Economy
Can Printing More Money Make Poor Nations Richer?
It seldom works when an entire country attempts to get wealthy by creating more money. Everyone has more money, thus prices will rise. And individuals are finding that they need more and more money to buy the same number of products as they did in the previous years.
As a result of the recent printing of additional money in Zimbabwe and Venezuela in South America, both nations’ economies grew.
Due to increased printing, prices began to rise at an alarming rate and these nations began to experience “hyperinflation.” It’s at this point when costs skyrocket.
During Zimbabwe’s 2008 hyperinflation, prices increased by 231,000,000% in one year. Imagine that a candy that cost one Zimbabwe dollar before inflation now costs 231 million Zimbabwean dollars.
Considering the amount of paper used, it’s likely that the banknotes printed on it are worth more.
For a country to get wealthy, it must produce and sell more products and services. Printing additional money for people to buy those extra items is now secure.
A country’s prices will rise if it prints more money without producing more goods. Those old Star Wars toys from the 1970s, for example, can be quite valuable.
These models are no longer produced. As a result of this, the vendors will just raise their prices.
Only one country can become richer by printing more money at the present, and that’s the United States of America (a country that is already very wealthy).
Most precious commodities, such as gold and oil, are valued in US dollars. The main idea behind this is that the US dollar is a more stable currency than other country’s national currencies.
That’s because investors and those people who are involved in the Forex market are investing more money in USD.
In order to learn more about the dollar and the reasons why traders invest more money in the mentioned currency, you need to understand the meaning of bid price in Forex, which is one of the commonly used terms in Forex trading.
The bid price shows the dealer’s willingness to pay for the asset, whereas the dealer’s willingness to sell it is the asking price. As the dollar can be used, like gold, to hedge against inflation, many investors are ready to pay a certain amount of money. That amount of money is also known as, as already mentioned, bid price.
If the United States wishes to buy more items, it can simply create more dollars to do so.
Rather, consumers will trade items for other goods, or seek to be compensated in US dollars in lieu of foreign currency. In Zimbabwe and Venezuela, as well as in many other nations, hyperinflation took place.
For example, Venezuela enacted regulations to keep food and medical prices low to safeguard its people from hyperinflation. The stores and pharmacies just ran out of such items.
While a country cannot get wealthy by creating money, this is not true. Money shortages prevent firms from selling enough or paying all their employees. Even banks are unable to lend money because people do not have any.
When more money is printed, individuals can spend more, which allows firms to create more, resulting in more items to buy, and more money to buy them with.
During the global financial crisis of 2008, banks lost a lot of money and were unable to give it to their clients. To their advantage, most nations have central banks, which assist to manage the other banks, and they issue more money to get their economies back on track again.
Prices fall because there is not enough money, which is a terrible thing. But when there isn’t greater output, printing more money causes prices to rise, which may be just as terrible. “Dismal science” has been used to describe economics – the study of money, commerce, and business.
Problems Caused by Printing More Money
Poor countries could not get wealthy by printing additional currency. This is known as “Inflation”. If you believe that the issuing government will not fail, then your currency has value. In the past, the United States currency was a “gold standard”. A dollar was no longer merely a piece of paper; it could be exchanged for its equivalent value in gold. Having abandoned that standard, our currency is depreciating in value as they create more money.
Consequently, inflation will skyrocket and the value of money will plummet. It’s simple to suggest that we can create more money and grow affluent, but in reality, the country will become even poorer as a result of this strategy.
Everyone knows what occurred to Zimbabwe as a result of the election results. One loaf of bread or one egg costs a lot of money. Each egg cost them $1,000,000 Zimbabwean dollars. To borrow money from the World Bank is always preferable to creating money, which will lead to a huge economic catastrophe.
Lots of money doesn’t necessarily translate into a lot of wealth, and vice versa. Economics depends on human needs, which are inexhaustible; everyone has something they want. There are, however, limitations to desires due to limiting resources like labour.
The price of milk and sugar, for example, has skyrocketed, now costing thousands of dollars instead of its regular price, if everyone was a billionaire; therefore, millionaires would spend hundreds of thousands for someone to mow their lawns.
