Economy
CBN Faces More FOREX Crisis As Naira Drops By 40%

By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian foreign exchange market has in recent times been facing challenges as the naira has lost close to 40 per cent in 18 months.
Specifically, the naira has lost so much of its value on the streets even as the gap between the official exchange rate and the parallel market has continued to widen beyond control.
Between December 2014 and June 2016, the value of the naira depreciated by nearly 40 per cent at the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) window from N165 to the dollar which it was, at the end of December 2014.
The depreciation at the parallel market has been more alarming.
Yet, the pressure on the foreign exchange market is not being helped by the declining value of Nigeria’s major source of foreign exchange, oil, at the international market.
The price of crude has been yo-yoing, thereby impacting heavily on Nigeria’s revenue and foreign exchange reserve, which has so far declined by 18.6 per cent to $28.06 billion from the $34.46 billion it was at the beginning of 2015.
In trying to stem the problem posed by the foreign exchange challenge, the CBN has chosen the path of capital control by embarking on measures to reduce the rate of foreign exchange outflow from the reserves.
One, CBN has exempted 41 items from the list of eligible items for foreign exchange, and closed the retail Dutch Auction System (rDAS) in favour of an order-based system.
It has also reduced daily and annual limits on naira cards outside the shores of the country from $150,000 to $50,000 annually and $300 daily, and backed the move by banks to stop accepting foreign currency deposits as well as the recent ban on the usage of naira denominated cards abroad.
Asides this, it also reduced its weekly foreign exchange sales to BDCs from $30,000 to $10,000 and eventually stopped the sales out rightly early this year.
Economic experts have however suggested that the nation’s solution to the current foreign exchange shortfall is to find a way to supplement foreign exchange inflow through increased export earnings, foreign direct investments and Diaspora inflows.
Of all these three sources, Diaspora inflows appear the most readily available source the country can harness to solve the macro-economic challenges posed by foreign exchange shortfall. This is because remittances are the second largest source of foreign exchange in Nigeria after the oil sector.
In 2015, an estimated $21 billion flowed into the country, including $5.7 billion sent from the United States and about $3.7 billion from the United Kingdom.
For 2016, the World Bank estimates that nearly $34 billion in remittances will flow into Sub-Saharan Africa from the more than 30 million Africans living outside their countries of origin. Nearly two-thirds of this expected inflow in 2016, according to World Bank data, will come into Nigeria.
Perhaps it is this huge significance of the money transfer sector to the nation’s economic life that informed the recent efforts by CBN to ostensibly clean the sector. In a recent policy pronouncement, CBN advised citizens to “beware of the unwholesome activities of some unlicensed International Money Transfer Operators” currently plying their trade in the country.
Citing “the greater economic good of Nigeria,” the Central Bank stated that it would “not condone any attempt aimed at undermining the country’s foreign exchange regime”.
Consequently, the regulator first revoked the licences of all but three money transfer companies that had been doing money transfer business in the country, before later approving a second batch of eleven other new international money transfer operators to bring the total number of approved operators for now to fourteen.
The three MTOs that first passed the CBN litmus test were Western Union, MoneyGram and RIA. The second batch of newly registered eleven operators included Trans-East Remittance LLC; WorldRemit Limited; UAE Exchange Centre LLC; Home Send S.C.R.L; Cash point Limited; Weblink International Limited; DT&T Corporation Limited; Wari Limited; Small World Financial Services Group Limited; Fiem Group LLC and CP Express Limited.
According to industry watchers and analysts who have lauded CBN’s recent steps, operators’ practices have not been adding much value to the Nigerian economy or benefit an average Nigerian, it only helps the parallel market to survive and flourish as individual accounts are mostly used during transactions.
Thus, CBN in its bid to ensure the money transfer is legal and transparently beneficial to the Nigerian economy has ordered all licensed MTOs in line with the CBN circular on the sale of foreign currency proceeds of July 22, 2016 to remit foreign currency to respective agent banks in Nigeria for disbursement in naira to the beneficiaries while the foreign currency proceeds are to be sold to Bureaux De Change, for onward retail to end users.
The apex bank also ordered all MTOs to only send 50% of their remittance going forward. In what looks like a mission to protect Nigerians against fraud and other negative antics of many money transfer organizations in the country that is undermining the apex bank’s bid to ensure liquidity and increase the availability of dollars in the system, CBN seems to have taken the least fraud prone approach of allowing only three companies that have physical operations on the ground in Nigeria to continue to function while insisting on others newly allowed into the segment to physically set up shop in the country.
Of the three approved frontline MTOs in this new dispensation, MoneyGram, for example has Lagos as its operational hub for Anglophone West Africa while both Western Union and MoneyGram have strong partnership with almost all deposit banks in addition to a large pool of agents across the country.
