Banking
Fitch Expects Access Bank to Repay Diamond Bank’s $200m Eurobond Next Month
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
In May 2019, Eurobond worth N200 million issued by Diamond Bank Plc is expected to be due for repayment and with Access Bank merging with Diamond Bank, the tier-1 lender would be expected to repay the bond holders at maturity.
Renowned rating agency, Fitch Ratings, says it expect Access Bank to be able to settle the debt and not default.
In a statement issued on Wednesday, Fitch, which maintained the Rating Watch Negative (RWN) on Access Bank ratings following the completion of the merger with Diamond Bank Plc, said it “expects Access Bank to repay the $200 million Eurobond on the due date.”
Fitch said it will resolve the RWN on Access Bank’s ratings when it has sufficient information to fully assess the combined entity’s standalone creditworthiness.
In the meantime, Fitch has upgraded Diamond Bank’s Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to ‘B’ from ‘CC’, aligning it with Access Bank’s Long-Term IDR to reflect the merger with a higher-rated entity, and simultaneously withdrawn Diamond Bank’s Long-Term IDR.
The merger of the two banks has resulted in Diamond Bank’s assets, liabilities (including Diamond Bank’s $200 million Eurobond due May 21, 2019) and other undertakings being assumed by Access Bank.
Fitch noted in the statement obtained by Business Post that the RWN on Access Bank Long-Term IDR and Viability Rating (VR) primarily reflects the potentially negative impact on its financial profile from the absorption of a bank with very weak asset quality, capitalisation and foreign currency liquidity.
Accordingly, Fitch expects Access Bank’s asset quality, capitalisation and, potentially, funding and liquidity to be weaker post-merger.
“At the same time, we recognize that Access’s will be acquiring substantial low-cost deposits from Diamond Bank, which could improve its overall cost of funding. The RWN on Access Bank’s ratings also reflects greater strategy and execution risks post-merger,” the rating firm said.
Furthermore, Fitch said it expects to resolve the RWN when there is further clarity on these elements of Access Bank’s standalone credit profile, which we anticipate will be following the release of its results for the first quarter of 2019.
Fitch hinted that a potential downgrade of the bank’s rating is likely to be limited to one notch given Access Bank’s reasonable asset quality and capitalisation pre-merger, and its potentially now stronger company profile and franchise as Nigeria’s largest bank by total assets.
It stressed that Access Bank’s ratings could be affirmed with a Stable Outlook if we view the impact from the merger as moderate, based on the combined bank’s financial metrics, and limited additional unforeseen risks emerging from Diamond Bank.
It further said Access Bank’s National Ratings reflect the bank’s creditworthiness relative to other issuers in Nigeria. The RWN on Access Bank’s National Ratings reflects potential downside risks of the merger.
It disclosed that Access Bank’s ratings could be downgraded if the bank’s financial profile, particularly its capitalisation, asset quality or foreign currency liquidity, deteriorates significantly with the merger or, in the medium term, if the bank’s risk appetite, strategy and/or business model weaken notably.
“The ratings could be affirmed if the impact from the merger is moderate. The ratings could be upgraded in the medium term if Access Bank’s financial profile becomes sustainably comparable with higher rated peers, such as Zenith Bank, Guaranty Trust Bank or United Bank for Africa.
“Access Bank’s National Ratings remain sensitive to a change in the bank’s creditworthiness relative to other Nigerian issuers.
“A change in Access Bank’s IDRs would lead to a change in the ratings of its senior debt. A change in Access Bank’s VR would lead to a change in the rating of its subordinated debt,” it said.
Banking
Coronation Merchant Bank Targets Top-Tier African Status in Next Growth Phase
By Adedapo Adesanya
Coronation Merchant Bank has set its sights on attaining top-tier status among African banks, leveraging a decade of operations and Nigeria’s ongoing economic reforms to drive its next phase of growth across key sectors.
