Economy
Pension Funds Missing Out On Equity Market Performance
By Quantitative Financial Analytics
Nigerian pension funds continue to show resilience and strength so far in 2017 as they gather improvements in performance but it seems that no matter how hard they try, they are lagging the performance of pure equity portfolios.
All the major indexes in Nigeria are recording mouth-watering performances in the upper double digits except NSE Insurance and NSE Oil and Gas Index whose performance is of single digits.
While NSE Banking index has generated a YTD return of 64.07%, NSE Pension index is showing its strength at 58.48% YTD return.
Not to be out done, the NSE Premium index is standing tall with a YTD return of 51.64%, the NSE Stock Index 30 is also doing the same with a return of 45.44%.
The NSE Industrial, Lotus Islamic and NSE Consumer indexes are proud of themselves with YTD returns of 42.27%, 30.66% and 37.36% respectively but the All-Share Index is beating them with its YTD return of 41.78%.
The fundamentals of the economy are so strong as reflected by the Nigerian equity market that the S&P Nigerian Sovereign index is doing better than the S&P African Sovereign Index. It may take the efforts of financial historians to remember the last time the market did so good.
Even among individual equities that trade on the floor of the exchange, a great majority have rewarded their holders with fantastic returns.
May and Baker has recorded a 261% return YTD, Stanbic IBTC Holdings, 168.24%, Fidson Healthcare Plc, 146.54% to mention but a few although there still are a few like MRS Oil, Forte Oil Plc and 7-Up Bottling Co that are still making negative returns.
For those saving for their retirement through various pension schemes, there is the temptation to find out how good their pensions are doing in the light of the performance of the equity market.
To such investors, my take on that question is that the pension funds are doing good but not so good comparatively.
Among the pension funds in the RSA category, only 6 can boast of double digit YTD returns with APT RSA fund taking the lead with 15.37% followed by AIICO pension RSA fund with 10.02%, according to analysis by Quantitative Financial Analytics.
The good news however is that all the RSA funds are showing positive YTD returns of some sort.
The story is the same among the Retiree fund category in which APT Pension fund leads the YTD return ranking with 14.94% followed by Crusader Pension Retiree fund with 12.81%. Like the RSA funds, all the Retiree funds show positive YTD returns.
There is no doubt that the Nigerian pension fund industry has been very resilient through thick and thin.
When the market headed south in Q2 2016, pension funds held their own and put some smiles of the faces of retirement minded investors and savers.
However, pension funds seem to be missing out on the current equity market performance mostly because of the asset classes pension funds are allowed by regulation to allocate their capital to.
In keeping with such regulatory requirements, Nigerian pension funds have only about 7.45% of their assets in the domestic equity market, according to analysis of latest data from Pencom.
With such little exposure to the equity market, it is difficult not to be hurt when the equity market performs good like it is doing now.
Another reason why pension funds are missing out on the largesse of the stock market is the low correlation between the stock market (All-Share Index) and pension funds.
Per analysis conducted by Quantitative Financial Analytics, many of the pension funds have low correlation to the market.
Correlation is a ratio that measures the degree to which asset types like stocks, bonds, pension funds or mutual funds move up and down at the same time.
When two asset types are highly correlated, they tend to move up or down together but when they have low correlation between them, then they do not gyrate up or down together as much as when they are highly correlated.
In another analysis, Quantitative Financial Analytics measured the relationship between the stock market and pension funds by calculating the beta of the pensions in relation to the All-Share index. The analysis reveals that Nigerian pension funds have very low beta with respect to the equity market. The result of these analysis is not surprising given that the asset allocation strategies of the pensions is over weight in bonds and other fixed securities.
The implication of this is that the pension funds do not move in tandem with the market. It is agreed that pension funds need to be pursue conservative investment strategies to reduce the risk of loss of investors’ capital, it may be reasonable to increase exposure to the equity market in such a way that returns can be maximized while controlling risk.
Pension fund investors should however take solace in the fact that what they are missing in high performance they are gaining in low risk.
A risk analysis conducted by Quantitative Financial Analytics using the standard deviation of returns for pension funds and equities shows that the pension funds are much less risky than equities.
While the seemingly riskiest pension fund has a standard deviation of 1.37, the corresponding number for equities is 31.58, according to the analysis.
Investment performance analysis experts are united in the opinion that risk adjusted returns are more meaningful than absolute returns. So pension fund investors can go to sleep in comfort knowing that what they lost in capital appreciation they gain in capital preservation.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Wale Edun, has called on state-owned enterprises to increase standards of transparency, ethics, and performance as Nigeria pushes to build a $1 trillion economy.
Speaking at the MOFI Corporate Governance Forum in Abuja, the Minister described the newly introduced MOFI Scorecard as a vital benchmark for institutional health, designed to position state-owned enterprises for investment, growth, and long-term value creation.
According to Mr Edun, this scorecard is not just a document; it’s a test, adding that strong governance attracts capital, builds trust, and delivers real economic returns.
