constraints among oil producers meant additional supplies would be scant.

The cut also comes ahead of an EU embargo on Russian oil and a plan by the Group of Seven wealthy nations to cap oil prices, both of which analysts warn could further undermine global energy supplies.

Russia has said it would cut production and withhold supplies from nations participating in the price cap mechanism. Meanwhile, time was running out for EU states to find alternative sources of energy to compensate for the still-high levels of oil currently imported from Russia, the IEA said.

Prices also moved higher despite the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reporting a crude oil inventory build of 9.9 million barrels for the week of October 7, but the move lower didn’t last long.

At 439.1 million barrels, US crude oil inventories are 1 per cent below the five-year average for this time of the year. A week earlier, inventories recorded a draw of 1.4 million barrels.

Economy

CSCS Sinks NASD OTC Exchange by 1.13%

Published

49 minutes ago

30/04/2026

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 1.13 per cent on Wednesday, April 29, after its share price shrank by N5.06 to N71.99 per unit from N77.05 per unit.

As a result, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) went below the 4,000 mark after it lost 45.73 points to 3,999.23 points from 4,044.96 points. The market capitalisation declined by N27.36 billion during the session to N2.392 trillion from N2.420 trillion.

Midweek trading data showed that the volume of transactions slid by 76.2 per cent to 308,698 units from 1.3 million units, and the value of trades decreased by 7.1 per cent to N25.2 million from N27.1 million units, while the number of deals rose by 3.7 per cent to 28 deals from 27 deals.

At the close of business, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with the sale of 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 59.9 million units exchanged for N4.1 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.8 million units traded for N1.9 billion.

GNI Plc also finished as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with a turnover of 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, trailed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units transacted for N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units sold for N1.2 billion.

Economy

Naira Strengthens to N1,379/$1 at NAFEX as FX Demand Pressure Eases

Published

1 hour ago

30/04/2026

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira was able to tame the pressure building at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Wednesday, April 29, after it gained N1.25 or 0.1 per cent against the United States Dollar to close at N1,379.46/$1 compared with the previous day’s N1,380.71/$1.

Also, the outcome was the same against the Pound Sterling in the same window, as it added N2.18 to trade at N1,861.58/£1 versus Tuesday’s closing rate of N1,863.76/£1, and against the Euro, it appreciated by N2.14 to settle at N1,612.87/€1 versus N1,615.01/€1.

However, the Naira depreciated further against the Dollar at the GTBank forex counter by N10 to quote at N1,389/$1 compared with the preceding session’s N1,379/$1, and at the parallel market, it maintained stability yesterday at N1,390/$1.

The improvement witnessed across official market points to NFEM interbank turnover increasing sharply on Wednesday, with data released by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showing $249.905 million in transactions among institutions across 180 deals.

This indicates improved market liquidity and greater market confidence, leading to tighter bid-ask spreads across all foreign exchange deals.

Market analysts noted that improved liquidity and growing investor confidence now allow the market to function more independently.

Meanwhile, in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin (BTC) and major benchmarked cryptocurrencies fell as Brent crude surged to a four-year intraday high on renewed fears of US military escalation against Iran.

The jump in oil prices reflects a growing war premium tied to the effective shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz and expectations that hypersonic US weapons could be deployed in the region.

Analysts say BTC is unlikely to break above $80,000 unless Middle East tensions ease. Its value shrank by 1.5 per cent to $75,931.00.

In addition, Ethereum (ETH) slipped by 3.2 per cent to $2,254.51, Solana (SOL) depreciated by 1.9 per cent to $83.11, Ripple (XRP) lost 1.6 per cent to sell at $1.37, Binance Coin (BNB) dipped by 1.5 per cent to $616.58, and Cardano (ADA) dropped by 1.4 per cent to $0.2463.

But Dogecoin (DOGE) rose by 1.9 per cent to $0.1062 and TRON (TRX) appreciated by 0.5 per cent to $0.3242, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) were unchanged at $1.00 each.

Economy

Value of Nigerian Stocks Soars Above N152trn, as YtD Return Hits 52.53%

Published

2 hours ago

30/04/2026

Dipo Olowookere

By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited rallied by 3.77 per cent on Wednesday on the back of sustained bargain-hunting in equities with sound fundamentals.

The growth reported by Nigerian stocks at midweek raised the year-to-date return above 50 per cent, precisely at 52.43 per cent.

According to data, only the insurance sector ended in red after it shed 1.01 per cent at the close of business.

The industrial goods index appreciated by 6.14 per cent, the energy segment grew by 4.54 per cent, the banking counter expanded by 1.92 per cent, and the consumer goods industry rose by 1.01 per cent.

Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 8,465.40 points to 237,205.59 points from 228,740.19 points, and the market capitalisation increased by N5.450 trillion to N152.728 trillion from N147.278 trillion.

The quartet of UAC Nigeria, Zichis, CAP, and Airtel Africa gained 10.00 per cent each to sell for N165.00, N19.80, N132.00, and N3,021.30, respectively, and Jaiz Bank surged by 9.99 per cent to N8.81.

On the flip side, the duo of John Holt and Cadbury Nigeria lost 10.00 per cent each to trade at N12.60 and N66.15, respectively, as eTranzact shed 9.97 per cent to close at N15.80, Morison Industries slipped by 9.92 per cent to N10.62, and Haldane McCall shrank by 9.74 per cent to N3.43.

The busiest stock for the day was Access Holdings with 281.3 million units worth N7.3 billion, UBA transacted 160.6 million units valued at N7.0 billion, Lasaco Assurance traded 78.6 million units for N153.6 million, Wema Bank sold 65.7 million units worth N2.3 billion, and Morison Industries exchanged 65.0 million units valued at N690.3 million.

At the close of trades, investors bought and sold 1.3 billion equities for N69.1 billion in 83,445 deals versus the 908.0 million units worth N68.2 billion in 72,886 deals on Tuesday.

This showed that the trading volume, value, and number of deals increased yesterday by 43.17 per cent, 1.32 per cent, and 14.49 per cent, respectively.