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Fitch Affirms Zenith Bank at ‘B+’, Outlook Negative

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By Modupe Gbadeyanka

Fitch Ratings has affirmed Zenith Bank Plc’s Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at ‘B+’ with the Outlook Negative. Also, the lender’s Viability Rating (VR) was affirmed at ‘b+’ and its Support Rating at ‘5’.

Fitch said Zenith Bank’s IDRs are driven by its standalone creditworthiness, defined by the VR. The VR is constrained by Nigeria’s sovereign rating and the Negative Outlook on the Long-Term IDR mirrors the Outlook on Nigeria’s sovereign rating (B+/Negative).

Zenith’s VR is the highest assigned by Fitch to a Nigerian bank. This reflects the bank’s established franchise in Nigeria where it controls an overall markets share of around 16%. The franchise is particularly strong in the corporate segment. Loss-absorption capacity is strong relative to peers and management has demonstrated its ability to deliver a good performance through volatile operating cycles.

Fitch views Zenith’s management team positively. Decision-making is well spread across a broad number of executives to minimise reliance on individuals. Achieving targets in a volatile operating environment can be difficult but Zenith’s execution is strong relative to peers. The bank’s strategy is primarily to continue to service leading corporate clients.

The loan book represents around 45% of assets, which is lower than international banks, but in line with the average for large Nigerian banks. Zenith’s underwriting standards and risk controls compare favourably with the average for rated peers. Reported impaired loans are low as a percentage of gross loans (around 4%) and reserve coverage is above 100%. Lending to the oil and gas sector represents around 30% of total loans, average for the sector, and the top 20 loans represent around one-quarter of total loans, which is lower than average comparative figures reported by large Nigerian banks (around 40%).

The bank’s performance metrics compare favourably with peers. Margins are narrower, reflecting the corporate focus, but loan impairment charges also tend to be lower, as could be expected given the more resilient nature of the bank’s clients. Cost control has been reasonable considering high inflation in Nigeria. In 2018, we expect profitability to decline for many Nigerian banks, reflecting weak loan growth, lower Treasury Bill issuance and falling yields on these government securities. IFRS-9 will also result in a rise in loan impairment charges, although this is likely to be containable at Zenith.

Zenith’s capital adequacy ratios are among the strongest in Nigeria and leverage ratios are stable. The bank’s relative capital strengths are a positive ratings differentiator.

Like most Nigerian banks, deposits provide the bulk of funding (72% of total non-equity funding at end-September 2017). Deposits from corporate customers represented 57% of consolidated deposits at end-September 2017, but these tend to be stable.

Zenith issued a five-year USD500 million senior bond in the international capital markets in June 2017. Zenith’s ability to access international market funding, even in times of stress for Nigeria’s economy, is credit positive in our view, providing the bank with funding diversification and access to longer-term finance.

Zenith’s foreign currency (FC) liquidity position shows no apparent signs of stress over a 12-month horizon. The bank holds a sizeable FC liquid asset buffer and its ability to continue to honour FC obligations even during recent periods of extreme FC stress in the Nigerian banking sector demonstrates Zenith’s close attention to the management of its FC liquidity position.

The Long-Term National Rating has been affirmed at ‘AA-(nga)’. National Ratings reflect Zenith’s creditworthiness relative to the country’s best credit and to peers operating in Nigeria.

SENIOR DEBT

Senior debt issued by Zenith is rated at the same level as the bank’s IDRs because in our view, the likelihood of default on these notes reflects the likelihood of default of the bank. The Recovery Rating (RR) assigned to these notes is ‘RR4’ indicating average recovery prospects.

SUPPORT RATING AND SUPPORT RATING FLOOR

Fitch believes that sovereign support to Nigerian banks cannot be relied on given Nigeria’s weak ability to provide support, particularly in FC. In addition, there are no clear messages from the authorities regarding their willingness to support the banking system. Therefore, the Support Rating Floor of all Nigerian banks is ‘No Floor’ and all Support Ratings are ‘5’. This reflects our view that senior creditors cannot rely on receiving full and timely extraordinary support from the Nigerian sovereign if any of the banks become non-viable.

RATING SENSITIVITIES

IDRS, NATIONAL RATINGS AND VR

The bank’s IDRs, National Ratings and VR are sensitive to changes in Nigeria’s operating environment and to factors impacting Zenith’s intrinsic creditworthiness. The operating environment is unlikely to improve until the outlook for the sovereign rating improves. Zenith’s ratings are sensitive to a significant deterioration in asset quality and a resultant weakening of loss absorption capacity. This is not our base case. Upside potential for the ratings is limited given the operating environment.

SUPPORT RATING AND SUPPORT RATING FLOOR

The SR is potentially sensitive to any change in assumptions around the propensity or ability of the sovereign to provide timely support to the bank.

SENIOR DEBT

Ratings on the senior debt will change in line with the bank’s IDRs.

The rating actions are as follows:

Long-Term IDR affirmed at ‘B+’; Outlook Negative

Short-Term IDR affirmed at ‘B’

Viability Rating affirmed at ‘b+’

National Long-Term Rating: affirmed at ‘AA-(nga)’

National Short-Term Rating affirmed at ‘F1+(nga)’

Support Rating affirmed at ‘5’

Support Rating Floor affirmed at ‘NF’

Long-term senior unsecured debt issues affirmed at ‘B+’/’RR4’

Short-term senior unsecured debt affirmed at ‘B’

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Banking

FCMB Concludes Fund Raising for Recapitalisation

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The capital raise programme of FCMB Group Plc for the recapitalisation of its banking subsidiary, First City Monument Bank Limited, and its pension business, FCMB Pensions Limited, has been concluded.

The financial services group confirmed this development in a statement filed with the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Monday.

