Economy
72% of Nigerians Will Invest in Stocks, Mutual Funds After Essential Living Expenses—Survey
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
Against the backdrop of the unprecedented COVID-19 pandemic, West African consumer sentiment has experienced a lift of 8 points in the Nielsen Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for Quarter 3, 2020 with Nigeria CCI increasing to 116 from; up from the previous quarter’s 108 points.
According to the report, once they meet their essential living expenses, the highest number of consumers (75 per cent) said they will put their spare cash into savings, a drop from 81 per cent from last quarter, followed by 72 per cent who choose to invest in stocks and mutual funds.
One of the most significant increases in discretionary spending is the purchase of tech up from 51 per cent to 57 per cent – a clear indicator of consumers’ mindset shift away from non-essential services and their desire to make necessary work/life changes under the pandemic protocols.
“The latest consumer sentiments reflect the country’s continued cautionary concerns albeit with some practical fine-tuning.
“As the global pandemic continues to affect world economies and put pressure on consumers’ pockets, Nigerians consumers are making lifestyle adjustments and taking actions to protect their long-term economic future,” Nielsen West Africa Retail Intelligence Lead, Ged Nooy commented.
Equitable optimism by Nigerian consumers also sees improved confidence around the opportunity of job prospects, with 55 per cent of consumers saying they will be good or excellent in the next 12 months – a 12-point increase from the previous quarter.
In terms of the state of their personal finances over the next 12 months, 67 per cent say they are excellent or good, showing a substantial 8-point increase from the previous quarter.
Nigerian propensity to purchase has seen a continued decrease quarter on quarter, with the number of those who think now is a good or excellent time to purchase what they want or need rise just 1 per cent from 32 per cent to 33 per cent in the third quarter.
Sluggish Recovery
To reduce expenses, 50 per cent of consumers said they spent less on new clothes, 54 per cent spent less on out of home entertainment, with the same figure deferring on the replacement of major household items. As much as 33 per cent of Nigerian consumers said they had spare cash, up 1 per cent from last quarter.
When looking at the practical factors that are affecting their outlook, the top consumer concerns over the next 12 months are increasing food prices at 34 per cent, followed by life/work balance at 20 per cent and the economy at 17 per cent.
“Nigerian economic recovery is of concern to consumers and may be more gradual than expected due to a drop in oil prices and restricted trade opportunities. The country has opportunities to transform its economy, however, particularly in agro-processing beyond the pandemic,” Nooy further said.
By Dipo Olowookere
The bears quickly took control of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Wednesday, plunging the stock trading platform by 1.02 per cent after the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) left the benchmark interest rate at 26.50 per cent.
The bourse sank at midweek as BUA Cement led the losers’ chart, after closing lower by 10.00 per cent to N414.00. CAP lost 9.99 per cent to trade at N210.35, eTranzact shrank by 7.03 per cent to N17.20, International Breweries depreciated by 5.38 per cent to N12.30, and Deap Capital crashed by 4.92 per cent to N5.80.
On the flip side, Zichis led the gainers’ chart after it chalked up 9.99 per cent to sell for N32.04, ABC Transport rose by 9.99 per cent to N8.26, Japaul expanded by 9.95 per cent to N4.09, LivingTrust Mortgage Bank grew by 9.92 per cent to N4.21, and FTN Cocoa soared by 9.91 per cent to N10.76.
Business Post observed that despite the loss, investor sentiment remained bullish, as Customs Street finished yesterday with 42 price gainers and 24 price losers, indicating a positive market breadth index.
The insurance counter was the only riser at midweek, closing higher by 0.80 per cent due to bargain-hunting in the space.
However, profit-taking in the other sectors was responsible for the contraction recorded by the stock market on Wednesday.
The industrial goods segment lost 3.84 per cent, the consumer goods sector depreciated by 0.45 per cent, the banking index slumped by 0.31 per cent, and the energy industry dropped 0.10 per cent.
As a result, the All-Share Index (ASI) moderated by 2,573.05 points to 249,062.37 points from 251,635.42 points, and the market capitalisation depleted by N1.619 trillion to N159.661 trillion from N161.280 trillion.
A look at the activity chart showed that 600.2 million shares worth N32.7 billion exchanged hands in 58,958 deals on Wednesday compared with the 704.0 million shares valued at N32.2 billion transacted in 64,539 deals on Tuesday, implying a jump in the trading value by 1.55 per cent, and a shortfall in the trading volume and number of deals by 14.74 per cent, and 8.65 per cent, respectively.
