Connect with us

Economy

Deeper Worries for Oil as Brent Plunges Below $50/b

Published

on

crude oil market

By Adedapo Adesanya 

Brent Crude fell below $50 per barrel during trading on Friday as oil recorded its worst loss since 2016, caused by the coronavirus that is affecting the global economy.

The virus, which has affected oil prices for majority of February, has now spread to over 50 countries, including Nigeria, crippling demand for crude oil due to restriction on movements in some countries as part of efforts to curb its spread. It has also affected the global stock market, resulting in the loss of over $6 trillion.

As at yesterday night, the Brent crude fell $2.06 or 3.98 percent to $49.67 per barrel, leading to over 14 percent lost this week by the international oil benchmark.

On its part, the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude further dropped to the $45 mark yesterday after losing 3.89 percent equivalent to $1.83 to settle at $45.31 per barrel. The grade of oil has lost over 16 percent this week, the largest weekly decline since the period ended December 19, 2008.

Latest reports show that coronavirus has killed more than 2,800 people and infected more than 83,000 worldwide

Oil prices got a renewed hope towards deeper output cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia, a grouping known as OPEC+.

Business Post earlier reported that Saudi Arabia was pushing OPEC to increase its production cut to one million barrels per day. Just a few weeks ago, OPEC’s Joint Technical Committee recommended additional cuts that has not been agreed to since.

The Kingdom’s proposal would entail Saudi Arabia taking on the bulk of the new cuts while other countries like Russia, United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Kuwait will share the other part. Russia had been reluctant to sign to previously recommended cuts, but the sharp drop in prices has increased  pressure on the group.

An OPEC technical committee on February 8 recommended that OPEC+ extend current production cuts by 600,000 barrels per day and this will see the current pact calls for OPEC+ cuts of 1.7 million barrels a day extend to 2.3 million barrels.

Traders will be looking ahead to the meeting of the 23-nation coalition known as OPEC+ set to meet next week March 5 – 6 in Vienna, Austria.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Economy

Naira Depreciates to N1,362/$1 at Official Market

Published

on

Naira 4 Dollar

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira further depreciated against the United States Dollar by N3.46 or 0.25 per cent to N1,362.21/$1 from N1,358.75/$1 in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Friday, June 5.

However, it appreciated against the Pound Sterling in the same market window during the session by N4.47 to trade at N1,823.59/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,828.06/£1, and gained N7.00 against the Euro to sell at N1,574.58/€1, in contrast to Thursday’s closing price of N1,581.58/€1.

For another trading session, the Nigerian Naira maintained stability against the Dollar in the parallel market and the GTBank forex counter on Friday at N1,375/$1 and N1,372/$1, respectively.

The Naira is expected to remain strong in the near term, backed by a rise in external reserves, which are nearing $50 billion, enhancing analysts’ confidence about its outlook in the second half of 2026.

Heightened global uncertainty has reduced the incentive for importers and corporates to demand FX, as cautious trade weighs on import needs. Analysts estimate a $40 billion net FX position for the year, a projection anchored in oil windfall gains.

As for the cryptocurrency market, prices remained depressed following a strong US jobs report that spurred markets to price in higher-for-longer interest rates, sending Treasury yields and the dollar up while hammering stocks, especially AI-related names. Crypto markets saw heavy leverage washouts with about $1.6 billion in positions liquidated over 24 hours.

Ethereum (ETH) gave up 4.9 per cent to trade at $1,584.68, Solana (SOL) fell by 3.3 per cent to $63.22, Bitcoin (BTC) crashed by 1.9 per cent to $61,333.23, Dogecoin (DOGE) slipped by 1.8 per cent to $0.0821, and Ripple (XRP) moderated by 1.8 per cent to $1.09.

Further, TRON (TRX) dropped 1.6 per cent to sell at $0.3197, Binance Coin (BNB) slumped by 1.0 per cent to $581.18, and  Cardano (ADA) declined by 0.4 per cent to $0.1589, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) gained 0.07 to sell at $0.9997, and US Dollar Coin (USDC) closed flat at $0.9998.