In the notice signed by the chief executive of the organisation, Mr Ladi Balogun, it was disclosed that the requisite approvals have been received from the relevant regulatory authorities.

These regulators include the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the National Pension Commission (PenCom), and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

The banking segment of FCMB Group operates with an international licence and is required to have a capital base of N500 billion.

In the disclosure today, FCMB said it has met this minimum capital requirement of the central bank after getting N231.8 billion through a public offer in 2025.

It stressed that as of December 31, 2025, the lender, based on verified eligible capital (paid-up share capital and share premium), had N266.5 billion.

The company further disclosed that it raised an additional N11.0 billion from the minority divestment of approximately 10 per cent of the issued share capital of FCMB Pensions Limited.

“Together, the public offer and minority divestment provide sufficient capital for the bank to meet the revised N500 billion minimum capital requirements for an international banking licence. This is based on verified eligible capital (paid-up share capital and share premium) of N266.5 billion as at December 31, 2025.

“FCMB Group expresses its sincere appreciation to the regulatory authorities, investors, and other stakeholders for their continued support in achieving this important milestone,” parts of the statement read.

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Nigeria’s Money Supply Falls to N123.36trn in January as Liquidity Tightens

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s broad money supply (M3) dropped to N123.36 trillion in January 2026, from N124.4 trillion in December 2025, signalling a modest contraction in system liquidity amid intensified tightening measures by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

According to the latest money and credit statistics from the CBN, marginal declines were recorded in currency outside the banking system and total currency in circulation, reflecting easing cash demand after the year-end festive surge.

Currency held outside banks dropped 3.66 per cent to N5.21 trillion in January from N5.41 trillion the previous month. Total currency in circulation similarly moderated to N5.73 trillion from N5.732 trillion, underscoring stable but adjusting liquidity conditions at the year’s start.

These shifts highlight Nigeria’s persistent reliance on physical cash, especially in the informal sector, even as the CBN ramps up efforts to sterilise excess liquidity through Open Market Operations (OMO) and Treasury bill issuances. Broad money supply (M3)—encompassing currency in circulation, demand deposits, savings, time deposits, and foreign currency deposits—reflects these policy actions aimed at curbing inflation and stabilising the foreign exchange market.

A deeper look at components shows different outcomes. For instance, net foreign assets plunged to N29.6 trillion, driven by reduced foreign currency holdings, while net domestic assets rose to N93.76 trillion, buoyed by domestic credit growth.

The January dip follows a familiar seasonal trend. Cash outside banks spiked to N5.41 trillion in December 2025 from N4.91 trillion in November, mirroring the N5.13 trillion surge from November 2024’s N4.65 trillion amid festive spending and informal sector activity.

Earlier in 2025, the trend fluctuated but stayed elevated: N4.65 trillion in October, N4.46 trillion in August (after July’s N4.42 trillion), N4.49 trillion in June, N4.63 trillion in May, N4.57 trillion in April, N4.60 trillion in March, N4.51 trillion in February, and N4.74 trillion in January.

Total currency in circulation echoed this, climbing to N5.26 trillion in November 2025 from October’s N5.06 trillion, with relative stability in the third quarter (N4.95 trillion in September, N4.92 trillion in August and July) and second quarter (N4.92 trillion in June, N5.01 trillion in May).

First-quarter figures hovered around N5 trillion: N5.01 trillion in April, N5 trillion in March, N5.03 trillion in February, and N5.04 trillion in January.

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Banking

UBA Business Series to Spotlight Africa’s New Generation of Women Leaders

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By Modupe Gbadeyanka

To celebrate women while also creating a platform where meaningful conversations around leadership, ambition and opportunity can take place, United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc, will hold a special edition of its impactful quarterly UBA Business Series on Wednesday, March 12, 2026.

The event, themed gen w- ‘The Evolved Woman, will begin at 11 am at the UBA House, Lagos, and will be streamed live across all UBA digital platforms. Interested participants can register to attend virtually or in person via on.ubagroup.com/tfig.

The conversation will centre around women intensely forward, highlighting a new generation of women who are not simply seeking opportunities but confidently creating them. The discussion will explore how women today are shaping industries, leading businesses, and redefining success on their own terms.

A statement from the lender disclosed that this special UBA Business Series would bring together an array of accomplished female leaders and professionals who will share insights, experiences and practical strategies for navigating ambition, leadership and growth in today’s dynamic environment.

It will feature an inspiring line-up of speakers, including entrepreneur and founder of ORÍKÌ Group, Joycee Awosika; media personality & entrepreneur, Tomike Adeoye; entrepreneur and founder of Fine Funky, Olufunke Davies; and award-winning broadcaster, Ayo Mario-Ese. The conversation will be hosted by media personality and actor, Tobi Bakre.

Panellists will share their personal journeys and perspectives on navigating professional spaces, building resilient businesses, embracing authenticity and redefining leadership as women in a rapidly evolving global landscape.

“The modern African woman is evolving in remarkable ways. She is bold, visionary, and intentional about the spaces she occupies.

“Through this edition of the UBA Business Series, we want to celebrate women while also creating a platform where meaningful conversations around leadership, ambition and opportunity can take place,” the Group Head of Marketing and Corporate Communications for UBA, Ms Alero Ladipo, stated.

The quarterly UBA Business Series has become a key knowledge-sharing platform designed to equip entrepreneurs, professionals and business leaders with insights, tools and strategies needed to grow sustainable enterprises as well as navigate the evolving business landscape.

UBA is one of the largest employers in the financial sector on the African continent, with 25,000 employees group-wide and serving over 45 million customers globally.

Operating in 20 African countries, the United Kingdom, the United States of America, France and the United Arab Emirates, the bank provides retail, commercial and institutional banking services, leading financial inclusion and implementing cutting-edge technology.

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