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Crude Oil Steady Despite Rising Iran War Risks, Shipping Disruption

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Utapate crude oil blend

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil prices were largely unchanged on Wednesday as escalating US and ​Israel strikes against Iran widened regional tensions and halted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude was at $81.40 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 10 cents or 0.1 per cent to trade at $74.66 per barrel.

Despite not much movement in midweek, analysts say prices remain elevated as markets grapple with the prospect of a prolonged ​war and lingering supply disruptions.

The US government has signalled a four- to five-week campaign, but Iran ​is seeking to regionalise the conflict, and the crucial Strait of Hormuz chokepoint is effectively shut.

The New York Times reported that operatives from Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence signalled openness to ​the US Central Intelligence Agency to talks on ending the war.

On Wednesday, US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth said America was winning the war against Iran and that the US military could fight as long as needed.

While all other options are being explored, forces from both the US and Israel have struck targets across Iran, prompting Iranian retaliatory strikes against energy infrastructure in a ​region that accounts for just under a third of global oil production.

Iraq, the second-largest crude producer in the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), has cut ​output by nearly 1.5 million barrels a day due to storage limits and the lack of an export route.

The US said it was working on plans to secure the ​Strait of Hormuz to ensure safety for ​oil tankers amid the war ⁠with Iran.

President Donald Trump on Tuesday said the country’s Navy could begin escorting oil tankers through the strait if necessary. He added that he had ordered the US International Development Finance Corporation to provide political risk insurance and financial guarantees for maritime trade in the Gulf.

Meanwhile, countries and companies have begun seeking alternative routes ​and supplies of crude. India and Indonesia said they were looking for other supplies, while some Chinese refineries ​were shutting or moving up ⁠maintenance plans.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday that crude stocks rose by 3.5 million barrels in the last week to their highest in three and a half years.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Naira Crashes to N1,370/$ at Official Market, N1,390/$1 at Black Market

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forex Black Market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira again depreciated against the United States Dollar by N7.16 or 0.53 per cent in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Friday, June 19, to N1,370.46/$1 from the previous day’s N1,363.30/$1.

In the same vein, the Nigerian currency lost N9.07 against the Pound Sterling at the official market yesterday to trade at N1,814.76/£1 compared with Thursday’s closing price of N1,805.69/£1, and crashed against the Euro by N6.43 to settle at N1,571.50/€1 versus N1,565.07/€1.

Also, the Naira weakened against the greenback in the black market during the session by N5 to sell for N1,390/$1, in contrast to the preceding day’s N1,385/$1, and at the GTBank FX desk, it shed N3 to close at N1,376/$1 versus N1,373/$1.

The official market’s FX liquidity has been facing pressure over the last three trading sessions, contributing to a decline in the official exchange rate due to rising demand for foreign payments.

FX reserves rose to $51.03 billion, the highest level since January 20, 2009, according to data obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). The figure also represents the highest since the beginning of the year and under the administration of the current Governor of CBN, Mr Yemi Cardoso.

The latest figure underscores the steady strengthening of Nigeria’s external buffers, which continues to reinforce investor confidence in the Nigerian economy and support exchange rate stability.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was mixed, with Bitcoin (BTC) up by 0.8 per cent to $63,225.80 after trading activity was relatively subdued due to a US federal holiday, as the absence of stock and bond market activity led to quieter conditions across crypto markets, even though digital assets continue to trade around the clock.

Further, TRON (TRX) also gained 0.8 per cent to sell at $0.3230, Binance Coin (BNB) jumped 0.5 per cent to $579.84, and Ethereum (ETH) appreciated by 0.1 per cent to $1,704.23.

On the flip side, Ripple (XRP) declined by 0.9 per cent to $1.13, Cardano (ADA) shed 0.8 per cent to trade at $0.1611, Solana (SOL) fell by 0.1 per cent to $69.23, and Dogecoin (DOGE) slipped by 0.1 per cent to $0.0831, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.

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Economy

Brent Rises to $80 as Israel, Hezbollah Agree Ceasefire

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Brent crude oil price

By Adedapo Adesanya

Brent crude gained 66 cents or 0.53 per cent to sell for $80.38 per barrel ​on Friday after Israel and Hezbollah agreed on a ceasefire in Lebanon, though Iran set conditions for using the vital Strait of Hormuz.

Also, the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up 94 cents or 1.23 per cent to $77.54 per barrel, amid light trading volumes due to the US Juneteenth holiday.

In spite of Friday’s gains, Brent was down about 8 per cent week-over-week, ​reflecting a significant easing of supply concerns in the wake of the US-Iran deal to end the war.

Gulf producers were preparing to raise exports after Israel and Hezbollah agreed to a ceasefire, ​which began on Friday.

Israel and Hezbollah agreed to halt fighting in southern Lebanon after days of escalating clashes threatened to derail the fragile US-Iran peace process, reducing the risk that the first major test of the agreement would turn into its first major failure.

At least four tankers carrying crude, oil products and liquefied petroleum gas (LNG) entered the ​Strait of Hormuz on Friday, heading for Iraqi Gulf ports. However, despite the uptick in activity, Iran signalled ⁠tighter control over shipping.

Iran’s Persian Gulf Strait Authority said “no vessel is permitted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz without a valid ​passage permit issued by the PGSA”.

Concerns also remain as a planned meeting between Iranian and American officials in Switzerland on Friday was postponed, with arrangements underway for talks in the coming days.

Iran’s Foreign Ministry said the meeting was no longer urgent because a memorandum of understanding on ending the war had already been signed digitally between the two sides.

Analysts expect ​the deal to release more than 85 million ​barrels of oil stranded in the ⁠Middle East Gulf into global markets. The agreement also includes the lifting of US sanctions on Iranian oil, which would add more supply.

However, recovery in flows of supply that transits Hormuz and production after the US-Iran ​deal could take several months.

On the demand front, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said in its 2026 World Oil Outlook that world ​demand will rise to 113.3 million barrels per day in 2030 from 105.1 million barrels per day in 2025.

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Economy

Nigeria’s Gross Foreign Reserves Hit 17-Year High of $51.04bn

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Reserves

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The gross foreign reserves of Nigeria reached a 17-year high of $51.04 billion, data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) shows.

Business Post gathered from the apex bank’s website that this new feat was achieved on Thursday, June 18, 2026.

A day earlier, which was Wednesday, June 17, 2026, the amount in the country’s external reserves stood at $50.96 billion, indicating accretion of 0.16 per cent.

This latest development is expected to strengthen the value of the Nigerian Naira in the foreign exchange (FX) market.

It was observed that since the beginning of this month, the amount in the forex reserves has been building up gradually after an initial scare.

It is believed that inflows from crude oil sales have been boosting the reserves, though prices are expected to trend downward as a result of the ceasefire deals between the United States and Iran on Friday.

The price of crude oil has cooled to around $80 per barrel. It should further moderate to its level before February 28, 2026, when the bombardment of Iran started, which led to the death of the country’s 86-year-old Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

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