Economy
Afreximbank Predicts 4% Real GDP Growth for Africa Amid Economic Challenges
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Africa Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) has projected a 4 per cent real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for Africa in 2025 amid global economic fragility.
This forecast was contained in the 2025 African Trade and Economic Outlook (ATEO) Report carried out by the Cairo-based lender, which noted that Africa’s real GDP could reach 4.1 per cent in 2026 and 4.2 per cent in 2027.
The 2025 African Trade and Economic Outlook (ATEO) provides an in-depth analysis of Africa’s economic and trade performance, projecting the continent’s growth trajectory in the short-to- medium term.
It highlights the key macroeconomic and trade developments shaping Africa’s recovery, detailing opportunities for sustainable growth amid heightening global and domestic uncertainties.
The 2025 ATEO report said 41 per cent of African economies were projected to grow by at least five per cent, nearly double the global rate of 21 per cent, reflecting the continent’s expanding role as a driver of global growth.
According to the report, Africa’s gradual recovery would be supported by increased global demand for African exports, the disinflation trend, and the implementation of structural reforms to diversify African economies
The report said the were downside risks to the African economic outlook, including rising geopolitical tensions and fluctuating commodity prices.
“Economic slowdown in the United States and China may also impact the international financial conditions and the demand for African resources.
“Internal conflicts and climate change threaten stability and growth.”
However, the report said potential upside risks include the anticipated decline in global interest rates, which would begin in 2025 if geopolitical uncertainty remained unchanged, potentially enhancing access to financing.
“Additionally, the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) presents an opportunity to boost economic integration and intra-African trade, reducing vulnerability to external shocks in the medium term.”
To address potential downside risks, the report suggests several short-term strategies which include adopting a nuanced and proactive monetary policy stance, and enhancing resilience against climate-related and geopolitical disruptions.
Other strategies include boosting domestic consumption alongside the service sector and accelerating the implementation of the AfCFTA agreement.
In the medium term, the report said strategies should shift toward economic diversification through strategic investments in human capital development and workforce training within key emerging sectors.
“Additionally, efforts should be made to improve economic governance, public infrastructure, and initiatives to strengthen intra-African trade dynamics.”
The report highlighted several challenges and solutions for Africa to attain stability and sustainable development amid a rapidly uncertain global landscape.
The first challenge identified was Africa’s reliance on commodity exports which had made countries vulnerable to fluctuations in world commodity prices.
“To reduce their exposure to these price fluctuations, it is crucial to accelerate the structural shift to a more diversified and resilient economy.”
The second challenge identified was debt sustainability, with the report stating that several African countries allocate over 50 per cent of their revenues to debt servicing, due to their large development financing needs.
“Ensuring debt sustainability requires more efficient public spending and prioritisation of growth-oriented investment projects.”
The report said the third challenge involved human capital and skill development.
To tackle this challenge, the report suggests that governments should invest more resources to improve healthcare and promote collaboration between the public and private sectors.
“ Strengthening training in sciences and technology facilitates skill development and talent allocation, which is essential for successful structural transformation.”
It said the fourth challenge was the weak social outcomes of economic growth in Africa caused by slow progress in poverty reduction.
“To boost poverty-reducing potential growth, improving the provision of basic public infrastructure and services is vital, reducing dependency on natural resources through structural transformation.
“Addressing inequalities must be an integral part of sustainable development goals, ensuring equitable access to quality education, healthcare, energy, transport infrastructure, and financial services.”
The final challenge identified in the report was the growing concerns about environmental degradation and the increasing frequency of extreme weather events.
“For sustainable economic development, promotion of green growth must align with comprehensive policy frameworks that address climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies, while recognizing continental development needs and challenges.”
The 2025 ATEO provides an in-depth analysis of Africa’s economic and trade performance, projecting the continent’s growth trajectory in the short-to-medium term.
Economy
NNPC E&P Hits 36-year High Record Oil Output of 355,000b/d
By Adedapo Adesanya
The flagship upstream subsidiary of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, NNPC E&P Limited (NEPL), has achieved a record production level of 355,000 barrels of oil per day, its highest daily output since 1989.
