Economy
Economic Recession Outcome of Monetary, Fiscal Policy Failure—Report
By Mike Uzor
The latest edition of Nigeria Banking & Economy 2016, a publication of Datatrust Consulting Ltd, a firm of financial analysts, has been released.
The research report, which is an x-ray of the Nigerian economy and the banking industry, found a major link between the ravaging economic recession and delayed fiscal action on the part of government.
Inability to move decisively on the path of stimulatory intervention, rather than lack of funds, is the main factor that let the slowing economy plunge into a recession in 2016.
With the long delay in approving the 2016 budget, the fiscal authorities failed to provide the critical fiscal stimulus at the same time that monetary policy remained stringent.
Datatrust economists also affirm that the policy of treasury single account hindered the ability of monetary policy to sustain the flow of goods and services within the economy.
Nigeria’s economy in 2016 experienced a macroeconomic policy lull during which neither fiscal nor monetary policy was effectively deployed to sustain the momentum of the nation’s economic activities.
Efforts to prevent economic decline requires swiftness in order to keep production and consumption functions streaming at normal speed. Nigeria missed the critical point of stimulatory intervention to avert economic recession.
Banks were hindered from helping businesses, the capital market windows remained shut and government held back the much needed stimulatory spending force.
The outcome was a financially arid economy in which both producers and consumers lacked adequate liquidity to operate optimally.
The broken capacity of the capital market as a source of new money is a major factor in the cash flow problems facing companies.
The painstaking analysis, running to over 140-pages, identified a combination of monetary and fiscal stimulus as the effective therapy to end economic recession.
The annual publication offers government and regulators policy options based on research findings for addressing critical issues in the economy and the banking sector.
The report takes a special focus on the effects of macroeconomic developments and regulatory policies on the banking sector that constitutes the nerve centre of the economy.
Datatrust study finds that the banking sector has come under much regulatory strain once again even as it was yet to recover fully from the effects of the last global financial crisis.
A sudden enforcement of government’s treasury single account policy has put banks under an unplanned liquidity pressure, which has forced them to liquidate earning assets.
The results are a major slowdown in revenue growth and decline in the size of the balance sheet. It is evidently a wrong time to run a policy that stems the growth in bank lending to an economy in decline.
The general decline in economic activity has again exposed banks to a major operating pressure – loan recovery difficulties.
Rising loan loss expenses at a time of inability to grow revenue is the explanation for declining profit margin, falling profits and losses.
These developments have warranted a cost cutting bandwagon among banks, including layoffs, which are rather reinforcing the economic recession from the angle of domestic consumption.
Assurances that Nigeria will be out of recession in 2017 need to be supported by convincing new policy actions and the authorities need to show the policy transmission mechanism that would lead to reversing these adverse economic trends in the production and consumption functions of the economy.
Money and capital market windows need to be expanded to complement the highly devalued government spending in stimulating economic activity.
Many banks have been trying to achieve full recovery and to resume growth since the downturn induced by the global financial crisis.
Those efforts have been scuttled by the present policy environment so that they are struggling for survival breathes once again.
Policymakers have, as usual, continued to give assurances of good health for the banks; they need to back up their words with policies that empower both banks and their customers.
The banking sector provides the largest meeting point of savers and investors and therefore serves as the nerve centre of the nation’s financial intermediation. It therefore needs to be saved from the type of violent regulatory policy changes to which it is continually exposed.
The report shows details of how each bank is responding to the operating and regulatory challenges and performance prospects going forward. It used a five-year track record of income statements and balance sheets of banks to establish the major operating trends.
With average industry ratio benchmarks, the report makes it clear to see how each bank’s figures compare or contrast from the general industry picture.
The general industry trends as well as individual banks conditions are provided to guide regulatory policies towards ensuring stability and healthy growth in the banking sector. They also provide a reliable guide to strategic decisions and actions on the part of the banks themselves.
