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New Survey Details Nigeria’s Struggles with Soaring Prices

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petrol price Nigeria N1200 per litre

The economic landscape in Nigeria is undergoing significant strain as the cost of living skyrockets, impacting millions across the nation, according to a recent report titled The Price of Everything, an elaborate price survey by SBM Intelligence, an Africa-focused market intel gathering and strategic consulting firm.

The report sheds light on the alarming trend of escalating prices for essential goods and commodities, breaking down the picture of the country’s economic woes.

Over the past year, prices for everyday items have more than doubled, severely eroding the purchasing power of the middle class. The survey, conducted between Q1 2023 and Q1 2024, reveals staggering price hikes across a wide range of consumer goods, from food and drinks to personal care products.

One of the most striking findings of the report is the exponential increase in the prices of key items. For instance, Dudu Osun, a popular black soap, witnessed a jaw-dropping 180% price surge, while Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), commonly known as petrol, experienced a 160.9% hike, attributed to the removal of fuel subsidies. These price spikes have had a cascading effect on other goods and services, exacerbating the already dire situation.

The impact of inflation is felt acutely in the food sector, where staple items like rice, noodles, and tomatoes have seen triple-digit increases, with a 50kg bag of foreign rice skyrocketing from N42,000 to N77,000 within a year, marking an 83% increase. Similarly, the price of Indomie Super Pack noodles surged by over 100%. A loaf of bread went from N800 in Q1 2023 to N1,450 in Q1 2024. Even a 50cl PET bottle of Coca-Cola has doubled from N200 in Q1 2023 to N400 in Q1 2024.

Enjoying a drink with friends over a Super Sunday clash is slowly becoming a luxury. A bottle of Guinness Stout has increased from N700 to N1,500, marking a massive 114% increase. Similarly, a bottle of Star beer, which was priced at N700 last year, now sells for N1,200, representing a 71% increase. Even the electricity sector has not been spared, seeing a 160% increase over the period of Q1 2023 to Q1 2024.

Despite the current situation, it appears that price increases in the entertainment industry have lagged behind those in other segments of the economy.

Cable TV providers, such as DStv, for example, have only seen a price hike of approximately 39.95%, compared to that of other essential commodities.

Discussing these insights in an interview with CNBC Africa, Ikemesit Effiong, Partner at SBM Intelligence, highlighted the impact of various factors on inflation trends in Nigeria.

“With entertainment, what you see is that growth has generally lagged. The greatest increase we saw when we put together this report was the 45.1% increase in the price of a Startimes package. A lot of the DStv and GOtv Bouquets have been within 30%. The story is of a slower increment which, when you overlay that on top of all the other pending priorities that consumers have, it probably is a bit of a comfort chain,” he said.

Still, the economic challenges are dire, and calls for government intervention have grown. Stabilising the exchange rate and implementing holistic strategies to address the root causes of inflation are seen as crucial steps to alleviate the economic burden on Nigerians and foster long-term growth.

As the nation navigates through these turbulent times, the need for decisive action to tackle soaring prices and mitigate the adverse effects on livelihoods has never been more pressing.

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Economy

United Capital Acquires 5% Stake in Nigerian Exchange Group

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United Capital revenue

By Adedapo Adesanya

United Capital Plc has acquired a 5 per cent equity stake in the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Group Plc for an undisclosed fee, deepening its involvement in Nigeria’s capital market.

The pan-African investment banking and financial services group announced this in a statement on Monday, noting that the transaction had been successfully completed and describing the investment as a key milestone in its long-term growth strategy.

NGX Plc, which serves as the holding company for Nigeria’s premier securities exchange and related market infrastructure businesses, plays a central role in Nigeria’s capital formation, market development, and economic growth.

United Capital said the acquisition reflects its confidence in the future of Nigeria’s capital markets and positions the Group to contribute more actively to the development of the nation’s financial system.

Commenting on the development, the chief executive of United Capital, Mr Peter Ashade, said the investment aligns with the company’s vision of creating sustainable value while supporting institutions critical to economic development.

“This acquisition reflects our confidence in Nigeria’s capital markets and our responsibility to contribute to their growth actively,” Mr Ashade said.

“We have always said that United Capital is not just a participant in Nigeria’s capital markets; we are also builders. This strategic investment in NGX Plc is exactly that: we are building for impact. It is our vote of confidence in the leadership and strategic direction of the NGX and where the capital market is headed,” he added.

According to him, the acquisition underscores the firm’s commitment to supporting the continued evolution of Nigeria’s capital market infrastructure while delivering long-term value to shareholders.

United Capital, which operates across 12 countries in West, East and Central Africa, provides a range of services spanning investment banking, asset management, securities trading and wealth management.

The company said the stake in NGX Plc would enable it to leverage its regional footprint and market expertise to support the Exchange’s next phase of growth and transformation.

The acquisition comes amid a series of strategic milestones for the financial services group, including the successful recapitalisation of all its subsidiaries ahead of regulatory deadlines and the recent acquisition of operational licences in Ethiopia and Rwanda.