Not money, but wealth, is what needs to be increased. A country’s economy can flourish by increasing the number of finite resources it possesses, such as labour. For example, China’s economy flourished as wealth was produced.
Global governments have spent billions in response to the COVID-19 epidemic this year — billions that many politicians argued nations didn’t have or couldn’t afford before the pandemic hit.
To pay for their policies, why can’t governments merely print money?
Inflation is the quick answer.
It’s been proven time and time again that when governments create money, prices rise because there are too many resources competing for too few commodities. Many people find that they can no longer purchase basic necessities since their salaries are rapidly devalued.
According to some estimates, monthly inflation in Zimbabwe throughout the 2000s surpassed 80 billion %. In the end, the native currency was replaced with the US dollar.
For example, in Germany during the 1920s, people were seen wheelbarrowing cash to stores to pay for basic necessities. Although the spiralling costs at the time had more to do with the punitive reparations payments than with money printing, it nevertheless shows the issue well.
In addition to this, governments cannot simply create additional money to pay off debt and fund spending since they are not in command of the money printing process.
Central banks, such as the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank, are in charge of regulating the money supply in most industrialized countries. However, central banks are autonomous of the government, even if they occasionally work together.
A decade ago, central banks printed billions through quantitative easing, which was intended to stimulate the economy.
Because they’re purchasing debt, central banks are freeing up capital that may be used for other purposes, such as investing in businesses or innovative technologies.
Central bankers, on the other hand, are solely concerned with the health of the economy and not with larger government issues like defence, education, and healthcare.
The central bank’s direct financing of the government might also cause international investors to lose faith in a country’s economy. To measure the size of an economy, money supply and exchange rates are used. Isn’t it almost like a snake devouring its own tail if central banks are just pumping out more money to pay off debt? As a result, a country’s currency value would plummet, making everyone in the country worse off.
Is Inflation Bad?
Depending on who you ask, inflation may be a sign of a failing economy or one of prosperity. It’s basically simply a new way of describing what inflation is. Due to a rise in prices, inflation reduces the buying power of cash. In the early years, a cup of coffee was priced at several cents. In today’s market, the price is closer to $3.
An increase in coffee’s popularity, price pooling by coffee growers, or years of catastrophic drought, flooding, or violence in a key growing region might all have contributed to a price increase. Prices of coffee goods would go up in these situations, while the rest of the economy would remain relatively the same. However, in this case, only the most caffeine-addled customers would see a considerable decrease in purchasing power.
There is a well-known pattern of people buying more now rather than later when their purchasing power declines. For this reason, it is best to get your shopping done early and stock up on items that are unlikely to depreciate in value.
Consumers must fill up their petrol tanks, stock their freezers, buy shoes for their children in the next size up, and so on and so forth. As a result, firms must make capital investments that, under other conditions, could have been put off until a later time. However, the short-term volatility of these assets might negate the benefits of being protected against price increases.
A surplus of cash is created as consumers and companies spend faster in an effort to decrease the amount of time they retain their depreciating money. So, as the supply of money increases, so too does the demand for it, and the price of money—the buying power of currency—declines at an ever-increasing rate.”
Hoarding takes over when things become truly bad, and grocery store shelves are left bare as a result. In a state of desperation to get rid of their cash, people spend their paychecks on everything they can get their hands on – as long as it’s not dwindling in value.
Using monetary policy, the U.S. government has managed inflation for the last century. The Federal Reserve (the U.S. central bank) relies on the connection between inflation and interest rates in order to accomplish its job. For example, corporations and individuals can borrow inexpensively to establish a business, get an education, recruit new employees or buy a beautiful new boat. In other words, low interest rates stimulate consumers to spend and invest, which in turn tends to fuel inflation.
It is possible for central banks to dampen these animal spirits by boosting interest rates. That boat’s or that company’s monthly payments look a bit excessive now, don’t they? In general, central banks do not want money to grow more valuable, as they dread deflation almost as much as they fear hyperinflation, despite the fact that scarcity enhances its worth. If inflation is to be kept at a target level, they will pull the interest rates in either way (generally 2 per cent in developed economies and 3 per cent to 4 per cent in emerging ones).
