Economy
Bitcoin Volatility: Five Key Factors You Should Know
Bitcoin’s price volatility has long been a central focus for traders. This cryptocurrency continues to show erratic swings, with recent price movements reflecting its sensitivity to both internal and external factors.
For traders around the world, understanding the forces behind Bitcoin’s volatility is crucial to making informed trading decisions. Let’s discuss the five key factors influencing Bitcoin’s price volatility.
Market sentiment and media influence
Bitcoin’s price is highly susceptible to shifts in market sentiment, which can be heavily influenced by news coverage and social media.
Positive news, such as the approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), can trigger sharp price rallies. Negative headlines, such as regulatory crackdowns or exchange hacks, can cause panic selling. Traders should monitor news closely to anticipate market moves.
Regulatory changes and government actions
Major government actions have historically led to steep price declines. However, positive regulatory developments, such as clearer legal frameworks in major markets, can instil confidence and drive prices upwards.
Traders should stay vigilant about policy changes, as regulatory announcements can either dampen or boost investor confidence and directly influence volatility.
Liquidity and market size
Compared to traditional stock markets, Bitcoin’s relatively low liquidity plays a significant role in making crypto trading more volatile.
The fragmented nature of crypto exchanges means price discrepancies across platforms can be exploited, adding to short-term volatility. In addition, strategies such as high-frequency trading and leveraging can further exacerbate price movements.
For traders, it’s essential to understand that liquidity in crypto trading is still developing, and large trades can cause rapid shifts in price.
Technological developments and security issues
While technological advancements aim to enhance the efficiency of transactions, security issues remain a significant driver of volatility.
Exchange hacks or security breaches can trigger rapid sell-offs, shaking market confidence. Technological milestones, such as upgrades or halving events, also tend to introduce uncertainty and increased volatility.
Traders should watch for upcoming technological developments, as these can create both risks and opportunities in the market.
Macroeconomic factors and institutional adoption
Macroeconomic factors, including inflation rates, central bank policies, and geopolitical events, play an increasingly significant role in price movements. Bitcoin is sometimes viewed as a hedge against inflation, which can lead to increased demand during periods of economic uncertainty.
Institutional adoption is a double-edged sword. While it can bring stability, it may also exacerbate volatility when institutions engage in short-term speculative trading rather than long-term investments.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s volatility is driven by a complex interplay of market sentiment, regulatory changes, and technological advancements.
Understanding these drivers can help traders better navigate the unpredictable waters of Bitcoin trading. Staying informed and adapting strategies in response to these key factors is crucial for those looking to profit from price movements.
Economy
NASD Exchange in Red for Third Straight Session After 0.15% Fall
By Adedapo Adesanya
For the third straight session, the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange closed bearish, further losing 0.15 per cent on Thursday amid weak demand for unlisted stocks.
During the session, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) declined by 5.70 points to 3,908.67 points from 3,914.37 points, and the market capitalisation lost N3.41 billion to end N2.338 trillion compared with the N2.342 trillion it ended on Wednesday.
The alternative stock exchange suffered a loss despite having more price gainers than price losers, with five for the former and four for the latter.
Okitipupa Plc lost N10.00 to close at N250.00 per unit versus midweek’s N260.00 per unit, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc depreciated by N4.98 to N64.92 per share from N69.90 per share, Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc dropped 4 Kobo to sell at 50 Kobo per unit compared with the previous day’s 54 Kobo per unit, and Acorn Petroleum Plc moderated by 1 Kobo to N1.32 per share from N1.33 per share.
Conversely, 11 Plc gained N13.65 to quote at N276.55 per unit versus the preceding session’s N263.00 per unit, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc appreciated by N6.10 to N84.15 per share from N78.05 per share, Food Concepts Plc expanded by 32 Kobo to N3.60 per unit from N3.28 per unit, Geo-Fluids Plc improved by 30 Kobo to N3.60 per share from N3.30 per share, and First Trust Mortgage Bank Plc increased by 10 Kobo to N1.09 per unit from 99 Kobo per unit.
Yesterday, the volume of transactions surged 2,797.1 per cent to 45.8 million units from 1.6 million units, the value of transactions jumped 315.2 per cent to N208.2 million from N50.1 million, and the number of deals soared 18.2 per cent to 39 deals from 33 deals.
At the close of business, CSCS Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 32.6 million units worth N1.9 billion, followed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 117.4 million units valued at N463.1 million, and Resourcery Plc with 1.05 billion units exchanged for N408.6 million.
