Economy
Naira Gains on Dollar as Inflation Hits 27.33%
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira appreciated at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) against the Dollar by 3.7 per cent or N31.23 to N818.99/$1 on Wednesday, November 15 from the previous day’s N850.22/$1 amid a further rise in inflation.
An improvement in the supply of foreign exchange (FX) to the spot market by 45.5 per cent or $33.59 million during the session to $173.51 million from the previous day’s $143.55 million supported the strengthening of the Nigerian currency, boosting investors’ confidence.
Yesterday, the National Bureau of Statistics said Nigeria’s inflation quickened to a new 18-year high of 27.33 per cent in October 2023 as higher living costs and a weaker Naira sent food and goods prices soaring.
This development may put pressure on the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to raise interest rates when it convenes its first monetary policy committee meeting next week since July. The meeting scheduled for September was cancelled.
The lender is expected to lift interest rates for the ninth time in a row as it has already raised rates by 725 basis points since May 2022 to 18.75 per cent.
In the Peer-to-Peer (P2P) segment, the domestic currency appreciated against the American currency by N1 to sell at N1,113/$1 compared with Tuesday’s rate of N1,114/$1.
Also, in the parallel market, the local currency improved its rate against the US Dollar in the midweek session by N5 to quote at N1,135/$1, in contrast to the previous day’s value of N1,140/$1.
However, the Naira weakened against the Pound Sterling in the official market on Wednesday by N12.07 to close at N1,047.84/£1 compared with the previously traded rate of N1,035.77/£1 and against the Euro, it depreciated by N8.14 to finish at N911.27/€1 versus N903.13/€1.
Meanwhile, the crypto market rallied during the trading day, with Solana (SOL) growing by 13.2 per cent to $62.60 amid an ongoing rally in altcoins, as Binance Coin (BNB) rose by 3.1 per cent to $252.44.
Cardano (ADA) grew by 1.6 per cent to trade at $0.3683, Litecoin (LTC) appreciated by 1.2 per cent to $72.07, and Dogecoin (DOGE) expanded by 0.5 per cent to sell at $0.0743.
On the flip side, Ripple (XRP) dropped 2.6 per cent to trade at $0.6378, Ethereum (ETH) went down by 0.9 per cent to $2,012.83, and Bitcoin (BTC) declined by 0.2 per cent to close at $36,239.63, while Binance USD (BUSD) and the US Dollar Tether (USDT) traded flat at $1.00 each.
Economy
United Capital Acquires 5% Stake in Nigerian Exchange Group
By Adedapo Adesanya
United Capital Plc has acquired a 5 per cent equity stake in the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Group Plc for an undisclosed fee, deepening its involvement in Nigeria’s capital market.
The pan-African investment banking and financial services group announced this in a statement on Monday, noting that the transaction had been successfully completed and describing the investment as a key milestone in its long-term growth strategy.
NGX Plc, which serves as the holding company for Nigeria’s premier securities exchange and related market infrastructure businesses, plays a central role in Nigeria’s capital formation, market development, and economic growth.
United Capital said the acquisition reflects its confidence in the future of Nigeria’s capital markets and positions the Group to contribute more actively to the development of the nation’s financial system.
Commenting on the development, the chief executive of United Capital, Mr Peter Ashade, said the investment aligns with the company’s vision of creating sustainable value while supporting institutions critical to economic development.
“This acquisition reflects our confidence in Nigeria’s capital markets and our responsibility to contribute to their growth actively,” Mr Ashade said.
“We have always said that United Capital is not just a participant in Nigeria’s capital markets; we are also builders. This strategic investment in NGX Plc is exactly that: we are building for impact. It is our vote of confidence in the leadership and strategic direction of the NGX and where the capital market is headed,” he added.
According to him, the acquisition underscores the firm’s commitment to supporting the continued evolution of Nigeria’s capital market infrastructure while delivering long-term value to shareholders.
United Capital, which operates across 12 countries in West, East and Central Africa, provides a range of services spanning investment banking, asset management, securities trading and wealth management.
The company said the stake in NGX Plc would enable it to leverage its regional footprint and market expertise to support the Exchange’s next phase of growth and transformation.
The acquisition comes amid a series of strategic milestones for the financial services group, including the successful recapitalisation of all its subsidiaries ahead of regulatory deadlines and the recent acquisition of operational licences in Ethiopia and Rwanda.
Economy
Nigerians Resist IMF Proposal for Higher VAT, Telecom Tax
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigerians have kicked against suggestions by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to the federal government to consider increasing the Value Added Tax (VAT) rate and introducing excise duties on telecommunications services as part of efforts to boost revenue generation and create fiscal space for development spending.
