Economy
Is Gold An Inflation Hedge?
Many investors consider gold as a safe-haven asset, particularly during times of economic uncertainty. It has been valued for centuries due to its beauty and scarcity. However, one question that often arises is whether gold can act as an effective hedge against inflation. In this article, we will examine the relationship between gold and inflation and explore the reasons why many investors turn to the precious metal in times of rising prices.
Before delving into the topic, it is essential to understand what exactly inflation is. Inflation refers to the persistent increase in the general price level of goods and services in an economy over a certain period. When this occurs, each unit of currency loses purchasing power over time.
Why Investors Turn To Gold During Inflationary Times?
When significant inflation looms on the horizon, individuals tend to worry about their investments losing value.
This fear prompts investors to seek out assets that have historically acted as hedges against rising prices. While younger investors choose to invest in gold stocks, people who prepare for retirement usually choose from the best gold IRA accounts to safeguard their hard-earned funds. Below are the most popular reasons why people choose to invest in gold in the first place.
Historical Track Record
Gold has a long history of being used as a store of value throughout human civilization. Its scarcity and durability make it an appealing investment option during times when traditional currencies lose value due to inflation.
Limited Supply
Unlike fiat currencies controlled by central banks that can be printed at will, new sources of gold are relatively rare and costly to extract from the ground. This limited supply ensures that gold maintains its intrinsic value over time.
Universally Accepted Store Of Value
Gold has been widely accepted as a form of currency across cultures for centuries. Even today, central banks around the world hold significant quantities of gold in their reserves as a safeguard against financial instability or economic crises.
Tangible Asset Class
One crucial aspect that sets gold apart from other investments is its tangibility – you can actually touch it! Unlike stocks or bonds that exist only on paper or in digital form, gold can be held, admired, and worn. This physical presence can provide a sense of security during uncertain times.
What is The Relationship Between Gold And Inflation?
While gold has many qualities that make it an attractive investment during inflationary periods, the relationship between the two is not as straightforward as some might believe.
Historical Analysis
Looking back at past data provides us with evidence of gold’s potential as an inflation hedge. Historical analysis shows that gold prices have often increased during periods of high inflation or economic uncertainty. For example, during the Great Recession of 2008-2009 and more recently during the COVID-19 pandemic, gold prices soared.
Supply And Demand Factors
Demand for gold tends to rise when there are concerns about currency devaluation or rising prices. As investors seek out safe-haven assets, increased demand leads to higher prices. Economic uncertainty and inflationary pressures amplify this effect.
Investor Sentiment
Another factor that influences the relationship between gold and inflation is investor sentiment. When individuals anticipate inflationary conditions, they may rush to buy gold as a hedge against their fears, which subsequently drives up its price further.
Correlation vs Causation
Despite these correlations between gold and inflation, it is essential to acknowledge that one does not necessarily cause the other. Correlations show how two variables move together but do not always demonstrate cause-and-effect relationships. The increase in gold prices during times of rising inflation could also be attributed to other factors such as shifts in investment preferences or changes in international geopolitical dynamics.
Different Ways to Invest in Gold
Now that we understand why investing in gold holds such allure let’s explore some popular methods:
Physical Gold: Holding Tangible Wealth
One classic way of investing in gold is through physical ownership. This includes purchasing bullion bars or coins directly from reputable dealers. By holding tangible assets like these shiny golden coins right at your fingertips, you become an owner of wealth that can be easily accessed or sold when necessary.
However, storing physical gold does require consideration regarding security and insurance measures. For those who prefer a hands-off approach when it comes to storage, reputable companies like Goldco offer secure vaulting services along with flexible options for acquiring precious metals.
Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs): Golden Access without the Weight
If you’re seeking a more convenient and flexible approach to gold investment, exchange-traded funds might be your golden ticket. These funds allow investors to own shares in a trust that holds physical gold under its custody. This indirect ownership grants you exposure to the price movements of gold without the need for storage or insurance concerns.
Well-established ETFs such as SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and iShares Gold Trust (IAU) have gained popularity due to their liquidity, transparency, and ease of trading on major stock exchanges.
