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Agusto Forecasts 16.5% Growth in Nigerian Banking Loan Portfolio

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Nigerian banking loan portfolio

By Adedapo Adesanya

Agusto & Co. Limited, the pan-African credit rating agency and the foremost business information provider, has forecast a 16.5 per cent growth in the Nigerian banking loan portfolio.

This was released in its 2022 Nigerian Banking Industry Report which provides a comprehensive review of Nigeria’s banking industry and the near-term expectation for the Industry.

Agusto & Co. noted positively the resilience shown by the Nigerian banking industry in FY 2021, as the Industry’s loan portfolio grew by 21 per cent despite the weak economy and regulatory constraints.

“Notwithstanding the prevailing global supply constraints, the Russian-Ukraine crisis, and insecurity challenges that continue to hamper food and crude oil production in Nigeria, we anticipate a 16.5 per cent year-on-year loan growth in 2022 as more banks now have a better understanding of the macroeconomic headwinds,” it noted.

The firm noted in the report seen by Business Post that traditional sectors such as oil and gas, manufacturing, general commerce, and agriculture sectors are expected to drive the loan growth given the backward integration initiatives of obligors, the intervention activities of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the import-dependence nature of the Nigerian economy.

‘While the arbitrary cash reserve deductions and foreign exchange illiquidity would remain limitations to the growth of the Industry’s loan portfolio, we note that more banks are now favourably disposed to accessing the differentiated cash reserve requirement (DCRR) window to reduce the value of sterile restricted funds with the CBN.

“In the near term, we believe the Industry’s asset quality will remain acceptable, with the impaired loan ratio hovering around 6 per cent as at 31 December 2022. In our view, a proactive tightening of controls around loan origination and intensified loan monitoring will moderate the impact of the tough operating climate on the loan portfolio,” the report stated.

It was revealed that Nigeria’s banking industry remains well capitalised relative to the business risks undertaken and should remain so in the near term.

“In preparation for the full implementation of Basel III and based on the scheduled growth plans, we expect an increased appetite for perpetual bond issuances which qualify as additional tier 1 capital. We also believe that some banks will raise common equity tier 1 capital that will keep the Industry’s capital adequacy ratio above 17 per cent.”

Looking forward, “In FY 2022, Agusto & Co projects a decline in the industry’s net interest spread as the prevailing low yields on government securities, which dominate the industry’s investment securities, will moderate the impact of the uptick in interest rates. However, we anticipate an increase in the net earnings driven largely by higher trading income and electronic banking fees.

“Nevertheless, we note that the forthcoming elections and growing budget deficit have forced the FGN to modify several extant tax legislations which will moderate the banking industry’s profits. Overall, Agusto & Co expects the Industry’s pre-tax return on average equity to increase to 23 per cent (FY 2021: 20.6 per cent) in FY 2022.

“Our financial prospects for Industry are largely stable in the near term. We adjudge the industry as resilient and the current trend of banks adopting the holding company structure to diversify into other financial services segments while exercising control over subsidiaries should support the Industry’s profitability.

“The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) is also another vital prospect for Nigerian banks given that financial institutions with a strong capital base and efficient network across the continent are essential for the full implementation of AfCFTA,” it added.

Overall, Agusto & Co believes the banking industry’s performance will remain moderate in the short to medium term and on this basis, adding that the outlook for the Industry is stable.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Onafriq, PAPSS to Launch Wallet-Based Outbound Payments from Nigeria to Ghana

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By Modupe Gbadeyanka

A platform to enable cross-border intra-Africa payments for individuals, merchants, and traders in Nigeria and Ghana is being designed by Onafriq Nigeria Payments Limited in partnership with the Pan-African Payment and Settlement System (PAPSS).

The platform, currently in its pilot stage, is the first wallet-based outbound payments scheme, which is fully in Naira and instant, without relying on hard currency conversion.

The parties are working together with banks and mobile money operators in the West Africa nations.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has already approved this initiative, which will benefit small and medium enterprises (SMEs), the real engine of intra-African trade, as they will now have access to a faster, cheaper way to reach customers and suppliers across the border.

By reducing barriers to cross-border trade, the new service will allow these businesses to grow their addressable markets and activity. From December 1, this service will be fully operational for a 6-month period.

Through the partnership with PAPSS, Onafriq, which is a CBN licensed payment service provider, is supporting the operationalization of the Africa Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) mandate. The mandate itself is driving tariff-free trade for the 54 member states of AfCFTA. Within the partnership itself, Onafriq provides the mobile money rails, with an ecosystem consisting of over 1 billion mobile wallets.

Meanwhile, PAPSS brings a network of over 160 commercial banks, representing an ecosystem of more than 400 million bank accounts across its 19 African countries of operation. The two partners are essentially seamlessly connecting two worlds: mobile money and banking. As a consequence, intra-African trade transactions will take place more easily and opportunities will be created.

