Economy
Bitcoin Volatility: Five Key Factors You Should Know
Bitcoin’s price volatility has long been a central focus for traders. This cryptocurrency continues to show erratic swings, with recent price movements reflecting its sensitivity to both internal and external factors.
For traders around the world, understanding the forces behind Bitcoin’s volatility is crucial to making informed trading decisions. Let’s discuss the five key factors influencing Bitcoin’s price volatility.
Market sentiment and media influence
Bitcoin’s price is highly susceptible to shifts in market sentiment, which can be heavily influenced by news coverage and social media.
Positive news, such as the approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), can trigger sharp price rallies. Negative headlines, such as regulatory crackdowns or exchange hacks, can cause panic selling. Traders should monitor news closely to anticipate market moves.
Regulatory changes and government actions
Major government actions have historically led to steep price declines. However, positive regulatory developments, such as clearer legal frameworks in major markets, can instil confidence and drive prices upwards.
Traders should stay vigilant about policy changes, as regulatory announcements can either dampen or boost investor confidence and directly influence volatility.
Liquidity and market size
Compared to traditional stock markets, Bitcoin’s relatively low liquidity plays a significant role in making crypto trading more volatile.
The fragmented nature of crypto exchanges means price discrepancies across platforms can be exploited, adding to short-term volatility. In addition, strategies such as high-frequency trading and leveraging can further exacerbate price movements.
For traders, it’s essential to understand that liquidity in crypto trading is still developing, and large trades can cause rapid shifts in price.
Technological developments and security issues
While technological advancements aim to enhance the efficiency of transactions, security issues remain a significant driver of volatility.
Exchange hacks or security breaches can trigger rapid sell-offs, shaking market confidence. Technological milestones, such as upgrades or halving events, also tend to introduce uncertainty and increased volatility.
Traders should watch for upcoming technological developments, as these can create both risks and opportunities in the market.
Macroeconomic factors and institutional adoption
Macroeconomic factors, including inflation rates, central bank policies, and geopolitical events, play an increasingly significant role in price movements. Bitcoin is sometimes viewed as a hedge against inflation, which can lead to increased demand during periods of economic uncertainty.
Institutional adoption is a double-edged sword. While it can bring stability, it may also exacerbate volatility when institutions engage in short-term speculative trading rather than long-term investments.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s volatility is driven by a complex interplay of market sentiment, regulatory changes, and technological advancements.
Understanding these drivers can help traders better navigate the unpredictable waters of Bitcoin trading. Staying informed and adapting strategies in response to these key factors is crucial for those looking to profit from price movements.
Economy
NASD OTC Market Cap Declines to N2.53trn After 0.28% Dip
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange further lost 0.28 per cent on Wednesday, March 11, cutting down the market capitalisation by N7.21 billion to N2.533 trillion from the preceding session’s N2.540 trillion.
In the same vein, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) was down during the session by 12.06 points to finish at 4,233.91 points compared with the 4,245.97 points it ended on Tuesday.
The midweek session experienced a decline in the volume of securities by 91.3 per cent to 1.3 million units from 14.9 million units, as the value of securities decreased by 75.9 per cent to N31.9 million from the N132.7 million recorded on Tuesday, and the number of deals fell 37.9 per cent to 36 deals from the preceding session’s 58 deals.
The session ended with Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc as the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 38.1 million units valued at N2.4 billion. Okitipupa Plc followed with 6.3 million units traded at N1.1 billion, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc recorded the sale of 5.8 million units worth N529.9 million.
Resourcery Plc remained as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 1.05 billion units sold for N408.7 million, trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 130.6 million units exchanged for N503.8 million, and CSCS Plc with 38.1 million units worth N2.4 billion.
The alternative stock market closed the day with three price decliners and three price gainers led by IPWA Plc, which added 41 Kobo to sell at N4.56 per unit versus the previous day’s N4.15 per unit, MRS Oil Plc appreciated by 10 Kobo to N210.10 per share from N210.00 per share, and Lighthouse Financial Services Plc increased its value by 5 Kobo to 55 Kobo per unit from 50 Kobo per unit.
Conversely, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc lost N3.92 to quote at N132.78 per share versus N136.70 per share, UBN Property Plc dropped 20 Kobo to settle at N2.38 per unit from N2.18 per unit, and First Trust Mortgage Bank Plc declined by 1 Kobo to N1.90 per share from N1.91 per share.
