Economy
Easing of Oil Output Cuts to Sway Market This Week
By Adedapo Adesanya
Last week, prices of both the Brent crude and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude initially dropped on oil demand recovery worries but eventually turned around to show signs of resilience yet again.
Following this positive outcome at the oil market, things could be very difficult for the market this week as one of the major factors that have lifted prices may be eased.
The production cuts from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+), which just did not only remove crude oil from an oversaturated market but eventually helped to boost prices, may start tapering to allow for an increase in production to allow countries fight for market share.
When the cabal started cutting outputs in May, the agreement was to reduce almost 10 per cent or 9.7 million barrels daily for two months including June. However, there was an extension to this to July.
However, analysts note that this may not extend into August with cuts expected to taper to 7.7 million barrels per day through December. According to Wall Street Journal sources, the countries are planning to relax the curbs by 2 million barrels a day to 7.7 million.
The report said that Saudi Arabia was worried as continued support will be dangerous, especially as non-OPEC members attempt to gain market share.
The report came two days after the Energy Information Administration (IEA) said that the worst effects of coronavirus on oil demand had passed but will continue to echo as the market recovers.
The group will hold a virtual meeting on Wednesday to discuss and recommend the next line of action.
In its monthly global energy report, the IEA predicted a slight improvement in global demand for crude oil this year.
However, it also cautioned that much still depends on how the pandemic develops.
The IEA report also noted that the resurgence of cases in some parts of the world, including the US and Latin America, was casting a shadow over the outlook and threatened to derail a recovery in demand.
“The recent increase in COVID-19 cases and the introduction of partial lockdowns introduces more uncertainty to the forecast,” it said.
The number of new COVID-19 cases continue to rise in the major producing country, the US, as the state of Florida soared by 15,299 cases on Saturday. This set the record for the highest COVID-19 cases in the country in a single day for any US state.
The rising number of cases impairs economic recovery and oil demand in the world’s largest oil-consuming nation and curtails crude prices.
On the supply side, more risks of additions to the supply glut have arisen with Libya’s preparations to restart oil production and exports, which also poses a threat to the oil price recovery.
The number of oil rigs in the US, an indicator of short-term production in the country, fell by 4 to 181 for the week ending July 10, from 185 the previous week, according to the latest data. Over the past 17 weeks, the decline in the oil rig count totalled 502, the data showed.
Economy
Pathway Advisors Champions Pivot Energy’s N300bn Commercial Paper for Downstream Expansion
By Adedapo Adesanya
Pathway Advisors Limited has announced its role as Lead Issuing House to a N300 billion Commercial Paper Programme for Pivot Integrated Energy Services Limited, reinforcing its leadership in capital market advisory and energy sector finance.
The transaction was formally concluded with the execution of programme documentation at Capital Club, Victoria Island, Lagos, following the completion of all regulatory and programme clearances. The signing ceremony marked a defining milestone in mobilising large-scale short-term capital for Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector.
Speaking at the event, the chief executive of Pathway Advisors Limited, Mr Adekunle Alade, emphasised the strategic significance of the Commercial Paper issuance in financing working capital, thereby enabling high-growth energy businesses to scale efficiently and sustainably.
“Nigeria’s downstream energy sector is undergoing a profound transformation, accelerated by the removal of fuel subsidies, the emergence of domestic refining capacity, and rising demand for reliable product supply across the country and the broader West African region.
“Companies like Pivot Integrated Energy Services Limited with a vertically integrated model, a strong track record, and a clear growth mandate are exactly the kind of issuers that the capital markets should be financing,” Mr Alade stated.
“Commercial paper, when structured appropriately, gives operationally strong businesses access to a deep and diverse pool of institutional investors, at tenors and costs that support the working capital intensity of petroleum trading and distribution. This transaction is a testament to what is achievable when credible issuers partner with experienced advisers to access the markets,” he added.
“The successful execution of this programme further affirms Pathway Advisors’ position as a trusted financial advisory and investment banking firm in complex, large-scale capital market transactions,” he stated.
In his comments, the chief executive of Pivot Integrated Energy Services Limited, Mr Babajide Babatope, described the commercial paper programme as a pivotal step in the company’s strategy to expand its supply capacity and strengthen its position as a leading integrated energy provider in Nigeria and West Africa.
“Nigeria’s downstream energy market demands scale, speed, and the right capital structure to compete effectively. This commercial paper programme gives us the financial firepower to support our growing volumes, reinforce our supply chain, and serve our customers with greater reliability across the regions we operate in,” Mr Babatope disclosed.
He noted that Pivot is one of the 20 approved off-takers in the Dangote Refinery PMS Consortium, with a target volume of 300 million litres per quarter, a position that underscores the company’s standing in Nigeria’s post-subsidy energy supply architecture. He added that the CP Programme would also support the company’s accelerating regional push, including active operations in Ghana, where Pivot has delivered over 100,000 MT since April 2025, and a planned entry into Tanzania with deliveries targeted in Q3 of 2026.