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Economy

Nigerians Resist IMF Proposal for Higher VAT, Telecom Tax

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excise tax on telecom

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigerians have kicked against suggestions by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to the federal government to consider increasing the Value Added Tax (VAT) rate and introducing excise duties on telecommunications services as part of efforts to boost revenue generation and create fiscal space for development spending.

IMF, in its 2026 Article IV Consultation Report on Nigeria, warned that despite recent tax reforms, additional revenue measures would likely be required over the medium term to support critical social and infrastructure spending.

According to the IMF, Nigeria’s revenue mobilisation efforts must go beyond administrative improvements to address the country’s persistently low revenue-to-GDP ratio and rising expenditure pressures.

The Fund stated that, “Further tax policy changes will likely be needed, such as increasing the VAT rate, extending VAT to fuel products, rationalising tax expenditures in particular VAT exemptions on extractive industries and some customs duties, and introducing telecom excises, to complement administrative gains.”

It noted that while the recently enacted tax reforms are expected to improve revenue collection over time, some of the measures are revenue-reducing in the short term and may take time to yield significant gains.

On X (formerly Twitter), user @RealCeecee wrote – “You want to impose more suffering on people living on empty pockets. Where exactly does all this revenue go to? IMF would never give this kind of advice to any country that has good leaders, when the masses are already going through extreme suffering.”

“To be honest Nigerian need to stand its feet against the IMF, no be anything them go detect for us. The revenue they are talking about has anyone seen where it goes, let alone imposing another way to generate that will actually cause discomfort for Nigerians,” another handle, @KingMasy, wrote.

The IMF had stressed that continued revenue mobilisation is essential if the government is to sustain higher capital spending and expand social intervention programmes aimed at cushioning the impact of economic reforms on vulnerable Nigerians.

“Over the medium term, continued revenue mobilisation is essential to creating fiscal space for development and social spending,” the Fund said, adding that there was limited room to maintain the projected increase in capital expenditure without additional revenue sources.

The Bretton Woods institution, however, cautioned that the timing of any new tax measures should take into account the worsening poverty and food insecurity situation in the country.

It emphasised that any tax increases should be accompanied by a fully funded and effective cash transfer programme to shield vulnerable households from additional economic hardship.

“The timing of reforms must consider the poverty and food insecurity situation and ensure that the cash transfer system is in place and funded,” the report stated.

The IMF’s recommendation comes as Nigeria continues to grapple with weak revenue generation despite recent reforms, including the removal of fuel subsidies and efforts to improve tax administration.

The Fund projected that poverty and food insecurity could worsen amid higher global fuel and food prices, noting that poverty had already reached 63 per cent of the population while about 27 million Nigerians faced food insecurity in 2025.

It also reiterated its call for a neutral fiscal stance in 2026, warning that spending pressures linked to poverty, food insecurity and preparations for the 2027 general elections could widen fiscal deficits and increase financing needs if not carefully managed.

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Economy

Nigeria’s Inflation Rises to 15.93% in May as Prices Remain Elevated

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Nigeria’s Headline Inflation

By Adedapo Adesanya 

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has revealed that Nigeria’s headline inflation rate in May 2026 rose to 15.93 per cent from 15.69 per cent in April, as the pressure from the Iran war continued to affect the global economy.

In the report on Monday, the statistical office showed that the headline inflation rate for May on a month-on-month basis was 1.75 per cent. 0.39 per cent lower than the 2.13 per cent recorded in April 2026.

On an annualised basis, the print was down from 26.06 per cent in the same month of the preceding year (May 2025). This was due to the rebasing of the calculation year from 2009 to 2024.

The rise in prices, which stemmed from the continued conflict in the Middle East, continued to stoke food prices and energy costs, which account for a huge chunk of average spending.

According to the NBS, “this can be attributed to the rate of change in the average prices of the following products: Millet whole grain, yam flour, ginger (Fresh), beef, garri, tam tuber, pepper (Fresh), cray fish, cassava tuber, Beans, Irish Potatoes, tomatoes (fresh), wheat grain (Sold loose), soya beans, guinea corn, plantain, carrots (Fresh) etc.”

The Food inflation rate in May 2026 on a month-on-month basis was 2.98 per cent, down by 0.65 percentage points from April 2026 (3.63 per cent), while on a year-on-year basis, it was 16.96 per cent and stood at 24.55 per cent in the same month of the preceding year (May 2025).

In its recent assessment of Nigeria, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) acknowledged the country’s ongoing macroeconomic reform efforts while warning that rising inflation, deepening poverty, and external shocks linked to geopolitical tensions could undermine recent gains.

The IMF projected a reversal in the disinflation trend, with headline inflation rising from 15.1 per cent in February 2026 to 15.4 per cent in March, driven largely by food price increases. It projected year-end inflation of 17.0 per cent, citing global commodity shocks and domestic pass-through effects.

The lender also recommended that the Central Bank of Nigeria maintain a cautious, data-dependent monetary policy stance following its recent steadying of interest rates at 26.5 per cent.

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