Banking
S&P Expects Growth in Ecobank’s Profits, 40% Dividend Payout
By Dipo Olowookere
Globally recognised rating agency, Standard and Poors, has said it foresees the stable operating conditions of Togo-based Ecobank Transnational Incorporated to help it achieve its revenue growth prospects.
In a statement issued recently to announce the affirmation of ‘B-/B’ and ‘B/B’ long- and short-term issuer credit ratings the lender and its Nigerian subsidiary, Ecobank Nigeria Ltd, S&P pointed out that the diverse shareholder structure of the pan-African lender, combined with its strong management team, will ensure the group’s adequate positioning and enable it to benefit from the supportive economic conditions in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU), its largest market, improving economic conditions in Ghana, and more stable conditions in Nigeria.
According to the agency, the ratings reflects its view that Ecobank’s strong pan-African footprint and strengthened management and governance will support its profitability going forward, adding that this is balanced against the group’s constrained asset quality indicators and capital position.
“We think its unique pan-African franchise has attracted a stable base of institutional investors, including Nedbank, Qatar National Bank and South Africa-based Public Investment Corporation, which have positively affected the group’s corporate governance and risk management. We believe the International Finance Corporation’s sale of its 14.1% stake to Arise Invest B.V. reflects continued interest from global investors in Ecobank group and will further support the group’s broader business stability,” the statement obtained by Business Post said.
Ecobank group benefits from a sizeable customer base (19 million as at June 30, 2019) and a strong competitive position in its core markets, ranking among the top three banks in 14 of the countries in which it operates. This wide franchise will continue to support the group’s stable and diversified funding base and low cost of funds, which compare favorably with regional peers. The group’s subsidiaries are primarily funded with short-term deposits (88% of the funding base), comprised of retail and nonfinancial corporate current and savings accounts, S&P said.
“We expect loan growth to resume within the next 12 months. This, in conjunction with higher nonoperating revenue and reduced cost of risk compared with prior years, will support earnings growth.
“We expect the bottom line figures to improve, in conjunction with the continued retention of 100% of net profits until 2020, after which we expect a dividend payout of approximately 40% of net profit.
“This will help improve capitalization slightly and should lead to an average risk-adjusted capital (RAC) ratio before diversification of 3.5% in 2019-2021, up from 3.1% at year-end 2018.
“The group’s subsidiaries are all compliant with their respective minimum capital adequacy as prescribed by their respective regulators. More specifically, following the $150 million recapitalization of Ecobank Nigeria in 2018/2019, we note that its capital adequacy ratio has increased to 16.2% as of June 30, 2019.
“We understand the bank’s capitalization requirements currently do not incorporate the additional 1% domestic systemically important bank (D-SIB) buffer above its 10% minimum capital adequacy ratio. We estimate the group has sufficient capital to meet the additional requirement if the Central Bank of Nigeria introduces the measure in 2020,” the statement said.
It stressed that, “The need to inject capital at Ecobank Nigeria, stemming from the naira devaluation, the $250 million effect of International Financial Reporting Standards 9 (IFRS 9), and additional outlays for regulatory compliance, resulted in double leverage increasing to 150% at year-end 2018, from 114% in 2017.”
“We consider this ratio very high, however, we believe that this risk is adequately covered by available foreign currency liquidity of approximately $600 million. We forecast double leverage will reduce to 130% by 2019 and below 120% by 2020, in line with management’s targets, on the back of increased dividends and cash flows from its subsidiaries.
“The outlook on Ecobank Nigeria and ETI is stable, reflecting our expectation that the group’s asset quality and financial performance will gradually improve over the next 12 months. The outlook also incorporates our expectation that the group would maintain adequate liquidity at the holding company level in response to its high double leverage.”
“We would lower our ratings on Ecobank Nigeria if we took a similar rating action on Nigeria (B/Stable/B). We would also lower our ratings if we considered the Nigerian subsidiary less core to the group due to prolonged weaker financial performance.
“We would lower the ratings on ETI if liquidity buffers that mitigate its double leverage significantly diminished.
“An upgrade of ETI would require, in addition to double leverage reducing to more manageable levels below 120%, a significant improvement in its asset quality indicators or a strengthening of its RAC above 7%. We consider an upgrade of ETI not very likely within our forecast horizon.
“An upgrade of Ecobank Nigeria would require a significant strengthening of the group’s asset quality or capitalization and a similar action on Nigeria,” the statement noted.
By Adedapo Adesanya
First Holdco Plc has commenced a public offer to raise about N1.4 trillion (approximately $1 billion) after securing approval from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).
The offer, which opened on Monday, involves the sale of 10.4 billion ordinary shares, according to the chief executive of its banking subsidiary, First Bank of Nigeria Limited, Mr Olusegun Alebiosu.
The capital raise follows the company’s earlier plan to transfer about a quarter of its shares to RC Investment Management Ltd., which served as a bridge holder after Barbican Capital Limited exited its investment in the lender amid a prolonged ownership and leadership dispute.
First Holdco had previously indicated that the shares would eventually be offered to the investing public once the necessary regulatory approvals were obtained.
Speaking in an interview with Bloomberg, Mr Alebiosu said proceeds from the offer would strengthen the capital base of First Bank and support the holding company’s expansion strategy.
According to him, the group intends to diversify beyond banking by establishing an insurance underwriting business and a fintech services company.
