Economy
Currency Swap Deal: CBN Lacks Transparency—Vitafoam Boss
By Dipo Olowookere
Managing Director of Vitafoam Nigeria Plc, Mr Taiwo Adeniyi, has accused the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) of not being transparent in its dealings with stakeholders in the industry.
Mr Adeniyi was quoted by Daily Sun as saying that the apex bank sometimes shows partiality when carrying out its policies.
He was reacting to the announcement made by the CBN Governor, Mr Godwin Emefiele, of the bank’s readiness to buy Commercial Paper (CP) from large companies in order to lend to them at single digit interest rate.
According to Daily Sun, some companies were still waiting for the policy document from the CBN on this.
When asked for his opinion of the issue, the Vitafoam chief said, “When they (CBN) are taking such decisions, they have certain companies they are working with. So, they know what they are doing. When they are taking such decisions they know which organizations can issue commercial paper.
“They know the people they want to use it to help. Even the Yuan they are talking about; has it started? Is it operational?
“The news has gone all over the world that we are doing currency swap. Who and who are benefiting from it? They should tell us.
“Even the commercial banks that know how to operate it, you will hear them say they are still waiting for CBN.
“And yet, it is in the news that they have started the currency swap. So, when they are taking decisions, they know the companies they are targeting to help. So they just push it under the guise of every one of us,” Mr Adeniyi was quoted as saying.
But reacting to the allegation of being biased and not transparent, spokesman of the central bank, Mr Isaac Okorafor, when he contacted by Business Post, said the apex bank has always been plain in its operations.
“Which aspect of the deal (currency swap) does he feel we are not transparent? Is it in the amount of the deal or the rate or the trading?
“On the former, anyone doubting us can crosscheck with the PBoC. On the latter, trading is open and transparent and dealers are allowed to quote whatever they like.
“However as in the rules of the market, anyone who makes an unreasonable quote will be punished by the extent of his or her deviation from the rate that we feel should clear the market.
“It is done to ensure that speculation is put at bare. We have just started this process and with time, we will perfect it,” Mr Okorafor told Business Post in a text message.
Also commenting on the intention of the CBN to buy CP from firm, Managing Director of Afrinvest Securities Limited, Mr Ayodeji Ebo, said the development was a form of quantitative easing and advised the apex bank to come up with structures that will make SMEs participate in it.
“This is a form of quantitative easing. The only reservation is that this will be mainly enjoyed by the blue chip companies due to the SMES inability to issue Commercial Paper. The CBN may need to come up with structures that will enable the SMEs take part in the quantitative easing as this segment is more critical to the growth of the economy,” he said.
The CBN Governor had said at the end of the last Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting in Abuja that the apex bank would buy commercial paper from large companies to lend to them at single digit interest rate.
“The MPC deliberated extensively on what can be done to encourage banks to lend to the private sector because of the numbers we looked at during the main meeting. The MPC was concerned that credit to the real sector was sliding and there was need to incentivise the banks to lend to the private sector.
“At this meeting, we saw improvement which was gratifying, but we feel we must still do what we want to do. In order to achieve lowering interest rate especially to agriculture and manufacturing sectors, we will encourage large corporates to issue CP into the market. In order to complement the banks, we expect that the CP will come in single-digit of 9 percent or below 10 percent, and for a long tenor, as high as five years or seven years, with a two-year moratorium, and for specific purposes.
“If the CBN sees those kinds of notes in the market, we will complement the efforts of the banks through any mechanism to support that by lending to that corporate at that single-digit rate. It is not meant to be in competition with the banks, it is meant to complement their efforts. We want to see that our objective to see to it that we achieve lower interest rate of a single digit can come through this means.
“If a bank lends such money for new projects or plant expansion and it is verifiable, not for refinancing, a project for seven years inclusive of two years moratorium at 9 percent. That bank providing those evidence and verified by the CBN, we will go into bank’s Cash Reserve Ratio and we will release cash of the equivalent sum to that bank at zero cost. In which case, that bank will earn its spread of 9 per cent of that money.
“We feel this is novel. It is something that we should give a chance. In the past, we had reduced CRR and released liquidity into the market, but the liquidity was not channelled into the high-impact, employment-generating sectors and productivity sectors of the economy.
“That is why we feel we should approach it through this means. We believe this will work. We will, from time to time, monitor the level of liquidity in the market and we feel that rather than the banks using their monies to buy Treasury Bills, they can put money into these sectors. And we will provide the liquidity to fund these transactions, as long as they meet these specified terms and conditions.”
A commercial paper (CP) is an unconditional promise by a person to pay to the order of another person a certain sum at a future date.
Economy
Again, OPEC Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Forecasts
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has once again trimmed its 2024 and 2025 oil demand growth forecasts.
