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Economy

Pension Funds Missing Out On Equity Market Performance

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Pension Fund Managers

By Quantitative Financial Analytics

Nigerian pension funds continue to show resilience and strength so far in 2017 as they gather improvements in performance but it seems that no matter how hard they try, they are lagging the performance of pure equity portfolios.

All the major indexes in Nigeria are recording mouth-watering performances in the upper double digits except NSE Insurance and NSE Oil and Gas Index whose performance is of single digits.

While NSE Banking index has generated a YTD return of 64.07%, NSE Pension index is showing its strength at 58.48% YTD return.

Not to be out done, the NSE Premium index is standing tall with a YTD return of 51.64%, the NSE Stock Index 30 is also doing the same with a return of 45.44%.

The NSE Industrial, Lotus Islamic and NSE Consumer indexes are proud of themselves with YTD returns of 42.27%, 30.66% and 37.36% respectively but the All-Share Index is beating them with its YTD return of 41.78%.

The fundamentals of the economy are so strong as reflected by the Nigerian equity market that the S&P Nigerian Sovereign index is doing better than the S&P African Sovereign Index. It may take the efforts of financial historians to remember the last time the market did so good.

Even among individual equities that trade on the floor of the exchange, a great majority have rewarded their holders with fantastic returns.

May and Baker has recorded a 261% return YTD, Stanbic IBTC Holdings, 168.24%, Fidson Healthcare Plc, 146.54% to mention but a few although there still are a few like MRS Oil, Forte Oil Plc and 7-Up Bottling Co that are still making negative returns.

For those saving for their retirement through various pension schemes, there is the temptation to find out how good their pensions are doing in the light of the performance of the equity market.

To such investors, my take on that question is that the pension funds are doing good but not so good comparatively.

Among the pension funds in the RSA category, only 6 can boast of double digit YTD returns with APT RSA fund taking the lead with 15.37% followed by AIICO pension RSA fund with 10.02%, according to analysis by Quantitative Financial Analytics.

The good news however is that all the RSA funds are showing positive YTD returns of some sort.

The story is the same among the Retiree fund category in which APT Pension fund leads the YTD return ranking with 14.94% followed by Crusader Pension Retiree fund with 12.81%. Like the RSA funds, all the Retiree funds show positive YTD returns.

There is no doubt that the Nigerian pension fund industry has been very resilient through thick and thin.

When the market headed south in Q2 2016, pension funds held their own and put some smiles of the faces of retirement minded investors and savers.

However, pension funds seem to be missing out on the current equity market performance mostly because of the asset classes pension funds are allowed by regulation to allocate their capital to.

In keeping with such regulatory requirements, Nigerian pension funds have only about 7.45% of their assets in the domestic equity market, according to analysis of latest data from Pencom.

With such little exposure to the equity market, it is difficult not to be hurt when the equity market performs good like it is doing now.

Another reason why pension funds are missing out on the largesse of the stock market is the low correlation between the stock market (All-Share Index) and pension funds.

Per analysis conducted by Quantitative Financial Analytics, many of the pension funds have low correlation to the market.

Correlation is a ratio that measures the degree to which asset types like stocks, bonds, pension funds or mutual funds move up and down at the same time.

When two asset types are highly correlated, they tend to move up or down together but when they have low correlation between them, then they do not gyrate up or down together as much as when they are highly correlated.

In another analysis, Quantitative Financial Analytics measured the relationship between the stock market and pension funds by calculating the beta of the pensions in relation to the All-Share index. The analysis reveals that Nigerian pension funds have very low beta with respect to the equity market. The result of these analysis is not surprising given that the asset allocation strategies of the pensions is over weight in bonds and other fixed securities.

The implication of this is that the pension funds do not move in tandem with the market. It is agreed that pension funds need to be pursue conservative investment strategies to reduce the risk of loss of investors’ capital, it may be reasonable to increase exposure to the equity market in such a way that returns can be maximized while controlling risk.

Pension fund investors should however take solace in the fact that what they are missing in high performance they are gaining in low risk.

A risk analysis conducted by Quantitative Financial Analytics using the standard deviation of returns for pension funds and equities shows that the pension funds are much less risky than equities.

While the seemingly riskiest pension fund has a standard deviation of 1.37, the corresponding number for equities is 31.58, according to the analysis.

Investment performance analysis experts are united in the opinion that risk adjusted returns are more meaningful than absolute returns. So pension fund investors can go to sleep in comfort knowing that what they lost in capital appreciation they gain in capital preservation.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

Economy

UK Backs Nigeria With Two Flagship Economic Reform Programmes

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UK Nigeria

By Adedapo Adesanya

The United Kingdom via the British High Commission in Abuja has launched two flagship economic reform programmes – the Nigeria Economic Stability & Transformation (NEST) programme and the Nigeria Public Finance Facility (NPFF) -as part of efforts to support Nigeria’s economic reform and growth agenda.

Backed by a £12.4 million UK investment, NEST and NPFF sit at the centre of the UK-Nigeria mutual growth partnership and support Nigeria’s efforts to strengthen macroeconomic stability, improve fiscal resilience, and create a more competitive environment for investment and private-sector growth.

Speaking at the launch, Cynthia Rowe, Head of Development Cooperation at the British High Commission in Abuja, said, “These two programmes sit at the heart of our economic development cooperation with Nigeria. They reflect a shared commitment to strengthening the fundamentals that matter most for our stability, confidence, and long-term growth.”

