Economy
Crude Oil Trades Mixed as Traders Continue to Weigh OPEC+ Supply Hike
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil was steadied on Tuesday as investors weighed a smaller-than-expected increase to output by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) in November against signs of a potential supply glut.
Brent crude was down by 2 cents or 0.03 per cent to $65.45 a barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up by 4 cents or 0.06 per cent to $61.73 per barrel.
The market continued to weigh OPEC+’s decision to increase collective oil production by 137,000 barrels per day, starting in November.
The move was in contrast to market expectations for a more aggressive increase, a sign that the group remains cautious in light of predictions for a global supply surplus in the fourth quarter as well as next year.
Market sentiment remains subdued, in particular after Saudi Arabia opted to keep the official selling price of its flagship crude to Asia unchanged, defying analyst expectations for an increase while the United Arab Emirates (UAE) set the November official selling price of its benchmark Murban crude at $70.22 a barrel, up from October’s official selling price of $70.10.
On the demand side, India’s fuel demand rose 7 per cent year-on-year in September.
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that the country’s oil production is expected to hit a larger record of 13.53 million barrels per day this year, up from a prior forecast of 13.44 million barrels per day.
Global oil inventories are also expected to rise through next year as non-OPEC+ countries lead oil output growth, according to the EIA, putting significant downward pressure on commodity prices in the months ahead.
On its part, JPMorgan said global oil inventories, including crude stored on water, have risen every week in September, adding 123 million barrels during the month.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the US increased by 2.780 million barrels in the week ending October 3. So far this year, net crude oil inventories have rose by just 557,000 barrels.
Gasoline (petrol) inventories fell by 1.245 million barrels in the week ending October 3, after gaining 1.3 million barrels in the week prior and distillate inventories also fell in the reporting period, losing 1.822 million barrels following the week prior’s 3.003-million-barrel gain.
Th official data from the US EIA will be due later on Wednesday.
Also, the market continue to watch developments between Russia and Ukraine which is affecting energy assets and creating uncertainty over Russian crude supply.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The chief executive of the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), Mrs Oritsemeyiwa Eyesan, has assured investors of a transparent, merit-based and competitive process for Nigeria’s 2025 oil and gas licensing round.
Mrs Eyesan, gave the assurance on Wednesday while speaking at a Pre-Bid Webinar organised by the commission, noting that only applicants with strong technical, financial credentials, professionalism and credible plans would proceed to the critical stage of the bidding process.
The NUPRC in December 1, 2025 inaugurated Nigeria’s 2025 Licensing Bid Round, offering 50 oil and gas blocks across frontier, onshore, shallow water, and deepwater terrains for potential investors.
The basins included Niger Delta basin, with 35 blocks, Benin (Frontier) with three blocks, Anambra (Frontier), with four blocks, Benue (Frontier), with four blocks and Chad (Frontier) with four blocks on offer.
Mrs Eyesan explained that the licensing process would follow five stages: Registration and pre-qualification, data acquisition, technical bid submission, evaluation, and a commercial bid conference, with only bidders that meet strong technical and financial criteria progressing.
The NUPRC executive said the 2025 Licensing Round represented a deliberate effort by Nigeria to reposition its upstream petroleum sector for long-term investment, transparency, and value creation, amid increasing global competition for capital.
She said that energy security and supply resilience had become key global economic and geopolitical priorities, while investment capital was increasingly selective and disciplined.
“Our national priority is clear: to attract capital, grow reserves, and improve production in a responsible and sustainable manner.
“A structured and transparent licensing round is essential to achieving these objectives.
“The NUPRC is legally mandated to conduct licensing rounds in a periodic, open, transparent, and fully competitive manner and the entire 2025 process will be governed strictly by published rules,” she said.
The official further revealed that, with the approval of President Bola Tinubu, signature bonuses for the 2025 round have been set within a range designed to lower entry barriers and prioritise technical capability, credible work programmes, financial strength, and speed to production.
