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Merger: Fitch Places Diamond Bank, Access Bank on Rating Watch

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By Dipo Olowookere

Following the announcement of a proposed merger between Diamond Bank and Access Bank, renowned rating agency, Fitch Ratings, has placed both Nigerian lenders on its rating watch.

In a statement issued by Fitch, it said Diamond Bank’s Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) has now been downgraded to ‘CC’ from ‘CCC’ and Viability Rating (VR) to ‘cc’ from ‘ccc’ and placed its IDRs and VR on Rating Watch Evolving (RWE).

The agency also simultaneously placed Access Bank Plc on Rating Watch Negative (RWN).

It explained that the downgrade of Diamond Bank’s ratings reflects the deterioration in the bank’s foreign-currency (FC) liquidity position since the last review and an expected deterioration in the bank’s capital position following additional loan impairment charges (LICs) on the announced write-offs of stage 3 loans under IFRS 9, to take place by year-end.

Fitch noted that the Rating Watches (RW) follows a memorandum of agreement between the banks to merge. The merger is expected to be completed by end-June 2019. Although the agreement is subject to regulatory and shareholder approval, Fitch said it believes that the probability of the completion of the merger is sufficiently high to take rating action.

The RWE on Diamond Bank reflects Fitch’s view that its standalone creditworthiness could improve or deteriorate beyond the current ratings, depending on the realisation of the merger and the bank’s ability to meet its upcoming FC obligations prior to it.

The upside aspect of the RWE reflects the view that should Diamond Bank meet its near-term obligations and the merger be completed, it is likely to be positive for the bank’s creditors due to the stronger franchise and financial metrics of the combined entity.

Following completion of the merger, Diamond Bank will cease to exist as a separate legal entity, and Fitch will then withdraw its ratings.

However, the downside aspect of the RWE reflects significant risk with regards to the bank’s near-term FC liquidity position given its large short-term bullet repayments, including a $200 million Eurobond maturing in May 2019, $100 million from Afrexim due in March 2019, and $70 million from the International Finance Corporation due in July 2019.

Fitch said it also understands that some large long-term obligations have recently become current suggesting intensified liquidity pressure.

According to Diamond Bank’s FC liquidity plan, the bank should be able to meet its obligations using existing US dollar liquidity, proceeds from the sale of its UK subsidiary, cash flows from maturing US dollar loans (mainly from oil and gas loans), and by exchanging naira into US dollars through the interbank market.

However, the plan is based on a number of assumptions, including the completion of the sale of the UK subsidiary, which has not yet been approved by the Prudential Regulation Authority in the UK, and therefore liquidity remains tight and highly vulnerable.

Fitch said it also understands that Access Bank may provide some liquidity support to Diamond Bank, although it will not assume a direct liability for Diamond Bank’s debt payments pre-merger.

Fitch point out that Access Bank withdrawing from the deal would most likely be negative for Diamond Bank.

It said the RWN on Access Bank’s Long-Term IDR of ‘B’ and VR reflects the potentially negative impact on its financial metrics from the absorption of a weaker bank and execution risks post-merger.

Upon completion of the merger Fitch will assess the bank’s credit profile. A potential downgrade is likely to be limited to one notch. However, it is also possible that Access Bank’s ratings could be affirmed with a Stable Outlook if the impact from merger appears to be more moderate, given the bank’s currently sound financial metrics and the planned capital raising, and provided there are no additional unforeseen risks emerging from Diamond.

Diamond Bank’s stage 3 loans stood at 37 percent of gross loans at end-1H18. Additionally, the bank’s stage 2 loans stood at 23 percent of gross loans at end-1H18, indicating the extent of its weak asset quality.

Access Bank has better asset quality with stage 3 loans and stage 2 loans accounting for 5 percent and 14 percent of gross loans, respectively, at end-1H18.

Diamond Bank plans to take LICs of between N150 billion-N180 billion before writing off bad loans by end-2018. Diamond Bank’s total equity was N222 billion at end-9M18, meaning that its capital position at end-December 2018 following the write-offs will be materially weaker.

For regulatory capital calculations, Fitch said it understands that as per the central bank’s IFRS 9 transition guidelines, Diamond Bank will be able to phase-in the impact of additional LICs on its total capital adequacy ratio (CAR) over a four-year period, allowing it to remain above its 10 percent minimum regulatory requirement.

Access Bank estimates that its CAR should stand at around 20 percent (above its minimum regulatory capital requirement of 15 percent) post-merger, which will be helped by the expected $250 million Tier 2 capital issuance in January 2019 and strong retained earnings.

