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Economy

A Volatile Week Ahead for Financial Markets?

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Financial Markets

By Lukman Otunuga

Stocks in Asia traded cautiously on Tuesday, following a negative close on Wall Street overnight as growth concerns, inflation worries and geopolitical tensions hit risk sentiment.

European markets opened lower this morning due to the deepening crisis in Ukraine, with the caution likely to find its way back to US markets this afternoon.

In the currency space, the almighty dollar rose to a fresh two-year high during early trade, supported by rising treasury yields and Fed hike bets. Gold slipped after almost kissing $2000 in the previous session, while oil benchmarks steadied after jumping on Monday.

Despite the public holiday in most of Europe yesterday, this is shaping up to be another volatile and eventful week for global markets. The latest comments from the World Bank have added to the cocktail of caution that will most likely influence sentiment over the next few sessions.

The bank cut its global growth forecast for 2022 by nearly a full percentage point to 3.2% from its previous estimate of 4.1%, thanks to the war in Ukraine, soaring inflation, and the lingering effects of Covid-19.

Later today, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) will release its updated global economic outlook with markets expecting a downgrade for growth this year. Such a development may hit investor confidence, sweetening appetite for safe-haven assets.

On the earnings front, Johnson & Johnson and insurance company, Travellers will report their latest results before the opening bell. Streaming giant Netflix will release its earnings after the market close. Traders will also focus on speeches from financial heavyweights Fed Chair Jerome Powell and ECB President Christine Lagarde later this week.

Dollar flexes muscles across the FX space

The dollar tightened its grip on its throne this morning by rising to a fresh two-year high as investors braced for more aggressive U.S rate hikes. Markets have fully priced in a 50bp rate hike at the Fed’s May meeting, with the odds of another half-point rate hike in June very high.

Given how the dollar has appreciated against every single G10 currency this month, bulls are certainly in a position of power to drive prices higher.

When considering how the week ahead will be filled with more speeches from Fed officials, this could fuel upside gains if they all sing a hawkish tune. Indeed, we heard from arch-hawk Bullard overnight who signalled an openness to a 75bp hike. The dollar index (DXY) has the potential to challenge 103.00 if a solid daily close above 101.00 is secured.

Commodity spotlight: Gold

After rallying within a hair’s length of $2000 in the previous session, gold is trading back around $1974 as of writing. With numerous competing themes likely to influence market sentiment this week, gold may find itself pulled and tugged by conflicting forces.

Heightened geopolitical risks and global growth concerns could trigger risk aversion, sending investors rushing towards gold’s safe embrace. However, an appreciating dollar, rising treasury yields, and Fed hike expectations may create multiple obstacles down the road.

Looking at the technical picture, gold has the potential to trend higher, but prices seem to be forming another range. Support can be found at around $1960 and resistance at $2000. A move back below $1960 could trigger a selloff towards $1920. Alternatively, a solid breakout above $2000 may open the doors towards $2009, $2015, and $2050, respectively.

Lukman Otunuga is a Senior Research Analyst at FXTM

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Economy

Quidax, Lisk to Unlock Stablecoins, On-chain Financial Opportunities

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Quidax

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

A partnership designed to expand access to stablecoins and on-chain financial opportunities for everyday users and businesses has been entered into between Quidax and Lisk.

The partnership provides a critical gateway for the developer community, as builders on the Lisk network can now leverage Quidax’s robust digital asset infrastructure to access stablecoins and local currencies at competitive rates.

This institutional-grade infrastructure is designed to power “future-forward” financial products, ranging from neobanks and cross-border payment platforms to regional exchanges and global fintech solutions. It will also allow Quidax customers to trade and move value seamlessly using USDT, USDC, LSK, and Ether (ETH) on the Lisk network.

The collaboration will also accelerate the adoption of Web3 solutions that solve real-world financial challenges for millions of customers across Africa by combining Quidax’s deep local liquidity and compliant framework with Lisk’s scalable L2 technology.

In 2024, Quidax became the first crypto exchange to receive a provisional operating license from Nigeria’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

“The partnership with Lisk enables us to extend our platform to serve more people and cater to the increasing demand from products and services that want to integrate our stablecoin and digital assets product to build products across Africa,” the Chief Infrastructure Officer at Quidax, Mr Morris Ebieroma, said.

Also commenting, the Ecosystem Lead for Africa at Lisk, Ms Chidubem Emelumadu, said, “Africa represents one of the most critical frontiers for blockchain innovation, where the demand for reliable and inclusive financial tools is urgent.

“Our partnership with Quidax expands access to stablecoins and on-chain financial opportunities for everyday users and businesses. At the same time, it gives founders building on Lisk the critical infrastructure they need to create solutions that can scale meaningfully across the continent,” she added.

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Economy

Customs Urges Freight Forwarders to Adopt Automated Licence, Permit System

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Nigeria Customs Service

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigeria Customs Service (NCS) has urged freight forwarders to adopt its automated Licence and Permits Processing system to reduce the cost of doing business.

This advice was given by the Assistant Comptroller-General of Customs, Mr Muhammed Babadede, during a stakeholders’ engagement on automation held in Lagos on Monday.

