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Agusto & Co Predicts 8% Growth for Insurance Sector in 2017

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By Dipo Olowookere

A report for the insurance industry for 2017 has been released by Agusto & Co, a rating firm based in Nigeria.

In the report, Agusto & Co noted that the role of insurance in the Nigerian economy cannot be overstated and that its strategic importance in underwriting business and individual risks is evident in an estimated gross premium income (GPI) of S58;356 billion generated by the insurance industry in 2016, reflecting a 10 percent growth over FY2015.

The agency said it projects a moderated growth rate of 8 percent on account of the recession which is expected to have significant impact on major business lines in 2017.

It also estimates that 28 percent of the Industry’s GPI was paid out as claims in 2016, helping businesses and individuals recover from losses quickly.

The insurance industry is a major contributor to economic growth and development as premiums collected are invested in banks and deployed to fund government projects, the report said.

In 2016, the Nigerian insurance industry invested an estimated S58;178 billion in the banking industry as placements & deposits and held Treasury instruments of over S58;270 billion.

“We expect increased investments in government securities in 2017 as Insurers take advantage on higher interest rates,” the report said.

Opportunities in the Insurance Industry abound as the Industry’s penetration rate stood at 0.4 percent in 2015.

Insurance density rate which measures GPI as a proportion of population is $8.3 compared to Kenya’s $36.4 and South Africa’s $970.8.

It said going forward, evolving risks such as job losses, cyber risks among others will offer prospects for the development of new insurance products.

“We expect increased government spending in the near term which will support GPI growth.

“In addition, micro insurance- which allows people purchase insurance cover in small daily premiums payable using mobile phones- is expected to gain traction in the near term with insurers using various avenues to reach the uncaptured market,” the report said.

“The current inflationary pressures have an upside on the Industry’s investment portfolio performance as interest rates soar to overcome rising inflation and negative returns on investments.

“We expect these positives to offset the negatives in the industry; therefore, we attach a stable outlook to the Insurance Industry. The industry will also benefit from a probable devaluation and continued growth in life business in 2017,” it added.

 Like most other Industries operating in Nigeria, the Insurance Industry was adversely impacted by the downturn in the economy which had its roots in declining crude oil prices since 2014.

The Nigerian economy went into a recession in the third quarter of 2016 following two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth.

This slowed down activities in various industries including the insurance industry.

Inflationary pressures also had a negative effect on cost of operations as well as the value of long term savings. Reduced consumer purchasing power threatened GPI growth and increased surrenders in the life business segment.

In the non-life segment we observe a preference for less expensive insurance covers such as third party insurance cover as against comprehensive motor insurance cover.

 The foreign exchange demand management tactic adopted by the Central Bank of Nigeria in controlling outflows from already depleted reserves resulted in a scarcity of FX which in turn impacted dollar denominated premiums negatively.

The naira depreciated significantly against the dollar, trading at S58;305/$ to S58;315/$ in the interbank market and as high as 358;498/$ in the black market.

The resultant effect is a reduction in the insurance cover on assets such as motor vehicles whose prices have almost tripled. We expect these FX challenges to persist in 2017.

 The industry’s regulatory environment is likely to change in the near term in response to the current macroeconomic climate.

Regulators are beginning to emphasize risk profiles of insurance companies as against amount of capital held. The proposed Risk Based Supervision Framework which is expected to be implemented in the near term will prompt reviews of business strategies.

“As a result, we foresee mergers and acquisitions in the Industry as well as foreign direct investments in the near term.

“Nonetheless, Agusto & Co is of the opinion that restrictions in the current FX regime may impede foreign direct investments.

Another regulation that will shape operations in the insurance industry is the Bancassurance Guidelines which has received significant attention from regulators in recent times,” the report said.

 The competitive landscape remains intense across major business lines such as motor, fire, general accidents, oil& gas and life insurance.

The Agusto and Co Nigerian Insurance report ranks Industry players by various indices across major business lines, providing a snapshot of key performance indicators at a glance.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Nigeria’s Inflation Outlook Improves as US-Iran Tensions Ease

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nigeria inflation outlook

By Adedapo Adesanya

Easing tensions between the US and Iran in the Middle East is expected to offer more respite to the Nigerian economy in the coming months.

Analysts at Comercio Partners noted in a report that there is an increased likelihood of a gradual moderation in inflation from July into the third quarter of 2026.

The analysts opined that the near-term outlook for inflation “has become less tilted to the upside” following the peace deal reached by the warring parties in the Middle East conflict and the sharp decline in global oil prices.

The report read in part: “May inflation data showed that price pressures remain sticky, but the near-term outlook has become less tilted to the upside following the peace deal and the sharp decline in global oil prices.

