Economy
$4.31b FX Was Sold To Dealers In 2016 Q2—CBN

By Modupe Gbadeyanka
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has released the economic report for the second quarter of 2016.
In the report seen by Business Post, growth in the key monetary aggregates accelerated in the second quarter of 2016.
The apex bank said during the period under review, provisional data showed that foreign exchange inflow and outflow through it amounted to US$5.89 billion and US$6.09 billion, respectively, resulting in a net outflow of US$0.20 billion.
It further said foreign exchange sales by it to the authorized dealers amounted to US$4.31 billion in the second quarter of 2016. It explained that the average exchange rate of the naira vis-à-vis the US dollar at the inter-bank was N209.13/US$.
CBN also said over the level at the end of the preceding quarter, broad money supply, (M2), grew by 5.9 percent.
It explained in the report that the development reflected the increase in net foreign assets, domestic credit (net) and other assets (net) of the banking system, respectively.
Similarly, narrow money (M1), grew by 0.9 per cent over the level at the end of the preceding quarter.
Developments in banks’ deposit and lending rates were mixed during the second quarter of 2016. The spread between the weighted average term deposit and maximum lending rates widened to 21.43 percentage points at the end of the second quarter of 2016.
Similarly, the margin between the average savings deposit and the maximum lending rates widened to 24.10 percentage points.
At the inter-bank funds segment, the weighted average inter-bank call rate rose by 12.55 percentage points to 15.56 per cent in the second quarter of 2016, reflecting the liquidity condition in the banking system.
The total value of money market assets outstanding at the end of the second quarter of 2016, stood at N10,460.66 billion, showing an increase of 6.7 per cent, compared with the level at the end of the first quarter of 2016. The development reflected the 8.09 and 2.73 per cent increase in FGN bonds and treasury bills, respectively.
Developments on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) were mixed in the review quarter.
At N1,159.05 billion, total federally-collected revenue was 51.3 and 8.6 per cent lower than the quarterly budget estimate and the preceding quarter’s receipts, respectively. At N537.19 billion or 46.3 per cent of the total, gross oil receipt was lower than both the provisional quarterly budget and the receipts in the preceding quarter.
The development was attributed to the continued fall in receipts from crude oil/gas exports arising from persistent low price of crude oil and incidences of shut-ins and shut-downs at some NNPC terminals, owing to pipeline vandalism. Non-oil receipts, at N621.86 billion or 53.7 per cent of the total, was above the level in the preceding quarter by 3.2 per cent, but was significantly lower than the proportionate quarterly budget.
Federal Government retained revenue was N677.88 billion, while total expenditure was N1,768.85 billion, resulting in an estimated deficit of N1,090.96 billion in the second quarter of 2016, compared with the proportionate quarterly budget deficit of N555.49 billion.
The CBN said in the report that agricultural sector activities increased due to well distributed rainfall in most parts of the country. Major activity in the South was harvesting of maize and yam, while planting and off-season harvesting dominated in the North. In the livestock sub-sector, farmers engaged in the breeding of poultry and migration of cattle from North to South in search of green pastures. The end-period inflation rate on year-on-year and 12-month moving average basis for the second quarter of 2016, was 16.5 per cent and 11.4 per cent, respectively.
World crude oil demand and supply were estimated at 93.25 mbd and 94.34 mbd, respectively, in the second quarter of 2016. Nigeria’s crude oil production, including condensates and natural gas liquids, was estimated at an average of 1.54 million barrels per day (mbd) or 141.68 million barrels (mb) for the second quarter of 2016. Crude oil export was estimated at 1.09 mbd or 100.28 million barrels, while deliveries to the refineries for domestic consumption remained at 0.45 mbd or 41.40 million barrels during the review quarter.
The average price of Nigeria’s reference crude, the Bonny Light (370 API), was US$46.44 per barrel in the review quarter.
Global growth remained modest and uneven. Risks to the global outlook remained tilted to the downside, due to ongoing adjustments in the global economy, general slowdown in emerging market economies, China’s rebalancing, lower commodity prices and gradual exit by the US from extraordinarily accommodative monetary policy.