Fitch explained that the banks’ National Ratings reflect their creditworthiness relative to Nigeria’s best credit and relative to peers operating in the country. Diamond Bank’s National Long- and Short-Term Ratings have been downgraded to ‘CCC’ and ‘C’, respectively, from ‘B’ and ‘B’, reflecting its weaker credit profile relative to peers, it said.

It noted that Diamond Bank’s National Ratings have also been placed on RWE based on expectation that its assets and liabilities will be transferred to Access Bank’s balance sheet, but also that its credit profile may deteriorate further relative to peers’ in the interim, adding that the RWN on Access Bank’s National Ratings indicates potential downside risks of the merger.

Fitch said Diamond Bank’s senior unsecured debt rating has been downgraded to ‘CC’/’RR4’ from ‘CCC’/’RR4’, with the lender’s senior unsecured debt rating also placed on RWE, reflecting that on its Long-Term IDR. It stated that the Long-Term Ratings on Access Bank’s senior unsecured and subordinated debt have been placed on RWN, reflecting that on its Long-Term IDR.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Banking

Coronation Merchant Bank Targets Top-Tier African Status in Next Growth Phase

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Coronation Merchant Bank has set its sights on attaining top-tier status among African banks, leveraging a decade of operations and Nigeria’s ongoing economic reforms to drive its next phase of growth across key sectors.

Speaking at the Chairman’s Dinner held to commemorate the bank’s 10th anniversary in Lagos, the chief executive of the lender, Mr Paul Abiagam, said the institution had successfully carved out a distinct niche in Nigeria’s highly competitive financial services market despite a decade defined by economic volatility, policy shifts and macroeconomic uncertainty.

“Over the last 10 years, we have found our own space in a very tight market and built credible footprints in the specific markets we chose to serve,” Mr Abiagam said.

Describing the bank’s journey as “valiant” amid the changing economic landscape, he said the anniversary represents both a moment of gratitude to the bank’s founder, shareholders, board and partners, and a recommitment to scale new heights in the decade ahead.

Mr Abiagam attributed the bank’s resilience and steady growth to strong shareholder and board support, as well as a clear and disciplined corporate strategy.

He noted that Coronation Merchant Bank’s focus on defined target markets had enabled it to expand its footprint across key sectors of the economy while maintaining operational clarity.

Looking ahead, the CEO said ongoing reforms and the Federal Government’s ambition to build a $1 trillion economy present significant opportunities for financial institutions with the right expertise and positioning.

He identified infrastructure, construction, real estate, oil and gas, and manufacturing as priority sectors where the bank is already aligning its strategy.

“Volatility often comes with opportunity, What we see clearly is opportunity, and our strategy is to ensure we are well positioned to take advantage of it.” Mr Abiagam said.

Among the bank’s notable milestones, Mr Abiagam highlighted its international credit ratings, placing Coronation among a small group of internationally rated merchant banks in Nigeria.

He also pointed to human capital as a core strength, describing the bank’s people and talent as its greatest asset.

In his remarks, the Chairman of Coronation Merchant Bank, Mr Babatunde Folawiyo, reflected on the challenges of operating in Nigeria’s banking sector over the past decade, noting that the true measure of success lies in an institution’s ability to grow through uncertainty and emerge stronger.

“Anyone who has operated in Nigeria’s banking space over the last 10 years knows how challenging it has been,” Mr Folawiyo said, citing policy changes, macroeconomic shifts and leadership transitions. “The real test is whether you can grow through those challenges—and we have.”

Mr Folawiyo said recent reforms have introduced greater certainty into the economy, particularly in the foreign exchange market, which is critical for business planning and sustainable growth. While acknowledging that the adjustment period has been difficult, he stressed that predictability, even at higher exchange rates, is far more beneficial than extreme volatility.

“No business thrives without some level of stability. What hurts the economy most is wild and sudden swings. Predictability allows businesses to plan, adjust and grow,” he said.

On the outlook for the sector, Mr Folawiyo said Nigeria remains significantly underbanked, creating room for diverse players within the financial system. While technology and fintechs are expanding access to financial services, he emphasized the enduring role of specialized institutions such as merchant banks in serving corporate and structured finance needs.

“A corporate client structuring commercial papers or complex funding solutions needs more than a fintech app. It needs a bespoke, one-stop financial partner. That is where merchant banks like ours play a critical role,” the Chairman said.

He added that Coronation Merchant Bank’s strategy is anchored on long-term economic fundamentals rather than political cycles, noting that the current policy direction of the Central Bank and the Federal Government, though initially painful, aligns with sound economic principles.

