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Economy

Crude Drops Over Unclear US Presidential Election Outcome

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crude oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude prices dropped on Thursday, November 5 as the highly contested presidential election in the United States remained with an unclear winner after two days.

The global benchmark, Brent crude, dropped 46 cents or 1.22 per cent to sell at $40.77 per barrel while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell by 56 cents or 1.43 per cent to close at $38.59 per barrel.

The election, which currently has Democratic candidate, Joe Biden, in the lead, is very crucial to the oil market. The former Vice President was in the lead in electoral votes over President Donald Trump.

According to current conditions, a President Trump win would be more bullish for oil, analysts say, because of the President’s continued pro-oil policies.

On the other hand, his opponent said he would seek a path of diplomacy towards Iran, which could potentially bring Iranian barrels back to the oil market at some point next year under a Biden Administration.

But due to some other factors, analysts noted that a Biden presidency would not be as bad for oil prices as it would look on the face of it. One reason for this is because of a weaker US dollar, which typically boosts oil prices because crude becomes cheaper for holders of other currencies.

In addition, Republicans are set to keep the majority in the Senate while Democrats have lost a few seats in the House—this, according to analysts, would keep a President Biden from passing climate policies that could be too harsh on the oil industry.

A continued surge in COVID-19 cases in Europe and the US worries oil market participants who remain concerned that the return of lockdowns in Europe will significantly weigh on economic recovery and fuel demand.

This is not made easy by rising production from Libya, which is slowly trickling to one million barrels per day. This will further complicate the effect of supply cutbacks as lockdowns and the economic fallout from the coronavirus has sent fuel demand crashing.

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), spearheaded by the Saudis and Russia, is currently keeping about 7.7 million barrels of daily output, roughly 8 per cent of world supply, to cushion the market from a glut. The coalition is due to meet on November 30 to December 1, amid growing expectations that it will keep these restraints in place in the first quarter of 2021, rather than ease them as originally planned.

Business Post had reported that Russian oil companies met with Energy Minister Alexander Novak on Monday to discuss the possibility of delaying the tapering by three months, which could be welcome for the oil market but not for oil-dependent economies who are facing the gun.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Naira Crashes to N1,362.05/$1 at Official Window After N1.50 Loss

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deposit old Naira notes

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira fell against the United States Dollar by N1.50 or 0.11 per cent in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) to sell at N1,362.05/$1 on Wednesday, June 10, compared with the N1,360.55/$1 it traded on Tuesday.

Also, the local currency lost N4.33 against the Pound Sterling in the official window yesterday to trade at N1,827.33/£1 versus the preceding day’s N1,823.00/£1, and depreciated against the Euro by N1.74 to quote at N1,575.35/€1, in contrast to N1,573.61/€1 of the previous session.

However, at the GTBank forex desk, the Naira gained N3 against the US Dollar to sell at N1,370/$1 versus N1,373/$1, and at the parallel market, it remained unchanged at N1,380/$1.

Updated data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed that foreign reserves surged further due to additional inflows from various sources. Nigeria’s gross external reserves increased to $50.439 billion, its highest level since March 2026, reflecting sustained inflows from oil revenue and other FX sources.

Also, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said increased confidence in the Naira, supported by lower and more stable inflation, would encourage households, businesses and investors to hold more local currency assets and reduce reliance on foreign currencies.

The global lender, in a recent assessment, stressed the importance of strengthening the CBN’s operational framework and aligning liquidity management operations more closely with monetary policy objectives.

In the cryptocurrency market, there were recoveries from recent losses as US headline inflation rose an expected 0.5 per cent in May, but the beat on the core rate — which cuts out food and energy costs — pleased markets. The core rate, though, rose just 0.2 per cent in May against forecasts for 0.3 per cent.

The print reinforces the view that the US Federal Reserve will keep interest rates at 350-375 basis points at its June 17 meeting, but is likely to increase rates by 25 basis points by the end of the year.

Cardano (ADA) went up by 2.4 per cent to $0.1647, Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 2.3 per cent to $62,794.09, Binance Coin (BNB) jumped 1.8 per cent to $596.23, Ethereum (ETH) grew by 1.7 per cent to $1,658.12, and Solana (SOL) also soared by 1.7 per cent to $65.23.

Further, Dogecoin (DOGE) appreciated by 1.5 per cent to $0.0849, Ripple (XRP) expanded by 0.4 per cent to $1.11, and TRON (TRX) increased by 0.05 per cent to $0.3218, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) lost 0.10 per cent to close at $0.9989, and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) declined by 0.01 per cent to $0.9997.