Other major international economic developments and meetings of importance to the domestic economy during the review period included: The 2016 Spring Meetings of the Board of Governors of the World Bank Group (WBG), the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Inter-Governmental Group of Twenty-Four (G-24) on International Monetary Affairs and Developments held from April 11 – 18, 2016 in Washington D. C., USA. Also, the 2016 continental seminar of the Association of African Central Banks (AACB) was held from May 9 -11 2016 in Cairo, Egypt, on the theme “Financial stability: New Challenges for Central Banks.
Finally, the 51st Annual Meetings of the African Development Bank (AfDB) and the 42nd Meetings of the Board of Governors of the African Development Fund (ADF) were held from May 23 – 27 2016 in Lusaka, Zambia.
Economy
NECA DG Warns of Growing Pressure on Businesses, Households
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Director General of the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association (NECA), Mr Adewale-Smatt Oyerinde, has run to the rooftop to warn of the negative impact of rising crude oil prices on businesses and households in the country.
In a statement on Monday, he said the Middle East crisis was pushing up domestic energy costs, placing pressure on businesses and eroding the purchasing power of citizens, warning that without urgent intervention, the situation could escalate.
According to him, fuel prices have risen sharply in recent days, with petrol exceeding N1,300 per litre in some locations and diesel approaching N1,800 per litre, reflecting the impact of global oil price movements.
He stressed that energy costs sit at the heart of Nigeria’s economy, and energy is the engine of production and distribution, noting that businesses, particularly in manufacturing, agriculture, and logistics, are already under significant pressure. “What we are witnessing is Nigeria’s oil paradox. Rising crude oil prices are pushing up domestic energy costs, squeezing businesses and worsening the cost of living for citizens.
“Once fuel prices rise, the effects are immediate and widespread: transport costs increase, food prices rise, and the overall cost of doing business escalates.
“For many firms that rely on diesel for operations, current price levels are becoming increasingly difficult to sustain. Profit margins are shrinking, and businesses are being forced to either pass on costs or scale down operations,” Mr Oyerinde stated.
The NECA DG further noted that global oil prices have surged amid geopolitical tensions, with Brent crude rising above $110 per barrel, intensifying cost pressures across energy markets.
He clarified that while the Middle East conflict has contributed to the rise in oil prices, the impact is exposing deeper structural weaknesses, underinvestment, weak infrastructure, and inefficiencies in Nigeria’s energy value chain.
“This situation is not only driven by external factors, but it is also reflecting ongoing constraints within the energy value chain, including supply inefficiencies and infrastructure limitations,” he disclosed.
“The government must act swiftly to ease supply constraints, stabilise prices, and provide targeted relief to critical sectors, he declared, emphasising that, “If this trend continues unchecked, we risk business closures, job losses, and a deeper cost-of-living crisis.”
On the long-term outlook, Mr Oyerinde emphasised the need for structural reforms. Nigeria’s resilience will not be determined by oil prices, but by how effectively we manage them. This is a moment to strengthen institutions, improve transparency, and invest in sustainable energy solutions.
He concluded with a caution that if properly managed, “this could strengthen our economy. If not, the gains from rising oil prices will be completely eroded by inflation and economic hardship.”
Economy
NAICOM Rules Out Extension of July 31 Recapitalisation Deadline
By Adedapo Adesanya
The National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) has stressed that it has no intention of extending the deadline of the ongoing insurance recapitalisation exercise fixed for July 31, 2026.
The Commissioner for Insurance, Mr Olusegun Omosehin, at a high-level media briefing in Lagos, emphasised that “The 31 July deadline is sacrosanct.”
Mr Omosehin rationalised that NAICOM said it was not worried by the sluggishness of some underwriting companies towards the exercise.
“It is embedded in the law, and as a regulator, we do not have the powers to alter a date set by an Act of the National Assembly,” he explained, noting that the timeline is a statutory requirement under the Nigeria Insurance Industry Reform Act of 2025.
“We would not be drawn into a last-minute rush or entertain pleas for extensions,” Mr Omosehin warned, adding that any adjustment to the schedule would require a formal amendment of the Act by the National Assembly and subsequent presidential assent, a path he stated the commission is not prepared to take.
