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Electricity Tariff Hike in a Pandemic?

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By Timi Olubiyi, Ph.D.

Electricity is essential to the economic and social lives of any nation. However, Nigeria is a country still overwhelmed and plagued with electricity concerns, from low generation, inadequate supply to load shedding and rationing, in fact, with frequent power outages, and this has become the bane of citizenry and entrepreneurs.

Besides, the monopoly structure of the electricity market in Nigeria, consumers are often billed for electricity not consumed in the form of estimated billing.

Power is, therefore, the central infrastructural deficit affecting Small and Medium-scale Enterprises (SMEs), particularly those in manufacturing, and this is holding back the full economic potential of this critical sector.

Recall, Nigeria’s power sector was previously publicly run but has been privatized since 2005 with the signing of the Electric Power Sector Reform (EPSR) Act which unbundled the old National Electric Power Authority (NEPA).

The Federal government has since separated Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN) into 11 distribution firms, six generating companies, and a transmission company.

But yet, the sector is rattled with political, commercial, market, and consumer-related issues and stakeholder management concerns.

In this article, power and energy are used interchangeably to mean the same thing, kindly note.

Nigeria is the largest economy in sub-Saharan Africa ahead of South Africa in the recently released the year 2020 data, but with huge limitations and shortcomings in the power sector.

Currently, Nigeria has the potential to generate 12,522 megawatts (MW) capacity but is operating at a capacity of only 3,500 MW to 5,000MW, which is grossly insufficient.

Arguably, Nigeria is estimated to require about 88,282 megawatts (MW) to meet the demand of its fast-growing economy, according to experts. This figure was arrived at with the consideration of the critical drivers of energy demand, namely population, demography, energy intensities, energy efficiency, and socio-economy activities.

The increase in demand for electric power is evident due to increased population, urbanization, SMEs, and greater need for housing electrification.

SMEs in Nigeria typically the manufacturing companies experience power failure severally per week without any prior notice, which imposes a considerable cost on the value chain, from idle workers, spoiled materials and equipment, lost output, low demand coupled with the costs of providing alternative electricity.

All these could lead to an increase in business uncertainties, an increase in operational costs, reduced competitiveness, and lower return on investment.

The obvious truth is that most SMEs lack the capability and financial wherewithal to provide constant alternative energy supply in the absence of steady electricity, unlike the large firms that can easily budget and secure an alternative source of energy supply, notably the generating sets.

Unlike the micro and small businesses that are vulnerable to the effect of erratic power supply in Nigeria, most of them are undercapitalized and struggling with survival.

Some large firms self-generate their power through independent power plants (IPPs) for self-reliance and steady supply.

Recall, Small and Medium-scale Enterprises are central and critical in every human society, the sector is behind the rapid development of countries like Japan, China, India, and Malaysia, etc.

However, in Nigeria, especially in Lagos State, the SME hub of the country, the cost of power supply has been identified as a significant factor in determining the sustainability or growth of SMEs in the country.

This is because, in the SME sector, electricity is a substantial component of the operating cost, from data gathered, about 86 percent of the SMEs in Nigeria own or share a generator.

More so, the following have been identified as issues resultant from the epileptic power supply in Nigeria: low productivity, high cost of operations, poor customers satisfaction, gross undercapitalization of businesses, corruption, colossal loss of revenue, high cost of providing backup energy, high start-up costs, job loss to outright closure or relocation of companies to other neighbouring countries and it also retard SMEs activities in the long run.

Consequently, the high cost associated with privately generated electricity is one of the most significant obstacles to the growth and development of SMEs in Nigeria. Therefore, having a stable and predictable source of power is essential in growing the sector in Nigeria.

However, the case is different in our country, with businesses having to rely excessively on diesel generators to supplement the erratic power supply. Sometimes the fuel to power the said generator sets are not readily available, or it’s at a high cost, and this further compound the problems.

The Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) has approved an increase in electricity tariff by the 11 Electricity Distribution Companies (DisCos) in the country.

Therefore, the anticipated increase in the electricity tariff regime will be a welcome idea if it will come with improved supply and availability. Because the first challenge is the non-availability of the electricity for use, therefore, it is hoped that the increase will come with availability.

More so, discussions with some SME operators indicate that they do not have issues with tariff reviews but the availability. Therefore, before the new tariff regime, the level of generation should be increased so that availability can be guaranteed. Presently the power demand in Nigeria far outstrips the supply, and the supply is epileptic.

Most of the SME operators currently use generating sets with extremely associated high costs. It is believed that even with the anticipated hike in tariff coupled with the recently increased VAT to 7.5 percent, the cost of running a business in Nigeria will still be lower with access to a steady supply of electricity from the Distribution Companies (DISCOs) compared to the existing investment in generating sets, fuel, and cost of maintenance, which usually impacts negatively on operational cost and performance.

The quality and quantity of electricity supply will determine the ability of these numerous SMEs to create a competitive enterprise with an increase in tariff.

Apart from SMEs possessing the potential for poverty reduction, employment generation, wealth creation, reduce inequalities, and providing value orientation, which can ultimately stimulate industrial growth.