The 36-year high milestone, which was achieved on December 1, marks a significant step forward for Nigeria’s upstream sector and reflects the company’s ongoing transformation anchored on efficiency and discipline.
According to a statement signed by Mr Andy Odeh, NNPC’s chief spokesperson, the figures show genuine transformation with average daily production surging by 52 per cent, rising from 203,000 barrels per day in 2023 to 312,000 in 2025.
“This record growth is no coincidence; it stems from a clear strategy anchored on operational excellence, strong asset management, and structured field development. NEPL’s performance demonstrates that with the right leadership, strengthened systems, and a committed workforce, Nigeria’s upstream sector can overcome years of instability,” the statement reads in part.
This comes as the country targets an ambitious production level of 2 million barrels per day by 2027 and 3 million by 2030, with the statement claiming that, “NEPL’s delivery brings them closer to reality.”
Speaking on the development, Mr Bashir Bayo Ojulari, the Group CEO of NNPC Limited pointed out that the milestone is proof that Nigeria’s energy revival is not a dream; it is already happening.
“By showing its ability to exceed its own production benchmarks, NEPL confirms that the essential building blocks for scaling national output are being firmly established. The achievement signals that the machinery of production—equipment, processes, capabilities, and partnerships—can be driven with commercial discipline to produce real and positive outcomes,” Mr Ojulari stated.
The NNPC helmsman noted that the achievement reinforces confidence nationally and across the global energy landscape, assuring partners and investors that Nigeria is committed to reaffirming its role as a dependable energy supplier.
Also speaking, Mr Udy Ntia, the Executive Vice President of upstream operations at the state oil company, observed that the milestone goes beyond the 355,000 barrels per day figure.
“In a sector where shortcuts can yield short-term wins but long-term damage, NEPL is making a different point: sustainable progress must rest on responsible operations. This ensures that scaling production does not compromise worker safety, community wellbeing, or environmental protection. It reinforces a shift away from extraction at any cost towards sustainable value creation—a core requirement for any modern energy company seeking global relevance,” he added.
Adding his input, Mr Nicolas Foucart, MD, NEPL also noted that NEPL’s record-setting performance mirrors the broader transformation unfolding across NNPC Limited.
“This is a story shaped by leadership that charts a clear course; by partnerships built on alignment and accountability; and by a workforce whose hard work is turning goals into measurable progress. Our people, our processes, and principles are the real engines behind this success. We are building for tomorrow, not just celebrating today.”
“For Nigerians, this accomplishment means far more than increased barrels; it translates into greater national revenue, stronger energy security, and a more resilient economic foundation. NEPL has not only produced more hydrocarbons; it has reignited belief in what Nigeria’s energy sector can achieve with the right systems, culture, and dedication,” he added.
Economy
Helios to Acquire Frigoglass’ Stake in Beta Glass for Up to €100m
By Adedapo Adesanya
Beta Glass Plc, a leading manufacturer of glass packaging solutions in West and Central Africa, will soon have a new major shareholder as Frigoglass Group has agreed to sell its entire stake in the company to Helios Investment Partners for up to €100 million.
The agreement covers the sale of Frigoglass’ shareholding in Frigoinvest Nigeria Holdings B.V., the parent company of Beta Glass Plc and Frigoglass Industries Nigeria Limited. The business units include glass container manufacturing, plastic crates, and metal crown production.
The deal is subject to regulatory approval and is expected to conclude in the first quarter of 2026.
According to a statement, during the transition period, Beta Glass will continue to work closely with its current owners and partners to ensure smooth operations.
Speaking on this, Mr Gagik Apkarian, founder and Managing Director of Tetrad Capital Partners and Chairman of the Frigoglass Group, described the transaction as the culmination of a three-year transformation programme for the company.
According to him, Beta Glass’ strong financial performance and growth potential attracted “significant interest from domestic and international buyers,” with Helios ultimately emerging as the preferred investor.
Mr Apkarian noted that Helios’ investment is expected to accelerate the company’s future growth, adding that Beta Glass’ 50-year legacy makes it an attractive platform for further value creation.
Also, speaking on the development, Mr Alex Gendis, the chief executive of Beta Glass, welcomed Helios Investment Partners, saying the move aligns with the long-term strategic vision for the business.