Gold Mining Stocks: Uncovering Hidden Potential
Investing in gold mining companies can offer additional opportunities beyond owning physical bullion or ETFs. By investing in well-managed mining companies with strong track records, you gain exposure to not only the price of gold but also potential company growth and dividends.
Keep in mind that investing in mining stocks carries additional risks compared to physically holding gold or ETF investments due to factors like operational challenges and geopolitical uncertainties. Thorough research and diversification within this sector are crucial steps when considering this avenue.
Sparkling Preparation: Setting Up a Gold IRA
Now that we’ve explored some prominent ways of investing in gold, it’s worth highlighting an exceptional option for long-term retirement planning – a Gold IRA! A self-directed Individual Retirement Account (IRA) allows you to hold precious metals such as gold within your retirement portfolio.
Companies like Goldco and American Hartford Gold specialize in helping investors set up these unique accounts, enabling them to grow their wealth while enjoying tax advantages associated with IRAs. Consulting with experts from reputable firms will ensure you make informed decisions regarding asset allocation within your retirement account.
Is Gold The Only Inflation Hedge?
While most commonly associated with hedging against inflation, it is crucial to recognize that several other assets can serve as hedges too.
Real estate has traditionally acted as a store of value over time due to its potential appreciation and income generation capabilities. During periods of high inflation, real estate investors can raise rents in response to rising costs, thus protecting their purchasing power.
Investing in commodities such as oil or agricultural products can also serve as an inflation hedge. These assets have direct links to the economy and tend to rise in value during periods of high inflation when demand exceeds supply.
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). TIPS are government-issued bonds that provide protection against inflation by adjusting for changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). As inflation rises, the principal value of TIPS increases, providing investors with a real return above inflation.
Conclusion
By embarking on your gold investment journey, whether through physical ownership, ETFs, or mining stocks, you have the opportunity to participate in the enduring legacy of gold. And for those looking to secure their retirement savings with the radiant glow of gold, a Gold IRA can be the golden ticket to long-term financial success.
While gold has historically demonstrated an ability to retain its value during times of rising prices, it is essential to understand the complex relationship between gold and inflation.
Economic factors, supply and demand dynamics, investor sentiment, and historical precedent all play significant roles in determining gold’s performance during inflationary periods. It is always advisable for investors to maintain a diversified portfolio that includes a mix of assets suitable for various economic conditions.
Economy
Afriland Properties Lifts NASD OTC Securities Exchange by 0.04%
By Adedapo Adesanya
Afriland Properties Plc helped the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange record a 0.04 per cent gain on Tuesday, December 10 as the share price of the property investment rose by 34 Kobo to N16.94 per unit from the preceding day’s N16.60 per unit.
As a result of this, the market capitalisation of the bourse went up by N380 million to remain relatively unchanged at N1.056 trillion like the previous trading day.
But the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) closed higher at 3,014.36 points after it recorded an addition of 1.09 points to Monday’s closing value of 3,013.27 points.
The NASD OTC securities exchange recorded a price loser and it was Geo-Fluids Plc, which went down by 2 Kobo to close at N3.93 per share, in contrast to the preceding day’s N3.95 per share.
During the trading session, the volume of securities bought and sold by investors increased by 95.8 per cent to 2.4 million units from the 1.2 million securities traded in the preceding session.
However, the value of shares traded yesterday slumped by 3.7 per cent to N4.9 million from the N5.07 million recorded a day earlier, as the number of deals surged by 27.3 per cent to 14 deals from 11 deals.
Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units sold for N3.9 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units worth N5.3 million.
Also, Aradel Holdings Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units worth N89.2 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units sold for N5.3 billion.
Economy
Naira Trades N1,542/$1 as FX Speculators Dump Dollars in Panic
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira continued to appreciate on the US Dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM), gaining 0.7 per cent or N10.23 on Tuesday, December 10 to trade at N1,542.27/$1 compared with the preceding day’s N1,552.50/$1.
