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Economy

Crude Prices Further Rise 2% on Vaccine Rollout, Improved Economic Outlook

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Crude Oil Export Sales

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil prices rose more than 2 per cent on Thursday as vaccine rollouts bolstered the global economic outlook, which was supported by a decline of the US Dollar.

This pushed the value of the Brent crude higher by 2.78 per cent or $1.89 to $69.79 per barrel and lifted the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) by 2.65 per cent or $1.71 to $65.15 per barrel.

The global economic outlook has brightened as COVID-19 vaccine rollouts speed up in some countries, pushing improved expectation for the global gross domestic product predicted to return to pre-pandemic levels by the middle of this year.

Futures also climbed yesterday as a result of a decline in the US currency. The greenback is the currency which crude is priced against; its weakness boosts the purchasing power of the holders of other currencies.

The market is in the positives even after crude inventories rose by 13.8 million barrels in the week to March 5 to 498.4 million barrels, compared with analysts’ expectations of an 816,000-barrel rise.

This came as the largest producing nation’s oil industry continued to feel the effects of a winter storm that stalled refining and forced production shut-ins in Texas last month.

Meanwhile, the US House of Representatives has given its final approval to one of the largest economic stimulus measures in American history, a $1.9 trillion COVID-19 relief bill that gives President Joe Biden his first major victory in office.

The market will likely be thrust into more worries as the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) downgraded the outlook for demand for its crude over the next two quarters, in keeping with the group’s plans to keep a tight restraint on supply.

The cartel trimmed estimates for the amount of crude it will need to pump in the second quarter by 690,000 barrels a day, amid a weaker picture for demand and stronger growth in rival supply.

The report published on Thursday saw the cartel reduce its overall forecasts for the volume of crude it will need to provide this year.

In its closely watched Monthly Oil Market Report released March 11, OPEC revised up its forecast of 2021 oil demand by 220,000 barrels per day to 96.27 million barrels per day but said the recovery would be backloaded in the second half of the year, after disappointing data in the first quarter.

Estimates for the third quarter and fourth quarter were raised by 400,000 barrels per day and 970,000 barrels per, respectively, while Q1 and Q2 were lowered by 180,000 barrels per day and 310,000 barrels per day.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

NASD OTC Exchange Sustains Positive Momentum with 1.41% Rise

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NASD OTC securities exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange remained in the positive territory on Monday after it closed higher by 1.41 per cent at the close of business.

During the session, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) added 57.66 points to close at 4,141.53 points compared with last Friday’s 4,083.87 points, and the market capitalisation added N44.50 billion to settle at N2.477 trillion versus the preceding session’s N2.433 trillion.

Yesterday, the volume of securities went down by 60.7 per cent to 1.8 million units from 4.5 million units, the value of securities decreased by 79.3 per cent to N17.1 million from N82.5 million, and the number of deals dropped 38.6 per cent to finish at 27 deals compared to the preceding session’s 44 deals.

Closing the day as the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis was with Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc with 35.1 million units exchanged for N2.1 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 6.3 million units traded for N1.1 billion, and Geo-Fluids Plc with the sale of 122.8 million units valued at N480.4 million.

On the flip side, the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis was Resourcery Plc with 1.05 billion units sold for N408.7 million, followed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 122.8 million units valued at N480.4 million, and CSCS Plc with 35.1 million units worth N2.1 billion.

On the first trading day of the week, there were three price gainers and three price losers led by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, which lost N1.46 to quote at N110.00 per share versus the previous N111.46 per share, Afriland Properties Plc tumbled by 14 Kobo to close at N18.74 per unit versus N18.88 per unit, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) depreciated by 5 Kobo to close at 45 Kobo per share versus 50 Kobo per share.

The price gainers were led by MRS Oil Plc, which added N10.00 to trade at N210.00 per unit versus N200.00 per unit, CSCS Plc appreciated by N6.88 to N77.00 per share from N70.12 per share, and First Trust Mortgage Bank Plc gained 16 Kobo to close at N1.75 per unit versus N1.59 per unit.

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Economy

Nigerian Exchange Recovers 1.39% on Bargain-hunting

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Nigerian Exchange 1

By Dipo Olowookere

The hunt for dividend-paying stocks rebounded the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited by 1.39 per cent on Monday after a spate of sell-offs last week.

According to data, energy equities were the toast of investors yesterday, with the sector closing higher by 4.68 per cent when the closing gong was struck at 2:30 pm on the stock exchange.