It is also a fact that operationally, these three MTOs control over 70 percent of the market. Given the fraud-prone nature of the money transfer business, the need for operators to have traceable presence in the country cannot be over-emphasized.
It may be argued that we are in an age where innovative technology is changing the way customers meet their financial needs, hence the growing importance of mobile money and preference for strong digital platform against virtual or physical network presence by MTOs.
On this score also, an array of digital channels and convenient solutions being marshalled by the leading operators in the market are already becoming a disruptive force. In this regard, the operators’ suite of self-service products and offerings coupled with the strength of their physical network have in no small measure promoted the culture of mobile money as a strength of the cashless economy drive being championed by CBN.
The mobile money culture expectedly brings financial inclusion to millions of people – allowing them to perform financial transactions with a new level of ease and convenience.
Mobile money has emerged as the primary payments system in countries where there was limited or no access to formal financial services. The World Bank estimates that less than a quarter of Africa’s 1.4 billion people have a bank account, but 70 per cent have a mobile phone.
That has made the continent particularly fertile ground for the mobile-payments business. In its 2015 figures, one of the two foremost operators said its digital channel showed impressive growth throughout the year with fourth-quarter transactions up 42 per cent and revenue growth of 48 per cent.
Additionally, it revealed that 14 per cent of its money transfer transactions and 12 per cent of its total money transfer revenue came from digital in the quarter, representing over $163 million when annualizing fourth-quarter revenue.
The noticeable trend in the operations of this MTO of note is its significant progress toward its declared goal to have 15 per cent to 20 per cent of its money transfer revenue coming from digital in 2017.
By working hard to completely overhaul on-line experience, launch kiosks and add millions of mobile wallets with a view to connecting to almost 2 billion bank accounts, this operator aims at pushing digital capabilities further into the physical world through customer profiles and new point of sale technologies which will ensure delivery of a more seamless customer experience.
The merging of physical locations and virtual and online network is no doubt a key competitive advantage while the increasing growth of agents’ location is an extremely important extension of the value adding profile of money transfer business to all stakeholders. Among others, it enhances the reduction of fraud in the transaction process. Of significance also are the various issues relating to pricing of transactions. Pricing can vary from market to market as fees reflect the many benefits offered by the service sought.
A study of rates and fees across several markets however shows that Nigeria is well within range. For example, as indicated on the company’s website, the MoneyGram global average fee including foreign exchange, of less than 5 percent of the face value of the money transferred is substantially lower than the average fee for an international bank transfer and is very competitive in the fund transfer industry.
This fee is lower than the World Bank and G8 goals to provide affordable remittance services to underdeveloped parts of the world. Of additional benefit to the country however is the fact that local agents retain approximately half of the fee paid by the consumer, which in turn is re-invested in local businesses.
Source: http://www.vanguardngr.com/2016/09/cbn-faces-forex-crisis-naira-drops-40-18-months/
Economy
Adedeji Urges Nigeria to Add More Products to Export Basket
By Adedapo Adesanya
The chairman of the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS), Mr Zacch Adedeji, has urged the country to broaden its export basket beyond raw materials by embracing ideas, innovation and the production of more value-added and complex products
Mr Adedeji said this during the maiden distinguished personality lecture of the Faculty of Administration, Obafemi Awolowo University (OAU), Ile-Ife, Osun State, on Thursday.
The NRS chairman, in the lecture entitled From Potential to Prosperity: Export-led Economy, revealed that Nigeria experienced stagnation in its export drive over three decades, from 1998 to 2023, and added only six new products to its export basket during that period.
He stressed the need to rethink growth through the lens of complexity by not just producing more of the same stuff, lamenting that Nigeria possesses a high-tech oil sector and a low-productivity informal sector, as well as lacking “the vibrant, labour-absorbing industrial base that serves as a bridge to higher complexity,” he said in a statement by his special adviser on Media, Dare Adekanmbi.
Mr Adedeji urged Nigeria to learn from the world by comparative studies of success and failure, such as Vietnam, Bangladesh, Indonesia, South Africa, and Brazil.
“We are not just looking at numbers in a vacuum; we are looking at the strategic choices made by nations like Vietnam, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Brazil, and South Africa over the same twenty-five-year period. While there are many ways to underperform, the path to success is remarkably consistent: it is defined by a clear strategy to build economic complexity.
“When we put these stories together, the divergence is clear. Vietnam used global trade to build a resilient, complex economy, while the others remained dependent on natural resources or a single low-tech niche.
