Economy
Nigeria’s Inflation to Close 2018 in Double Digits at 10.4%—Analysts
By Dipo Olowookere
If the forecast of analysts at FSDH Research is anything to go by, Nigeria will likely not meet the target of a single digit inflation rate set for 2018 at the beginning of this year.
This is because those at the investment research firm said with the present situation, that target will likely not be met.
In its weekly insight released on Monday, August 6, 2018, FSDH Research is predicting that the inflation rate will likely end the year at 10.40 percent.
Business Post reports that in June 2018, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) disclosed that the year-on-year inflation dropped to 11.23 percent.
Analysts at FSDH Research are forecasting that inflation will likely moderate to 11.01 percent.
The stats office is expected to release the inflation figures on Wednesday, August 15, 2018, with the GDP for Q2 2018 due for release on August 20, 2018.
“FSDH Research notes that the June inflation figure recorded the highest month-on-month increase since June 2017.
“Although the inflation rate may continue to drop, it may remain in double digits in 2018. Under the current situation, FSDH Research expects the inflation rate to end the year in the region of 10.4 percent.
“The expected drop in the inflation rate may lead to a further drop in the yields on Nigerian Treasury Bills (NTBs),” the report said.
Also in the report, FSDH Research said the drop in the inflation rate for July would be largely due to the base effect of the previous year.
“In addition, we observe a slowdown in the price movement of some food items. The prevailing crisis in the food producing states in Nigeria is putting an upward pressure on food prices. This is a major risk to the achievement of a single digit inflation rate in 2018.
“The prices of most of the food items we monitored in July 2018 showed a slower increase compared with June 2018.
“The movement in the prices of food items increased our Food and Non-Alcoholic Index by 1.18 percent in July compared with an increase of 1.56 percent recorded in June. This Index increased year-on-year by 12.57 percent, up from 248.82 points recorded in July 2017.
“We also observed increases in the prices of Transport and Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels divisions between June and July 2018,” it added.
The investment company also stated that it observed an expansion in the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) published by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) for the month of July 2018.
The Manufacturing PMI at 56.8 points in July grew at a slower rate than the 57.0 points recorded for June.
“Meanwhile, the Non-Manufacturing PMI increased to 57.7 points in July 2018 from 57.5 points in June 2018. We note that both PMI figures are above the baseline of 50 points.
“Additional fiscal measures to improve the ease of doing business in Nigeria would lead to a further expansion in the PMI,” it said.
Economy
Dangote, NNPC Seal Strategic Gas Supply Deals
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Three subsidiaries of Dangote Industries Limited have signed Gas Sales and Purchase Agreements (GSPA) with two business segments of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited.
The three firms of Dangote Industries Limited involved in the strategic gas supply deals are Dangote Petroleum Refinery, Dangote Fertiliser Plant and Dangote Cement Plc, while the two belonging to the NNPC include the Nigerian Gas Marketing Limited and the NNPC Gas Infrastructure Company Limited (NGIC).
It was gathered that the deals were signed at the unveiling of the NNPC Gas Master Plan (GMP) 2026 tagged NGMP 2026 at the NNPC Towers over the weekend in Abuja.
The gas supply agreements will help to drive the conglomerate’s Vision 2030, resulting in increased output, better and cleaner energy supply as well as support ongoing expansion projects.
A statement from Dangote Industries Limited disclosed that the chief executive of Dangote Petroleum Refinery, Mr David Bird, signed for the refinery, while his counterpart at Dangote Cement, Mr Arvid Pathak, signed for the cement business, with Mr Mustapha Matawalle, putting pen to paper for Dangote Fertiliser FZE.
In his remarks, Mr Bird said that the agreement demonstrates the refinery’s bold steps to expand its capacity, noting that it marks a critical milestone in the expansion drive as well as a proactive measure to lock in vast energy requirements for the anticipated increase in its production capacity.
On his part, Mr Pathak point out that the deal guarantees the gas required to support the drive towards CNG adoption as Autogas and to meet the increasing gas demand as production capacities in Nigeria are expanded. It also promotes the adoption of cleaner fuel for both Autogas through CNG and gas to support increased production output, he added.
For Dangote Fertiliser FZE, it is anticipated the agreement will support the company’s fertiliser capacity expansion projects, given that fertiliser is a product of natural gas.
Also speaking at the event, the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Gas), Mr Ekperikpe Ekpo, described the Gas Master Plan as a deliberate pivot from policy articulation to disciplined execution, anchored on commercial viability and integrated sector-wide coordination.
“Today’s launch is not merely the unveiling of a document; it represents a deliberate shift towards a more integrated, commercially driven, and execution-focused gas sector, aligned with Nigeria’s development aspirations. Nigeria is fundamentally a gas Nation.