The launch followed the inaugural meeting of the Joint UK-Nigeria Steering Committee, which endorsed the approach of both programmes and confirmed strong alignment between the UK and Nigeria on priority areas for delivery.

Representing the Government of Nigeria, Special Adviser to the President of Nigeria on Finance and the Economy, Mrs Sanyade Okoli, welcomed the collaboration, touting it as crucial to current, critical reforms.

“We welcome the United Kingdom’s support through these new programmes as a strong demonstration of our shared commitment to Nigeria’s economic stability and long-term prosperity. At a time when we are implementing critical reforms to strengthen fiscal resilience, improve macroeconomic stability, and unlock inclusive growth, this partnership will provide valuable technical support. Together, we are laying the foundation for a more resilient economy that delivers sustainable development and improved livelihoods for all Nigerians.”

On his part, Mr Jonny Baxter, British Deputy High Commissioner in Lagos, highlighted the significance of the programmes within the wider UK-Nigeria mutual growth partnership.

“NEST and NPFF are central to our shared approach to strengthening the foundations that underpin long-term economic prosperity. They sit firmly within the UK-Nigeria mutual growth partnership.”

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Economy

MTN Nigeria, SMEDAN to Boost SME Digital Growth

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MTN Nigeria SMEDAN

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

A strategic partnership aimed at accelerating the growth, digital capacity, and sustainability of Nigeria’s 40 million Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) has been signed by MTN Nigeria and the Small and Medium Enterprises Development Agency of Nigeria (SMEDAN).

The collaboration will feature joint initiatives focused on digital inclusion, financial access, capacity building, and providing verified information for MSMEs.

With millions of small businesses depending on accurate guidance and easy-to-access support, MTN and SMEDAN say their shared platform will address gaps in communication, misinformation, and access to opportunities.

At the formal signing of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on Thursday, November 27, 2025, in Lagos, the stage was set for the immediate roll-out of tools, content, and resources that will support MSMEs nationwide.

The chief operating officer of MTN Nigeria, Mr Ayham Moussa, reiterated the company’s commitment to supporting Nigeria’s economic development, stating that MSMEs are the lifeline of Nigeria’s economy.

“SMEs are the backbone of the economy and the backbone of employment in Nigeria. We are delighted to power SMEDAN’s platform and provide tools that help MSMEs reach customers, obtain funding, and access wider markets. This collaboration serves both our business and social development objectives,” he stated.

Also, the Chief Enterprise Business Officer of MTN Nigeria, Ms Lynda Saint-Nwafor, described the MoU as a tool to “meet SMEs at the point of their needs,” noting that nano, micro, small, and medium businesses each require different resources to scale.

“Some SMEs need guidance, some need resources; others need opportunities or workforce support. This platform allows them to access whatever they need. We are committed to identifying opportunities across financial inclusion, digital inclusion, and capacity building that help SMEs to scale,” she noted.

Also commenting, the Director General of SMEDAN, Mr Charles Odii, emphasised the significance of the collaboration, noting that the agency cannot meet its mandate without leveraging technology and private-sector expertise.

“We have approximately 40 million MSMEs in Nigeria, and only about 400 SMEDAN staff. We cannot fulfil our mandate without technology, data, and strong partners.

“MTN already has the infrastructure and tools to support MSMEs from payments to identity, hosting, learning, and more. With this partnership, we are confident we can achieve in a short time what would have taken years,” he disclosed.

Mr Odii highlighted that the SMEDAN-MTN collaboration would support businesses across their growth needs, guided by their four-point GROW model – Guidance, Resources, Opportunities, and Workforce Development.

He added that SMEDAN has already created over 100,000 jobs within its two-year administration and expects the partnership to significantly boost job creation, business expansion, and nationwide enterprise modernisation.

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Economy

NGX Seeks Suspension of New Capital Gains Tax

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capital gains tax

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited is seeking review of the controversial Capital Gains Tax increase, fearing it will chase away foreign investors from the country’s capital market.

Nigeria’s new tax regime, which takes effect from January 1, 2026, represents one of the most significant changes to Nigeria’s tax system in recent years.

Under the new rules, the flat 10 per cent Capital Gains Tax rate has been replaced by progressive income tax rates ranging from zero to 30 per cent, depending on an investor’s overall income or profit level while large corporate investors will see the top rate reduced to 25 per cent as part of a wider corporate tax reform.

The chief executive of NGX, Mr Jude Chiemeka, said in a Bloomberg interview in Kigali, Rwanda that there should be a “removal of the capital gains tax completely, or perhaps deferring it for five years.”

According to him, Nigeria, having a higher Capital Gains Tax, will make investors redirect asset allocation to frontier markets and “countries that have less tax.”

“From a capital flow perspective, we should be concerned because all these international portfolio managers that invest across frontier markets will certainly go to where the cost of investing is not so burdensome,” the CEO said, as per Bloomberg. “That is really the angle one will look at it from.”

Meanwhile, the policy has been defended by the chairman of the Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee, Mr Taiwo Oyedele, who noted that the new tax will make investing in the capital market more attractive by reducing risks, promoting fairness, and simplifying compliance.

He noted that the framework allows investors to deduct legitimate costs such as brokerage fees, regulatory charges, realised capital losses, margin interest, and foreign exchange losses directly tied to investments, thereby ensuring that they are not taxed when operating at a loss.

Mr Oyedele  also said the reforms introduced a more inclusive approach to taxation by exempting several categories of investors and transactions.

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