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Economy

Oil Prices Jump as Iran Shuts Down Strait of Hormuz

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oil prices driving up Trump

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices jumped early on Thursday as Iran declared the critical energy chokepoint, the Strait of Hormuz, closed ‌after the US launched additional strikes against the Middle East oil producer.

Brent futures rose $1.48 or 1.59 per cent to $94.58 per barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed $1.71 or 1.90 per cent to $91.74 a barrel.

Iran’s top joint military command announced the closure of the ​Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, including oil tankers and commercial ships, saying any vessel attempting ⁠passage will be shot at.

Market analysts noted that the renewed ​escalation in fighting prompted oil prices to rally in early morning trading.

On Wednesday, the US military said on X that commercial ships continue to transit in and out of the strait. It also said no US warships have been struck in the strait, after ​Iran’s state media reported US ships near the waterway were targeted by missiles and drones.

US forces began launching ​additional strikes against multiple targets in Iran on Wednesday, the latest in an escalating exchange of attacks that threaten ‌to ⁠reignite a full-scale war, which was paused in early April when the two sides agreed to a fragile ceasefire.

Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth held a press briefing announcing further attacks on Iran, saying, “If we need to negotiate with bombs, we’ll negotiate with bombs.” US Central Command later described those attacks as targeting “Iranian military surveillance capabilities, communication systems, and air defence sites across Iran.”

In response to the attacks, Iran’s top joint military command then announced that the Strait was closed to all shipping.

President Donald Trump said the strikes would stop shortly, but that they would continue if Iran’s leaders did not sign an agreement with the US immediately.

Iran’s months-long ​blockade of the strait, which ​normally carries a fifth ⁠of global oil and gas shipments, has kept oil prices elevated.

The latest exchange of strikes between the US and Iran marks the most significant escalation in the conflict since both countries agreed to a fragile ceasefire in April. Since then, oil inventories have drained dramatically, and no tangible breakthroughs have been announced.

Crude oil inventories in the US decreased by 7.2 million barrels during the week ending June 5, according to new data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA).  The EIA’s data release follows figures that were released by the American Petroleum Institute (API) a day earlier, which reported that crude oil inventories saw a draw of 9.119 million barrels in the period.

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Economy

Customs Street Rallies 0.06% Amid Weak Investor Sentiment

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Customs Street Nigerian Stock Exchange

By Dipo Olowookere

A marginal 0.06 per cent was recorded by Customs Street at the close of business on Wednesday, extending the dominance of the bulls for another trading session.

The uptick printed by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited was despite weak investor sentiment after reporting 30 price gainers and 36 price losers, representing a positive market breadth index.

Livestock Feeds gained 10.00 per cent to close at N9.35, Deap Capital expanded by 9.86 per cent to N5.35, Abbey Mortgage Bank appreciated by 9.78 per cent to N12.35, Vitafoam grew by 8.25 per cent to N210.00, and FTN Cocoa chalked up 6.54 per cent to finish at N9.45.

On the flip side, Neimeth lost 10.00 per cent to trade at N9.00, International Energy Insurance slipped by 9.92 per cent to N7.90, John Holt shrank by 9.73 per cent to N13.45, Union Homes REIT declined by 8.56 per cent to N70.00, and eTranzact went down by 8.06 per cent to N16.55.

Though activity level contracted yesterday, it remained on the high side, as market participants transacted 1.2 billion equities worth N38.8 billion in 54,193 deals compared with the 1.3 billion equities valued at N57.9 billion traded in 59,956 deals on Tuesday, indicating a shortfall in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 7.69 per cent, 32.99 per cent, and 9.61 per cent, respectively.

Sterling Holdings sold 565.3 million shares valued at N4.5 billion to emerge as the busiest during the session. FCMB transacted 122.1 million equities for N1.5 billion, Access Holdings sold 49.5 million stocks worth N1.3 billion, Jaiz Bank exchanged 34.9 million shares valued at N313.8 million, and Universal Insurance traded 32.4 million stocks worth N35.6 million.

Business Post reports that the banking and industrial goods sectors respectively lost 0.79 per cent and 0.09 per cent yesterday as a result of profit-taking.

However, the consumer goods index rose 0.42 per cent, the energy counter increased by 0.14 per cent, and the insurance segment improved by 0.03 per cent due to bargain-hunting.

As a result, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 154.59 points to 244,852.21 points from 244,697.62 points, and the market capitalisation soared by N99 billion to N157.043 trillion from N156.944 trillion.

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