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Easing of Oil Output Cuts to Sway Market This Week

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opec oil output

By Adedapo Adesanya

Last week, prices of both the Brent crude and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude initially dropped on oil demand recovery worries but eventually turned around to show signs of resilience yet again.

Following this positive outcome at the oil market, things could be very difficult for the market this week as one of the major factors that have lifted prices may be eased.

The production cuts from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+), which just did not only remove crude oil from an oversaturated market but eventually helped to boost prices, may start tapering to allow for an increase in production to allow countries fight for market share.

When the cabal started cutting outputs in May, the agreement was to reduce almost 10 per cent or 9.7 million barrels daily for two months including June. However, there was an extension to this to July.

However, analysts note that this may not extend into August with cuts expected to taper to 7.7 million barrels per day through December. According to Wall Street Journal sources, the countries are planning to relax the curbs by 2 million barrels a day to 7.7 million.

The report said that Saudi Arabia was worried as continued support will be dangerous, especially as non-OPEC members attempt to gain market share.

The report came two days after the Energy Information Administration (IEA) said that the worst effects of coronavirus on oil demand had passed but will continue to echo as the market recovers.

The group will hold a virtual meeting on Wednesday to discuss and recommend the next line of action.

In its monthly global energy report, the IEA predicted a slight improvement in global demand for crude oil this year.

However, it also cautioned that much still depends on how the pandemic develops.

The IEA report also noted that the resurgence of cases in some parts of the world, including the US and Latin America, was casting a shadow over the outlook and threatened to derail a recovery in demand.

“The recent increase in COVID-19 cases and the introduction of partial lockdowns introduces more uncertainty to the forecast,” it said.

The number of new COVID-19 cases continue to rise in the major producing country, the US, as the state of Florida soared by 15,299 cases on Saturday. This set the record for the highest COVID-19 cases in the country in a single day for any US state.

The rising number of cases impairs economic recovery and oil demand in the world’s largest oil-consuming nation and curtails crude prices.

On the supply side, more risks of additions to the supply glut have arisen with Libya’s preparations to restart oil production and exports, which also poses a threat to the oil price recovery.

The number of oil rigs in the US, an indicator of short-term production in the country, fell by 4 to 181 for the week ending July 10, from 185 the previous week, according to the latest data. Over the past 17 weeks, the decline in the oil rig count totalled 502, the data showed.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Dangote Refinery Shares to be Available to Public in Five Months

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Dangote monopoly Political Economy of Failure

By Adedapo Adesanya

The chairman of Dangote Group, Mr Aliko Dangote, has said that within the next five months, Nigerians should be able to purchase shares of Dangote Petroleum and Refinery.

Mr Dangote made this revelation on Sunday during a tour of the facility by the chief executive of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, Mr Bayo Ojulari, alongside members of the company’s executive management.

The $20 billion refinery is the largest single-train refinery in the world with 650,000 barrels per day refining capacity. There are efforts to boost the capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day soon.

Speaking with journalists, Mr Dangote said, “And the other issue is that they (NNPC) are holding 7.25 per cent of the shares that we have here, which is more than the shares Elon Musk has in Tesla. And they are holding that on behalf of Nigerians,” he said.

“So individually, Nigerians too will have an opportunity in the next, maybe a maximum of four to five months. There will actually be an opportunity to buy the shares.”

He added that shareholders will have the option to receive their dividends in either naira or dollars, as the refinery also earns in dollars.

Commenting on Mr Ojulari’s visit, the billionaire businessman said the NNPC, represented by Mr Ojulari and its management team, was not just a guest but a shareholder.

“Today is really our best day ever” at the facility. I know NNPC invested in us when we were not really sure whether the refinery would be successful.

“So that’s the kind of level of confidence. But right now, the relationship with the new set of people that we have at NNPC, I think the sky is the limit, and we will cooperate and also make sure that we work together to make sure that we make Nigerians proud.”

Speaking on prospects of partnership with NNPC in the upstream sector, he said, “We have block 71, 72, but we’re going to look much deeper”.

“Most likely, depending on our own discussions with them, we will partner with them, maybe in some of the upstream. They, too, will partner with us here because here is not just a refinery, it’s an industrial hub.

“And that’s why we’re doing linear alkaline benzene, which is a raw material for detergents, ” he added.

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Economy

NGX Investigates Zichis Stocks After 859% Rise in One Month

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Zichis Agro-Allied Industries

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited has launched an investigation into trading activities on the shares of Zichis Agro-Allied Industries Plc.

A notice from Customs Street on Monday disclosed that this has led to the suspension of the company for now.

This development comes about a month after Zichis was listed on the domestic bourse and placed in the growth board of the NGX.

In the circular, it was disclosed that the suspension may be lifted after the conclusion of the findings, but for now, investors will not be able to trade the organisation’s securities on the NGX platform.

“The suspension of trading in Zichis shares shall be lifted upon the conclusion of an investigation into the trading activities on the company’s shares,” a part of the disclosure stated.

The bourse explained that it wielded the big stick on Zichis in compliance with Rule 7.0, Rules on Suspension of Trading in Listed Securities, Rulebook of The Exchange (Issuers’ Rules).

This part of the law states that, “Notwithstanding any of the foregoing provisions, the exchange may, in accordance with any of its rules, place the trading of any security on suspension.

“It may also do so if it is of the view that such suspension will be in the interest of the investing public and in accordance with the SEC Rules.”

In announcing the action on the firm, the NGX declared that, “The shares of Zichis Agro-Allied Industries Plc have been suspended from trading on the facilities of Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), effective today, Monday, February 23, 2026.”

Business Post reports that last week, shares of Zichis appreciated by 60.74 per cent to N17.36. It joined the stock exchange at N1.81, indicating it has gained N15.55 or 859.12 per cent in one month.

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Economy

Nigeria Investment Fund, Japan Unveil $50m Innovation Fund for Startups

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African Startups by Venture Capitalists

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigeria Investment Authority (NSIA) and Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) have finalised agreements to launch a $50  Sovereignmillion impact innovation fund aimed at strengthening the Nigerian start-up ecosystem.

The fund is expected to provide patient capital to pre-seed, seed, and early-stage startups addressing critical social challenges in sectors such as agriculture, healthcare, education, energy, waste and water management.

JICA will provide $14 million in grant support, while NSIA contributes up to $20 million to match the grant.

Structured as an onshore public fund, the initiative combines financial support with technical assistance to help startups refine products, scale operations, and expand into new markets.

The fund is expected to create jobs, improve livelihoods, and contribute to sustainable economic development across Nigeria.

Speaking at the agreement signing ceremony between NSIA and JICA at the Ministry of Budget and Economic Planning, Mr Aminu Umar-Sadiq, the chief executive of NSIA, said: “The Fund represents a transformative step for Nigeria’s startup ecosystem. By providing early-stage ventures in high-impact sectors with the capital and support they need to grow, we are enabling innovators to tackle some of Nigeria’s most pressing challenges. Our collaboration with JICA underscores our commitment to entrepreneurship, inclusive growth, and sustainable development.”

Preparations are underway to operationalise the Fund and develop a pipeline of high-impact startups ready for investment. NSIA remains committed to advancing socio-economic development through strategic partnerships that scale impact, expand innovative solutions, and unlock access to capital.

On his part, the Japanese Ambassador to Nigeria, Mr Suzuki Hideo, said, “The Government of Japan hopes this new project will take root in Nigeria and bear fruit swiftly.”

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