Speaking at the Chairman’s Dinner held to commemorate the bank’s 10th anniversary in Lagos, the chief executive of the lender, Mr Paul Abiagam, said the institution had successfully carved out a distinct niche in Nigeria’s highly competitive financial services market despite a decade defined by economic volatility, policy shifts and macroeconomic uncertainty.
“Over the last 10 years, we have found our own space in a very tight market and built credible footprints in the specific markets we chose to serve,” Mr Abiagam said.
Describing the bank’s journey as “valiant” amid the changing economic landscape, he said the anniversary represents both a moment of gratitude to the bank’s founder, shareholders, board and partners, and a recommitment to scale new heights in the decade ahead.
Mr Abiagam attributed the bank’s resilience and steady growth to strong shareholder and board support, as well as a clear and disciplined corporate strategy.
He noted that Coronation Merchant Bank’s focus on defined target markets had enabled it to expand its footprint across key sectors of the economy while maintaining operational clarity.
Looking ahead, the CEO said ongoing reforms and the Federal Government’s ambition to build a $1 trillion economy present significant opportunities for financial institutions with the right expertise and positioning.
He identified infrastructure, construction, real estate, oil and gas, and manufacturing as priority sectors where the bank is already aligning its strategy.
“Volatility often comes with opportunity, What we see clearly is opportunity, and our strategy is to ensure we are well positioned to take advantage of it.” Mr Abiagam said.
Among the bank’s notable milestones, Mr Abiagam highlighted its international credit ratings, placing Coronation among a small group of internationally rated merchant banks in Nigeria.
He also pointed to human capital as a core strength, describing the bank’s people and talent as its greatest asset.
In his remarks, the Chairman of Coronation Merchant Bank, Mr Babatunde Folawiyo, reflected on the challenges of operating in Nigeria’s banking sector over the past decade, noting that the true measure of success lies in an institution’s ability to grow through uncertainty and emerge stronger.
“Anyone who has operated in Nigeria’s banking space over the last 10 years knows how challenging it has been,” Mr Folawiyo said, citing policy changes, macroeconomic shifts and leadership transitions. “The real test is whether you can grow through those challenges—and we have.”
Mr Folawiyo said recent reforms have introduced greater certainty into the economy, particularly in the foreign exchange market, which is critical for business planning and sustainable growth. While acknowledging that the adjustment period has been difficult, he stressed that predictability, even at higher exchange rates, is far more beneficial than extreme volatility.
“No business thrives without some level of stability. What hurts the economy most is wild and sudden swings. Predictability allows businesses to plan, adjust and grow,” he said.
On the outlook for the sector, Mr Folawiyo said Nigeria remains significantly underbanked, creating room for diverse players within the financial system. While technology and fintechs are expanding access to financial services, he emphasized the enduring role of specialized institutions such as merchant banks in serving corporate and structured finance needs.
“A corporate client structuring commercial papers or complex funding solutions needs more than a fintech app. It needs a bespoke, one-stop financial partner. That is where merchant banks like ours play a critical role,” the Chairman said.
He added that Coronation Merchant Bank’s strategy is anchored on long-term economic fundamentals rather than political cycles, noting that the current policy direction of the Central Bank and the Federal Government, though initially painful, aligns with sound economic principles.
“These are textbook reforms. There is no gain without pain, and we are already beginning to see the gains, not just in the financial sector but across the broader economy,” he added.
Banking
S&P Forecasts 25% Credit Growth for Nigerian Banks in 2026
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigerian banks are expected to post stronger credit growth of up to 25 per cent in 2026 while retaining positive profitability, according to a new outlook by S&P Global Ratings.
In its Nigerian Banking Outlook 2026, S&P said improved lending to key sectors of the economy alongside resilient non-interest income would help banks absorb the impact of regulatory headwinds and easing interest rates.
The ratings agency projected credit growth of between 20 and 25 per cent in 2026, driven largely by increased investments in oil and gas, agriculture and manufacturing.
