Economy
Energy Editors See Significant Boost in Nigeria’s Oil, Gas in Q1 2025
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Society of Energy Editors (SEE) expects the Nigerian energy sector to witness significant developments in the first quarter of 2025.
This, according to the society, would be driven by President Bola Tinubu’s proposed N49.7 trillion budget for the year.
The budget is anchored on an increase in base crude oil production to 2.06 million barrels per day, expected to drive down inflation from 34.6 per cent to 15 per cent in 2025.
In its Nigeria Energy Outlook Q1 2025, the group said key areas to watch in the energy sector in the first quarter of the year include oil oil exploration and production; domestic crude refining; gas production and liquefied natural gas (LNG) export; power generation and transmission as well as labour relations.
“The government’s target to increase crude oil production is ambitious, but its feasibility hinges on addressing security challenges, particularly in the Niger Delta region.
“Nigeria plans to hold a fresh oil licensing round in 2025 focused primarily on handing out blocks that remained undeveloped, as the country battles to raise crude reserves and production,” it said in the outlook.
It added that “the federal government would have to show the necessary political will and apply a lot of push for this fresh oil licensing round to happen during the year as planned”.
On domestic refining, the organisation noted that the commencement of petroleum refining at the Dangote Refinery is expected to reduce fuel imports and ease the burden of petroleum subsidies.
However, it added that the steady supply of crude oil feedstock from the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited to the Dangote Refinery would be crucial in determining the refinery’s impact on the economy in 2025.
Nigeria spent N9.176 trillion on the importation of the Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), also known as petrol, in nine months, from January to September 2024, rising by 60.87 percent, compared with N5.704 trillion worth of the commodity imported in the same period in 2023.
Focusing on gas production and LNG exports, the SEE projected that Nigeria’s gas sector will grow during the first quarter, driven by the government’s “Decade of Gas” initiative and the country’s ambitions to increase its gas reserves to 210 trillion cubic feet, Tcf, in 2025 and 220 Tcf by 2030.
“Gas production and supply will also increase in response to the Federal Government initiative on gas for automobiles and the need to meet the current shortfalls being experienced by power generating stations and industries,” it also projected.
According to the SEE, gas export through the Nigeria LNG Limited will be steady during the first quarter.
In the area of power generation and transmission, the Society of Energy Editors, said efforts to expand power generation and improve transmission infrastructure will continue, with a focus on increasing the share of renewable energy sources in the energy mix.
It maintained that power transmission and distribution infrastructure remained very weak with the national grid recording 12 incidents of collapse in 2024. Adding that 2025 would witness a repeat owing to poor mitigation measures aimed at tackling inherent weaknesses.
On labour relations, the society stated that the government would need to address labour concerns in the downstream and upstream petroleum sectors, as well as in the electricity sector, to maintain stability and avoid disruptions.
Listing challenges and opportunities, it noted that the government’s expectations for reducing inflation and improving the exchange rate may be challenging to achieve, given the current market realities.
It asserted that the development of the Niger Delta region, through the activities of the Niger Delta Development Commission, would be crucial in addressing the root causes of insecurity and instability in the region.
“The solid minerals sector offers significant opportunities for revenue growth and job creation, but the government will need to address the challenges of artisanal mining and ensure that the sector is developed in a sustainable and responsible manner.
“Overall, the first quarter of 2025 will be critical in setting the tone for Nigeria’s energy sector in the year ahead. The government’s policies and initiatives will need to be carefully implemented to address the challenges facing the sector and to unlock its full potential,” the report stated.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange made a marginal 0.01 per cent rise on Tuesday, April 29, pushing the Unlisted Security Index (NSI) up by 0.29 points to 3,282.42 points from the previous session’s 3,282.42 points.
Also, the market capitalisation of the trading platform increased slightly by N170 million to remain relatively unchanged at N1.922 trillion.
At the trading session, the bourse ended with two price gainers led by Geo-Fluids Plc, which chalked up 15 Kobo to sell at N2.13 per unit compared with the previous day’s N1.98 per unit, and Food Concepts Plc grew by 13 Kobo to settle at N1.29 per share compared with the N1.17 per share it was traded a day earlier.
However, Afriland Properties Plc lost N1.71 to close at N16.07 per unit versus the preceding day’s price of N17.78 per unit, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc crumbled by 65 Kobo to finish at N37.50 per share, in contrast to Monday’s closing value of N38.15 per share.
The volume of securities traded in the session went up by 223.6 per cent to 2.2 million units from the 692,885 units transacted in the previous trading day, the value of transactions jumped by 70.8 per cent to N38.6 million from N22.6 million, while the number of deals fell by 18.4 per cent to 31 deals from 38 deals.
