Economy
Is Gold An Inflation Hedge?
Many investors consider gold as a safe-haven asset, particularly during times of economic uncertainty. It has been valued for centuries due to its beauty and scarcity. However, one question that often arises is whether gold can act as an effective hedge against inflation. In this article, we will examine the relationship between gold and inflation and explore the reasons why many investors turn to the precious metal in times of rising prices.
Before delving into the topic, it is essential to understand what exactly inflation is. Inflation refers to the persistent increase in the general price level of goods and services in an economy over a certain period. When this occurs, each unit of currency loses purchasing power over time.
Why Investors Turn To Gold During Inflationary Times?
When significant inflation looms on the horizon, individuals tend to worry about their investments losing value.
This fear prompts investors to seek out assets that have historically acted as hedges against rising prices. While younger investors choose to invest in gold stocks, people who prepare for retirement usually choose from the best gold IRA accounts to safeguard their hard-earned funds. Below are the most popular reasons why people choose to invest in gold in the first place.
Historical Track Record
Gold has a long history of being used as a store of value throughout human civilization. Its scarcity and durability make it an appealing investment option during times when traditional currencies lose value due to inflation.
Limited Supply
Unlike fiat currencies controlled by central banks that can be printed at will, new sources of gold are relatively rare and costly to extract from the ground. This limited supply ensures that gold maintains its intrinsic value over time.
Universally Accepted Store Of Value
Gold has been widely accepted as a form of currency across cultures for centuries. Even today, central banks around the world hold significant quantities of gold in their reserves as a safeguard against financial instability or economic crises.
Tangible Asset Class
One crucial aspect that sets gold apart from other investments is its tangibility – you can actually touch it! Unlike stocks or bonds that exist only on paper or in digital form, gold can be held, admired, and worn. This physical presence can provide a sense of security during uncertain times.
What is The Relationship Between Gold And Inflation?
While gold has many qualities that make it an attractive investment during inflationary periods, the relationship between the two is not as straightforward as some might believe.
Historical Analysis
Looking back at past data provides us with evidence of gold’s potential as an inflation hedge. Historical analysis shows that gold prices have often increased during periods of high inflation or economic uncertainty. For example, during the Great Recession of 2008-2009 and more recently during the COVID-19 pandemic, gold prices soared.
Supply And Demand Factors
Demand for gold tends to rise when there are concerns about currency devaluation or rising prices. As investors seek out safe-haven assets, increased demand leads to higher prices. Economic uncertainty and inflationary pressures amplify this effect.
Investor Sentiment
Another factor that influences the relationship between gold and inflation is investor sentiment. When individuals anticipate inflationary conditions, they may rush to buy gold as a hedge against their fears, which subsequently drives up its price further.
Correlation vs Causation
Despite these correlations between gold and inflation, it is essential to acknowledge that one does not necessarily cause the other. Correlations show how two variables move together but do not always demonstrate cause-and-effect relationships. The increase in gold prices during times of rising inflation could also be attributed to other factors such as shifts in investment preferences or changes in international geopolitical dynamics.
Different Ways to Invest in Gold
Now that we understand why investing in gold holds such allure let’s explore some popular methods:
Physical Gold: Holding Tangible Wealth
One classic way of investing in gold is through physical ownership. This includes purchasing bullion bars or coins directly from reputable dealers. By holding tangible assets like these shiny golden coins right at your fingertips, you become an owner of wealth that can be easily accessed or sold when necessary.
However, storing physical gold does require consideration regarding security and insurance measures. For those who prefer a hands-off approach when it comes to storage, reputable companies like Goldco offer secure vaulting services along with flexible options for acquiring precious metals.
Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs): Golden Access without the Weight
If you’re seeking a more convenient and flexible approach to gold investment, exchange-traded funds might be your golden ticket. These funds allow investors to own shares in a trust that holds physical gold under its custody. This indirect ownership grants you exposure to the price movements of gold without the need for storage or insurance concerns.
Well-established ETFs such as SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and iShares Gold Trust (IAU) have gained popularity due to their liquidity, transparency, and ease of trading on major stock exchanges.
Gold Mining Stocks: Uncovering Hidden Potential
Investing in gold mining companies can offer additional opportunities beyond owning physical bullion or ETFs. By investing in well-managed mining companies with strong track records, you gain exposure to not only the price of gold but also potential company growth and dividends.