“These are textbook reforms. There is no gain without pain, and we are already beginning to see the gains, not just in the financial sector but across the broader economy,” he added.

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Banking

S&P Forecasts 25% Credit Growth for Nigerian Banks in 2026

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Nigerian Banks

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigerian banks are expected to post stronger credit growth of up to 25 per cent in 2026 while retaining positive profitability, according to a new outlook by S&P Global Ratings.

In its Nigerian Banking Outlook 2026, S&P said improved lending to key sectors of the economy alongside resilient non-interest income would help banks absorb the impact of regulatory headwinds and easing interest rates.

The ratings agency projected credit growth of between 20 and 25 per cent in 2026, driven largely by increased investments in oil and gas, agriculture and manufacturing.

It added that the outlook for lending was supported by expectations of moderating inflation and gradual monetary easing, following recent interest rate cuts by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

“We expect credit growth of about 20-25 per cent supported by investments in the oil and gas, agriculture, and manufacturing sectors. Although interest rates have started to decrease, profitability should stay resilient in 2026, supported by growth in non-interest income (NII) and lower provisions.

“We expect Nigerian banks to prove resilient and capable of preserving their profitability in 2026,” S&P said, noting that earnings would be supported by transaction driven fees, commissions and a still elevated cost of risk, even as margins come under pressure.

The ratings agency noted further that it expects nominal lending growth to remain high at about 25 per cent, supported largely by investments in the oil and gas sector, agriculture and manufacturing.

S&P said Nigerian banks would continue to benefit from rates that remain high relative to peers, supporting net interest margins while interest rates are expected to decline further in 2026.

“Although interest rates have started to decline, we expect rates to remain high relative to peers, which will continue to support banks’ net interest margins through 2026.

“We forecast the average return on equity (ROE) will normalise at 20-23 per cent in 2026 compared to 25 per cent estimated for 2025, while return on assets will decline marginally to 3.0-3.1 per cent from an estimated 3.3 per cent in 2025. Profitability will be supported by still high interest margins, growing NII, and slightly lower provisions, while capital issuance will increase the equity base leading to a lower ROE.

“Although interest rates have started to decline, we expect rates to be high relative to peers, which will continue to support the banks’ net interest margins through 2026. We forecast an average margin drop of about 50bps to 100bps in 2026, as banks’ margins will continue to benefit from higher yields on government securities and large recourse to low-cost customer deposits.”

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CBN Targets Reforms to Ease Compliance Burdens on Fintech Firms

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fintech innovators

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

To ease regulatory compliance burdens on financial technology (fintech) companies, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is considering some strategic reforms through a policy known as the Single Regulatory Window.

In its 2025 Fintech Report, the central bank said this scheme will significantly reduce time-to-market for new digital financial products by streamlining licensing and supervisory processes across multiple agencies.

The CBN said there would be a shared regulatory infrastructure in form of a Compliance-as-a-Service model to cut down duplicative reporting, ease the burden on regulated fintechs, and enhance supervisory visibility.

The apex bank said it came up with this idea after being aware of some challenges stakeholders, especially operators, go through in the ecosystem.

The bank said fintech firms remain a critical leg in its financial inclusion drive in Nigeria and must be supported to expand their operations to achieve the goal.

The CBN report showed that 62.5 per cent of fintech firms lamented how regulatory timelines materially affect product rollouts, while over one-third noted that it takes more than 12 months to bring a new product to market, largely due to compliance bottlenecks.

“Stakeholders cited delays in approvals and ambiguity in regulatory guidelines as their most pressing concerns,” a part of the report disclosed.

The report recommended “exploring models for a Single Regulatory Window to simplify multi-agency compliance processes and reduce time-to-market.”

It was also suggested that to address the issues, the bank must review “approval timelines and operational guidelines.”

In addition, the central bank was advised to either review the PSB framework or introduce a dedicated digital banking licence that would enable inclusive lending under stronger prudential oversight.

“A dedicated digital bank licence may be a more effective pathway for inclusive lending than expanding the PSB mandate,” the respondents suggested.

As for digital assets, the CBN signalled a shift towards a more nuanced regulatory framework for cryptocurrency, balancing innovation with financial integrity rather than imposing blanket restrictions, as fintechs acknowledged crypto’s potential to drive cost-effective cross-border transactions and strengthen remittance channels, while also warning of risks linked to illicit flows and consumer protection.

“There was broad agreement on the need for a risk-based, activity-focused regulatory framework,” the report stated, adding that regulators must avoid equating all crypto activity with criminality, especially as many scams originate offshore.

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