Currently, Africa is made up of bank and mobile-led markets, with siloes often inhibiting transactions between these economies. However, this partnership will remove these boundaries. With over one billion mobile wallets and 500 million bank wallets across Africa, this partnership will allow for cross-border collaboration at scale.

This partnership builds on Onafriq and PAPSS’ existing partnership for payments into Ghana, announced earlier this year.

“Our work with PAPSS shows what collaboration at scale can unlock—seamless, secure connections between banking systems and mobile money ecosystems. This is how we open bi-directional trade corridors, reduce costs for businesses, and give African enterprises the rails they need to trade with confidence in their own currencies. The vision is continental, but it starts with practical steps like this one,” the Managing Director for Anglophone West Africa, Mxolisi Msutwana, said.

The Chief Information Officer for PAPSS, Ositadimma Ugwu, added, “Too often, African businesses and individuals see borders as roadblocks instead of opportunities. With this step, we’re challenging that mindset, giving Nigerians the ability to send value next door with the same ease as sending a text message. Our vision is simple: make Africa’s borders invisible to payments. This pilot makes that a reality, moving us closer to a continent where payments don’t pause at the border.”

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Access Bank Appoints Ifeyinwa Osime as Board Chair

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Ifeyinwa Osime

By Adedapo Adesanya

Mrs Ifeyinwa Osime has been appointed as the chairman of the board of Access Bank Plc, following the retirement of Mr Paul Usoro on January 29, according to a statement to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.

Mrs Osime, an accomplished legal practitioner, joined Access Bank’s board in November 2019 as an independent non-executive director and had chaired the Board Human Resources and Sustainability Committee and the Governance, Nomination, and Remuneration Committee.

This role made her contribute significantly to bank’s corporate governance, leadership development, and sustainability initiatives.

In addition to her role at Access Bank, Mrs Osime is a Director at Ebudo Trust Limited and a Partner at McPherson Legal Practitioners, where she advises on corporate and commercial matters and contributes to strategic leadership.

She is also a member of the Nigerian Bar Association, Women Corporate Directors, Nigeria Chapter, and Chartered Institute of Directors Nigeria, where she serves on the Executive Committee of the Women Sectorial Group.

Beyond her professional responsibilities, Mrs Osime is committed to mentoring youths and is actively involved in the Autism and Developmental Delays Support Community, reflecting her dedication to inclusion and social impact.

Speaking on her appointment, the chairman of Access Holdings, Mr Aigboje Aig-lmoukhuede, said: “Mrs Osime is a principled and experienced leader with a deep understanding of the Bank’s strategy and values.

“She has demonstrated strong commitment to the Bank’s vision and mission, and I am confident that, under her leadership, the Bank will continue to advance its strategic objectives of delivering sustainable value to shareholders and other stakeholders in the pursuit of its vision to become the world’s most respected African Bank.”

He also congratulated Mr Usoro on the completion of his tenure and for his exemplary leadership, dedication and significant contribution to the Group, saying he remains a valued member of the Access Bank family.

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Africa Energy Bank to Start Operations June as Nigeria Hands Over Headquarters

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The African Energy Bank (AEB), a pan-African financial institution established to mobilise capital for the continent’s energy development and strengthen regional energy value chains, will begin operations in June 2026.

This came as Nigeria officially handed over the headquarters of bank at a ceremony held on the sidelines of the ongoing Nigeria International Energy Summit (NIES).

The president of the African Petroleum Producers’ Organisation (APPO) and Côte d’Ivoire’s Minister of Mines, Petroleum and Energy, Mr Mamadou Colibaly, praised Nigeria for its leadership in bringing the initiative to fruition, as he disclosed the bank was expected to commence operations in four months’ time.

“We are committed to launching this bank no later than June. I sincerely thank our partners for providing the headquarters and office that make this take-off possible. The African Energy Bank represents Africa’s commitment to finance, develop, and secure its own energy future by Africans, for Africans,” he said.

The African Energy Bank is a joint initiative of APPO member states and the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank), established to mobilise domestic and regional capital for Africa’s energy infrastructure, reduce dependence on external financing, and align energy investments with the continent’s long-term development and industrialisation agenda.

While performing the handover, Nigeria’s Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil), Mr Heineken Lokpobiri, said the country had fulfilled all its responsibilities as host nation.

“Nigeria has met every obligation as host. The headquarters is ready, strategically located, and fully equipped, and we are prepared for immediate take-off.”

The ceremony highlighted a growing consensus among African leaders on the need for the continent to take greater ownership of its vast natural resources.

Through tailored financial instruments, the bank is expected to support projects across the energy value chain, including exploration, refining, renewable energy integration, and local content development, with a focus on job creation and economic value addition.

The African Energy Bank has been touted as not just another financial institution, but a strategic pillar in Africa’s quest for economic independence and long-term energy security

The African Energy Bank is a pan-African financial institution jointly promoted by APPO member states and Afreximbank to provide tailored financing solutions for energy projects across the continent, strengthen regional energy markets, and support sustainable development through improved access to capital.

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