She emphasised that the bid process will fully comply with the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) and remain open to public and institutional scrutiny through the Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (NEITI) and other oversight agencies.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Four price losers weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.06 per cent on Wednesday, January 28.
The decliners were led by Afriland Properties Plc, which lost N1.53 to close at N14.50 per share compared with the previous day’s N16.03 per share, Geo-Fluids Plc dropped 50 Kobo to end at N6.35 per unit versus Tuesday’s price of N6.85 per unit, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc declined by 35 Kobo to N40.15 per share from N40.50 per share, and Food Concepts Plc decreased by 28 Kobo to sell at N2.72 per unit versus N3.00 per unit.
As a result, the market capitalisation of the bourse went down by N1.3 billion to N2.173 trillion from the N2.174 trillion it ended a day earlier, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) fell by 2.17 points to 3,632.56 points from Tuesday’s 3,634.73 points.
In the midst of the profit-taking, some securities witnessed bargain-hunting, with Nipco Plc gaining N22.00 to close at N242.00 per share versus N220.00 per share of the previous session, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc improved by N4.00 to N68.00 per unit from N64.00 per unit, and Acorn Petroleum Plc added 8 Kobo to finish at N1.38 per share versus N1.30 per share.
At midweek, the volume of securities transacted by the market participants surged by 259.9 per cent to 4.7 million units from 1.3 million units, but the value of securities went down by 8.6 per cent to N52.4 million from N57.3 million and the number of deals shrank by 15.8 per cent to 32 deals from 38 deals.
CSCS Plc remained the most traded stock by value (year-to-date) with 15.3 million units exchanged for N622.4 million, followed by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 1.6 million units valued at N108.4 million, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 8.9 million units worth N60.3 million.
CSCS Plc was also the most traded stock by volume (year-to-date) with 15.3 million units sold for N622.4 million, followed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 8.9 million units exchanged for N60.3 million, and Mass Telecom Innovation Plc with 8.4 million units traded for N3.4 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira was exchanged at N1,400.28 per Dollar in the the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Wednesday, January 28 after it gained 74 or 0.05 per cent against the United States Dollar, according to data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). In the preceding trading session, the value of the local currency stood at N1,401.22/$1.
However, the domestic currency further depreciated against the Pound Sterling in the official market yesterday by N4.15 to end at N1,929.99/£1 compared with Tuesday’s closing price of N1,925.84/£1 and against the Euro, it lost N3.31 to settle at N1,675.53/€1, in contrast to the preceding session’s closing price of N1,672.22/€1.
At the black market window, the Nigerian Naira maintained stability against the Dollar at N1,480/$1 at midweek, same at the GTBank forex desk, where it closed flat at N1,426/$1.
The Naira has sustained its upward momentum into early 2026, building on the gains recorded in 2025, when it posted its strongest performance in over a decade. Recent reforms in the FX market as well as structural reforms in the oil sector have eased fears and buoyed investments.
This has boosted foreign capital inflows and led to stronger diaspora remittances, keeping the exchange rate at the N1,400 mark in the medium term.
Also boosting the value of the Naira is a general weakening of the greenback in the international market as a result of geographical tensions and risk associated with US policies.
As for the cryptocurrency market, continued strength in commodities, especially record-high gold and elevated silver and copper, have overshadowed crypto markets. A weaker Dollar fueled strong rallies in these commodities, making them safer havens than crypto.
Also, the US Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at its meeting on Wednesday.
Solana (SOL) shrank by 2.9 per cent to $123.15, Dogecoin (DOGE) depreciated by 2.6 per cent to $0.1217, Litecoin (LTC) slid by 2.4 per cent to $68.10, Ripple (XRP) fell by 2.1 per cent to $1.87, Cardano (ADA) depleted by 1.9 per cent to $0.3506, Ethereum (ETH) went down by 1.8 per cent to $2,951.30, Bitcoin (BTC) dipped by 1.1 per cent to $88,118.29, and Binance Coin (BNB) slumped by 0.1 per cent to $889.03, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.
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