The two-day forum, themed Ensuring Value Creation in State-Owned Enterprises Through Better Corporate Governance, brought together CEOs, regulators, and development partners to examine how better oversight can unlock Nigeria’s public asset potential.
Referencing entities like NNPC Limited, Mr Edun noted that state-owned enterprises must be investor-ready as the government shifts from debt-heavy budgets to equity-based growth.
He also pointed to positive macro signals and falling food and fuel prices as early signs of a stabilising economy.
On his part, MOFI Chairman, Mr Shamsudeen Usman, confirmed that the scorecard will be enforced through independent assessments, including MOFI itself.
“We are not asking others to do what we haven’t already done,” he said.
Backed by the World Bank, the initiative marks a shift in how Nigeria manages public wealth, with governance now central to growth, resilience, and investor confidence.
The introduction of the governance scorecard is a testament to the Federal Government’s commitment to transforming Nigeria’s economy. As the country moves forward, one thing is clear: transparency, accountability, and growth will be the guiding principles for state-owned enterprises.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The market capitalisation of the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange rose by 1.70 per cent or N32.36 billion on Thursday, April 10, closing at N1.925 trillion, in contrast to the N1.892 trillion quoted at the preceding session.
However, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) went up by 10.46 points or 0.32 per cent to 3,287.85 points from the 3,277.39 points it ended a day earlier.
The market capitalisation was higher yesterday after admitting additional shares of Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company Plc (InfraCredit) to the platform after regulatory approval. The firm joined the NASD Exchange on March 6.
The company, backed by the Nigerian sovereign wealth fund, added 11.166 million units to bring its volume to 26.421 million.
At the trading session, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc gained N1.91 to close at N38.50 per unit versus N36.59 per unit, Mixta Real Estate Plc rose by 41 Kobo to N4.55 per share from the previous closing value of N4.14 per share, Lagos Building Infrastructure Company (LBIC) Plc grew by 17 Kobo to N2.63 per unit from N2.80 per unit, and Paintcom Investment Plc improved by 2 Kobo to N10.74 per share from N10.72 per share, while Geo-Fluids Plc declined by 22 Kobo to N2.00 per unit from N2.22 per unit.
The volume of transactions surged by 9,665.9 per cent to 18.1 million units from 185,449 units, the value of transactions soared by 7,174.3 per cent to N192.9 million from N192.9 million, and the number of deals rose by 81.8 per cent to 20 deals from 11 deals.
Impresit Bakolori Plc ended the day as the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) for trading 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million, trailed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 71.2 million units valued at N24.2 million, and Geo Fluids Plc with 44.6 million units sold for N90.2 million.
FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc also remained as the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 14.5 million units valued at N559.2 million, followed by Impresit Bakolori Plc with 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million, and Afriland Properties Plc with 17.8 million units sold for N365.0 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira witnessed a depreciation of 1.05 per cent or N16.97 against the US Dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Thursday, April 10, exchanging at N1,629.94/$1 compared with the previous day’s rate of N1,612.99/$1.
In the same official market, the Nigerian currency, however, traded flat against the Pound Sterling and the Euro during the session at N2,085.01/£1 and N1,805.64/€1, respectively.
As for the black market, the domestic currency depreciated against the greenback yesterday by N5 to sell for N1,620/$1, in contrast to the N1,615/$1 it was exchanged at midweek.
The Naira had stabilise on Wednesday in the spot market after President Donald Trump of the United States announced a 90-day pause on tariffs for more than 75 nations, including Nigeria, that did not retaliate to his sweeping duties announced a week ago.
However, China, which recently placed steeped retaliatory tariffs on US goods, did not get any relief, as Mr Trump hiked the total levy on Chinese goods to 125 per cent.
Market analysts raise worries about a secondary effect of a trade war between the US and China, and how it can have effected on other nations’ economies.
Even as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) continued to prop up the local currency, in the last week, the Naira has exchanged between the N1,570 and N1,620 mark.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was mixed on Thursday after exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw outflows even as prices surged after President Trump announced a 90-day pause in tariffs on most countries, excluding China.
The dwindling demand can be attributed to the macroeconomic uncertainty caused by the US-China trade tensions that has led to macro investors selling every asset, including crypto ETFs, for cash.
Litecoin (LTC) gained 1.9 per cent to trade at $75.88, Cardano (ADA) jumped by 1.4 per cent to $0.6321, Dogecoin (DOGE) appreciated by 0.3 per cent to $0.1575, and Solana (SOL) rose by 0.2 per cent to $116.94.
On the flip side, Ethereum (ETH) dropped 3.6 per cent to settle at $1,533.42, Bitcoin (BTC) shed 1.2 per cent to end at $81,017.23, Ripple (XRP) slumped by 0.2 per cent to $1.99, and Binance Coin (BNB) went south by 0.1 per cent to $579.45, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.
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