Economy
Naira Rebounds 1.8% to N1,376/$ at Official Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
For the first time in a while, the value of the Nigerian Naira improved against its United States counterpart, the Dollar, in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Wednesday, March 11.
At the midweek session, it gained N25.21 or 1.8 per cent on the greenback in the official market to trade at N1,376.19/$1 compared with the previous day’s value of N1,401.40/$1.
It was also a positive outcome for the Naira in the spot market, as it appreciated against the Pound Sterling yesterday by N40.26 to close at N1,845.47/£1 versus Tuesday’s value of N1,885.73/£1, but closed flat against the Euro at N1,631.51/€1.
At the GTBank FX desk, the Nigerian currency appreciated against the Dollar yesterday by N9 to settle at N1,407/$1, in contrast to the N1,416/$1 it was exchanged a day earlier, and in the black market, it maintained stability at N1,420/$1.
The FX market pressure eased from a two-month low, as foreign reserves topped the $50 billion mark for the first time since January 2009, buoyed by a positive oil price threshold and forex inflows that could strengthen the current account balance and improve FX liquidity.
Inflows into the FX market have strengthened in recent weeks, but likewise, the US Dollar has strengthened in the international market due to the recent crisis facing the global markets involving the United States, Israel, and Iran.
As for the digital currency market, it was mixed on Wednesday amid renewed Middle East tensions, as on-chain data show persistent selling pressure and weak demand as investors grapple with conflict-driven stagflation fears and fading prospects for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts ahead of next week’s meeting.
Solana (SOL) slumped 0.9 per cent to $85.11, Ripple (XRP) declined by 0.6 per cent to $1.38, Bitcoin (BTC) dropped 0.4 per cent to sell for $69,433.43, and Cardano (ADA) depreciated 0.2 per cent to $0.2591.
But TRON (TRX) added 1.0 per cent to sell at $0.2900, Binance Coin (BNB) gained 0.8 per cent to close at $644.54, Ethereum (ETH) appreciated by 0.5 per cent to $2,027.98, and Dogecoin (DOGE) grew by 0.2 per cent to $0.0919, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.
Economy
Oil Prices Jump 5% as Hormuz Attacks Intensify Supply Fears
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices appreciated by nearly 5 per cent on Wednesday as fresh attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz worsened supply disruption fears.
Brent futures gained $4.18 or 4.8 per cent to settle at $91.98 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures increased by $3.80 or 4.6 per cent to $87.25 a barrel.
Three more vessels have been hit by projectiles in the Strait of Hormuz, maritime security and risk firms said on Wednesday. That brought the number of ships struck in the region to at least 14 since the Iran war began.
Iran warned that no oil shipments will be allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz until the attacks stop, placing the world’s most critical oil trade point at the centre of the escalating conflict. The narrow waterway between Iran and Oman normally handles roughly 20 per cent of global oil supply and a large share of liquified natural gas (LNG) trade, making any sustained disruption a major threat to global energy markets.
Tanker movements through the region have already begun slowing as insurers and ship operators reassess the risks of transiting the corridor.
The country, which is one of the largest producers in the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, on Wednesday said that crude could surge to $200 per barrel if the war involving the US and Israel continues to destabilise the Middle East’s energy corridors.
Crude briefly surged to around three digits earlier this week before retreating toward the $90 range after US President Donald Trump suggested the conflict might end soon. However, renewed attacks on shipping and infrastructure have quickly revived fears of supply disruptions.
Meanwhile, the International Energy Agency (IEA) recommended the release of 400 million barrels of oil, the largest such move in its history, to try to rein in energy prices, which are now up more than 25 per cent since the war began. The energy watchdog said the time frame for the release will be decided in due course.
The proposed volume is more than double the 182 million barrels released in 2022 following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Analysts, however, said it was ultimately insufficient to resolve supply losses from a prolonged war in the Middle East.
Member countries collectively hold roughly 1.2 billion barrels of strategic reserves, which can be tapped during supply emergencies.
Crude oil inventories in the US increased by 3.8 million barrels during the week ending March 6, according to data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). The EIA’s data release follows figures from the American Petroleum Institute (API) that were released a day earlier, which reported that crude oil inventories fell by 1.7 million barrels in the period.
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