The money supply is another method to look at central banks’ involvement in managing inflation. Inflation occurs when the amount of money grows faster than economic growth. To pay for its World War I reparations, Weimar Germany revved up the printing presses, much as Habsburg Spain did in the 16th century with Aztec and Inca gold.
It’s not uncommon for central banks to boost interest rates by selling government bonds and removing the revenues from the money supply.
With no central bank or central bankers who are accountable to elected governments, borrowing rates will often be lowered by inflation
Let’s say you borrow $1,000 at a 5% yearly interest rate. A 10 per cent increase in inflation means that your debt’s real worth decreases faster than the interest and principal you’re paying off combined. A high amount of household debt encourages politicians to print money, fueling inflation and discharging voters’ debts. Because of this, politicians are considerably more motivated to create money and use it to pay off debt if the government is highly indebted.
Even though the Federal Reserve is mandated by law to promote maximum employment and stable prices, it does not need legislative or presidential approval to set interest rates. That does not mean, however, that the Fed has always had a free hand when it comes to policymaking. According to Narayana Kocherlakota, the former Minneapolis Fed president, the Fed’s independence is “a post-1979 phenomenon that relies primarily on the president’s discretion.”
Unemployment can be reduced by inflation, as evidenced by a few studies. It is common for wages to be “sticky,” meaning that they do not respond quickly to economic developments. According to John Maynard Keynes, the Great Depression was a result of wage stagnation. Because workers rejected salary cutbacks and were dismissed instead, unemployment soared (the ultimate pay cut).
If inflation reaches a particular level, businesses’ real payroll expenses decline, allowing them to recruit additional workers.
Economy
NASD Exchange Further Slips 0.39% as Sell-Offs Persist
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange dropped for the third consecutive session on Wednesday, March 18, by 0.39 per cent due to continued sell-offs.
In what would be the final trading session of the week due to public holidays on Thursday and Friday for Eid-el-Fitr, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) further dipped by 16.14 points to 4,114.75 points from 4,130.89 points, and the market capitalisation lost N9.66 billion to close at N2.461 trillion versus the previous day’s N2.471 trillion.
FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc depreciated by N10.32 to sell at N112.00 per share versus N122.32 per share, NASD Plc dropped N4.50 to finish at N41.50 per unit compared with the previous session’s N46.00 per unit, and Geo-Fluids decreased by 9 Kobo to N3.02 per share from N3.11 per share.
On the flip side, Air Liquide Plc improved by N2.23 to N24.57 per unit from N22.34 per unit, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc advanced by 90 Kobo to N76.33 per share from N75.43 per share, Food Concepts Plc rose by 24 Kobo to N3.30 per unit from N3.06 per unit, UBN Property Plc surged by 20 Kobo to N2.18 per share from N1.98 per share, Impresit Bakalori Plc jumped 16 Kobo to N1.83 per unit from N1.67 per unit, and First Trust Mortgage Bank Plc added 14 Kobo to trade at N1.89 per share versus N1.75 per share.
During the trading day, the volume of securities went up by 43,404.4 per cent to 400.8 million units from 921,265 units, the value of securities grew by 2,108.7 per cent to N1.2 billion from N54.7 million, and the number of deals soared by 23.7 per cent to 47 deals from 38 deals.
CSCS Plc ended the day as the most traded stock by value (year-to-date) with 38.7 million units valued at N2.4 billion, followed by Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units exchanged for N1.2 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 6.4 million units traded for N1.2 billion.
Resourcery Plc finished the session as the most traded stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.1 billion units worth N415.7 million, trailed by Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units sold for N1.2 billion, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 131.1 million units valued at N505.6 million.
Economy
Aradel, Red Star Express, Others Crash NGX by 0.69%
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) experienced a pullback of 0.69 per cent as a result of profit-taking by investors, with shares in the banking and energy sectors mostly affected.
Data harvested by Business Post showed that the energy index was down by 4.58 per cent during the session, and the banking space lost 2.14 per cent.
