Economy
Choppy Trading on Wall Street Amid Mixed Economic, Geopolitical News
By Investors Hub
The major U.S. index futures are currently pointing to a roughly flat opening on Thursday, with stocks likely to continue to experience choppy trading.
Traders may be reluctant to make significant moves as they weigh better than expected U.S. economic data against disappointing news out of the summit between President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.
The futures recovered from earlier weakness following the release of a report from the Commerce Department showing U.S. economic growth slowed by less than expected in the fourth quarter of 2018.
Meanwhile, traders are also digesting news that the Trump-Kim summit ended abruptly without an agreement on the denuclearization of the Korean peninsula.
Trump told reporters the North Korean dictator wanted the U.S. to lift all sanctions without having to give up all of his weapons of mass destruction.
?Basically, they wanted the sanctions lifted in their entirety and we couldn’t do that,? Trump said. ?They were willing to de-nuke a large portion of the areas that we wanted, but we couldn’t give up all of the sanctions for that.?
?So we continue to work and we’ll see, but we had to walk away from that particular suggestion,? he added. ?We had to walk away from that.?
The president noted that the two sides will continue to work toward an agreement, although the lack of a deal at the summit may add to recent uncertainty on Wall Street.
Stocks once again recovered from an early move to the downside on Wednesday but showed a lack of direction over the remainder of the session.
The major averages spent the afternoon lingering near the unchanged line before closing mixed. While the Nasdaq inched up 5.21 points or 0.1 percent to 7,554.51, the Dow fell 72.82 points or 0.3 percent to 25,985.16 and the S&P 500 edged down 1.52 points or 0.1 percent to 2,792.38.
The early weakness on Wall Street came as comments from U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer partly offset recent optimism about the U.S.-China trade talks.
Lighthizer, who is described as “hawkish” on trade, told members of the House Ways and Means Committee that China needs to go beyond pledging to buy more U.S. goods to reach to a long-term trade agreement.
“We can compete with anyone in the world, but we must have rule, enforced rules, that make sure market outcomes and not state capitalism and technology theft determine winners,” Lighthizer said.
The reaction to Lighthizer’s remarks reflected the lingering uncertainty about a potential U.S.-China trade deal even after President Donald Trump decided to postpone an increase in tariffs on Chinese imports.
Selling pressure waned as the day progressed, however, as traders kept an eye on Trump’s second summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, looking for more concrete signs of progress toward the denuclearization of the Korean peninsula.
“Kim Jong Un and I will try very hard to work something out on Denuclearization & then making North Korea an Economic Powerhouse,” Trump said on Twitter this morning. “I believe that China, Russia, Japan & South Korea will be very helpful!”
On the U.S. economic front, the National Association of Realtors released a report showing pending home sales rebounded by much more than anticipated in the month of January.
NAR said its pending home sales index spiked by 4.6 percent to 103.2 in January after tumbling by 2.3 percent to a downwardly revised 98.7 in December. Economists had expected pending home sales to rise by 0.4 percent.
A pending home sale is one in which a contract was signed but not yet closed. Normally, it takes four to six weeks to close a contracted sale.
Meanwhile, a government shutdown-delayed report released by the Commerce Department showed new orders for manufactured goods rose by much less than anticipated in the month of December.
The Commerce Department said factory orders inched up by 0.1 percent in December after falling by a revised 0.5 percent in November. Economists had expected orders to climb by 0.5 percent.
Most of the major sectors ended the day showing only modest moves, contributing to the lackluster performance by the broader markets.
Gold stocks showed a significant move to the downside, however, with the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index plunging by 1.9 percent. The weakness among gold stocks came amid a decrease by the price of the precious metal.
Considerable weakness was also visible among semiconductor stocks, as reflected by the 1.2 percent drop by the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index.
On the other hand,
biotechnology stocks moved sharply higher over the course of the
session, driving the NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index up by 2.4 percent.