The availability of steady power supply can directly impact on the profit margins and bottom line of these SMEs. Therefore, if the proposed increase in electricity tariffs comes with increased capacity, reliability of service, quality, and efficiency, it will be appreciated.

The multiplier effect will include enhanced operations of the numerous SMEs, sustainable socio-economic, development, encouragement of new investments in the sector and enhanced public-private sector participation. It will also increase productivity and raise the operating standard of all SMEs operators in Nigeria.

Consequently, if the hike in the tariff comes with a steady supply, it will, in no small measure, contribute to employment creation and provide more opportunities for individuals to be self-employed, thereby helping the country to alleviate poverty.

Inference can be drawn from the foregoing that power is the driver of any meaningful economic activities, and SME operators or entrepreneurs should be willing to pay more if it means they will not further rely on the generating sets as a backup.

In conclusion, by all standards, not all manufacturing firms or SMEs would be able to run profitably on power generating sets in a highly competitive and open economy like Nigeria because of the high costs of fuel and maintenance cost.

Therefore, the provision of a steady power supply from the national grid will be preferred due to its cost-effectiveness because the generating set is thrice as costlier. The development of SMEs to a great extent depends mainly on infrastructure, and a steady and reliable power supply is key to this.

However, the ongoing fight with the novel coronavirus (COVID-19), has already left businesses and individuals around the world, counting losses due to movement restrictions.

Therefore, the planned electricity tariff can be delayed because of the severe impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak.

The outbreak has already affected all economic activities; therefore, a hike at this time will aggravate the despair and frustration of Nigerians.

Dr Timi Olubiyi holds a Ph.D. in Entrepreneurship and Small Business Management. He is a prolific investment coach, Chartered Member of the Chartered Institute for Securities & Investment (CISI) and a financial literacy specialist. He can also be reached on the twitter handle @drtimiolubiyi and via email: [email protected].

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The Future of Payments: Key Trends to Watch in 2025

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By Luke Kyohere

The global payments landscape is undergoing a rapid transformation. New technologies coupled with the rising demand for seamless, secure, and efficient transactions has spurred on an exciting new era of innovation and growth. With 2025 fast approaching, here are important trends that will shape the future of payments:

1. The rise of real-time payments

Until recently, real-time payments have been used in Africa for cross-border mobile money payments, but less so for traditional payments. We are seeing companies like Mastercard investing in this area, as well as central banks in Africa putting focus on this. 

2. Cashless payments will increase

In 2025, we will see the continued acceleration of cashless payments across Africa. B2B payments in particular will also increase. Digital payments began between individuals but are now becoming commonplace for larger corporate transactions. 

3. Digital currency will hit mainstream

In the cryptocurrency space, we will see an increase in the use of stablecoins like United States Digital Currency (USDC) and Tether (USDT) which are linked to US dollars. These will come to replace traditional cryptocurrencies as their price point is more stable. This year, many countries will begin preparing for Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), government-backed digital currencies which use blockchain. 

The increased uptake of digital currencies reflects the maturity of distributed ledger technology and improved API availability. 

4. Increased government oversight

As adoption of digital currencies will increase, governments will also put more focus into monitoring these flows. In particular, this will centre on companies and banks rather than individuals. The goal of this will be to control and occasionally curb runaway foreign exchange (FX) rates.

5. Business leaders buy into AI technology

In 2025, we will see many business leaders buying into AI through respected providers relying on well-researched platforms and huge data sets. Most companies don’t have the budget to invest in their own research and development in AI, so many are now opting to ‘buy’ into the technology rather than ‘build’ it themselves. Moreover, many businesses are concerned about the risks associated with data ownership and accuracy so buying software is another way to avoid this risk. 

6. Continued AI Adoption in Payments

In payments, the proliferation of AI will continue to improve user experience and increase security.  To detect fraud, AI is used to track patterns and payment flows in real-time. If unusual activity is detected, the technology can be used to flag or even block payments which may be fraudulent. 

When it comes to user experience, we will also see AI being used to improve the interface design of payment platforms. The technology will also increasingly be used for translation for international payment platforms.

7. Rise of Super Apps

To get more from their platforms, mobile network operators are building comprehensive service platforms, integrating multiple payment experiences into a single app. This reflects the shift of many users moving from text-based services to mobile apps. Rather than offering a single service, super apps are packing many other services into a single app. For example, apps which may have previously been used primarily for lending, now have options for saving and paying bills. 

8. Business strategy shift

Recent major technological changes will force business leaders to focus on much shorter prediction and reaction cycles. Because the rate of change has been unprecedented in the past year, this will force decision-makers to adapt quickly, be decisive and nimble. 

As the payments space evolves,  businesses, banks, and governments must continually embrace innovation, collaboration, and prioritise customer needs. These efforts build a more inclusive, secure, and efficient payment system that supports local to global economic growth – enabling true financial inclusion across borders.