“The sale is starting today — the reality here is that I am not sure it will stay more than one week based on the pressure we are getting,” Mr Alebiosu said, expressing confidence in strong investor demand.
Investors appeared to respond positively to the announcement, with First HoldCo’s shares climbing as much as 5.9 per cent to a record high during trading on Monday before easing to a 3.1 per cent gain at N133.60 by early afternoon in Lagos.
The lender has been one of the best-performing banking stocks on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited over the past year, with its share price rising more than fourfold since July 2025, when Barbican Capital’s stake was transferred to RC Investment Management.
The fresh capital injection comes as its largest shareholder, Mr Femi Otedola, continues to strengthen his stake in Nigeria’s oldest bank. With the billionaire holding around a 26 per cent stake in the company, analysts say he has his eyes set on full control once his equity crosses the 30 per cent mark.
By Adedapo Adesanya
One of Nigeria’s top digital banks, PalmPay, has appointed a former executive of the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBSS), Mr Samuel Oluyemi, as its chief operating officer.
In his new role, Mr Oluyemi will oversee the financial technology company’s operations in Nigeria, where it offers a broad range of digital financial services to individuals and businesses.
Mr Oluyemi will also engage with regulators to ensure the company’s expansion aligns with Nigeria’s financial, digital and social inclusion objectives.
Prior to joining the company, Mr Oluyemi spent more than two decades at NIBSS, where he served as business development lead.
During his tenure, he drove the development of several critical payment infrastructure projects, including the digital validation of Nigerian international passports, e-Dividend Mandate Management System (e-DMMS), and the Electronic Pensions Contribution Collection System (EPCCOS).
Also, he played a key role in the introduction and early adoption of the NIBSS Instant Payment (NIP) platform, Nigeria’s first real-time interbank transfer system launched in 2011, and later supported its extension to other financial institutions.
Mr Oluyemi obtained a master’s degree in Monetary Economics from the University of Ibadan and has participated in several local and international professional training programmes.
Commenting on the appointment, Managing Director of PalmPay Nigeria, Mr Chika Nwosu, said that the company was strengthening its leadership team to support its longterm vision.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Africa’s most valuable fintech, Flutterwave, has signalled that its long-anticipated initial public offering (IPO) remains firmly on the back burner as the company intensifies efforts to transform itself into a licensed financial institution across the continent.
The firm’s chief executive, Mr Olugbenga Agboola, said the firm is focused on building sustainable profitability, diversifying its revenue streams and expanding its banking footprint before considering a stock market listing.
Speaking to The Africa Report, Mr Agboola described an IPO as a future financing milestone rather than an immediate strategic objective.
“An IPO is a financing event, not a strategy,” he said. “We are not holding any pressure to go public. This gives us the flexibility to be patient and ensure when we do list, we’re doing so from a position of strength.”
The comments come as Flutterwave embarks on an acquisition-led expansion strategy aimed at securing banking licences and deeper regulatory access across Africa.
Mr Agboola revealed that the company is currently in the process of acquiring a bank in East Africa, though he declined to disclose the institution or country involved.
The planned acquisition is expected to provide Flutterwave with an established customer base, existing banking infrastructure and regulatory approvals, significantly shortening the time required to enter new financial services markets.
According to Mr Agboola, the company’s expansion priorities include Kenya, Ghana, Rwanda, Tanzania, South Africa and Egypt, while the Democratic Republic of Congo and Ethiopia remain under consideration for future growth.
Rather than building banks from scratch in every market, Flutterwave intends to adopt a mix of acquisitions, licences and strategic partnerships depending on local regulatory conditions.
“The vision is not to form a bank in every country but to ensure that every African business has access to more than financial services,” Mr Agboola said in the interview.
The banking push follows recent regulatory and corporate developments, including the Central Bank of Nigeria’s approval of Flutterwave’s banking licence and the acquisition of open banking startup Mono.
Together, the moves underscore a broader strategy to expand beyond payments and establish new revenue streams in lending, liquidity management and business banking services.
Flutterwave plans to focus on institutional deposits from businesses already using its platform rather than competing aggressively for retail deposits.
The company intends to leverage transaction data from its payments network to provide short-term working capital, merchant financing, invoice discounting and trade finance products for small and medium-sized enterprises.
Mr Agboola disclosed that the bulk of the capital earmarked for banking operations will be directed toward credit support and liquidity buffers, with additional allocations for lending and banking infrastructure.
The strategy reflects a growing trend among African fintech firms seeking banking licences to reduce dependence on traditional financial institutions and gain greater control over settlement, liquidity management and product development.
Despite speculation about a near-term public listing, Mr Agboola maintained that Flutterwave’s immediate focus remains execution and growth.
He noted that the company will only consider an IPO after achieving stronger profitability and establishing scale across its payments, banking and remittance businesses.
In February 2025, he told Bloomberg that Flutterwave would only pursue a public offering after becoming profitable. He also stated in late 2024 that the company was “not in the IPO race.”
Founded in 2016, Flutterwave has processed more than one billion transactions valued at over $40 billion across 35 African countries. The company recently secured fresh funding that lifted its valuation to $3.3 billion, with American blockchain firm Ripple leading the investment round.
For now, however, Flutterwave appears more interested in building the foundations of a pan-African financial institution than rushing to the public markets, positioning banking expansion as the next phase of its growth story while keeping an eventual IPO firmly on the long-term horizon.