The bloc made this in its latest monthly oil market report for December 2024.
The 2024 world oil demand growth forecast is now put at 1.61 million barrels per day from the previous 1.82 million barrels per day.
For 2025, OPEC says the world oil demand growth forecast is now at 1.45 million barrels per day, which is 900,000 barrels per day lower than the 1.54 million barrels per day earlier quoted.
On the changes, the group said that the downgrade for this year owes to more bearish data received in the third quarter of 2024 while the projections for next year relate to the potential impact that will arise from US tariffs.
The oil cartel had kept the 2024 outlook unchanged until August, a view it had first taken in July 2023.
OPEC and its wider group of allies known as OPEC+ earlier this month delayed its plan to start raising output until April 2025 against a backdrop of falling prices.
Eight OPEC+ member countries – Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman – decided to extend additional crude oil production cuts adopted in April 2023 and November 2023, due to weak demand and booming production outside the group.
In April 2023, these OPEC+ countries decided to reduce their oil production by over 1.65 million barrels per day as of May 2023 until the end of 2023. These production cuts were later extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended until the end of December 2026.
In addition, in November 2023, these producers had agreed to voluntary output cuts totalling about 2.2 million barrels per day for the first quarter of 2024, in order to support prices and stabilise the market.
These additional production cuts were extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended to the end of March 2025; they will then be gradually phased out on a monthly basis until the end of September 2026.
Members have made a series of deep output cuts since late 2022.
They are currently cutting output by a total of 5.86 million barrels per day, or about 5.7 per cent of global demand. Russia also announced plans to reduce its production by an extra 471,000 barrels per day in June 2024.
Economy
Aradel Holdings Acquires Equity Stake in Chappal Energies
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
A minority equity stake in Chappal Energies Mauritius Limited has been acquired by a Nigerian energy firm, Aradel Holdings Plc.
This deal came a few days after Chappal Energies purchased a 53.85 per cent equity stake in Equinor Nigeria Energy Company Limited (ENEC).
Chappal Energies went into the deal with Equinor to take part in the oil and gas lease OML 128, including the unitised 20.21 per cent stake in the Agbami oil field, operated by Chevron.
Since production started in 2008, the Agbami field has produced more than one billion barrels of oil, creating value for Nigerian society and various stakeholders.
As part of the deal, Chappal will assume the operatorship of OML 129, which includes several significant prospects and undeveloped discoveries (Nnwa, Bilah and Sehki).
The Nnwa discovery is part of the giant Nnwa-Doro field, a major gas resource with significant potential to deliver value for Nigeria.
In a separate transaction, on July 17, 2024, Chappal and Total Energies sealed an SPA for the acquisition by Chappal of 10 per cent of the SPDC JV.
The relevant parties to this transaction are working towards closing out this transaction and Ministerial Approval and NNPC consent to accede to the Joint Operating Agreement have been obtained.
“This acquisition is in line with diversifying our asset base, deepening our gas competencies and gaining access to offshore basins using low-risk approaches.
“We recognise the strategic role of gas in Nigeria’s energy future and are happy to expand our equity holding in this critical resource.
“We are committed to the cause of developing the significant value inherent in the assets, which will be extremely beneficial to the country.
“Aradel hopes to bring its proven execution competencies to bear in supporting Chappal’s development of these opportunities,” the chief executive of Aradel Holdings, Mr Adegbite Falade, stated.
Economy
Afriland Properties Lifts NASD OTC Securities Exchange by 0.04%
By Adedapo Adesanya
Afriland Properties Plc helped the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange record a 0.04 per cent gain on Tuesday, December 10 as the share price of the property investment rose by 34 Kobo to N16.94 per unit from the preceding day’s N16.60 per unit.
As a result of this, the market capitalisation of the bourse went up by N380 million to remain relatively unchanged at N1.056 trillion like the previous trading day.
But the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) closed higher at 3,014.36 points after it recorded an addition of 1.09 points to Monday’s closing value of 3,013.27 points.
The NASD OTC securities exchange recorded a price loser and it was Geo-Fluids Plc, which went down by 2 Kobo to close at N3.93 per share, in contrast to the preceding day’s N3.95 per share.
During the trading session, the volume of securities bought and sold by investors increased by 95.8 per cent to 2.4 million units from the 1.2 million securities traded in the preceding session.
However, the value of shares traded yesterday slumped by 3.7 per cent to N4.9 million from the N5.07 million recorded a day earlier, as the number of deals surged by 27.3 per cent to 14 deals from 11 deals.
Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units sold for N3.9 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units worth N5.3 million.
Also, Aradel Holdings Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units worth N89.2 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units sold for N5.3 billion.
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