They brought down the All-Share Index (ASI) by 1,402.56 points to 201,156.85 points from 202,559.41 points and shrank the market capitalisation by N900 billion to N129.126 trillion from N130.026 trillion.
Customs Street ended in red at midweek despite three of the five key sectors finishing in green. The consumer goods counter expanded by 1.19 per cent, the industrial goods index improved by 0.46 per cent, and the insurance sector grew by 0.43 per cent.
Red Star Express declined by 9.98 per cent to N25.70, Aradel Holdings went down by 9.68 per cent to N1,210.30, Presco lost 9.30 per cent to trade at N1,701.10, Living Trust Mortgage Bank crashed by 8.40 per cent to N4.80, and DAAR Communications dropped 7.50 per cent to end at N1.85.
On the flip side, Secure Electronic Technology gained 10.00 per cent to settle at N1.32, Guinness Nigeria rose by 9.92 per cent to N423.20, John Holt increased by 9.72 per cent to N11.85, Sovereign Trust Insurance surged by 9.57 per cent to N2.06, and Linkage Assurance chalked up 9.33 per cent to trade at N1.64.
Investor sentiment was weak yesterday after the bourse registered 33 price gainers and 38 price losers, indicating a negative market breadth index.
Market participants bought and sold 6.1 billion stocks valued at N130.1 billion in 58,562 deals compared with the 1.8 billion stocks worth N88.1 billion traded in 62,654 deals on Tuesday, representing a shortfall in the number of deals by 6.53 per cent, and a spike in the trading volume and value by 238.89 per cent and 47.67 per cent apiece.
The most active equity on Wednesday was eTranzact with 5.2 billion units sold for N24.3 billion, Wema Bank exchanged 111.4 million units worth N3.1 billion, Coronation Insurance transacted 96.4 million units valued at N303.9 million, Dangote Cement traded 75.2 million units for N56.5 billion, and Access Holdings exchanged 61.5 million units valued at N1.6 billion.
Economy
Naira Reverses Gains at NAFEX, Sheds N8.96 to Quote N1,353/$1
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira stumbled against the Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Wednesday, March 18, by N8.96 or 0.67 per cent to trade at N1,353.00/$1, in contrast to the previous day’s rate of N1,344.04/$1.
Also, the local currency weakened against the Pound Sterling in the spot market at midweek by N6.06 to sell for N1,801.93/£1 compared with Tuesday’s value of N1,795.87/£1, and lost N4.75 against the Euro to quote at N1,556.22/€1 versus the preceding day’s N1,551.46/€1.
However, the Nigerian currency gained N2 against the greenback yesterday at the GTBank forex desk to close at N1,363/$1 versus the N1,365/$1 it was exchanged for a day earlier, and traded flat in the parallel market at N1,395/$1.
Nigeria’s external reserves fell by $178 million over three consecutive international payments recorded by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), settling at $49.83 billion from $50.008 billion, indicating that there have been some interventions in the FX market for stability and liquidity.
While the wider outlook for the Naira is positive, potential disruptions to global oil supply have increased volatility in energy markets and could spike inflation with higher oil prices.
In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin (BTC) slipped below $71,000 on Wednesday as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell flagged rising oil prices amid the war in Iran as a new inflation risk. It sold at $70,538.58.
The US central bank held interest rates steady as expected, but during his post-meeting press conference, Mr Powell acknowledged that the recent surge in energy prices is already feeding into the central bank’s outlook.
He said rising oil prices “for sure showed up” in policymakers’ higher inflation outlook for this year, lifting their forecast to 2.7 per cent from 2.4 per cent.
Further, Ethereum (ETH) lost 6.3 per cent to trade at $2,178.56, Cardano (ADA) fell by 6.1 per cent to $0.2714, Dogecoin (DOGE) dropped 5.7 per cent to close at $0.0096, Solana (SOL) dipped 4.8 per cent to $89.83, Ripple (XRP) slumped by 3.8 per cent to $1.46, and Binance Coin (BNB) declined by 3.7 per cent to $648.61.
However, TRON (TRX) appreciated by 0.4 per cent to $0.3037, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) closed flat at $1.00 each.
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