Mr Babatope further expressed appreciation to Pathway Advisors and other transaction parties for their professionalism, rigour, and commitment throughout the programme’s execution, and signalled his intention to continue deepening these partnerships as Pivot advances to subsequent phases of growth and financing.
Economy
South Korea Commits $12bn to SMEDAN’s Entrepreneurship Drive
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Small and Medium Enterprises Development Agency of Nigeria (SMEDAN) has secured a $12 billion commitment from South Korea to establish a Skills Acquisition Centre in Abuja, as part of efforts to strengthen entrepreneurship and boost small businesses across Nigeria.
The chief executive of SMEDAN, Mr Charles Odii, disclosed this over the weekend during a road walk and sensitisation campaign at Utako Market in Abuja to commemorate the 2026 World MSME Day.
According to Mr Odii, the proposed facility will provide vocational and entrepreneurial training to young Nigerians and enhance the capacity of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs).
He said the agency is awaiting the allocation of land by the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) Administration for the project.
“We need land in the FCT to build the Skills Acquisition Centre. If the FCT Administration is unable to provide one, we will use our office premises in Idu, Abuja, because we do not want Nigeria to miss this opportunity offered by the Korean Government to support skills and vocational training,” he said.
As part of activities marking the World MSME Day, Mr Odii also announced the launch of SMEDAN’s N500 million GROW Fund, a zero-interest financing intervention designed to support small businesses across the country.
He explained that the fund would be disbursed to members of registered cooperative societies and business associations to strengthen their enterprises.
According to him, beneficiaries are expected to utilise the funds strictly for business purposes, including expanding working capital, acquiring workspaces and purchasing equipment.
“The funding is meant to support and improve their businesses. It should be used for working capital, workspaces, tools and other productive business needs. Any use outside these objectives will not be encouraged,” he said.
Mr Odii further disclosed that entrepreneurs trained by SMEDAN in Abuja would receive vocational equipment, including washing machines, barbing kits, shoemaking tools and sewing machines, to enable them to become self-reliant.
“We have identified these tools as essential to the businesses of our trainees based on the skills programmes they have undergone,” he added.
The SMEDAN boss stressed that the agency’s interventions are driven by the critical role MSMEs play in Nigeria’s economy.
“Small businesses are the heartbeat of Nigeria’s economy. By providing infrastructure, skills and financing, we are creating an enabling environment for them to grow, thrive and contribute meaningfully to national development,” he said.
Odii also revealed that the National MSME Policy would be reviewed and relaunched in November 2026 to strengthen the sector and improve its contribution to economic growth.
He called on state governments to collaborate with SMEDAN in expanding skills acquisition programmes, creating jobs, reducing poverty and supporting the economic development agenda of President Bola Tinubu’s administration.
Economy
Dangote Refinery Broadens Feedstock Base With UAE Crude Purchase
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Dangote Petroleum Refinery has purchased two cargoes of crude oil from the United Arab Emirates (UAE), marking its first-ever procurement of Middle Eastern crude as it diversifies its feedstock sources ahead of continuous expansion.
According to a report by S&P Global Commodity Insights, the two cargoes will be the first sourced by the 700,000-barrels-per-day refinery from any Middle Eastern supplier, signalling a shift from its traditional reliance on Nigerian, African, and United States crude grades.
The report said the purchases followed the resumption of oil exports from the Middle East after the United States and Iran reached an interim peace agreement that restored confidence in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
The refinery, designed primarily to process Nigeria’s light sweet crude, has increasingly diversified its crude slate as operations ramp up. The company sources crude from Brazil, Equatorial Guinea, Angola, Algeria, and the US, among others.
The refinery and the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Plc had agreed on the supply of between 13 and 15 cargoes of Nigerian crude monthly in Naira, but the volumes often fluctuate. In May, the state oil company allocated seven cargoes to the plant, up from five in previous months.
The chief executive of the Dangote Refinery, Mr David Bird, had previously disclosed that these constraints had compelled the company to seek additional crude sources outside Nigeria.
According to S&P Global, the refinery has been broadening the range of crude grades it processes as part of its ambition to operate as a fully merchant refinery. The report noted that in 2025, about 70 per cent of the refinery’s crude imports came from Nigeria, while 24 per cent originated from the United States.
The report added that the refinery’s expansion plans would further increase its crude requirements. Dangote plans to double the refinery’s processing capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day by the end of 2028, a level that would enable it to process about 80 per cent of Nigeria’s recent crude oil production in a single day.
Business Post understands that since NNPC cargoes are cheaper for the refinery because of lower shipping costs, importation of crude could translate to higher fuel prices, with Nigerians possibly buying as high as N1,300 – N1,400 at the pump.
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