The index jumped to its best closing level in over four months.
Economy
BudgIT Urges Transparency as FG Defers 70% of 2025 Capital Projects to 2026
By Adedapo Adesanya
BudgIT, a leading civic-tech organisation promoting transparency and accountability in Nigeria’s public finance, has called on the federal government to be transparent after it deferred the implementation of 70 per cent of capital projects initially appropriated in the 2025 fiscal year to 2026.
“From our analysis, while this development is not entirely surprising, we hold cautious reservations about the implications of this decision,” it said in a statement.
The group said the deferment suggests the federal government intends to limit the number of capital projects under implementation, to use available funds more efficiently, prioritise critical projects, and reduce the long-standing problem of abandoned projects.
“In this sense, the move appears to be an attempt to retain the 2025 capital projects—many of which are based on existing economic plans and strategies—rather than introduce an entirely new set of projects in the next fiscal year.
“We view this as an effort by the federal government to restructure the sequencing of capital project implementation. Rather than rolling out a fresh budget filled with new capital projects, the government appears to be attempting a reset by carrying forward existing projects and improving implementation discipline,” it said.
BudgIT said this approach, if properly managed, could help salvage a challenging fiscal situation and strengthen budget credibility.
Recall that BudgIT has consistently raised concerns about Nigeria’s budgeting process, particularly the government’s failure to adhere to the approved budget calendar and its practice of running multiple fiscal programmes concurrently.
“We have maintained that budget timelines must be treated as sacrosanct and that unfinished but still relevant projects should be consolidated through a supplementary budget passed within the same fiscal year, rather than endlessly rolled over,” it said.
“Consequently, the continued inclusion of numerous uncoordinated and low-priority projects has bloated federal capital expenditure and increased public debt, often without clear developmental value.
“This pattern weakens the impact of capital investment, as spending decisions increasingly appear driven by project insertions rather than sound planning, prioritisation, and fiscal discipline. This is compounded by the fact that the federal government does not publish disaggregated reports on capital expenditure implementation. So, citizens are at a loss in knowing precisely what has or has not been implemented,” the statement added.
This challenge, it said, is further illustrated by developments during the 2024 fiscal year, in which the federal government extended the implementation of capital expenditure components of both the 2024 Appropriation Act and the 2024 supplementary Appropriation Act into mid-2025, and subsequently to December 2025.
“As a result, although the 2025 Appropriation Act was duly passed and assented to, it appears that only its recurrent components—such as personnel and overhead costs—were implemented in 2025. This is further evidenced by the absence of federal budget implementation reports for the 2025 period and official statements indicating that revenues from the 2025 fiscal year were used to fund the implementation of the 2024 budget.”
It revealed that it remains unclear whether the 2024 fiscal year has been formally closed.
“The recently published Q4 2024 federal budget implementation report is explicitly described as “provisional,” raising concerns about proper fiscal closure. Formal closure of fiscal accounts is essential, as failure to do so undermines financial reporting, fiscal transparency, and consolidation standards.”
In light of these, BudgIT stressed that this decision to defer capital project implementation must be robustly defended during the upcoming budget defence sessions at the National Assembly.
“The Executive arm of government must clearly demonstrate to the Legislature that this action is necessary to restore order to Nigeria’s fiscal framework and to end the damaging practice of implementing multiple budgets concurrently. By the time the annual Appropriation Act is passed by the National Assembly and transmitted for presidential assent, it is often heavily bloated with additional projects. While the National Assembly’s power to increase or decrease the budget is constitutionally recognised, BudgIT has long argued that this power has been widely abused, often disregarding fiscal planning and national development priorities.”
Commenting, BudgIT’s Deputy Country Director, Mr Vahyala Kwaga, underscored the need for discipline and clarity in implementing the deferment.