Impresit Bakolori Plc remained the most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 153.6 million units sold for N4.9 billion, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with a turnover of 71.2 million units valued at N24.2 million.
The most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis was Okitipupa Plc with a turnover of 153.6 million worth N4.9 billion, trailed by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with the sale of 14.7 million units for N566.9 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc 533.9 million units valued at N520.9 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira marginally appreciated against the United States Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Friday, April 11.
Data obtained by Business Post from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed that the exchange rate closed at N1,601.04/$1 during the trading session compared with the previous day’s value of N1,601.38/$1, indicating that the Nigerian currency improved its value by 0.08 per cent or 34 Kobo against the greenback.
Also, against the Pound Sterling, the local currency appreciated yesterday by N5.57 to sell for N2,145.85/£1 versus Monday’s closing price of N2,186.65/£1 but against the Euro, it lost N5.00 to trade at N1,823.82/€1, in contrast to the N1,818.82/€1 it was exchanged a day earlier.
At the parallel market, the Nigerian Naira maintained stability against the US Dollar on Tuesday, remaining unchanged at N1,610/$1.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market turned bearish yesterday after a wave of economic data suggests the US economic activity is slowing down due to the tariffs policies unleashed by the administration of President Donald Trump.
Consumer confidence, according to a survey by the Conference Board, is currently at its lowest level since May 2020, a period when the world was on lockdown.
However, there are evidence that negotiation of trade deals with other countries, could offer support.
Dogecoin (DOGE) depleted by 3.3 per cent to sell at $0.1740, Ripple (XRP) lost 2.6 per cent to quote at $2.22, Cardano slumped by 2.4 per cent to trade at $0.6955, Litecoin (LTC) went down by 1.9 per cent to finish at $84.89, and Solana (SOL) recorded a 1.4 per cent depreciation to close at $146.55.
Further, Ethereum (ETH) declined by 1.3 per cent to end at $1,779.01, Binance Coin (BNB) crumbled by 1.2 per cent to settle at $603.30, and Bitcoin (BTC) slipped by 0.2 per cent to trade at $94,682.75, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.
By Dipo Olowookere
An additional N11.49 billion has been recovered by the House of Representatives Committee on Public Accounts from some oil companies operating in Nigeria.
A statement signed by the spokesman of the lower chamber of the National Assembly, Mr Akin Rotimi, said the total amount recovered from these energy firms is now N61.5 billion.
He stated that the recovered funds were from oil and gas companies with outstanding obligations to the federal government.
It was revealed that $182,057.44 (N291.29 million) was recovered from Platform Petroleum Limited, $730,889.37 (N1.17 billion) was from Midwestern Oil and Gas, N1.58 billion from Seplat Energy, $3.9 million (N6.1 billion) from Aradel Holdings, $500,000 (N775 million)
From Network Exploration & Production, and $1 million (N1.55 billion) from Shoreline Resources Limited.
According to the statement, the committee’s intensified efforts are anchored on findings from the Auditor-General’s reports and data obtained from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC).
These have informed sustained engagements with oil firms to ensure accountability for unremitted funds and outstanding liabilities.
The legislative arm of government also warned some organisations ignoring invitations to desist from such.
It said these defaulting firms collectively owe over $384 million and N325.7 million to the federal government, listing them as Neconde Energy Ltd – $110.5 million and N325.7 million, Heirs Holdings – $137.7 million, AITEO Ltd – $34.8 million, Continental Oil & Gas Ltd – $31 million, General Hydrocarbon – $28.4 million, Energia Ltd – $19.5 million, Waltersmith OML 16 – $8.7 million, Bilton – $5 million, Pillar Oil Ltd – $4.6 million, Millennium Oil and Gas Ltd – $2.067 million, Conoil Producing Ltd – $1.1 million, and Frontier OML 13 – $952,216.51.
“This Committee will not tolerate attempts by corporate entities to evade their responsibility to the Nigerian people.
“These companies are withholding billions of Naira owed to the federal government, and we will not allow them to disregard the authority of parliament.
“If these companies believe they are too big to be held accountable, they must understand that their licenses are at risk.
“We are prepared to recommend immediate revocation for any company that shows contempt for this Committee and the laws of the nation,” the chairman of the panel, Mr Bamidele Salam, fumed.
“No company is above the law. The funds being withheld are critical to the country’s growth and must not be hoarded while Nigeria suffers. Every company operating in Nigeria must settle its obligations promptly, as required by law,” he declared.
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