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FEC Okays N13.08trn for 2021 Budget, CAPEX to Gulp N2.1trn

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buhari presents 2019 budget1

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The sum of N13.08 trillion (approximately N13.1 trillion) has been approved for the 2021 fiscal year by the Federal Executive Council (FEC).

The approval was given at the virtual weekly FEC meeting held in Abuja on Wednesday and presided over by President Muhammadu Buhari, with his vice, Mr Yemi Osinbajo, in attendance and some Ministers.

This amount is more than the earlier aggregate expenditure of N12.66 trillion estimated for next year in the 2021-2023 Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper (MTEF/FSP) published by the budget office.

The Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Mrs Zainab Ahmed, while briefing newsmen after the meeting today, said the budget has about 29 per cent of it earmarked for capital expenditure (CAPEX).

According to her, next year, the council said the sum of N2.083 trillion should be used to execute the various projects spread across the country.

Mrs Ahmed stated that the projects would run on N4.48 trillion deficit, while the revenue target in the financial year is expected to be N7.9 trillion.

She further said the government expects a gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 3 per cent in the year and an inflation rate of 11.95 per cent.

A few weeks ago, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said the inflation rate in the month of August 2020 increased by 13.22 per cent from 12.82 per cent in July 2020.

During her briefing with journalists today, the Finance Minister stated that next year, the Naira to US Dollar exchange rate is pegged at N379/$1.

In addition, according to her, the crude oil benchmark is at $40 per barrel, while the volume of oil production is expected to be 1.86 million barrels per day, inclusive of 400,000 barrels per day of condensate.

Nigeria and other members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and their allies led by Russia known as OPEC+ agreed to an output cut deal in April 2020 so as to stabilise the price of the commodity at the global market when it was steeping at the beginning of the year to less than $20 per barrel.

In the past, Nigeria was allowed to produce over 2 million barrels of crude oil per day, but because of the deal, the country, which depends on oil for most of its revenue, was allowed to produce about 1.7 million barrels per day from May to July and from August till December 2020, it will produce about 1.4 million barrels per day, excluding condensate.

The 2021 budget is expected to be submitted to a joint session of the National Assembly next week by Mr Buhari.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Six Price Losers Handicap NASD Exchange by 0.86%

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NASD Exchange bullish

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange was depleted by 0.86 per cent on Friday, November 14, after the price of six securities on the platform closed lower.

This reduced the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) by 31.38 points to 3,613.23 points from the 3,644.61 points recorded a day earlier, as the market capitalisation lost N18.77 billion to end the week at N2.161 trillion compared with the N2.180 trillion it finished a day earlier.

During the session, NASD Plc fell by N4.00 to close at N55.00 per share compared with the preceding session’s N59.00 per share, FrieslandCampina Wamco Plc crashed by N3.00 to end at N51.00 per unit versus the previous day’s N54.00 per unit, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc depreciated by N1.60 to close at N40.40 per share versus N42.00 per share, Lagos Building Investment Company (LBIC) Plc went down by 35 Kobo to settle at N3.13 per unit compared with the N3.48 per unit it ended on Thursday, UBN Property Plc decreased by 26 Kobo to quote at N2.33 per share versus the preceding day’s N2.59 per share and  Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc crumbled by 1 Kobo to close at 41 Kobo per unit versus 42 Kobo per unit.

Yesterday, the volume of securities traded by market participants increased by 99.5 per cent to 2.2 million units from the previous day’s 119,329 units, the value of securities ballooned by 4,185.1 per cent to N82.9 million from N1.9 million, and the number of deals expanded by 50 per cent to 21 deals, from 14 deals.

When the market ended for the session, Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company (InfraCredit) Plc remained the most traded stock by value with a year-to-date sale of 5.8 billion units valued at N16.4 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 170.3 million units traded for N8.0 billion, and Air Liquide Plc with 507.4 million units sold for N4.2 billion.

InfraCredit Plc also ended as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units worth N16.4 billion, followed by IGI Plc with 1.2 billion units transacted for N419.7 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc with 536.9 million units valued at N524.9 million.

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Economy

Naira Slips to N1,442/$ at Official Market

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naira street value

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira weakened against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) on Friday, November 14 on fresh forex demand pressure associated with this period.