“With one of the largest proven gas reserves in Africa, our challenge has never been potential, but translation: translating resources into reliable supply, infrastructure into value, and policy into measurable outcomes for our economy and our people. The Gas Master Plan speaks directly to this challenge,” he stated.
The Minister further noted that the plan’s strong focus on supply reliability, infrastructure expansion, domestic and export market flexibility, and strategic partnerships aligns seamlessly with the federal government’s Decade of Gas Initiative, positioning natural gas as the backbone of Nigeria’s energy security, industrialisation, and just energy transition.
In his address, the chief executive of NNPC, Mr Bashir Bayo Ojulari, described the plan as a bold, effective execution-anchored roadmap designed to unlock Nigeria’s immense gas potential and elevate the country into a globally competitive gas hub.
Mr Ojulari noted that with about 210 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of proven gas reserves and an upside potential of up to 600 Tcf, Nigeria possesses one of the most consequential hydrocarbon basins in the world; one reinforced by the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) and the federal government’s gas-centric energy transition agenda.
“The plan is structured not just to deliver – but to exceed- the Presidential mandate of increasing national gas production to 10 billion cubic feet per day by 2027 and 12 billion cubic feet per day by 2030, while catalysing over 60 billion dollars in new investments across the oil and gas value chain by 2030,” he said.
The NNPC chief explained that the plan prioritises cost optimisation, operational excellence, and systematic advancement of resources from 3P to bankable 2P reserves, while strengthening gas supply to power generation, CNG, LPG, Mini-LNG, and critical industrial off-takers.
Reaffirming his personal commitment as Chief Sponsor of the initiative, the NNPC boss stressed that the company has adopted a more collaborative, investor-centric approach in shaping the NGMP 2026, with strong alignment to industry stakeholders, partners, and investors.
Economy
LIRS Shifts Deadline for Annual Returns Filing to February 7
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The deadline for filing of employers’ annual tax returns in Lagos State has been extended by one week from February 1 to 7, 2026.
This information was revealed in a statement signed by the Head of Corporate Communications of the Lagos State Internal Revenue Service (LIRS), Mrs Monsurat Amasa-Oyelude.
In the statement issued over the weekend, the chairman of the tax collecting organisation, Mr Ayodele Subair, explained that the statutory deadline for filing of employers’ annual tax returns is January 31, every year, noting that the extension is intended to provide employers with additional time to complete and submit accurate tax returns.
According to him, employers must give priority to the timely filing of their annual returns, noting that compliance should be embedded as a routine business practice.
He also reiterated that electronic filing through the LIRS eTax platform remains the only approved method for submitting annual returns, as manual filings have been completely phased out. Employers are therefore required to file their returns exclusively through the LIRS eTax portal: https://etax.lirs.net.
Describing the platform as secure, user-friendly, and accessible 24/7, Mr Subair advised employers to ensure that the Tax ID (Tax Identification Number) of all employees is correctly captured in their submissions.
Economy
Airtel on Track to List Mobile Money Unit in First Half of 2026—Taldar
By Adedapo Adesanya
The chief executive of Airtel Africa Plc, Mr Sunil Kumar Taldar, has disclosed that the company is still on track to list its mobile money business, Airtel Money, before the end of June 2026.
Recall that Business Post reported in March 2024 that the mobile network operator was considering selling the shares of Airtel Money to the public through the IPO vehicle in a transaction expected to raise about $4 billion.
The firm had been in talks with possible advisors for a planned listing of the shares from the initial public offer on a stock exchange with some options including London, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), or Europe.
However, so far no final decisions have been made regarding the timing, location, or scale of the IPO.
In September 2025, the telco reportedly picked Citigroup Incorporated as advisors for the planned IPO which will see Airtel Money become a standalone entity before it can attain the prestige of trading on a stock exchange.
Mr Taldar, noted that metrics continued to show improvements ahead of the listing with its customer base hitting 52 million, compared to around 44.6 million users it had as of June 2025.
He added that the subsidiary processed over $210 billion in a year, according to the company’s nine-month financial results released on Friday.
“Our push to enhance financial inclusion across the continent continues to gain momentum with our Mobile Money customer base expanding to 52 million, surpassing the 50 million milestone. Annualised total processed value of over $210 billion in Q3’26 underscores the depth of our merchants, agents, and partner ecosystem and remains a key player in driving improved access to financial services across Africa.
“We remain on track for the listing of Airtel Money in the first half of 2026,” Mr Taldar said.
Estimating Airtel Money at $4 billion is higher than its valuation of $2.65 billion in 2021. In 2021, Airtel Money received significant investments, including $200 million from TPG Incorporated at a valuation of $2.65 billion and $100 million from Mastercard. Later that same year, an affiliate of Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund also acquired an undisclosed stake in the unit.
The mobile money sector in Africa is expanding rapidly, driven by a young population increasingly adopting technology for financial services, making the continent a key market for fintech companies.
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