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Qfac Pick of the Week: United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc

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By Quantitative Financial Analytics Ltd

Though UBA Plc price fell from N11.24 to N11 during the last trading day, this week’s Qfac pick is United Bank for Africa, (UBA) Plc and our analysis is pointing to a buy signal.

United Bank for Africa Plc is a financial institution in Nigeria engaged in corporate, commercial and retail banking as well as trade services, cash management, treasury and custodial services with branches African countries. Our buy signal derives from the following:

Moving Average Analysis: The latest price of N11.00 beats its 5-Day, 5 5-Day, 50-Day, and 100-Day moving average prices. Most technical analysts use the moving average rule that recommends a buy when a market close crosses above x day moving average, while a sell is signalled when a market close crosses below x day moving average (where x could be any number of days)

Commodity Channel Index: Though most chartists use the CCI as an overbought/oversold oscillator, it could be used to signal buys or sells. CCI compares current price with average price over a period of time CCI readings of above 100 indicate a buy while those below -100 indicate a sell. Our CCI index for UBA based on a 14- week period is 200.45

Relative Strength Index (RSI): According to Welles Wilder, who introduced RSI in 1978, market tops are often completed when the RSI rises above 70 while bottoms are formed during periods when the RSI falls below 30. Most analysts prepare to buy as prices dip below 30 using a rise back to 30 as a buy signal and prepare to sell when the RSI moves above 70. This is premised on the notion that RSI of 70 and above indicate that a stock is becoming overbought or overvalued and could be getting ready for a reversal while an RSI value of 30 and below indicate an oversell or an upcoming reversal. Our chart shows that UBA has an RSI of 66.143 which is below the overbought mark, we call it a buy especially for the day traders but could be a hold for longer tern traders.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD uses two lines to signal a buy or a sell, the faster line (MACD) and the slower line (signal). The actual buy or sell signals are given when the two lines cross, such that a crossing by the faster MACD line above the slower signal line indicates a buy while a crossing of the MACD line below the signal line indicates a sell. For UBA, the MACD line just crossed the signal line indicating a buy

Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic indicator also uses two lines to signal buys or sells, the %K and %D lines. Buy signals are indicated when the fast %K line rises above 30 accompanied by a cross above the fast %D line while sell signals are indicated when the fast %K stochastic line falls below 80 and accompanied by a cross below the fast %D stochastic line.

As indicated above, the fast %K rose above 30 and crossed above the fast %D on December 27 indicating a buy.

Summary: Based on the above technical charts, we believe that the technical analysis is pointing to a buy signal for UBA.

For complete list of picks or for analysis of any stock of interest, contact [email protected]

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

LIRS Shifts Deadline for Annual Returns Filing to February 7

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Annual Tax Returns

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The deadline for filing of employers’ annual tax returns in Lagos State has been extended by one week from February 1 to 7, 2026.

This information was revealed in a statement signed by the Head of Corporate Communications of the Lagos State Internal Revenue Service (LIRS), Mrs Monsurat Amasa-Oyelude.

In the statement issued over the weekend, the chairman of the tax collecting organisation, Mr Ayodele Subair, explained that the statutory deadline for filing of employers’ annual tax returns is January 31, every year, noting that the extension is intended to provide employers with additional time to complete and submit accurate tax returns.

According to him, employers must give priority to the timely filing of their annual returns, noting that compliance should be embedded as a routine business practice.

He also reiterated that electronic filing through the LIRS eTax platform remains the only approved method for submitting annual returns, as manual filings have been completely phased out. Employers are therefore required to file their returns exclusively through the LIRS eTax portal: https://etax.lirs.net.

Describing the platform as secure, user-friendly, and accessible 24/7, Mr Subair advised employers to ensure that the Tax ID (Tax Identification Number) of all employees is correctly captured in their submissions.

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Economy

Airtel on Track to List Mobile Money Unit in First Half of 2026—Taldar

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By Adedapo Adesanya 

The chief executive of Airtel Africa Plc, Mr Sunil Kumar Taldar, has disclosed that the company is still on track to list its mobile money business, Airtel Money, before the end of June 2026.

