Economy
Crude Oil Down as Saudi, Russia Promise to Stabilise Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil prices fell further on Wednesday as fears of disruption to supplies due to conflict in the Middle East receded a day as Saudi Arabia and Russia pledged to help stabilise the market.
Brent futures dropped $1.83 or 2.1 per cent to settle at $85.82 a barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was down by $2.48 or 2.9 per cent to quote at $83.49 a barrel.
Brent and WTI had surged more than 4 per cent on Monday as the clashes raised fears that the conflict could spread beyond Gaza but bounced off session lows as concerns eased about potential supply disruptions from the battle.
Prices then settled slightly lower on Tuesday after Saudi Arabia said it was working with regional and international partners to prevent an escalation, and reaffirmed its efforts to stabilise oil markets.
Despite the drop, trades are watchful as the matter could escalate into a broader conflict that would disrupt the global oil supply.
Analysts warned that oil prices could reach $100 a barrel if the situation in the Middle East escalates further.
Russia and Saudi Arabia met in Moscow on Wednesday, when Russian President Vladimir Putin said that coordination between the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+ will continue for the predictability of the oil market.
Saudi Arabia is maintaining a voluntary cut of 1 million barrels per day until the end of 2023, while Russia is also keeping a 300,000 barrels per day voluntary export curb until the end of December.
OPEC+ members, he said, would “fulfil their commitments in full and successfully cope with all challenges.”
He also said that the OPEC+ agreement to cut supply would likely be extended if there is consensus.
“It looks like we will continue our cooperation,” he added.
The remarks are Putin’s strongest signal to date that OPEC+ supply cuts will endure well into 2024 and probably beyond – a step that is almost certain to support oil prices.
Mr Putin also urged companies to prioritise the Russian domestic market. The country’s ban on gasoline and some diesel exports was rolled back again last week as diesel exports that arrive at ports by pipeline were permitted.
Producer prices increasing more than expected in September in the US amid higher costs for energy products and food could not save the downward move in the price of the commodity.
US investors will be looking at the details of the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting minutes released on Wednesday for clues on future interest rate decisions.
Interest rate hikes to tame inflation can slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.
In Europe, the German government confirmed it expects the economy to contract by 0.4 per cent this year because of persistently high inflation.
Economy
Petrol Station Owners Lament N75 Price Difference Between PH, Dangote Refineries
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria (PETROAN) has said the price of Premium Motor Spirit, also known as petrol, being sold by the old Port Harcourt Refinery, which resumed production on Tuesday, is N75 per litre higher than that sold by the Dangote Refinery.
This was revealed by the association’s Public Relations Officer, Mr Joseph Obele, during the official reopening ceremony of the refinery, which is now operating at a capacity of 60,000 barrels per day.
Business Post reports that the lifting price of Dangote’s petrol product is N990 per litre. However, the refinery announced a N20 discount on Sunday, which is only available to marketers buying a minimum of 2 million litres of the fuel.
Mr Obele, a former chairman of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN) at the Port Harcourt Deport who initially applauded the federal government for revitalising the old refinery, expressed concern over the pricing disparity between petrol supplied by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited and the Dangote Refinery.
According to him, while Dangote Refinery sells petrol to marketers at N970 per litre, NNPC’s price stands at N1,045, a difference of N75 per litre.
He said the N75 price differential is a steep margin for businesses, particularly for an industry where profitability hinges on competitive pricing.
However, Mr Obele described the refinery’s restoration as a significant step in reducing Nigeria’s dependence on imported petroleum products.
He revealed that the Group Chief Executive Officer of NNPC Limited, Mr Mele Kyari, has promised to address the issue and harmonise prices to mitigate the impact on marketers and consumers.
The reopening of the Port Harcourt Refinery I is expected to enhance local production capacity and reduce reliance on imports, a move welcomed by stakeholders across the sector.
However, concerns over pricing disparities underscore the need for continuous reforms to stabilise the downstream sector of the petroleum industry.
The reopening has also sparked anticipation for the rehabilitation of other state-owned refineries including the second refinery in Port Harcourt as well as the Warri and Kaduna structures.