Keep in mind that investing in mining stocks carries additional risks compared to physically holding gold or ETF investments due to factors like operational challenges and geopolitical uncertainties. Thorough research and diversification within this sector are crucial steps when considering this avenue.
Sparkling Preparation: Setting Up a Gold IRA
Now that we’ve explored some prominent ways of investing in gold, it’s worth highlighting an exceptional option for long-term retirement planning – a Gold IRA! A self-directed Individual Retirement Account (IRA) allows you to hold precious metals such as gold within your retirement portfolio.
Companies like Goldco and American Hartford Gold specialize in helping investors set up these unique accounts, enabling them to grow their wealth while enjoying tax advantages associated with IRAs. Consulting with experts from reputable firms will ensure you make informed decisions regarding asset allocation within your retirement account.
Is Gold The Only Inflation Hedge?
While most commonly associated with hedging against inflation, it is crucial to recognize that several other assets can serve as hedges too.
Real estate has traditionally acted as a store of value over time due to its potential appreciation and income generation capabilities. During periods of high inflation, real estate investors can raise rents in response to rising costs, thus protecting their purchasing power.
Investing in commodities such as oil or agricultural products can also serve as an inflation hedge. These assets have direct links to the economy and tend to rise in value during periods of high inflation when demand exceeds supply.
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). TIPS are government-issued bonds that provide protection against inflation by adjusting for changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). As inflation rises, the principal value of TIPS increases, providing investors with a real return above inflation.
Conclusion
By embarking on your gold investment journey, whether through physical ownership, ETFs, or mining stocks, you have the opportunity to participate in the enduring legacy of gold. And for those looking to secure their retirement savings with the radiant glow of gold, a Gold IRA can be the golden ticket to long-term financial success.
While gold has historically demonstrated an ability to retain its value during times of rising prices, it is essential to understand the complex relationship between gold and inflation.
Economic factors, supply and demand dynamics, investor sentiment, and historical precedent all play significant roles in determining gold’s performance during inflationary periods. It is always advisable for investors to maintain a diversified portfolio that includes a mix of assets suitable for various economic conditions.
Economy
Customs Street Chalks up 1.08% on Renewed Buying Pressure
By Dipo Olowookere
A 1.08 per cent growth was further printed by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Friday on improved appetite for Nigerian stocks.
Data showed that the insurance sector lost 0.61 per cent yesterday due to profit-taking as the energy space gave up 0.08 per cent, while the commodity counter closed flat.
However, the industrial goods landscape appreciated by 2.06 per cent, the banking index improved by 1.31 per cent, and the consumer goods sector expanded by 0.83 per cent.
At the close of business on Customs Street, the All-Share Index (ASI) increased by 1,563.92 points to 147,040.07 points from 145,476.15 points and the market capitalisation went up by N996 billion to N93.722 trillion from N92.726 trillion.
UAC Nigeria led the advancers’ log yesterday after it grew by 10.00 per cent to N96.80, Transcorp Hotels jumped by 9.71 per cent to N172.80, Royal Exchange appreciated by 8.89 per cent to N1.96, Ikeja Hotel soared by 8.74 per cent to N31.10, and Veritas Kapital leapt by 8.07 per cent to N1.74.
On the flip side, Union Dicon declined by 10.00 per cent to N6.30, ABC Transport slipped by 9.88 per cent to N3.10, AXA Mansard depreciated by 7.19 per cent to N12.90, FTN Cocoa lost 4.62 per cent to trade at N4.75, and Guinea Insurance dropped 3.36 per cent to finish at N1.15.
A total of 38 stocks ended on the gainers’ table and 17 stocks finished on the losers’ table, representing a positive market breadth index and strong investor sentiment.
Traders transacted 361.6 million equities for N14.8 billion in 21,051 deals yesterday versus the 1.9 billion equities worth N19.2 billion traded in 23,369 deals a day earlier, showing a decline in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 80.97 per cent, 22.92 per cent, and 14.20 per cent, respectively.