“Deferring 70 per cent of capital projects is neither a solution nor a setback on its own. What matters is whether this decision marks a clear break from the cycle of bloated budgets, overlapping fiscal years, and weak project implementation. Without strict adherence to budget timelines, proper fiscal closure, and transparent payment processes, the risk is that we simply postpone inefficiencies rather than resolve them,” Mr Kwaga said.
In addition, BudgIT urged the federal government to fully adhere to its “Bottom-Up Cash Plan” as outlined by the Federal Ministry of Finance.
“This approach—where payments are made directly to verified contractors rather than routed through MDAs—has the potential to improve efficiency and accountability in capital project implementation. The government must ensure strict compliance with payment protocols, contractor verification processes, and timely disbursement of funds.
“To this end, we call on the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Budget and Economic Planning, the Budget Office of the Federation, the Bureau of Public Procurement, relevant MDAs, and the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, Bola Ahmed Tinubu, to uphold the principles of transparency, legal compliance, and accountability in the management of public funds and public projects.
“We also encourage citizens, civil society, the private sector, and the media to actively support and scrutinise capital expenditure implementation, as the benefits of effective public spending ultimately accrue to all Nigerians.”
Economy
SEC Authorises Extension of The Initiates N1.3bn Rights Issue
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The N1.3 billion rights issue of The Initiates, which commenced on Wednesday, November 5, 2025, has been extended.
The exercise, which is on the basis of one new ordinary share for every existing five ordinary shares held as of the close of business on Friday, August 1, 2025, was scheduled to close on Friday, December 12, 2025.
However, the period of the rights issue has been stretched by an addition month, leaving the new closing date at Monday, January 12, 2026.
This extension was approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the highest regulatory agency for the Nigerian capital market.
The Initiates, which operates as an environmental and waste management organisation, is offering in the rights issue a total of 177,996,310 units of its stocks to existing shareholders at a unit price of N7.00.
Economy
Nigeria’s Inflation Eases for Eighth Straight Month to 14.45% in November
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria’s headline inflation rate eased for the eighth consecutive month in November as it printed 14.45 per cent relative to the October 2025 headline inflation rate of 16.05 per cent.
According to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Monday, on a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate in November 2025 was 1.22 per cent, which was 0.29 per cent higher than the 0.93 per cent recorded in October 2025.
Consumer inflation peaked at 34 per cent last December before dropping after the stats office revised its base year from 2009 to 2024 and adjusted the weight of items in its price basket.
On a month-on-month basis, the food inflation rate in November 2025 was 1.13 per cent, up by 1.5 per cent from the -0.37 per cent achieved in the preceding month. The increase can be attributed to the rate of increase in the average prices of tomatoes (dried), cassava tuber, periwinkle (shelled), grounded pepper, eggs, crayfish, melon (egusi) unshelled, oxtail, and onions (fresh), among others.
The average annual rate of food inflation for the 12 months ending November 2025 over the previous 12 months’ average was 19.68 per cent, which was 18.99 per cent points lower than the average annual rate of change recorded in November 2024 at 38.67 per cent.
For the urban inflation rate, it stood at 13.61 per cent versus 23.49 per cent in the previous month and compared with the 37.10 per cent recorded in November 2024.
On a month-on-month basis, the urban inflation rate was 0.95 per cent in the review month, down by 0.18 per cent from the 1.14 per cent in October 2025. The corresponding 12-month average for the urban inflation rate was 20.80 per cent in November 2025, which was 14.27 per cent lower than the 35.07 per cent reported in November 2024.
The rural inflation rate in November 2025 was 15.15 per cent on a year-on-year basis, standing 17.12 per cent lower than the 32.27 per cent recorded in November 2024. On a month-on-month basis, the rural inflation rate in November 2025 was 1.88 per cent, up by 1.43 per cent when compared with the 0.45 per cent achieved in October 2025. The corresponding 12-month average for the rural inflation rate in November 2025 was 19.46 per cent. This was 11.24 per cent lower than the 30.71 per cent recorded in November 2024.
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