The study also shows the various competitive leagues in the banking industry such as leadership by the size of the balance sheet, gross income and profit, etc. The performance charts show the ability to convert assets into revenue and revenue into profit. The analysis brings out clearly each bank’s cost to income relationship and shows how it is either helping or hitting the bottom line.
A major worrisome trend defined by the report is the rapidly growing proportion of revenue devoted to loan loss expenses. This is an unhealthy trend that needs to be checked in order to encourage new lending.
The bearish trend the stock market has taken on banking stocks is a reflection of the uncertain earnings outlook of the sector and regulators cannot afford to ignore this signal. A situation where the banking industry giants have virtually become penny stocks cannot be safely ignored.
Mike Uzor is the Chief Financial Analyst at Datatrust Consulting Ltd
By Adedapo Adesanya
Italian oil major, Eni, is positioning to embark on deepwater exploration investment in Nigeria after President Bola Tinubu met its chief executive Officer, Mr Claudio Descalzi, in Abuja to discuss the company’s deepwater expansion plans.
This follows the recent conversion of Oil Prospecting Licence 245 (OPL 245) into new development and exploration licenses.
Under an agreement with the Federal Government of Nigeria, OPL 245 has been converted into two Petroleum Mining Leases (PML 102 and 103) and two Petroleum Prospecting Leases (PPL 2011 and 2012), following a mutually agreed settlement of claims and the discontinuation of arbitration proceedings at the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID).
Nigerian Agip Exploration Limited will operate the licenses alongside partners Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited and Shell Nigeria Exploration and Production Company Limited (SNEPCO).
The conversion clears the path for the development of the Zabazaba and Etan deepwater fields under PML 102 and 103.
The Etan-Zabazaba project is estimated to contain approximately 500 MMbbl of reserves and is planned around a 150,000-bopd floating production, storage and offloading (FPSO) facility. Associated gas volumes of up to 200 MMscf/d at peak are expected to be exported to Nigeria LNG.
Eni, which has operated in Nigeria since 1962, also discussed its broader offshore portfolio, including interests in the Abo and Bonga fields and Nigeria LNG.
The company recently increased its stake in OML 118 to 15 per cent, reinforcing its position in Nigeria’s deepwater sector, where it currently produces approximately 55,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day on an equity basis.
Business Post reported earlier this week that Nigeria has broken up the OPL 245 oil block into four new assets to be operated by Eni and Shell, potentially settling the future of the field at the centre of one of the oil industry’s biggest historic corruption trials.
The agreement clears the way for the development of OPL 245, one of Nigeria’s biggest deepwater reserves that has remained untapped for almost three decades amid overlapping lawsuits in multiple countries.
The block is estimated to hold up to 9 billion barrels of oil equivalent in reserves, enough to rival Nigeria’s entire proven reserves if fully developed.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Executive Director for Personal and Private Banking at Stanbic IBTC, Mr Olu Delano, has stressed the need to link macroeconomic trends to personal financial goals.
At the 2026 Regional Economic Outlook Series of Stanbic IBTC recently, he said, “Whether planning for retirement, funding education abroad, or expanding a business, improved stability creates opportunities. But those opportunities require careful structuring around foreign exchange dynamics, inflation trends, and interest rate movements.”
Business Post reports that the regional investor summit was designed to provide high-net-worth individuals, investors, business leaders, and senior executives with clarity in a rapidly evolving economic environment.
Hosted in Lagos, Abuja, and Port Harcourt, the series served as a strategic platform for translating Nigeria’s reform momentum into practical investment and business decisions.
It featured a keynote address by Professor Adedipe, whose insights set a strong analytical foundation for the conversations that followed. His presentation unpacked structural reforms, fiscal recalibration, and the direction of monetary policy, offering attendees a comprehensive perspective on Nigeria’s growth trajectory and the discipline required to sustain macroeconomic stability.