Resourcery Plc ended the session as the most traded stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.05 billion units sold for N408.6 million, trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 117.4 million exchanged for N463.1 million, and CSCS Plc with 32.6 million units traded for N1.9 billion.
Economy
Bulls Reaffirm Control of Nigeria’s Stock Exchange With 1.39% Surge
By Dipo Olowookere
Sell-offs in energy stocks could not bring down Nigeria’s stock exchange on Thursday, as the gains recorded by the others sustained the upward momentum.
Yesterday, the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited further appreciated by 1.39 per cent on the back of a strong appetite for domestic equities, which are gaining traction among investors.
The banking index grew by 2.63 per cent, the consumer goods sector appreciated by 054 per cent, the insurance counter improved by 0.50 per cent, and the industrial goods space rose by 0.29 per cent, while the energy industry fell by 0.11 per cent.
When the bourse closed for the day, the All-Share Index (ASI) pointed northwards by 2,645.61 points to settle at 193,073.57 points compared with the previous day’s 190,427.96 points, and the market capitalisation soared by N1.698 trillion to N123.934 trillion from N122.236 trillion.
The trio of Deap Capital, Okomu Oil, and Fortis Global Insurance appreciated by 10.00 per cent each to N6.93, N1,459.70, and 55 Kobo apiece, while the duo of Infinity Trust Insurance and Zichis gained 9.96 per cent each to settle at N14.35, and N15.79, respectively.
On the flip side, the quartet of Tripple G, Multiverse, Secure Electronic Technology, and McNichols lost 10.00 per cent each to quote at N5.40, N25.20, N1.80, and N8.28, respectively, while Meyer declined by 9.80 per cent to N20.70.
Business Post reports that there were 52 appreciating equities and 26 depreciating equities on Thursday, showing a positive market breadth index and strong investor sentiment.
The busiest stock yesterday was Japaul with 80.1 million units valued at N293.3 million, Secure Electronic Technology sold 71.8 million units worth N136.5 million, Mutual Benefits transacted 58.7 million units for N277.6 million, Zenith Bank exchanged 53.2 million units valued at N4.5 billion, and GTCO traded 52.6 million units worth N6.2 billion.
Unlike the preceding session, the activity chart was in red after market participants transacted 898.5 million shares for N38.5 billion in 61,953 deals compared with the 3.7 billion shares worth N61.9 billion traded in 68,693 deals at midweek, implying a decline in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 75.72 per cent, 37.80 per cent, and 9.81 per cent apiece.
Economy
Naira Fall 0.24% to N1,341/$1 at Official FX Window
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira depreciated further against the Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Thursday, February 19, by N3.24 or 0.24 per cent to N1,341.35/$1 from the N1,338.11/$1 it was traded a day earlier.
However, it improved its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the session by N11.16 to sell for N1,805.86/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,817.02/£1, and gained N7.83 against the Euro to close at N1,577.29/€1 versus Wednesday’s closing price of N1,585.12/€1.
At the GTBank forex counter, the Naira lost N2 against the greenback to settle at N1,349/$1 compared with the N1,347/$1 it was exchanged at midweek, and at the black market, the exchange rate remained unchanged at N1,370/$1.
The performance of the domestic currency in the spot market was weak yesterday amid prevailing dynamics of supply and demand, as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) maintains its efforts to stabilise the foreign exchange market. The exchange rate remained within the expected range, lifted by strong forex inflows and central bank dollar sales to Bureaux de Change (BDC) operators.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market remained bearish, as there was continued caution in coins amid shaky interest in the digital assets.
On the policy front, there were tentative signs of progress on the digital asset market structure bill. The White House hosted talks between crypto industry representatives and bankers, which yielded incremental movement, though no compromise has yet emerged.
Ripple (XRP) declined by 1.7 per cent to $1.39, Litecoin (LTC) went down by 1.3 per cent to $52.46, Cardano (ADA) dropped 0.8 per cent to trade at $0.2715, Dogecoin (DOGE) retreated by 0.7 per cent to $0.0978, and Ethereum (ETH) contracted by 0.2 per cent to $1,943.30.
On the flip side, Solana (SOL) appreciated by 0.8 per cent to $82.12, Bitcoin improved its value by 0.7 per cent to $66,854.86, and Binance Coin (BNB) chalked up 0.1 per cent to sell for $605.58, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) closed flat at $1.00 each.
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