During the session, the domestic currency depreciated against the greenback by 99 Kobo or 0.07 per cent to trade at N1,442.43/$1, in contrast to the N1,441.44/$1 it traded on Thursday.

In the same official market window, the local currency closed flat against the Pound Sterling at N1,898.96/£1, but further declined against the Euro by N3.60 to close at N1,678.56/€1 versus the previous day’s N1,674.96/€1.

However, at the GTBank FX counter, the Naira appreciated against the Dollar yesterday by N2 to settle at N1,448/$1 versus the preceding session’s rate of N1,448/$1, and in the parallel market, it maintained stability at N1,455/$1.

Increased demand for Dollars above the supply level has impacted price swing, but in the last two sessions, the pressure have been minimal.

In recent weeks, the apex bank FX injection has been minimal and erratic due to increasing FX inflows from foreign portfolio investors and exporters. FX inflow into currency market has fallen from peaked of $1.37 billion to $899 million.

While the Naira came under renewed strain, Nigeria’s foreign reserves continued their upward trajectory, climbing to $43.5 billion, up from $43.32 billion the week before.

This steady improvement in external reserves may be attributed to stronger crude oil receipts, improved non-oil inflows, and tightened FX management policies by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

As for the cryptocurrency market, investors tried to claw back some gains after many liquidated positions in the recent sessions largely driven by a lack of clarity on key US economic conditions and subsequent monetary policy direction.

That data blackout was due to the longest US government shutdown that lasted from October 1 until Thursday, that suspended government inflation and jobs data releases, with Litecoin (LTC) growing by 8.5 per cent to $104.14.

Further, Binance Coin (BNB) rose by 2.3 per cent to sell for $932.27, Solana (SOL) went up by 0.9 per cent to $142.71, Ethereum (ETH) jumped by 0.3 per cent to $3,175.02, and Dogecoin (DOGE) also appreciated by 0.3 per cent to $0.1633.

But Cardano (ADA) depreciated by 0.8 per cent to $0.5130, Ripple (XRP) fell by 0.3 per cent to $2.28, and Bitcoin (BTC) dropped 0.2 per cent to finish at $96,193.83, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.

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Economy

Oil Market Jumps 2% as Russia Halts Export from Key Port

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crude oil price at market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The oil market was up by more than 2 per cent on Friday as a key Russian port suspended oil exports after Ukraine attacked the facility, raising concerns about supply.

Brent crude futures increased by $1.38 or 2.19 per cent to trade at $64.39 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures grew by $1.40 or 2.39 per cent to close at $60.09 a barrel. Brent rose 1.2 per cent on the week, and WTI posted a weekly gain of 0.6 per cent.

Russia’s port of Novorossiisk halted oil exports following a Ukrainian drone attack that hit an oil depot in the Russian energy hub, stoking supply concerns.

The port, a key export outlet of crude from Russia and Kazakhstan, and a major wheat export hub, paused oil exports, equivalent to 2.2 million barrels per day, or 2 per cent of global supply.

According to reports, the attacks damaged a ship, nearby apartment buildings, and an oil depot, injuring three crew members aboard the vessel. This comes as Ukrainian forces have increasingly targeted Russian oil-refining, storage, and export infrastructure using drones and missiles.

In addition, Russia’s pipeline company Transneft suspended crude oil supply to the facilities at the port.

Ukraine on Friday said it separately struck an oil refinery in Russia’s Saratov region and a fuel storage facility in nearby Engels overnight.

Market analysts noted that in recent month, Ukraine has made a shift in strategy from smaller-scale strikes on storage tanks to targeting hard-to-replace refinery equipment, like cracking units, much of it western-made and subject to sanctions.

Britain on Friday issued a special licence allowing businesses to continue working with two Bulgarian subsidiaries of sanctioned Russian oil firm Lukoil, as the Bulgarian government seized control of the assets.

The US imposed sanctions banning deals with Russian oil companies Lukoil and Rosneft after November 21 as part of efforts to stop the war which commenced with Russia attacking Ukraine in February 2022.

While geopolitical tensions and the end of the US government shutdown offered fleeting support this week, the market remained focused on rising global inventories, shifting supply-demand expectations from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the International Energy Agency (IEA) and a broader sense that supply continues to outpace demand.

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