Across all three cities, Stanbic IBTC’s subject matter experts and industry professionals moved the discussion from macroeconomic signals to market strategy. Sessions were structured to bridge economic context with sector-specific opportunities, portfolio construction frameworks, and risk management considerations. The focus extended beyond understanding the environment to making informed, disciplined decisions within it.
A recurring theme throughout the summit was the evolving monetary policy cycle. Discussions examined the Central Bank of Nigeria’s tight stance in addressing inflationary pressures and stabilising the currency.
Participants also considered the potential implications of a gradual policy easing cycle, particularly for fixed income instruments, equity positioning, and broader asset allocation strategies. Emphasis was placed on timing, selectivity, and portfolio resilience.
Beyond markets, the conversations addressed the practical realities of wealth and business strategy. High net worth individuals gained clarity on diversification, currency exposure, and inflation management, while business leaders explored how improving macroeconomic stability can support capital allocation decisions and long-term expansion plans.
The chief executive of Stanbic IBTC Asset Management, Ms Busola Jejelowo, reflected on the quality of engagement across the regions.
She noted that the depth of questions and analytical rigour demonstrated a maturing investment culture and a growing appetite for data-driven strategies.
According to her, the series was not only about presenting forecasts, but about equipping clients with structured frameworks for navigating uncertainty.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Coronation Registrars Limited processed N1.28 trillion in dividends for the year 2025, representing over 40 per cent of the total dividends distributed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.
This information was revealed by the company in its 2025 performance scorecard, highlighting its continued role in supporting transparency, efficiency, and investor confidence within Nigeria’s capital market.
According to the company, the performance underscores its scale and the trust placed in it by leading publicly listed companies, which it helps in administering dividend processing. Other functionalities include managing shareholder records, corporate actions, and investor communications while ensuring compliance with regulations of the NGX and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
Coronation Registrars also recorded 34.8 per cent market share of the NGX by market capitalisation, while maintaining 64 per cent coverage of companies listed on the NGX Premium Board, reflecting strong partnerships with some of Nigeria’s largest and most influential issuers.
Operationally, the registrar facilitated 1.99 million buy and sell transactions in 2025, while managing 2.91 million shareholder accounts across its registrar’s portfolio.
The organisation also continued to address the longstanding issue of unclaimed dividends. In 2025, N3.67 billion in legacy unclaimed dividends was successfully returned to investors, helping reconnect shareholders with previously outstanding entitlements.
To further strengthen shareholder record accuracy and service efficiency, Coronation Registrars processed over 513,000 Know-Your-Customer (KYC) and shareholder account updates, including Clearing House Number (CHN) updates and record changes.
Commenting on the milestone, the Managing Director of Coronation Registrars Limited, Mr Seyi Owuturo, stated, “Our 2025 scorecard reflects the responsibility we carry as custodians of shareholder records and facilitators of dividend distribution for many of Nigeria’s leading companies. We remain committed to improving investor access, strengthening operational efficiency, and supporting the continued development of Nigeria’s capital market.”
Coronation Registrars said it remains focused on leveraging technology, operational excellence, and strong issuer partnerships to deliver reliable registry services while supporting the evolving needs of shareholders and listed companies.
-
Feature/OPED6 years agoDavos was Different this year
-
Travel/Tourism10 years ago
Lagos Seals Western Lodge Hotel In Ikorodu
-
Showbiz3 years agoEstranged Lover Releases Videos of Empress Njamah Bathing
-
Banking8 years agoSort Codes of GTBank Branches in Nigeria
-
Economy3 years agoSubsidy Removal: CNG at N130 Per Litre Cheaper Than Petrol—IPMAN
-
Banking3 years agoSort Codes of UBA Branches in Nigeria
-
Banking3 years agoFirst Bank Announces Planned Downtime
-
Sports3 years agoHighest Paid Nigerian Footballer – How Much Do Nigerian Footballers Earn