He further noted that while 20 insurance companies have officially stepped forward to begin their capital verification process, the level of urgency across the board does not match the requirements of the law.
“We want a stronger, more resilient industry that can support Nigeria’s target of a $1tn economy,” the Commissioner added, stressing that the ultimate goal is not just capital but the capability to underwrite large risks and protect policyholders.
“Capital alone is not the goal; it is about the capability to underwrite large risks,” he reiterated, while urging operators who may lack the “stand-alone stamina” to meet the new requirements to consider mergers and acquisitions immediately rather than waiting.
“We warn against ‘emergency marriages’ concluded at the eleventh hour, as such ad hoc arrangements often lead to lingering liabilities and post-merger integration crises,” Mr Omosehin said.
The NAICOM chief also confirmed that the regulator is currently scanning all operating firms and will soon make the results of this regulatory assessment public.
While re-emphasising the July 31 deadline, he warned that all funds raised must be deposited in designated escrow accounts.
Economy
BudgIT Raises Alarm Over Poor Transparency in Nigeria’s Local Government Budgets
By Adedapo Adesanya
Governance transparency platform, BudgIT, has expressed worry that only 10 states provided publicly accessible budget information for their Local Government Areas (LGAs).
The report, titled The Missing Tier: Mapping Local Government Budget Transparency in Nigeria, found that while six states offer partial or outdated disclosures, as many as 18 states do not publish any LGA budget data at all.
Despite the existence of these budgets at council secretariats nationwide, BudgIT noted that access remains largely restricted, particularly online.
“For most of Nigeria’s 774 local governments, those budgets are not publicly accessible online,” the report stated.
Among the states assessed, Ekiti emerged as the top performer, with a comprehensive system that includes detailed, up-to-date budget documentation for its councils.
Other states identified as making LGA budget information available include Ebonyi, Osun, Kebbi, Kogi, Enugu, Kaduna and Yobe.
However, the report cautioned that even among these states, data quality remains inconsistent, with several budgets either incomplete, outdated, or poorly structured.
BudgIT highlighted notable examples of improved accountability practices.
Ekiti State, for instance, publishes individual 2026 budgets for all its LGAs and LCDAs, accompanied by signed documents, consultation records, and standardised financial templates.
Cross River State also stood out for releasing individual council budgets, audited accounts, and quarterly performance reports.
Similarly, Borno State was commended for maintaining a consolidated 2025 budget alongside supporting financial documents, suggesting a structured and functional reporting system.
The report identified six states with limited transparency, providing only fragmented or outdated information.
Kano State, for example, publishes quarterly performance reports but lacks full-year approved budgets.
In Imo State, no LGA budgets were found, although a financial statement from the Accountant-General was available.
Ondo State reportedly released documents for only a portion of its LGAs, while Anambra published an appropriation law without detailed breakdowns. Ogun State, meanwhile, only provided data for 2024.
BudgIT further disclosed that a large number of states fail entirely to make LGA budgets public.
These include Abia, Adamawa, Akwa Ibom, Bauchi, Bayelsa, Benue, Delta, Edo, Gombe, Jigawa, Katsina, Lagos, Nasarawa, Niger, Oyo, Plateau, Rivers, Sokoto, Taraba, and Zamfara.
According to the organisation, the issue is not the absence of budget documents but the lack of public access to them.
“Yet for most of Nigeria’s 774 local governments, those budgets are not publicly accessible online,” the civic tech firm said.
BudgIT stressed that improving transparency at the local government level does not require complex reforms but rather a deliberate policy decision.
“Since state governments already publish their own budgets online, extending the same standard to local councils is neither complex nor costly; it is a matter of institutional choice,” the organisation said.
It added, “This choice is a critical one; Nigeria’s post-1999 experience with democracy has not had Local Governments with significant autonomy. Be that as it may, LGAs still have the opportunity to make public what they budget, what they spend and what they earn.”
Highlighting the benefits of openness, the report noted that transparency enables citizens to track public spending and hold officials accountable.
“Where they are withheld, accountability stops at the state level, leaving the tier closest to citizens financially opaque,” BudgIT said.
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