Recall that Business Post reported in March 2024 that the mobile network operator was considering selling the shares of Airtel Money to the public through the IPO vehicle in a transaction expected to raise about $4 billion.

The firm had been in talks with possible advisors for a planned listing of the shares from the initial public offer on a stock exchange with some options including London, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), or Europe.

However, so far no final decisions have been made regarding the timing, location, or scale of the IPO.

In September 2025, the telco reportedly picked Citigroup Incorporated as advisors for the planned IPO which will see Airtel Money become a standalone entity before it can attain the prestige of trading on a stock exchange.

Mr Taldar, noted that metrics continued to show improvements ahead of the listing with its customer base hitting 52 million, compared to around 44.6 million users it had as of June 2025.

He added that the subsidiary processed over $210 billion in a year, according to the company’s nine-month financial results released on Friday.

“Our push to enhance financial inclusion across the continent continues to gain momentum with our Mobile Money customer base expanding to 52 million, surpassing the 50 million milestone. Annualised total processed value of over $210 billion in Q3’26 underscores the depth of our merchants, agents, and partner ecosystem and remains a key player in driving improved access to financial services across Africa.

“We remain on track for the listing of Airtel Money in the first half of 2026,” Mr Taldar said.

Estimating Airtel Money at $4 billion is higher than its valuation of $2.65 billion in 2021. In 2021, Airtel Money received significant investments, including $200 million from TPG Incorporated at a valuation of $2.65 billion and $100 million from Mastercard. Later that same year, an affiliate of Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund also acquired an undisclosed stake in the unit.

The mobile money sector in Africa is expanding rapidly, driven by a young population increasingly adopting technology for financial services, making the continent a key market for fintech companies.

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Economy

Crypto Investor Bamu Gift Wandji of Polyfarm in EFCC Custody

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Bamu Gift Wandji of Polyfarm

By Dipo Olowookere

A cryptocurrency investor and owner of Polyfarm, Mr Bamu Gift Wandji, is currently cooling off in the custody of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC).

He was handed over to the anti-money laundering agency by the Nigerian Security and Civil Defence Corps (NSCDC) on Friday, January 30, 2026, after his arrest on Monday, January 12, 2026.

A statement from the EFCC yesterday disclosed that the suspect was apprehended by the NSCDC in Gwagwalada, Abuja for running an investment scheme without the authorisation of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which is the apex capital market regulator in Nigeria.

It was claimed that Mr Wandji created a fraudulent crypto investment platform called Polyfarm, where he allegedly lured innocent Nigerians to invest in Polygon, a crypto token that attracts high returns.

Investigation further revealed that he also deceived the public that his project, Polyfarm, has its native token called “polyfarm coin” which he sold to the public.

In his bid to promote the scheme, the suspect posted about this on social media platforms, including WhatsApp, X (formally Twitter) and Telegram. He also conducted seminars in some major cities in Nigeria including Kaduna, Lagos, Port Harcourt and Abuja where he described the scheme as a life-changing programme.

Further investigation revealed that in October, 2025, subscribers who could not access their funds were informed by the suspect that the site was attacked by Lazarus group, a cyber attacking group linked to North Korea.

Further investigations showed that Polyfarm is not registered and not licensed with SEC to carry out crypto transactions in Nigeria.  Also, no investment happened with subscribers’ funds and that the suspect used funds paid by subscribers to pay others in the name of profit.

Investigation also revealed that native coin, polyfarm coin was never listed on coin market cap and that the suspect sold worthless coins to the general public.

Contrary to the claim of the suspect that his platform was attacked, EFCC’s investigations revealed that the platform was never attacked or hacked by anyone and that the suspect withdrew investors’ funds and utilized the same for his personal gains.

The EFCC, in the statement, disclosed that Mr Wandji would be charged to court upon conclusion of investigations.

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