“There are three big lessons here for us in Nigeria as we think about our roadmap. First, avoiding the resource curse is necessary, but it is not enough. You need a proactive strategy to build productive capabilities,” he stated, adding that for Nigeria, which is at an even earlier stage of development and even less diversified than these nations, the warning is stark.
“Relying solely on our natural endowments isn’t just a path to stagnation; it’s a path to regression. The global economy increasingly rewards knowledge and complexity, not just what you can dig out of the ground. If we want to move from potential to prosperity, we must stop being just a source of raw materials and start being a source of ideas, innovation, and complex products,” the taxman stated.
He added that President Bola Tinubu has already begun the difficult work of rebuilding the economy, building collective knowledge to innovate, produce, and build a resilient economy.
Economy
Nigeria Inaugurates Strategy to Tap into $7.7trn Global Halal Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
President Bola Tinubu on Thursday inaugurated Nigeria’s National Halal Economy Strategy to tap into the $7.7 trillion global halal market and diversify its economy.
President Tinubu, while inaugurating the strategy, called for disciplined, inclusive, and measurable action for the strategy to deliver jobs and shared prosperity across the country.
Represented by Vice-President Kashim Shettima, he described the unveiling of the strategy as a signal of Nigeria’s readiness to join the world in grabbing a huge chunk of the global halal economy already embraced by leading nations.
“As well as to clearly define the nation’s direction within the market, is expected to add an estimated $1.5 billion to the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by 2027. It is with this sense of responsibility that I formally unveil the Nigeria National Halal Economy Strategy.
“This document is a declaration of our promise to meet global standards with Nigerian capacity and to convert opportunity into lasting economic value. What follows must be action that is disciplined, inclusive, and measurable, so that this Strategy delivers jobs, exports, and shared prosperity across our nation.
“It is going to be chaired by the supremely competent Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment.”
The president explained that the halal-compliant food exports, developing pharmaceutical and cosmetic value chains would position Nigeria as a halal-friendly tourism destination, and mobilising ethical finance at scale,” by 2030.
“The cumulative efforts “are projected to unlock over twelve billion dollars in economic value.
“While strengthening food security, deepening industrial capacity, and creating opportunities for small-and-medium-sized enterprises across our states,” he added.
Allaying concerns by those linking the halal with religious affiliation, President Tinubu pointed out that the global halal economy had since outgrown parochial interpretations.
“It is no longer defined solely by faith, but by trust, through systems that emphasise quality, traceability, safety, and ethical production. These principles resonate far beyond any single community.
“They speak to consumers, investors, and trading partners who increasingly demand certainty in how goods are produced, financed, and delivered. It is within this broader understanding that Nigeria now positions itself.”
Tinubu said many advanced Western economies had since “recognised the commercial and ethical appeal of the halal economy and have integrated it into their export and quality-assurance systems.”
President Tinubu listed developed countries, including the United Kingdom, France, Germany, the Netherlands, the United States, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand.
“They are currently among the “leading producers, certifiers, and exporters of halal food, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, and financial products.”
He stated that what these developed nations had experienced is a confirmation of a simple truth, that “the halal economy is a global market framework rooted in standards, safety, and consumer trust, not geography or belief.”
The president explained that the Nigeria national halal economy strategy is the result of careful study and sober reflection.
He added that it was inspired by the commitment of his administration of “to diversify exports, attract foreign direct investment, and create sustainable jobs across the federation.
“It is also the product of deliberate partnership, developed with the Halal Products Development Company, a subsidiary of the Saudi Public Investment Fund.
“And Dar Al Halal Group Nigeria, with technical backing from institutions such as the Islamic Development Bank and the Arab Bank for Economic Development in Africa.”
The Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment, Mrs Jumoke Oduwole, said the inauguration of the strategy was a public-private collaboration that has involved extensive interaction with stakeholders.
Mrs Oduwole, who is the Chairperson, National Halal Strategy Committee, said that the private sector led the charge in ensuring that it is a whole-of-government and whole-of-country intervention.
The minister stressed that what the Halal strategy had done for Nigeria “is to position us among countries that export Halal-certified goods across the world.
The minister said, “We are going to leverage the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) to ensure that we export our Halal-friendly goods to the rest of Africa and beyond to any willing markets; participation is voluntary. “
She assured that as the Chairperson, her ministry would deliver on the objectives of the strategy for the prosperity of the nation.
The Chairman of Dar Al-Halal Group Nigeria L.td, Mr Muhammadu Dikko-Ladan, explained that the Halal Product Development Company collaborated with the group in developing the strategy.
“In addition to the strategy, an export programme is underway involving the Ministry of Trade and Investment, through which Nigerian companies can be onboarded into the Saudi Arabian market and beyond.£
Mr Dikko-Ladan described the Strategy as a landmark opportunity for Nigeria, as it creates market access and attracts foreign direct investment.