He noted that the reform responds to longstanding demands for faster, more transparent and simpler procedures for industry stakeholders, disclosing that Comptroller-General of Customs, Mr Bashir Adeniyi, has approved the full automation of the service’s licences and permits processes.

“For years, stakeholders dealt with paperwork, long queues and uncertainty from manual processing. Those days are coming to an end.

“This sensitisation is across all zones. The goal is to ensure stakeholders understand the automated system before implementation,” Mr Babadede said.

He said automation would enable applications and renewals from offices or mobile phones, eliminating visits to customs formations, assuring stakeholders of a fair and consistent process, and reducing errors associated with manual documentation.

He said automation would improve record-keeping, supervision and service delivery without increasing pressure on officers.

The Deputy Comptroller-General, Tariff and Trade, CK Naigwan, also represented by Mr Babadede, reiterated management’s commitment to seamless implementation.

Meanwhile, the Comptroller of Customs for Licence and Permit Unit, Mrs Ngozika Anozie, praised the Comptroller-General for driving innovation within the Service, saying the automation aligns Customs procedures with global best practice and strengthens institutional efficiency.

According to her, the reform reflects the three-point agenda of the Chairman of the World Customs Organisation, Mr Adeniyi, centred on consolidation, collaboration and innovation.

She said the system would enhance the ease of doing business in the maritime sector and boost national revenue generation.

“Automation will cut business costs and reduce travel risks for stakeholders

“They will no longer travel repeatedly to Abuja, paying for transport, hotels and feeding to process licences and permits,” she said, adding that the platform would automatically reject fake documents and accept genuine submissions, curbing fraudulent practices.

“The CGC is determined to sanitise the system, and we are committed to achieving that objective,” Mrs Anozie said.

On his part, the Assistant Superintendent of Customs, Mr Ibrahim Usman, said the Licence and Permit Unit operates under the Tariff and Trade Department.

He explained that the unit ensures proper issuance of licences and permits and compliance with import regulations.

Mr Usman said all licences and permits expire on December 31 of their issuance year.

He added that the portal would become fully operational after nationwide sensitisation, with stakeholders duly informed.

Customs Area Controller, Tincan Island Command, Mr Frank Onyeka, thanked stakeholders for their continued support.

He urged them to take the exercise seriously to achieve seamless processing across Customs operations.

Stakeholders raised concerns about online payment integration and potential technical disruptions.

Officials addressed the questions and pledged continued engagement to ensure smooth implementation nationwide.

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Economy

Oyedele Links Nigeria’s Stock Market Surge to Fiscal Reforms

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stock market bulls

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Chairman of the Presidential Committee on Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms, Mr Taiwo Oyedele, has linked the surge in the nation’s stock market to ongoing fiscal reforms aimed at strengthening investor confidence and stabilising the economy.

Speaking at the 3rd PUU Capital Market Colloquium on Monday in Abuja, Mr Oyedele described the ongoing reforms as one of the most consequential fiscal resets in Nigeria’s modern history, noting that they are designed to build trust in the economy, stimulate inclusive growth, and foster a more investment-friendly environment.

According to him, the impact of these reforms is already visible on the trading floor of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited. As of mid-February 2026, the All-Share Index recorded a 25.3 per cent return within the first seven weeks of the year, while market capitalisation crossed the psychological N100 trillion mark in January before reaching an all-time high of over N125 trillion by February 20.

On January 13, 2026, the index reached an all-time high of 165,837.33 points, extending a rally that had already delivered a 51.2 per cent return in 2025, the strongest performance in nearly two decades.

Mr Oyedele linked the strong performance to structural reforms that had improved transparency, enhanced foreign exchange liquidity, and provided greater predictability in tax administration.

“The results of these policies are already evident on the trading floor. As of mid-February 2026, the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NGX) showed exceptional performance with the All-Share Index (ASI) recording a robust 25.3 per cent return in just the first seven weeks of the year, with market capitalisation crossing the psychological N100 trillion mark in January, and reaching an all-time high of over N125 trillion by 20 February 2026.

“Confidence continues to grow from both foreign and domestic investors, driven by the structural reforms and strong performance in key sectors like energy, industrial and financial services,” he said.

He explained that historically, Nigeria’s tax system had been fragmented and costly to comply with, discouraging investment and limiting efficient capital allocation.

“To address this, the new tax framework provides a unified, transparent and predictable environment where businesses can plan effectively, and investors can price risk appropriately,” he said.

He outlined several provisions in the new tax laws aimed at deepening the capital market. These include a full Capital Gains Tax exemption on proceeds reinvested in Nigerian shares within the same year, higher tax-exempt thresholds for small and retail investors, and a legal framework to reduce corporate income tax from 30 per cent to 25 per cent.

Other measures include the removal and reduction of certain transaction taxes, such as stamp duties on share transfers and withholding tax on bonus shares, as well as provisions that protect foreign investors from being taxed on naira gains without accounting for foreign exchange losses.

He emphasised that the ultimate goal is not merely to celebrate rising market indices but to translate financial market growth into tangible economic development, including financing for infrastructure, factories, innovation and job creation.

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