Economy
Cardoso Targets Ease in Inflation, FX Pressures By Q1 2025
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr Yemi Cardoso, has said the lender’s efforts to tame inflation and pressures on the foreign exchange market will begin to yield results by the first quarter of 2025.
Mr Cardoso spoke during a press conference in Abuja to announce the outcomes of the two-day meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) which raised the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) for the sixth time by 25 basis points to 27.50 per cent.
He said the apex bank is using every possible strategy to tame inflation with a firm assurance that ongoing monetary tightening measures, which it has done six times alone this year, will have a favourable outcome.
The CBN rationalised that the 25 basis points hike is targeted at addressing rising inflation, which stood at 33.88 per cent as of October 2024.
“The central bank is resolute and committed to continuing to fight the war against inflation and there is no going back on that.
“We are going to deploy everything in our arsenal to ensure that we are able to tame it. And of course, this entails the return to orthodox monetary policies,” Cardoso stated amid agitations of rising interest rates on the economy,” the central banker said.
According to him, the Committee was unanimous in its decision to further tighten policy, though members took a decision to retain the asymmetric corridor around the MPR at +500/-100 basis points; Cash Reserve Ratio of Deposit Money Banks at 50 per cent and Merchant Banks at 16 per cent; as well as the Liquidity Ratio at 30 per cent.
He also said the MPC was particularly concerned that all inflationary measures also inched up on a month-on-month basis, suggesting the persistence of price pressures, with attendant adverse impacts on the income and welfare of citizens.
Despite this, Mr Cardoso’s tone was optimistic, forecasting that current measures would be able to tame prices in coming months due to lag effect.
“It is important for people to understand that there is a time lag between when you implement policies and when they have an impact. That time lag can be anything up from six to nine months to even a year. Our own perspective is that we expect to see greater results in the first quarter of 2025.”
He said in addition, that the apex bank is working very assiduously with some of the relevant agencies to ensure that structural impediments to growth are handled appropriately.
“We are ensuring that we are on top of the game and that the foreign exchange market operates at its most optimal manner to reflect the true value of the currency, and of course, we have price discovery.”
Economy
Tinubu Orders Prompt Reactivation of Warri, Kaduna Refineries
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited has been directed to quickly reactivate the second unit of the Port Harcourt Refinery as well as the refineries in Warri and Kaduna.
This directive was given by President Bola Tinubu via a statement issued on Tuesday by his Special Adviser of Information and Strategy, Mr Bayo Onanuga.
Mr Tinubu issued this order in reaction to the commencement of crude oil processing by the Port Harcourt refinery in Rivers State yesterday.
The facility began official loading of petroleum products, including the premium motor spirit (PMS), otherwise known as petrol, yesterday after gulping about $1.5 billion for rehabilitation.
This process started in 2021 under the administration of President Muhammadu Buhari, who his successor praised for “initiating the comprehensive rehabilitation of all our refineries.”
In the statement yesterday, the President noted that the reactivation of the remaining refineries would “significantly enhance domestic production capacity alongside the contributions of privately-owned refineries and make our country a major energy hub, with the gas sector also enjoying unprecedented attention by the administration.”
He affirmed his “administration’s determination to repair the nation’s refineries, aiming to eradicate the disheartening perception of Nigeria as a major crude oil producer that lacks the ability to refine its own resources for domestic consumption.”
Highlighting the values of patience, integrity, and accountability in the rebuilding of the nation’s infrastructure, President Tinubu called upon individuals, institutions, and citizens entrusted with responsibilities to maintain focus and uphold trust in their service to the nation.
“In alignment with the Renewed Hope Agenda focused on shared economic prosperity for all, the President reaffirms his administration’s commitment to achieving energy sufficiency, enhancing energy security, and boosting export capacity for Nigeria,” the statement said.
Mr Tinubu used the opportunity to laud the NNPC under the leadership of Mr Mele Kyari for his “unwavering dedication and commitment” in overcoming challenges to achieve this milestone.
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