Economy
UK, Canada, Others Back New Cashew Nut Processing Plant Construction in Ogun
By Adedapo Adesanya
GuarantCo, part of the Private Infrastructure Development Group (PIDG), has provided a 100 per cent guarantee to support a $75 million debt facility for Robust International Pte Ltd (Robust) to construct a new cashew nut processing plant in Ogun State, Nigeria.
GuarantCo, under the PIDG is funded by the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Australia, Sweden and Canada, mobilises private sector local currency investment for infrastructure projects and supports the development of financial markets in lower-income countries across Africa and Asia.
Nigeria is one of Africa’s largest cashew producers of 300,000 tonnes of raw cashew nuts annually, yet currently less than 10 per cent are processed domestically. Most raw nuts are exported unprocessed to Asian and other countries, forfeiting up to 80 per cent of their potential export value and adding exposure to foreign exchange fluctuations.
According to GuarantCo, this additional plant will more than double Robust’s existing cashew processing capacity from 100 metric tonnes per day to 220 metric tonnes per day to help reduce this structural gap.
The new plant will be of extensive benefit to the local economy, with the procurement of cashew nuts from around 10,000 primarily low-income smallholder farmers.
There is an expected increase in export revenue of up to $335 million and procurement from the local supply chain over the lifetime of the guarantee.
Furthermore, the new plant will incorporate functionality to convert waste by-products into value-added biomass and biofuel inputs to enhance the environmental impact of the transaction.
It is anticipated that up to 900 jobs will be created, with as many as 78 per cent to be held by women. Robust also has a target to gradually increase the share of procurement from women farmers, from 15 per cent to 25 per cent by 2028, as it reaches new regions in Nigeria and extends its ongoing gender-responsive outreach programme for farmers.
Terms of the deal showed that the debt facility was provided by a Symbiotics-arranged bond platform, which in turn issued notes with the benefit of the GuarantCo guarantee. These notes have been subscribed to in full by M&G Investments. The transaction was executed in record time due to the successful replication of two recent transactions in Côte d’Ivoire and Senegal, again in collaboration with M&G Investments and Symbiotics.
Speaking on the development, the British Deputy High Commissioner, Mr Jonny Baxter, said: “The UK is proud to support innovative financing that mobilises private capital into Nigeria’s productive economy through UK-backed institutions such as PIDG. By backing investment into local processing and value addition, this transaction supports jobs, exports and more resilient agricultural supply chains. Complementing this, through the UK-Nigeria Enhanced Trade and Investment Partnerships and the Developing Countries Trading Scheme, the UK is supporting Nigerian businesses to scale exports to the UK and beyond, demonstrating how UK-backed partnerships help firms grow and compete internationally.”
Mr Dave Chalila, Head of Africa and Middle East Investments at GuarantCo, said: “This transaction marks GuarantCo’s third collaboration with M&G Investments and Symbiotics, emphasising our efforts to bring replicability to everything we do so that we accelerate socio-economic development where it matters most. The transaction is consistent with PIDG’s mandate to mobilise private capital into high-impact, underfinanced sectors. In this case, crowding in institutional investors in the African agri-processing value chain.
“As with the two recent similarly structured transactions, funding is channelled through the Symbiotics institutional investor platform, with the notes externally rated by Fitch and benefiting from a rating uplift due to the GuarantCo guarantee.”
Adding his input, Mr Vishanth Narayan, Group Executive Director at Robust International Group, said: “As a global leader in agricultural commodities, Robust International remains steadfast in its commitment to building resilient, ethical and value-adding supply chains across origin and destination markets. This transaction represents an important step in advancing our long-term strategy of strengthening processing capabilities, deepening engagement with farmers and enhancing local value addition in the regions where we operate. Through sustained investment, disciplined execution and decades of operating experience, we continue to focus on delivering reliable, high-quality products while fostering inclusive and sustainable economic growth.”
For Ms María Redondo, director at M&G Investments, “The guarantee gives us the assurance to invest in hard currency, emerging market debt, while supporting Robust’s new cashew processing plant in Nigeria. It’s a clear example of how smart credit enhancement can unlock institutional capital for high-impact development and manage currency and credit risks effectively. This is another strong step in channelling institutional capital into meaningful, on‑the‑ground growth.”
Also, Ms Valeria Berzunza, Structuring & Arranging at Symbiotics, said: “We are pleased to continue our collaboration with M&G Investments, GuarantCo, and now with Robust through a transaction with a strong social and gender focus, demonstrating that well-structured products can boost commercially attractive, viable, and impactful investments.”
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