It added that the outlook for lending was supported by expectations of moderating inflation and gradual monetary easing, following recent interest rate cuts by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).
“We expect credit growth of about 20-25 per cent supported by investments in the oil and gas, agriculture, and manufacturing sectors. Although interest rates have started to decrease, profitability should stay resilient in 2026, supported by growth in non-interest income (NII) and lower provisions.
“We expect Nigerian banks to prove resilient and capable of preserving their profitability in 2026,” S&P said, noting that earnings would be supported by transaction driven fees, commissions and a still elevated cost of risk, even as margins come under pressure.
The ratings agency noted further that it expects nominal lending growth to remain high at about 25 per cent, supported largely by investments in the oil and gas sector, agriculture and manufacturing.
S&P said Nigerian banks would continue to benefit from rates that remain high relative to peers, supporting net interest margins while interest rates are expected to decline further in 2026.
“Although interest rates have started to decline, we expect rates to remain high relative to peers, which will continue to support banks’ net interest margins through 2026.
“We forecast the average return on equity (ROE) will normalise at 20-23 per cent in 2026 compared to 25 per cent estimated for 2025, while return on assets will decline marginally to 3.0-3.1 per cent from an estimated 3.3 per cent in 2025. Profitability will be supported by still high interest margins, growing NII, and slightly lower provisions, while capital issuance will increase the equity base leading to a lower ROE.
“Although interest rates have started to decline, we expect rates to be high relative to peers, which will continue to support the banks’ net interest margins through 2026. We forecast an average margin drop of about 50bps to 100bps in 2026, as banks’ margins will continue to benefit from higher yields on government securities and large recourse to low-cost customer deposits.”
Banking
CBN Targets Reforms to Ease Compliance Burdens on Fintech Firms
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
To ease regulatory compliance burdens on financial technology (fintech) companies, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is considering some strategic reforms through a policy known as the Single Regulatory Window.
In its 2025 Fintech Report, the central bank said this scheme will significantly reduce time-to-market for new digital financial products by streamlining licensing and supervisory processes across multiple agencies.
The CBN said there would be a shared regulatory infrastructure in form of a Compliance-as-a-Service model to cut down duplicative reporting, ease the burden on regulated fintechs, and enhance supervisory visibility.
The apex bank said it came up with this idea after being aware of some challenges stakeholders, especially operators, go through in the ecosystem.
The bank said fintech firms remain a critical leg in its financial inclusion drive in Nigeria and must be supported to expand their operations to achieve the goal.
The CBN report showed that 62.5 per cent of fintech firms lamented how regulatory timelines materially affect product rollouts, while over one-third noted that it takes more than 12 months to bring a new product to market, largely due to compliance bottlenecks.
“Stakeholders cited delays in approvals and ambiguity in regulatory guidelines as their most pressing concerns,” a part of the report disclosed.
The report recommended “exploring models for a Single Regulatory Window to simplify multi-agency compliance processes and reduce time-to-market.”
It was also suggested that to address the issues, the bank must review “approval timelines and operational guidelines.”
In addition, the central bank was advised to either review the PSB framework or introduce a dedicated digital banking licence that would enable inclusive lending under stronger prudential oversight.
“A dedicated digital bank licence may be a more effective pathway for inclusive lending than expanding the PSB mandate,” the respondents suggested.
As for digital assets, the CBN signalled a shift towards a more nuanced regulatory framework for cryptocurrency, balancing innovation with financial integrity rather than imposing blanket restrictions, as fintechs acknowledged crypto’s potential to drive cost-effective cross-border transactions and strengthen remittance channels, while also warning of risks linked to illicit flows and consumer protection.
“There was broad agreement on the need for a risk-based, activity-focused regulatory framework,” the report stated, adding that regulators must avoid equating all crypto activity with criminality, especially as many scams originate offshore.
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