He said the transaction “is testament to the underlying growth potential” of Beta Glass and credited Frigoglass for its guidance and support during the company’s transformative years.
Mr Gendis also assured customers, suppliers, and stakeholders that business operations will continue uninterrupted throughout the transition.
The transaction marks a significant shift for Frigoglass, which is divesting from its Nigerian glass operations after a period of intensive restructuring and growth optimisation. It comes a few months after Beta Glass completed the revamp of its DF1 Furnace at Ughelli Plant in 48 days.
Economy
FG Prohibits Cash Transactions at MDAs, Adopts Electronic Payments
By Adedapo Adesanya
The federal government has banned the use of physical cash for revenue payments and directed all Ministries, Departments, and Agencies (MDAs) to deploy Point of Sale (PoS) terminals within 45 days, as part of a sweeping shift toward full electronic revenue collection.
The directive was contained in four separate treasury circulars issued by the Office of the Accountant-General of the Federation (OAGF) late last month.
In the documents, the Accountant-General, Mr Shamseldeen Ogunjimi, ordered that all payments to the federal government must now be made electronically and routed through platforms approved by the treasury.
According to the first circular, dated November 24, 2025, the government expressed concern over the persistent acceptance of physical cash at MDA revenue points, noting that it contradicts existing policies on e-payment and the Treasury Single Account (TSA). It warned that continued cash collection undermines the integrity of federal electronic payment systems.
The OAGF therefore prohibited the receipt of cash “in Naira or any other currency” for government revenues and mandated MDAs to immediately sensitise staff and the public. Revenue points are to display notices such as “NO PHYSICAL CASH RECEIPT” and “NO CASH PAYMENT.”
It added that MDAs still collecting cash must install functional POS machines or other approved electronic tools within 45 days, with accounting officers held accountable for breaches.
A second circular, dated November 25, 2025, addressed the Treasury’s concern over widespread unauthorised deductions carried out through customised MDA payment platforms. It noted that some MDAs were using front-end applications linked to Payment Solution Service Providers (PSSPs) that deducted charges before remitting balances to the TSA. The OAGF said this has resulted in significant revenue leakages.
The circular ordered MDAs to stop all direct deductions at source and remit revenues in full to designated TSA or Sub-TSA accounts. Any service-related fees must be paid directly by the Treasury rather than through automated deductions.
It also directed that all MDA portals and PSSPs be regularised with the OAGF by December 31, 2025, warning that non-compliance could lead to suspension from GIFMIS and TSA access.
A third circular, issued on November 26, 2025, announced the introduction of a unified Federal Treasury e-Receipt (FTe-R), which will serve as the only valid proof of payment for federal transactions from January 1, 2026. The receipt will be issued via the Revenue Optimisation platform and delivered electronically through channels selected by each MDA.
The fourth circular, dated November 27, 2025, outlined guidelines for the rollout of the new Revenue Optimisation (RevOP) platform, which the government has adopted as the central system for automating billing, reconciliation, and monitoring of MDA accounts.
The platform will integrate with TSA, GIFMIS, the Central Bank of Nigeria, NIBSS, FIRS, and collecting banks, ensuring real-time visibility over government revenues.
MDAs are required to nominate three officers as RevOP focal persons within seven working days, integrate their existing financial systems, and ensure that only CBN-licensed and NITDA-recommended PSSPs approved by the OAGF are used. All PSSPs currently engaged by MDAs must connect to RevOP for immediate harmonisation of federal collections. The Treasury also directed MDAs to submit details of all local and foreign currency accounts within 60 days.
These reforms represent some of the most significant changes to federal revenue administration since the introduction of the TSA. Earlier in March 2025, The PUNCH reported the launch of the Treasury Management & Revenue Assurance System, aimed at streamlining federal revenue and payment processes. The system’s first phase covers naira-denominated transactions, while the second phase—scheduled for June 1, 2025—will expand to foreign currency transactions and integration with MDA enterprise resource platforms.
The Treasury maintained that the new measures are designed to strengthen transparency, curb leakages, and modernise Nigeria’s public financial management framework.
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