Further, the industrial goods space appreciated by 2.49 per cent, the consumer goods index improved by 0.36 per cent, and the banking segment appreciated by 0.26 per cent, while the insurance counter lost 1.49 per cent to profit-taking.

As a result, the All-Share Index (ASI) gained 2,687.46 points to finish at 195,514.23 points compared with the 192,826.77 points it ended last Friday, and the market capitalisation grew by N1.725 trillion to N125.488 trillion from N123.763 trillion.

NGX Group, which announced a final dividend of N2 and a bonus share of 1-for-3 last Friday, was the best-performing equity on Monday after it gained 10.00 per cent to trade at N136.40.

In addition, Aradel Holdings appreciated by 9.99 per cent to N1,192.30, Union Homes REIT grew by 9.96 per cent to N76.15, Sovereign Trust Insurance advanced by 9.95 per cent to N2.43, and PZ Cussons rose 9.72 per cent to N79.00.

On the flip side, Custodian Investment ended as the worst-performing equity with a 10.00 per cent loss to settle at N61.20, McNichols shed 9.92 per cent to N7.63, Africa Prudential depleted by 9.75 per cent to N16.20, Chams crashed by 9.11 per cent to N4.09, and Neimeth depreciated by 8.23 per cent to N10.60.

The most active stock for the session was Fortis Global Insurance with 109.1 million units sold for N109.2 million, Japaul traded 54.7 million units valued at N218.9 million, UBA transacted 43.0 million units worth N2.1 billion, Access Holdings exchanged 30.7 million units for N799.4 million, and Oando sold 28.5 million units worth N1.3 billion.

In all, market participants bought and sold 789.9 million shares valued at N35.1 billion in 84,259 deals yesterday compared with the 823.8 million shares worth N34.8 million traded in 63,759 deals in the preceding session, indicating a decline in the trading volume by 4.16 per cent, and growth in the trading value and number of deals by 0.86 per cent, and 32.15 per cent apiece.

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Economy

Naira Crashes to N1,378/$1 as FX Demand Outpaces Supply

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naira street value

By Adedapo Adesanya

The gradual fall of the Naira against the United States Dollar continued on Monday after it further lost N14.63 or 1.07 per cent to close at N1,378.02/$1 compared with the N1,363.39/$1 it was traded at last Friday at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX). This was due to an insufficient supply of FX to meet the demand of customers at the currency market.

The Nigerian currency also depreciated against the Pound Sterling in the same market segment during the session by N9.65 to trade at N1,846.14/£1 compared with the previous trading day’s rate of N1,836.49/£1, and declined against the Euro by N3.76 to settle at N1,612.98/€1 versus the preceding session’s N1,609.22/€1.

In the same vein, the Nigerian Naira tumbled against the greenback in the black market yesterday by N5 to quote at N1,375/$1, in contrast to the previous value of N1,370/$1, as forex demand pressure gradually mounts.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) sold $200 million to boost the supply side and moderate demand pressures. For February, the CBN operated on both sides of the market, selling $225 million and purchasing $261.80 million. However, as FX demand continued to outpace available supply, pressure mounted further in the market.

Meanwhile, the research subsidiary of Coronation Merchant Bank said FX liquidity improved significantly last week. Total FX inflows into the official window rose to $1.07 billion from $648.20 million in the prior week.

Analysts maintain that the exchange rate is still trading within its projected N1,350 to N1,450 per Dollar band, dismissing panic concerns.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was bullish on Monday after macro shocks triggered repositioning across markets, and digital currencies benefited as some investors rotated back into risk.

After weeks of US military buildup and deadlocked nuclear diplomacy, the war with Iran increases the danger of a wider regional confrontation in a strategically vital economic corridor, adding to the risk gains for the market.

Ethereum (ETH) gained 5.5 per cent to trade at $2,050.07, Solana (SOL) appreciated by 5.2 per cent to $87.76, Bitcoin (BTC) added 4.9 per cent to sell for $69,322.35, Binance Coin (BNB) rose 3.2 per cent to $637.94, and Litecoin (LTC) expanded by 3.0 per cent to $52.39.

Further, Ripple (XRP) jumped 2.9 per cent to $1.40, Cardano (ADA) improved by 2.1 per cent to $0.2801, and Dogecoin (DOGE) increased by 1.9 per cent to $0.0946, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.

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