Continue Reading

Economy

Crude Oil Prices Fall as Fears of US-Iran Conflict Ease

Published

on

crude oil prices

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil ​prices fell on Friday as traders gained confidence that renewed conflict between the United States and Iran ‌was growing less likely.

The price of Brent crude futures settled at $93.09 a barrel, down $1.94 or 2.04 per cent, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures finished at $90.54 a barrel, down $2.50 or 2.69 per cent.

President Donald Trump said the US will win the conflict with Iran either “militarily or on paper,” referring to the fitful negotiations with the Iranian government, and he suggested he could meet with Iran’s reclusive supreme leader “if it was to make a deal.”

He also said he had no desire to meet with Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, who has not been seen since the outbreak of violence on February 28 and was reportedly seriously injured in US-Israeli air strikes. He, however, added that if the two sides reached a deal, it was possible the two leaders would meet.

Meanwhile, Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem rejected on Thursday a US-brokered agreement between Israel and the Lebanese government to halt the fighting. Iran has made a ceasefire in Lebanon a ​condition for any peace deal ​with America.

Oman said ⁠operations at Mina al Fahal port were unaffected after it was reported that oil loading had been ​suspended following an explosion near its mooring berths. Oman exports 800,000 to 900,000 barrels per day of crude from the ​terminal.

As the US-Iran war peace talks dragged on, traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, where a fifth of the world’s oil passes, remained limited. Gains have been capped by oil inventories lasting longer than expected, rerouted exports and falling demand.

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC) is ⁠sticking to its oil demand growth forecast of 1.2 million barrels per day for this year, its Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said, despite the Middle East conflict and closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

OPEC crude output fell last month, hitting its lowest level in decades as the US blockade of Iran and disruption in the Persian Gulf continued to curb production.

Output from its 11 current members dropped by 1.22 million barrels per day to 16.33 million a day in May, with Iran accounting for more than half of the decline, according to a Bloomberg survey. That was the lowest in at least 37 years. The data excludes the United Arab Emirates, which left the organisation last month after six decades.

Key members of the OPEC+ are expected to nudge up targets by a modest 188,000 barrels again in July during a video conference on Sunday. The session is one of four online meetings OPEC and its allies are due to hold that day.

Continue Reading

Economy

OPEC Crude Output Falls to 37-Year Low Amid Iran Disruptions

Published

on

OPEC output cut

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude production under the collective Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC ) fell in May to its lowest level in at least 37 years as the blockade of Iran by the United States and disruptions in the Persian Gulf, continued to limit output.

According to a Bloomberg survey released on Friday, output from the organisation’s 11 current members, including Nigeria, dropped by 1.22 million barrels per day to 16.33 million barrels per day last month.

Iran accounted for more than half of the decline. The data excludes the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which departed the cartel last month after six decades of membership.

War between a US-Israeli alliance and Iran has reduced oil supplies from the Middle East, largely closing the Strait of Hormuz waterway. Saudi Arabia, Iraq, the UAE and Kuwait have been forced to cut crude production. Iranian shipments face additional pressure following a US blockade of its ports imposed in mid-April.

Iranian output fell by 710,000 barrels per day to a five-year low of 2.34 million barrels per day in May, the survey showed. Central Command reported that US forces have redirected 127 commercial vessels to enforce the blockade of all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports.

Kuwait recorded the second-largest decline last month, with production falling by 310,000 barrels per day to 490,000 barrels per day, less than one-fifth of pre-war levels. Saudi Arabia, the group’s leader, saw output decrease by 240,000 barrels per day to 6.57 million barrels per day.

The production reductions have not prevented OPEC and its allies from raising quotas over recent months, continuing a year-long process of restoring output halted several years ago.

This comes ahead of a meeting scheduled to be held on Sunday, June 7, where a sub-group of seven members is expected to increase targets by 188,000 barrels again in July. The session is one of four online meetings OPEC and its partners plan to hold that day.

Delegates indicated the alliance has plans for two additional monthly quota increases in August and September. UAE output rose by 300,000 barrels per day to 2.44 million barrels per day in May, according to the survey.

Continue Reading

Trending