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Economy

Brent Nears $85 Per Barrel on Positive Demand, Supply Signals

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Brent Price

By Adedapo Adesanya

The price of a crude benchmark, Brent Crude, rose on Friday, nearing $85 per barrel as it notched a fifth straight week of gains as investors were optimistic that healthy demand and supply cuts will support prices.

It gained 75 cents to settle at $84.99 a barrel, as the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude improved its value by 49 cents to $80.58 a barrel.

The upward movement was fuelled by supply tightness resulting from production cuts by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+.

These cuts, along with some involuntary outages, have supported the oil market, resulting in five consecutive weeks of gains.

Despite Wednesday’s drop in oil prices, the overall outlook remained positive despite the US Federal Reserve interest rate hike and lower-than-expected US crude inventories.

However, market analysts still hold a favourable view on oil as the US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank also indicated that they were nearing the end of policy tightening campaigns.

This development shows promises for global growth and energy demand, further bolstering the outlook for oil prices.

The US economy also provided support to the market, with government data revealing a stronger-than-expected 2.4 per cent gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the last quarter.

This growth was driven by a resilient labour market, which boosted consumer spending, and increased business investments in equipment, reducing the risk of a recession.

Support also came as fresh data released on Friday showed some of the euro zone’s top economies displayed unexpected resilience in the second quarter of this year. France and Spain grew at a sustained pace on the back of stronger exports and tourism, while Germany, the euro zone’s biggest country, remained the worst-performing major economy in the bloc.

Also, the market is holding on to the pledge made by the Chinese government to step up stimulus measures to strengthen the post-COVID recovery after the world’s second-largest economy grew at a weak pace in the second quarter.

OPEC+ is expected to meet on August 4 as Saudi Arabia is expected to extend the voluntary oil output cut for another month to include September to provide additional support for the oil market.

On the supply side, US oil rigs fell by one to 529 this week, their lowest since March 2022, energy services firm Baker Hughes said on Friday.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Customs Street Rebounds as CBN Leaves Rates Unchanged

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Customs Street Nigerian Stock Exchange

By Dipo Olowookere

The stock market marginally increased by 0.03 per cent on Tuesday after the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) decided to retain the benchmark interest rate at 27.50 per cent to monitor the effect of the recent drop in inflation.

The rebound at Customs Street yesterday occurred amid a pocket of profit-taking in key sectors of the market, especially in the banking space.

Data showed that the industrial goods sector shed 1.25 per cent, the consumer goods industry fell by 0.87 per cent, the commodity counter depreciated by 0.22 per cent, and the banking index went down by 0.14 per cent.

However, the gains recorded by the insurance and energy sectors lifted the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited as they respectively closed higher by 1.41 per cent and 0.25 per cent.

Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) improved by 32.64 points to 109,730.47 points from 109,697.83 points, and the market capitalisation jumped by N21 billion to N68.966 trillion from N68.945 trillion.

During the session, the market participants bought and sold 487.1 million stocks worth N13.0 billion in 18,587 deals compared with the 486.1 million stocks valued at N11.4 billion traded in 24,883 deals a day earlier, indicating a shortfall in the number of deals by 25.30 per cent, and a leap in the trading volume and value by 0.21 per cent and 14.04 per cent, respectively.

Fidelity Bank witnessed increased activity yesterday, ostensibly because of the recent news report about a judgement debt from the Supreme Court.

Despite the clarification made by the lender concerning the issue, it came under selling pressure on Tuesday, with 60.2 million units sold for N1.1 billion to lead the activity chart.

UBA transacted 36.4 million units worth N1.3 billion, Custodian Investment traded 35.6 million units valued at N698.8 million, Tantalizers exchanged 27.6 million units for N76.4 million, and United Capital traded 26.7 million units worth N496.4 million.

Business Post reports that investor sentiment was weak during the trading day, with a negative market breadth after the bourse ended with 31 price gainers and 32 price losers.