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)-backed Electronic Foreign Exchange Matching System (EFEMS) platform introduced to tackle speculation and improve transparency in Nigeria’s FX market has been attributed as the source of the Naira’s appreciation.
Speculators holding foreign currencies, particularly the US Dollar, have seen the value of their money drastically drop due to the appreciation of the local currency. This is forcing them to dump greenback into the system and take the domestic currency alternative- a move that has seen available FX increase.
Equally, the domestic currency improved its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the trading day by N6.81 to sell for N1,955.12/£1 compared with Monday’s closing price of N1,961.93/£1 and against the Euro, it gained N10.84 to close at N1,613.00/€1, in contrast to the previous day’s rate of N1,623.84/€1.
Data from the FMDQ Securities Exchange showed that the value of forex transactions significantly increased yesterday by $228.85 million or 257.2 per cent to $401.17 million from the preceding session’s $112.32 million.
However, in the parallel market, the Nigerian currency weakened against the US Dollar on Tuesday by N5 to settle at N1,625/$1 compared with the previous day’s value of N1,620/$1.
In the cryptocurrency market, Dogecoin (DOGE) lost 4.8 per cent to sell at $0.39116, Litecoin (LTC) depreciated by 3.3 per cent to trade at $110.25, Binance Coin (BNB) went south by 2.3 per cent to $681.44, Ethereum (ETH) dropped 1.6 per cent to finish at $3,671.08, and Cardano (ADA) slid by 0.5 per cent to $0.8837
Conversely, Ripple (XRP) jumped by 5.4 per cent to $2.23 amid a continued shift for the coin with its parent company seeing the benefits of a crypto-friendly regulatory environment for US-based companies.
XRP is closely related to Ripple Labs, a high-profile payments company targeted by the SEC in 2020 on allegations of selling the token as a security to U.S. investors. Ripple fully cleared a long-drawn court case in 2024.
Further, Solana (SOL) expanded by 0.8 per cent to $219.75, Bitcoin (BTC) grew by 0.4 per cent to $97,446.95, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.
Economy
Chinese Demand, Europe, Syria Development Buoy Oil Prices
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices rose on Tuesday, influenced by increasing demand in China, the world’s largest buyer, as well as developments in Europe and Syria, with Brent crude futures closing at $72.19 per barrel after chalking up 5 cents or 0.07 per cent while the US West Texas Intermediate finished at $68.59 a barrel after it gained 22 cents or 0.32 per cent.
China will adopt an “appropriately loose” monetary policy in 2025 as the world’s largest oil importer tries to spur economic growth. This would be the first easing of its stance in 14 years.
Chinese crude imports also grew annually for the first time in seven months, jumping in November on a year-on-year basis.
Speculation about winter demand in Europe also contributed to the rise in prices as the period has been known for high demand.
In Syria, rebels were working to form a government and restore order after the ousting of President Bashar al-Assad, with the country’s banks and oil sector set to resume work on Tuesday.
Although Syria itself is not a major oil producer, it is strategically located and has strong ties with Russia and Iran – two of the world’s largest oil producers.
Market analysts noted that the tensions in the Middle East seem contained, which led market participants to price for potentially low risks of a wider regional spillover leading to significant oil supply disruption.
The market is also looking forward to the US Federal Reserve, which is expected to make a 25 basis point cut to interest rates at the end of its December 17-18 meeting.
This move could improve oil demand in the world’s biggest economy, though traders are waiting to see if this week’s inflation data derails the cut.
Crude oil inventories in the US rose by 499,000 barrels for the week ending November 29, according to The American Petroleum Institute (API). Analysts had expected a draw of 1.30 million barrels.
For the week prior, the API reported a 1.232-million barrel build in crude inventories.
So far this year, crude oil inventories have fallen by roughly 3.4 million barrels since the beginning of the year, according to API data.
Official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.
Also, the market is getting relief from the recent decision of selected members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+ to delay the rollback of 2.2 million barrels per day of oil production cuts to April from January. Another 3.6 million barrels per day in output reductions across the OPEC+ group has been extended to the end of 2026 from the end of 2025.
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