IMF, in its 2026 Article IV Consultation Report on Nigeria, warned that despite recent tax reforms, additional revenue measures would likely be required over the medium term to support critical social and infrastructure spending.
According to the IMF, Nigeria’s revenue mobilisation efforts must go beyond administrative improvements to address the country’s persistently low revenue-to-GDP ratio and rising expenditure pressures.
The Fund stated that, “Further tax policy changes will likely be needed, such as increasing the VAT rate, extending VAT to fuel products, rationalising tax expenditures in particular VAT exemptions on extractive industries and some customs duties, and introducing telecom excises, to complement administrative gains.”
It noted that while the recently enacted tax reforms are expected to improve revenue collection over time, some of the measures are revenue-reducing in the short term and may take time to yield significant gains.
On X (formerly Twitter), user @RealCeecee wrote – “You want to impose more suffering on people living on empty pockets. Where exactly does all this revenue go to? IMF would never give this kind of advice to any country that has good leaders, when the masses are already going through extreme suffering.”
“To be honest Nigerian need to stand its feet against the IMF, no be anything them go detect for us. The revenue they are talking about has anyone seen where it goes, let alone imposing another way to generate that will actually cause discomfort for Nigerians,” another handle, @KingMasy, wrote.
The IMF had stressed that continued revenue mobilisation is essential if the government is to sustain higher capital spending and expand social intervention programmes aimed at cushioning the impact of economic reforms on vulnerable Nigerians.
“Over the medium term, continued revenue mobilisation is essential to creating fiscal space for development and social spending,” the Fund said, adding that there was limited room to maintain the projected increase in capital expenditure without additional revenue sources.
The Bretton Woods institution, however, cautioned that the timing of any new tax measures should take into account the worsening poverty and food insecurity situation in the country.
It emphasised that any tax increases should be accompanied by a fully funded and effective cash transfer programme to shield vulnerable households from additional economic hardship.
“The timing of reforms must consider the poverty and food insecurity situation and ensure that the cash transfer system is in place and funded,” the report stated.
The IMF’s recommendation comes as Nigeria continues to grapple with weak revenue generation despite recent reforms, including the removal of fuel subsidies and efforts to improve tax administration.
The Fund projected that poverty and food insecurity could worsen amid higher global fuel and food prices, noting that poverty had already reached 63 per cent of the population while about 27 million Nigerians faced food insecurity in 2025.
It also reiterated its call for a neutral fiscal stance in 2026, warning that spending pressures linked to poverty, food insecurity and preparations for the 2027 general elections could widen fiscal deficits and increase financing needs if not carefully managed.
Economy
Nigeria’s Inflation Rises to 15.93% in May as Prices Remain Elevated
By Adedapo Adesanya
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has revealed that Nigeria’s headline inflation rate in May 2026 rose to 15.93 per cent from 15.69 per cent in April, as the pressure from the Iran war continued to affect the global economy.
In the report on Monday, the statistical office showed that the headline inflation rate for May on a month-on-month basis was 1.75 per cent. 0.39 per cent lower than the 2.13 per cent recorded in April 2026.
On an annualised basis, the print was down from 26.06 per cent in the same month of the preceding year (May 2025). This was due to the rebasing of the calculation year from 2009 to 2024.
The rise in prices, which stemmed from the continued conflict in the Middle East, continued to stoke food prices and energy costs, which account for a huge chunk of average spending.
According to the NBS, “this can be attributed to the rate of change in the average prices of the following products: Millet whole grain, yam flour, ginger (Fresh), beef, garri, tam tuber, pepper (Fresh), cray fish, cassava tuber, Beans, Irish Potatoes, tomatoes (fresh), wheat grain (Sold loose), soya beans, guinea corn, plantain, carrots (Fresh) etc.”
The Food inflation rate in May 2026 on a month-on-month basis was 2.98 per cent, down by 0.65 percentage points from April 2026 (3.63 per cent), while on a year-on-year basis, it was 16.96 per cent and stood at 24.55 per cent in the same month of the preceding year (May 2025).
In its recent assessment of Nigeria, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) acknowledged the country’s ongoing macroeconomic reform efforts while warning that rising inflation, deepening poverty, and external shocks linked to geopolitical tensions could undermine recent gains.
The IMF projected a reversal in the disinflation trend, with headline inflation rising from 15.1 per cent in February 2026 to 15.4 per cent in March, driven largely by food price increases. It projected year-end inflation of 17.0 per cent, citing global commodity shocks and domestic pass-through effects.
The lender also recommended that the Central Bank of Nigeria maintain a cautious, data-dependent monetary policy stance following its recent steadying of interest rates at 26.5 per cent.
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