The busiest stock for the session was Zenith Bank with 59.5 million units worth N3.6 billion, Access Holdings traded 46.1 million units valued at N973.0 million, Fidelity Bank exchanged 29.4 million units for N560.4 million, FCMB transacted 27.9 million units worth N293.9 million, and Tantalizers sold 13.0 million units valued at N29.8 million.
Economy
Nipco, 11 Plc Crash OTC Securities Exchange by 4.76%
By Adedapo Adesanya
Energy stocks influenced the 4.76 per cent loss recorded by the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange on Friday, December 5.
The culprits were the duo of 11 Plc and Nipco Plc,with the former shedding N32.17 to end at N291.83 per share compared with the previous day’s N324.00 per share, and the latter down by N21.00 to sell at N195.00 per unit versus the previous session’s N216.00 per unit.
Consequently, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) slumped by 170.16 points to 3,401.37 points from 3,571.53 points and the market capitalisation lost N101.81 billion to close at N2.035 billion from the N2.136 trillion quoted in the preceding session.
The OTC securities exchange suffered the decline yesterday despite the share prices of three companies closing green.
Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc was up by N1.80 to close at N39.80 per share compared with Thursday’s price of N38.00 per share, Air Liquide Plc appreciated by N1.09 to N11.99 per unit from N10.90 per unit, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc grew by 78 Kobo to N56.57 per share from N55.79 per share.
During the session, the volume of transactions rose by 6,885.3 per cent to 18.2 million units from 4.3 million units, the value of transactions ballooned by 10,301.7 per cent to N389.7 million from N347.2 million, but the number of deals declined by 29.7 per cent to 26 deals from 37 deals.
Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company (InfraCredit) Plc ended the day as the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units worth N16.4 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 170.4 million units valued at N8.0 billion, and Air Liquide Plc with 507.5 million units worth N4.2 billion.
InfraCredit Plc also finished the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units transacted for N16.4 billion, followed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 1.2 billion units sold for N420.2 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc with 536.9 million units worth N524.9 million.
Economy
Naira Depreciates to N1,450/$1 at Official Forex Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira depreciated further against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Friday, December 5, as FX demand pressure mounts.
The Nigerian currency lost N2.60 or 0.18 per cent against the greenback to close at N1,450.43/$1 compared with the previous day’s N1,447.83/$1.
Equally, the domestic currency declined against the Pound Sterling in the official forex market during the session by N4.48 to trade at N1,935.45/£1, in contrast to Thursday’s closing price of N1,930.97/£1 and shrank against the Euro by 43 Kobo to end at N1,689.17/€1 versus the preceding session’s rate of N1,688.74/€1.
Similarly, the local currency performed badly against the US Dollar at the GTBank FX counter by N2 to close at N1,455/$1 versus Thursday’s N1,453/$1 but traded flat at the parallel market at N14.65/$1.
As the country gets into the festive period, pressure mounted on the local currency reflecting higher foreign payments and lower FX inflows.
However, there are expectations that the Nigerian currency will be stable, supported by interventions by to the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in the face of steady dollar Demand and inflows from Detty December festivities that will give the Naira a boost after it depreciated mildly last month.
Traders cited by Reuters expect that the Naira will trade within a band of N1,443-N1,450/$1 next week, buoyed by improved FX interventions by the apex bank.
As for the crypto market, it was down yesterday due to profit-taking associated with year-end trading. However, the December 1-Year Consumer Inflation Expectation by the University of Michigan fell to 4.1 per cent from 4.5 per cent previously and 4.5 per cent expected. The 5-Year Consumer Inflation Expectation fell to 3.2 per cent from 3.4 per cent previously and 3.4 per cent expected.
With the dearth of official economic data of late, these private surveys have taken on a new level of significance and the market banks of them to make decisions.
Cardano (ADA) depreciated by 5.7 per cent to $0.4142, Dogecoin (DOGE) slid by 5.1 per cent to $0.1394, Ethereum (ETH) dropped by 3.9 per cent to $3,039.75, Solana (SOL) declined by 3.8 per cent to $133.24, and Litecoin (LTC) fell by 3.7 per cent to $80.59.
Further, Bitcoin (BTC) went down by 2.6 per cent to sell at $89,683.72, Binance Coin (BNB) slumped by 2.2 per cent to $883.59, and Ripple (XRP) shrank by 2.1 per cent to $2.04, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.
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