Luke Kyohere is the Group Chief Product and Innovation Officer at Onafriq

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Ghana’s Democratic Triumph: A Call to Action for Nigeria’s 2027 Elections

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In a heartfelt statement released today, the Conference of Nigeria Political Parties (CNPP) has extended its warmest congratulations to Ghana’s President-Elect, emphasizing the importance of learning from Ghana’s recent electoral success as Nigeria gears up for its 2027 general elections.

In a statement signed by its Deputy National Publicity Secretary, Comrade James Ezema, the CNPP highlighted the need for Nigeria to reclaim its status as a leader in democratic governance in Africa.

“The recent victory of Ghana’s President-Elect is a testament to the maturity and resilience of Ghana’s democracy,” the CNPP stated. “As we celebrate this achievement, we must reflect on the lessons that Nigeria can learn from our West African neighbour.”

The CNPP’s message underscored the significance of free, fair, and credible elections, a standard that Ghana has set and one that Nigeria has previously achieved under former President Goodluck Jonathan in 2015. “It is high time for Nigeria to reclaim its position as a beacon of democracy in Africa,” the CNPP asserted, calling for a renewed commitment to the electoral process.

Central to CNPP’s message is the insistence that “the will of the people must be supreme in Nigeria’s electoral processes.” The umbrella body of all registered political parties and political associations in Nigeria CNPP emphasized the necessity of an electoral system that genuinely reflects the wishes of the Nigerian populace. “We must strive to create an environment where elections are free from manipulation, violence, and intimidation,” the CNPP urged, calling on the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) to take decisive action to ensure the integrity of the electoral process.

The CNPP also expressed concern over premature declarations regarding the 2027 elections, stating, “It is disheartening to note that some individuals are already announcing that there is no vacancy in Aso Rock in 2027. This kind of statement not only undermines the democratic principles that our nation holds dear but also distracts from the pressing need for the current administration to earn the trust of the electorate.”

The CNPP viewed the upcoming elections as a pivotal moment for Nigeria. “The 2027 general elections present a unique opportunity for Nigeria to reclaim its position as a leader in democratic governance in Africa,” it remarked. The body called on all stakeholders — including the executive, legislature, judiciary, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), and civil society organisations — to collaborate in ensuring that elections are transparent, credible, and reflective of the will of the Nigerian people.

As the most populous African country prepares for the 2027 elections, the CNPP urged all Nigerians to remain vigilant and committed to democratic principles. “We must work together to ensure that our elections are free from violence, intimidation, and manipulation,” the statement stated, reaffirming the CNPP’s commitment to promoting a peaceful and credible electoral process.

In conclusion, the CNPP congratulated the President-Elect of Ghana and the Ghanaian people on their remarkable achievements.

“We look forward to learning from their experience and working together to strengthen democracy in our region,” the CNPP concluded.

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The Need to Promote Equality, Equity and Fairness in Nigeria’s Proposed Tax Reforms

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By Kenechukwu Aguolu

The proposed tax reform, involving four tax bills introduced by the Federal Government, has received significant criticism. Notably, it was rejected by the Governors’ Forum but was still forwarded to the National Assembly. Unlike the various bold economic decisions made by this government, concessions will likely need to be made on these tax reforms, which involve legislative amendments and therefore cannot be imposed by the executive. This article highlights the purposes of taxation, the qualities of a good tax system, and some of the implications of the proposed tax reforms.

One of the major purposes of taxation is to generate revenue for the government to finance its activities. A good tax system should raise sufficient revenue for the government to fund its operations, and support economic and infrastructural development. For any country to achieve meaningful progress, its tax-to-GDP ratio should be at least 15%. Currently, Nigeria’s tax-to-GDP ratio is less than 11%. The proposed tax reforms aim to increase this ratio to 18% within the next three years.

A good tax system should also promote income redistribution and equality by implementing progressive tax policies. In line with this, the proposed tax reforms favour low-income earners. For example, individuals earning less than one million naira annually are exempted from personal income tax. Additionally, essential goods and services such as food, accommodation, and transportation, which constitute a significant portion of household consumption for low- and middle-income groups, are to be exempted from VAT.

In addition to equality, a good tax system should ensure equity and fairness, a key area of contention surrounding the proposed reforms. If implemented, the amendments to the Value Added Tax could lead to a significant reduction in the federal allocation for some states; impairing their ability to finance government operations and development projects. The VAT amendments should be holistically revisited to promote fairness and national unity.

The establishment of a single agency to collect government taxes, the Nigeria Revenue Service, could reduce loopholes that have previously resulted in revenue losses, provided proper controls are put in place. It is logically easier to monitor revenue collection by one agency than by multiple agencies. However, this is not a magical solution. With automation, revenue collection can be seamless whether it is managed by one agency or several, as long as monitoring and accountability measures are implemented effectively.

The proposed tax reforms by the Federal Government are well-intentioned. However, all concerns raised by Nigerians should be looked into, and concessions should be made where necessary. Policies are more effective when they are adapted to suit the unique characteristics of a nation, rather than adopted wholesale. A good tax system should aim to raise sufficient revenue, ensure equitable income distribution, and promote equality, equity, and fairness.

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