“Headline inflation rose to 15.93 per cent year-on-year from 15.69 per cent in April, while food inflation climbed to 16.96 per cent and core inflation increased to 16.82 per cent, suggesting that both food and underlying non-food price pressures remain elevated.

“However, the easing in crude oil prices below $85/bbl reduces the risk of a renewed energy-led inflation shock. This is important for Nigeria, where fuel, diesel, transport, logistics, and food distribution costs are key channels through which global energy prices feed into domestic inflation.

“If lower oil prices are sustained and domestic fuel prices remain stable or decline, pressure on transport and production costs should gradually ease.”

It noted that in June, inflation may remain sticky because the pass-through of lower oil prices to consumer prices is unlikely to be immediate.

It added that food prices remain elevated, and core inflation picked up month-on-month in May, indicating that underlying price pressures have not fully faded. According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the inflation rate on a month-on-month basis was 1.75 per cent, which was 0.39 per cent lower than the rate recorded in April 2026 (2.13 per cent).

“However, the balance of risks has shifted. The likelihood of another sharp energy-driven acceleration has reduced, while the probability of gradual moderation from July into Q3 has improved.”

The analysts said in the report that while the latest CPI data, “still supports a cautious tone across rates and fixed income, as annual headline, food, and core inflation all moved higher in May,” the decline in oil prices gives the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) “more room to maintain a wait-and-see stance rather than respond aggressively to external energy-price risks, provided domestic prices begin to reflect the easing in global crude markets.”

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Economy

All On Invests $1m in Eja-Ice Nigeria Limited to Strengthen Cold-Chain Infrastructure in Off-Grid Markets

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All One Eja-Ice Nigeria Limited

All On, an impact investing company focused on expanding access to renewable energy solutions in Nigeria, has announced a $1 million investment in Eja-Ice Nigeria Limited, a provider of solar-powered refrigeration and cold chain infrastructure.

The investment will support Eja-Ice’s manufacturing and operational scale-up as the company enters its next phase of growth. It is expected to enable the expansion of its cold-chain solutions and improve access to reliable cooling services for households, small businesses, and institutions operating in off-grid and weak-grid environments.

Access to dependable cold storage remains a significant constraint across Nigeria, particularly in coastal and rural communities where limited energy infrastructure contributes to post-harvest losses and income instability for small-scale agro-producers.

By delivering energy-efficient refrigeration systems, Eja-Ice is helping to address these challenges while supporting the preservation of perishable goods and strengthening local value chains.

“All On’s investment in Eja-Ice reflects our approach of supporting solutions that improve energy access while enhancing livelihoods, reducing costs, and enabling businesses to grow. Strengthening cold-chain infrastructure is an important step towards building more resilient local economies and expanding opportunities in underserved markets,” the chief executive of All On, Ms Caroline Eboumbou, commented on the investment.

Eja-Ice’s integrated cold-chain model allows for greater control over product design, operational efficiency, and service delivery, ensuring that its solutions are tailored to the needs of underserved markets. The company’s systems are already supporting micro enterprises, cooperatives, and community-level infrastructure, particularly in areas where reliable electricity remains limited.

Also commenting, the founder and chief executive of Eja-Ice Nigeria Limited, Mr Yusuf Bilesanmi, said, “This capital raise is a huge step forward in our vision to power homes and businesses with products designed, assembled, and optimised right here on the continent. It’s not just about access to electricity—it’s about dignity, productivity, and opportunity for the over 600 million people across sub-Saharan Africa who are still off-grid.”

Through this investment, All On continues to advance its mission of closing Nigeria’s energy access gap by supporting the renewable energy ecosystem and businesses that deliver sustainable, market-driven solutions.

All One Eja-Ice Nigeria Limited $1m

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Economy

First Holdco Lists N45bn Private Placement Shares on Stock Exchange

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Shares of First Holdco Plc worth N45.0 billion issued through a private placement have been listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.

A circular issued by the Head of Issuer Regulation Department of the NGX Regulation Limited, Mr Godstime Iwenekhai, disclosed that the equities were admitted for trading at the stock market on Monday.

According to the notice, the additional shares brought for listing to rank pari passu with existing shares of the organisation were 1,021,334,544 units.

These stocks were sold to one of the company’s major shareholders at a unit price of N44.06, amounting to N45.0 billion.

The total issued and fully paid-up shares of First Holdco, as a result of this listing, are now 45,475,027,677 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each.

“Trading licence holders are hereby notified that an additional 1,021,334,544 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each of First Holdco Plc were on Monday, June 22, 2026, listed on the daily official list of Nigerian Exchange Limited.

“The additional shares listed on NGX arose from the company’s private placement of 1,021,334,544 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each at N44.06 per share.

“With the listing of the additional shares, the total issued and fully paid-up shares of First Holdco Plc have now increased to 45,475,027,677 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each from 44,453,693,133 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each,” the disclosure stated.

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