Access Holdings led the activity chart with a turnover of 56.0 million units valued at N1.4 billion, Japaul transacted 49.9 million units worth N202.9 million, Zenith Bank traded 36.7 million units for N4.8 billion, Sterling Holdings sold 25.9 million units valued at N200.8 million, and Fidelity Bank exchanged 21.7 million units worth N499.6 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices fell about 6 per cent on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump said that negotiations with Iran were in the final stages.
Brent crude futures went down by $6.26 or 5.63 per cent to $105.02 a barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures decreased by $5.89 or 5.66 per cent to $98.26 per barrel.
Despite saying talks with Iran were in the final stages, Mr Trump warned of further attacks unless Iran agreed to a deal, making investors remain wary about the outcome of peace talks as disruption to Middle Eastern supply continued.
Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson, Mr Esmaeil Baghaei, said Iran was ready to develop protocols for safe shipping traffic in cooperation with other coastal states.
Iran and the US have been in a stalemate for weeks now as Tehran blockades the Strait of Hormuz and Washington blockades Iranian ports. Hormuz is one of the world’s most important trade routes for oil and gas supplies.
Three supertankers crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday, carrying oil bound for Asian markets, after waiting in the Gulf for more than two months with 6 million barrels of Middle East crude on board. The number of vessels crossing the strait remains well below the 130 or so ships that crossed daily before the war.
Analysts at Citi said that they expect Brent crude to rise to $120 a barrel in the near term, stating that oil markets are underpricing the risk of prolonged supply disruption, and Wood Mackenzie estimated that it could approach $200 if the Strait of Hormuz stays largely shut until the end of the year.
The CEO of the state oil company of the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Mr Sultan Al Jaber, said on Wednesday that it will take at least four months to get back to 80 per cent of pre-conflict flows.
Crude oil inventories in the US decreased by 7.9 million barrels during the week ending May 15, according to new data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) released yesterday. The EIA’s data release follows figures by the American Petroleum Institute (API) that were released a day earlier, which reported that crude oil inventories saw a draw of 9.1 million barrels in the period.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The planned listing of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited is already attracting interest from South African investors and others.
The leadership of South Africa’s Government Employees Pension Fund (GEPF), alongside the Public Investment Corporation and Alterra Capital Partners, were recently at the Lagos-based facility.
The chairperson of GEPF, Mr Frans Baleni, said that the refinery stands as evidence that Africa can execute transformational infrastructure projects when backed by visionary leadership, long-term investment and strong technical expertise.
According to him, the significance of the project extends well beyond Nigeria’s borders, noting that it should reshape how Africa thinks about itself.
“The Dangote Refinery and Petrochemicals Complex is a powerful demonstration that, with visionary leadership and long-term capital, that perception no longer holds. This is the kind of African-led industrial scale that institutional investors on this continent should be backing,” he said.
Also speaking, the chief executive of PIC, Mr Patrick Dlamini, described the refinery as one of the most transformative industrial projects undertaken on the continent, saying it is reshaping global perceptions about Africa’s industrial capabilities and economic potential.
He said PIC, which manages about $230 billion in assets largely on behalf of South Africa’s Government Employees Pension Fund, is actively seeking long-term partnerships aligned with infrastructure development, industrialisation and economic transformation across Africa.
“There is real strategic alignment between Dangote’s industrial agenda and how we are positioning our portfolio, and we look forward to exploring meaningful avenues for collaboration,” he stated.
While receiving his visitors, the chief executive of Dangote Group, Mr Aliko Dangote, said the proposed listing is designed to democratise wealth creation and give Africans direct access to participate in the continent’s industrial transformation.
“We are opening the doors for investors to participate directly in Africa’s industrial future and the prosperity it will create,” Mr Dangote said, adding that the refinery project reflects the scale of untapped opportunities within Africa’s energy market, particularly as most countries on the continent remain dependent on imported refined petroleum products despite growing industrial demand and rising consumption.
The billionaire industrialist noted that demand for products such as polypropylene, aviation fuel and refined petroleum products has exceeded earlier projections, reinforcing the commercial viability of the refinery and shaping future expansion plans.
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