The trio of Regency Alliance, Tripple G, and Nestle Nigeria gained 10.00 per cent each to sell for 66 Kobo, N2.20, and N1464.10 apiece, as Tantalizers appreciated by 9.88 per cent to N2.78 and Multiverse improved by 9.60 per cent to N9.70.

On the flip side, Berger Paints depreciated by 9.98 per cent to N21.20, Mutual Benefits shed 9.80 per cent to settle at 92 Kobo, ABC Transport tumbled by 9.77 per cent to N2.40, Aradel Holdings crashed by 8.55 per cent to N460.00, and Caverton lost 7.09 per cent to trade at N3.80.

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Economy

Naira Now Stable, More Competitive—Cardoso

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Domiciliary Accounts to Naira

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr Yemi Cardoso, says the Naira is stable and more competitive in the foreign exchange market, indicating stability for the Nigerian economy.

He made the disclosure at the end of the 300th Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting in Abuja on Tuesday, May 20, where key interest rates were held steady for yet another period.

“Given the relative stability in the foreign exchange market, members urge the bank to sustain the implementation of the ongoing reforms to further boost the economy,” Mr Cardoso said.

Business Post reports that the Naira had closed at N1,598 per Dollar at the official FX market on Monday.

He said the MPC also lauded new policies introduced by the federal government to boost local production, reduce foreign exchange demand pressure, and lessen the pass-through of higher rates to domestic prices.

The CBN Governor also said the MPC believes that the Nigerian economy is now stable, urging private individuals interested in investing in the economy to take the initiative.

The apex bank retained the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) at 27.50 per cent, same as the asymmetric corridor around the MPR at +500/-100 basis points, and helf the Cash Reserve Ratio of Deposit Money Banks at 50.00 per cent and Merchant Banks at 16 per cent, and retain the Liquidity Ratio at 30.00 per cent.

While relating the decision of the MPC on Tuesday, Mr Cardoso referenced the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) inflation rate for April, pegged at 23.71 per cent.

According to NBS, the annual inflation rate fell to 23.71 per cent in April 2025, from 24.23 per cent in the prior month. Food inflation, the largest component of the inflation basket, remained elevated but moderated to 21.26 per cent from 21.79 per cent in March, mainly on account of prices of some items such as maize, wheat, yam and wheat.

“The inflation numbers speak for themselves. The overall trajectory is in the right direction. There is no one solution to solve the economic challenges. What will solve the problem is a multiplicity of overall efforts.

“The journey will begin to yield greater results as time goes on, given the relative stability in the foreign exchange market,” he said.

The CBN Governor added that the Naira is more competitive and “this should encourage more exports if we continue in the trajectory. I am very optimistic.”

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Economy

CBN Retains Interest Rate Benchmark at 27.50%

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interest rate hike

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has left the interest rates unchanged as it awaits more data to determine the inflation outlook.

According to an announcement by the Governor of the apex bank, Mr Yemi Cardoso, at the end of the 300th MPC meeting on Tuesday, the committee retained the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) at 27.50 per cent, the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) at 50 per cent, and the Liquidity Ratio (LR) at 30 per cent.

This was widely expected as inflation cooled to 23.71 per cent in April 2025, according to the latest report by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

Although at 23.71 per cent, the inflation levels remain elevated and strains on the Naira have only recently abated after an initial selloff in April caused by a slump in the price of oil, the country’s main export.

Business Post reports that the World Bank had recently projected that Nigeria’s inflation may moderate to 22.1 per cent this year, higher than the 15 per cent targeted by the Bola Tinubu-led administration.

There are also indications that if inflation slows down in the next two months, Nigeria might start cutting rates in the next half of 2025.

Nigeria may see “some room for the CBN to cut rates” in the second half of the year as disinflation is expected, Mr Gbolahan Taiwo, an analyst at JPMorgan Chase & Co. said in a client note.

The MPC meeting is the first rate-setting meeting since the US imposed a 10 per cent universal tariff and slapped China, Africa’s largest trading partner — with a 145 per cent levy before reducing it to 30 per cent for 90 days.

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